MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 28

MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 28

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox

Jays knuckle-baller Dickey has not enjoyed much success on the road this season posting a 2-7 record with Jays 2-8 over the ten starts. However, could be a good spot for the hurler. Dickey has won both his starts vs Boston this season. The Jays are on a 7-1 stretch vs Red Sox including a sweep last trip into Boston. Jays swinging away at Clay Buchholz offerings helps the cause. Jays have won 4 of the past 5 when Red Sox hand the ball to Buchholz and have a sparkling 5-0 mark facing Buchholz in Boston.

Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs

When Colorado and Chicago send their newbee left-handers to the mound in game-one of this four game series something has to give. Colorado has lost each of Yohan Flande's four starts and brings a 7.20 ERA to the hill. On the other hump, Cubbies have lost each of Tsuyoshi Wada's two starts and he hits the hill with a 5.00 ERA. With Colorado on a 1-12 skid away from Coors Field, 5-15 in the last 20 encounters with Cubbies on the north side of Chicago the lean is towards the home side.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 28

Game of the Day: Blue Jays at Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (-135, 8.5)

The Toronto Blue Jays look to take advantage of the sinking Boston Red Sox for the second time in a week as they open a three-game series in Boston on Monday. Toronto took three of four at home against the Red Sox to begin last week before winning two of three at the New York Yankees over the weekend, pulling to within three games of first-place Baltimore in the American League East. Overall, the Blue Jays have won seven of nine following a 2-9 stretch.

After dropping the final three games in Toronto, Boston lost two of three at Tampa Bay to extend its misery. The defending world champs scored 14 runs over the final six games of their road trip after producing 14 in the opener of the trek. The Blue Jays swept three straight by a combined score of 20-10 in their last visit to Boston in May.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened at Boston -135 and with some early action on the Red Sox, jumped as high as -139 before settling back down at the opening number. The total currently sits at 8.5.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "These two A.L. East rivals are heading in opposite directions again with the Jays coming off an encouraging series in the Bronx and the BoSox dropping yet another series against a division foe (Tampa Bay). With that said, I do expect to see the Sox put up a serious fight in this series. Clay Buchholz is a better pitcher than his numbers indicate. It remains to be seen whether he can step up against a surging lineup, however." - Covers Experts' Sean Murphy

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We have made Boston a -135 favorite. R.A. Dickey has struggled over his last 3 starts (5.2 ERA), but he is 2-0 vs Red Sox this season (3.5 ERA) so that’s why Boston isn't a bigger fave." - Mike Perry of

PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH R.A. Dickey (8-10, 4.04 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (5-6, 5.50)

Dickey got the win after allowing four runs and nine hits in six innings against Boston on Wednesday, just the second victory in his last eight decisions. The knuckleballer has worked at least six innings in eight consecutive starts while striking out at least five in each of his last seven outings. Dickey also let up a run in 6 1/3 solid innings to defeat the Red Sox at home on April 27 but he is 0-1 with a 6.91 ERA in five career games (one start) at Fenway Park.

Buchholz had seemingly turned a corner after a rocky, injury-marred start to his season, but has been more pedestrian in his last two starts. He has given up eight earned runs on 16 hits and four walks over 12 innings in those outings, including six frames opposite Dickey last week. The 29-year-old has a 6.32 ERA in seven home starts, allowing 52 hits in 37 innings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-four percent of wagers are backing the Blue Jays at +125.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 28

MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Total Stunner

The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves have been the best Under bets in the National League to date - but you wouldn't know it from the way they played this past weekend. Atlanta beat visiting San Diego 8-3 Sunday to make it a 2-0-1 O/U stretch entering Monday's finale of the four-game set.

Dickey Down on the Road

R.A. Dickey will be hoping for a little more road run support than he usually gets as the Toronto Blue Jays (+123, 8.5) open a series against the Boston Red Sox on Monday. Dickey is just 2-7 despite a 3.77 ERA in 10 starts away from Toronto; the Jays are averaging just 2.8 runs in those outings.

Mr. Dependable

Jered Weaver will look to continue his consistent play of late as he leads the Los Angeles Angels into Baltimore on Tuesday. Weaver has allowed exactly two runs in each of his last four appearances and is riding a four-game Under streak dating back to early July.

Pitching Notes

Jordan Zimmermann tries to avoid a third straight shaky outing Monday as his Washington Nationals (-148, 7.5) visit the Miami Marlins. Zimmermann has allowed eight runs over his past two starts after surrendering just seven runs over his previous seven outings combined.

Edwin Jackson has been ice-cold of late as he and the Chicago Cubs face off against the visiting Colorado Rockies on Tuesday. Jackson has thrown just 14 total innings over his previous three starts, allowing 17 runs - all earned - while going 0-2 with a no-decision in that span.

Hitting Notes

It'll be a battle of Japanese countrymen Monday as Texas ace Yu Darvish leads the host Rangers (-143, 8) against Ichiro Suzuki and the New York Yankees. Ichiro has dominated his much younger compatriot in their major-league encounters, batting .368 with just two strikeouts in 19 at-bats.

Tampa Bay catcher Jose Molina has struggled for most of the season - and likely won't get much relief Tuesday as the Rays face Milwaukee. Molina is 0-for-14 with three strikeouts in his career against Brewers starter Matt Garza.

Totals Streak

Los Angeles Angels (3-10 O/U): The Angels have been one of the strongest Under plays in the league so far this month, and have been especially stingy of late - surrendering just two runs over their last three games, all victories over Detroit. Los Angeles is 52-47-5 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

The payout may not be great, but the Oakland Athletics (-140) are a strong bet to score last in their game against Houston. The Astros have the third-worst bullpen ERA in baseball (4.47), while the Athletics have scored the third-most runs in the league after the sixth inning (157).

Injury Notes

Oakland outfielder Coco Crisp continued to deal with a neck injury and will not play Monday night against Houston (+176, 8.5). The Athletics haven't missed a beat with Crisp out of the lineup, going 17-3 SU for a whopping +1,305 units.

Chicago Cubs outfielder Justin Ruggiano is questionable for Monday's game against Colorado (+126) with a groin injury. The Cubs are 12-21 SU, 14-17-2 O/U and -666 units with Ruggiano on the shelf so far in 2014.

Weather Watch

Wind at Fenway Park will blow out to center field at 11 mph for Monday's series opener between host Boston and Toronto. The Red Sox went 4-2 SU but just 1-5 O/U in six games under similar conditions in 2013, with teams combining for 8.5 runs - slightly below the stadium average.

Umpire Note of the Day

Over is 8-2 in umpire Gabe Morales' last 10 games behind home plate. Morales will call the balls and strikes for Monday's series finale between the Braves and Padres.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 28

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

The Pittsburgh Pirates blew a perfect opportunity to make up ground last weekend at Colorado. Meanwhile, the San Francisco Giants are still asking "what just happened" after the Dodgers swept them and took away first place in the NL West. Tonight the two struggling teams hook up, with the Giants as -165 favorites behind ace Madison Bumgarner.

The Pirates had a golden opportunity to make a move in the NL Central over the weekend, but instead got slapped around by the last-place Rockies at Coors Field, losing two of three. They were outscored 16-2 combined in Friday and Saturday's games against a Rockies staff that has a 4.98 ERA, the worst in baseball. After salvaging Sunday's getaway game, the Bucs have now dropped eight of their last 11 games on the road.

The Giants went into the pivotal Dodgers series with the back end of their rotation, but come strong tonight with Bumgarner (12-7, 3.19 ERA), who has won his past three starts after losing the previous three. However, he's had a rough time at home this season, going 4-5 with a 5.22 ERA in 10 starts. Plus, he's 1-2 in three career starts against the Pirates.

The Pirates come with Vance Worley (3-1, 3.10), who has been serviceable for the Pirates. He beat the Dodgers last Tuesday, ending the Pirates' three-game slide behind him. In his career with Philadelphia, he was 2-1 with a 4.09 ERA against the Giants.

The Pirates present a good opportunity with plus-money tonight, but the better play looks to be OVER 6.5 runs. Bumgarner has gone OVER in five of his last six starts and Worley has gone OVER in all three of his starts against the Giants and his last three starts overall.

Monday's picks:

Pirates/Giants OVER 6.5 (-125)

Rays (Jake Odorizzi) -125 vs Brewers

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