Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, June 20

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Rocketman

Boston vs. Oakland
Play: Oakland -127

The Boston Red Sox travel to Oakland to take on the A's on Friday night. Boston is 34-39 overall this year while Oakland comes in with a 45-28 overall record on the season. Boston is 3-11 this year on the road when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Oakland is 88-47 last 3 years and 19-6 this year when the total is 8 to 8 1/2. Oakland comes in winners of five of their past six games overall. Boston is scoring only 3 runs per game their past seven games overall where they have a team batting average of only .214. Oakland is scoring 5.9 runs per game their past seven games overall where they have a team batting average of .299. Felix Doubront gets the call for Boston where he is 2-4 with a 5.12 ERA overall this season. Brad Mills will be making his first start of the season tonight. Oakland is 9-1 at home vs Boston the past 3 years. Doubront is 1-2 with an 8.56 ERA in his three career starts vs Oakland. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland tonight!


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Against the Number

Rockies -110

The Rockies swept the Giants in San Francisco making that 5 wins in a row and followed that up by being swept in L.A. Hard to figure out. But, they come back home tonight and although they face one of the better teams in baseball in Milwaukee, the Brewers aren’t bringing their best arm into the battle. Marco Estrada ranks 121st in ATN Pitcher Rating with an ERA of 4.82 and only 7.1% HQS%. On the other side, rookie Christian Bergman has shown some promise in his 2 starts this season and could be looking at his first win tonight.

Reds -145

The Reds, yes, the Cincinnati Reds, have scored 33 runs over the last 4 games. (8.25 per game). Mat Latos was very sharp in his first start off the DL last week. Although Toronto is our 4th ranked team in baseball, they have cooled off a bit lately. They throw Liam Hendriks tonight in his 3rd start of the year. He brings a lifetime ERA of 5.80 and a WHIP of 1.53. Seems like a good spot for the Reds.

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Sam Martin

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Cleveland Indians

While Detroit was able to break Kansas City's extended winning streak with a 2-1 win over the Royals yesterday, it's the Indians that come in boasting of a new-found momentum after an extra-innings, walk-off grand slam winner against the Angels.

We look for the Indians to ride that momentum into tonight's game and beat Detroit in this series opener. Corey Kluber gets the ball for the Indians and he's been tough to beat here at home with a 3-1 record and 3.04 ERA (5-2 team start record). Porcello has been roughed up of late, including allowing six runs (five earned) in five innings in a loss at Chicago against the White Sox.

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Jeff Alexander

LA Dodgers +101

The Dodgers, winners of 5 of 6 overall and 17 of 22 following an off day, are showing value at this price against a San Diego club that has dropped 8 of 11 overall, 5 straight series openers and 10 of 12 following a win.  The Dodgers are also 9-2 in their last 11 versus the Padres.  The Padres have lost 6 of Kennedy's 8 home starts this season while he's compiled a 3.88 ERA.  That's just not good enough for a club that's averaging 3.1 runs per game at home.  The Dodgers are 36-15 in their last 51 road games versus a team with a losing record.  They are also 4-1 in Haren's division starts this season.  He has a 3.45 ERA in these starts while Kennedy is 0-3 with a 4.76 ERA in 3 division starts.

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Dave Price

Cincinnati Reds -144

The Reds get the call as Friday's free selection due to the success they've had with Latos on the hill.  The Reds are 40-19 in Latos' last 59 starts, 24-6 in his last 30 home starts, 5-0 in his last five starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 18-3 in his last 21 starts on five days' rest.  In addition, the Reds are 5-0 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven days or more, 6-0 in their last six interleague games as a favorite and 10-1 in their last 11 interleague home games versus a team with a winning record.  The Blue Jays have lost three straight and nine of 12, and I expect their woes to continue here.  Triple-A call-up Hendriks hasn't pitched in the bigs since May, and his clubs are 2-5 in his last seven road starts.

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Jack Jones

Los Angeles Dodgers +101

The Los Angeles Dodgers should be the favorite in this contest against the San Diego Padres Friday.  I'll take advantage and back them at an excellent price given that they have the edge on the mound, and they come in rested after having Thursday off while the Padres did not.

Dan Haren has put together a solid season this year for the Dodgers, going 7-4 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.251 WHIP in 14 starts.  Haren is 6-4 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 16 career starts against San Diego.  In his lone start against the Padres this season on April 2, Haren pitched six strong innings while not allowing a single earned run to get the win in a 5-1 Dodgers' victory.

Ian Kennedy just hasn't been the same since his 20-win season in Arizona a few years back.  The right-hander has gone 5-8 with a 3.72 ERA in 15 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in his last three starts.  Kennedy is 5-5 with a 4.21 ERA in 12 career starts against Los Angeles as well.

The Dodgers are 14-3 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival over the last three seasons.  The Dodgers are 37-15 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series.  The Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a win.  Los Angeles is 9-2 in its last 11 meetings with San Diego.

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Steve Janus

New York Yankees -124

This is a great price to back the Yankees at home. New York has won 3 straight and 7 of their last 9 overall. The key here is that the Yankees have a huge edge on the mound with Hiroki Kuroda going up against Ubaldo Jimenez. Kuroda has come on strong of late with a 3.44 ERA and 0.981 WHIP over his last three starts. Jimenez on the other hand has a 5.79 ERA and 1.643 WHIP over his last thee. Adding to that is the fact that Jimenez is 1-4 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.778 WHIP over 4 career starts against the Yankees.

Key Trend - Yankees are 22-8 in their last 30 home games after 3 consecutive games against a division rival.

System - Road teams off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, winning between 51% and 54% of their games on the season are just 17-43 (28%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons.

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Eddie J

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates look to gain some momentum when they head to Wrigley field to face the Cubbies.Charlie Morton will face Edwin Jackson with both pitchers 4-7 on the year. Morton has a better ERA 3.09 compared to 5.11. Morton also has a better WHIP and Jackson is prone to many mental breakdowns on the mound.The Pirates are hitting .303 L10 games and Morton defeated Jackson 6-2 June 9th. Edwin is 2-6 L8 vs PITT while Morton is 4-0 L4 vs CHC.

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SPORTS WAGERS

N.Y. Mets/MIAMI Over 7½

Take Daisuke Matsuzaka’s 3-0 record and 2.81 ERA and combine it with Henderson Alvarez’s overall 2.56 ERA and 1.62 ERA at home and you get a total that is very beatable. Matsuzaka’s impressive 2.81 ERA was compiled primarily in relief but a 4.38 xERA and awful skills show that he's been nothing but pure luck. He's also been much less impressive on the road, with a 5.06 ERA. Matsuzaka has faced the Marlins twice this season and has issued 4 walks and allowed 2 ER in only 1.3 IP. In 42 innings overall, Matsuzaka has walked 30 batters. Over his last 23 frames, he’s walked 14. He's walking batters at an unacceptable rate (6.1/9). Also his numbers have been helped by a low hit rate (22%) and a relatively high strand rate (79%). In summarizing, Matsuzaka’s velocity is now sub-90 mph 2+ years after TJS. His control is still woefully sub-par, he has a scary fly-ball% history. This guy is performing a high wire act and the wind is beginning to pick up. “Dice-K” may not last three innings and it sure doesn’t hurt that the Marlins have a .270 BA and .759 OPS at home, both second best in the NL.

Last weekend we played the Marlins/Pirates to go over 7½ when Henderson Alvarez went up against Vance Worley. The final score was 3-2 but the two teams combined for 18 hits and stranded a combined 19 base-runners. Once again, everything bounced Alvarez’s way. Alvarez comes into this start with a 2.56 ERA after 14 games started but we’re insisting it cannot last. He has just 56 K’s in 88 innings and his 1.28 WHIP is worse than the league average. Only half of his 14 starts have been of the pure quality variety but a remarkable and extremely lucky 91% strand rate since the beginning of May has kept his ERA in check. Alvarez’s surface stats may be the most misleading in the game. His skills say a serious ERA correction is forthcoming and we’ll attempt to cash in on that ERA correction once again. In the unlikely event that Alvarez throws another lucky gem, the Marlins may go over this number on their own.


Seattle +122 over KANSAS CITY

After a major winning streak finally comes to an end you often see consecutive losses and we’ll put that to the test here. The angle is that there is a major letdown after such a hot run, as the players’ extreme focus decreases significantly and it may take a game or two to get it back. After a 6-1 road trip through Chicago and Detroit, two Central Division rivals, the Royals are certainly in danger of suffering a letdown in this opener. The enticing, cheap price on the hottest team in baseball with their most recognizable starter going suggests the oddsmakers are expecting letdown also. The Royals have won James Shields’ last eight straight starts and it’s not because Shields has been dazzling, it’s because he’s getting major run support. The Royals have scored five runs or more in seven of those eight starts and Shields has improved from a 3-3 record to an 8-3 record over that stretch. The record is misleading and so is Shields’ 3.50 ERA. Shields’ has struggled for most of the year and especially so over the past month with a 5.34 ERA in his past five starts. Overall he has an oppBA of .271 and he’s been tagged for 12 jacks already in 98 innings. Over his last six starts, Shields’ has posted an ugly 1.68 WHIP and he has a 22% hr/f with runners on base, the highest mark of any pitcher in the AL. Shields’ swing and miss rate is showing a significant decrease also, as it has gone from 11% in April, to 10% in May and is down to 8% this month. We’re seeing the signs of a fatigued pitcher, much like we saw in the second half of last season when Shields suffered some real skills erosion, notably to his groundball and strikeout rates. This year, add HR’s allowed to that skills erosion. Incidentally, the Mariners have the 5th best road BA in the AL.

Hisashi Iwakuma’s groundball arm built on last year's second half gains to finish in AL's Top Three in ERA/WHIP. His first half featured airtight control and superb command that he couldn't quite sustain. Even so, take that second half and throw in equal success vL/vR and home/road and you get one of the most reliable pitchers in the game. Iwakuma has seven pure quality outings in nine starts. He has a 2.49 ERA on the road and in his one start against the Royals last season he allowed no earned runs in 8 IP. Iwakuma also has an elite groundball rate of 56% and a rock-solid BB/K split of 6/47 in 66 innings. At 33, it’s tough to dub him an ace but we’re not paying an ace price in this one either. The Mariners are in a better situational spot than the Royals, they have a better starter going and they’re getting a tag. That works.

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Wunderdog

Boston vs. Oakland
Pick: Boston +122

The Boston Red Sox have skidded offensively over their last six games, where they have managed to plate a grand total of 11 runs, or less than 2 per contest. The good news is that scoring fewer than 2 runs per game would normally lead to an 0-6 record, but Boston is getting great pitching from the rotation and pen, and have actually been 3-3. That is likely to change tonight as they go against Brad Mills. Mills was claimed for $1 dollar from the Milwaukee Brewers, and has had absolutely no success at the big league level. Mills has made 15 appearances (10 starts), and has pitched to a 7.56 ERA. Doubront has pitched well on the road where Boston is 7-1 in his last eight road starts. The A's may have the best record in baseball, but Mills will give them a mulligan tonight. Take the road dog Red Sox.

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Bob Balfe

Kansas City Royals -130

The Royals have been crushing the baseball while the Mariners can't hit their way out of a paper bag as of late. We have two really good pitchers on the mound tonight, but when the going gets tough late in the game the Mariners do everything they can not to score runs. Take the Royals

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MLB Predictions


Pittsburgh Pirates -127

Pittsburgh walked off at home yesterday to snap a three game losing skid, but they are still winners of 5 of their last 8 games overall and they've scored 4+ runs in 7 of those 8 games. The Cubs picked up their second straight series win since losing 3 of 4 to the Pirates last week. In that series we saw this same pitching match up and the Pirates came out on top with a 6-2 victory. Charlie Morton is 4-7 on the year but has a solid 3.09 ERA, .240 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. over his last three starts he has posted a 2.37 ERA and .203 OBA, including holding the Cubs to just 1 run through 7 innings. Edwin Jackson is 4-7 with a 5.11 ERA, .279 OBA and 1.50 WHIP. In his last three starts he has posted a 6.32 ERA and .303 OBA, which includes giving up 4 earned runs over 6 innings of work in Pittsburgh. The Pirates are the hottest hitting team in baseball in June with a team OPS of .810 (compared to the Cubs at 20th with a team OPS of .689). They are also hitting a Majors best .292 through their 17 games this month. Take note that the Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 road games, 4-1 in Morton's last 5 starts, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts as a road favorite. The Cubs are just 4-9 in their last 13 Friday games, 7-20 in Jackson's last 27 starts, and 2-5 in his last 7 starts vs the Pirates. The Pirates have won 4 straight when Morton has started vs Chicago and they are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings overall with the Cubs. I like this price for a hot Pirates team this afternoon.


Los Angeles Dodgers -102

The Dodgers enter this series 40-34 on the season after winning 5 of their last 6 games overall. They enjoyed a day off after Kershaw's no-hitter on Wednesday night. The Padres won last night, their second in a row, but overall they are just 3-8 in their last 11 games and 31-42 on the season. These two teams met for a three game series at the start of the year with the Dodgers winning 2 of the 3 in San Diego. We've got two pitchers with similar numbers on the hill tonight, as Dan Haren is 7-4 with a 3.54 ERA, .274 OBA and 1.25 WHIP and Ian Kennedy is 5-8 with a 3.72 ERA, .244 OBA and 1.17 WHIP. The difference here is how each team has been hitting. The Padres have posted a brutal .162 team batting average through 17 games in June with a team .485 OPS. The next closest team OPS in June is .617 right now, and the Dodgers are at .731 (with a .260 team batting average in June). San Diego has scored 20 fewer runs then the next closest team in the Majors with just 33 runs over 17 games. The Dodgers have scored 71 runs over 17 games this month. Los Angeles is 9-2 in their last 11 meetings with the Padres, and I look for them to add to that tonight. I'll take Los Angeles as underdogs tonight.


Cincinnati Reds -145

As big of a tear the Blue Jays went on in May and the first week of June, they've done quite the opposite as of late losing 9 of their last 12 games overall. They are ranking just 23rd in team OPS in June despite a good start to the month. They have scored more than 4 runs just twice over their last 12 games. On the other hand we've got the Reds who have won 6 of their last 8 games overall and have scored 5+ runs in 5 of those 8 games. Cincinnati will have Mat Latos making his second start of the season. Latos looked like himself in his first outing of the year going 6 innings allowing just 2 hits and no runs with 4 strikeouts and no walks. The Blue Jays have called up Liam Hendriks for a spot start tonight and he is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA over his two starts. Although his numbers are good over his first two starts he was lucky to get away with a lot of very hard hit balls to the wall at the Rogers Centre in his latest start, which he was sent back to the Minors afterwards. Even if Hendriks can put up a quality start I don't like Toronto's chances with the way their bats are struggling right now facing one of the best pitchers in the game (in my opinion). The Reds are 40-19 in Latos' last 59 starts and 24-6 in his last 30 home starts. Lay a bit of chalk taking the Reds.


Orioles / Yankees Over 8.5

The Yankees' offense is starting to take shape finally thanks to getting healthier. Other than Tanaka, though, the pitching stuff is leaving a lot to be desired. Hiroki Kuroda figured to be a fixture in the starting rotation, but has unfortunately had a down season for his standards. Jimenez has been a flat out wreck. So, this matchup features a couple of pitchers that were expecting to have much better campaigns. Kuroda comes into tonight with a 4.32 ERA and has really failed to find much consistency thus far in 2014. Pitching in the hitter friendly Yankee Stadium can always be a challenge, and I'd say he is finding some problems this season. Kuroda carries a home ERA of 4.93 with a 1.24 WHIP. The problem stems from the 8 homers he has allowed at home. Again, Yankee Stadium is very nice to deep ball hitters and that stat showcases it. If Kuroda has failed to find consistency, Jimenez has just been pitching drunk lately. In his last three starts his ERA was at 5.79. Additionally, he's been putting runners on at a whopping rate of .383 and 1.64 WHIP. Jimenez has struggled keeping the ball down at home as well, allowing 6 home runs. I mention home because Camden Yards likes to collect deep balls as well. Jimenez has struggled with control all season long as his WHIP of 1.51 indicates and .354 OBP. He's been better on the road, a 3.43 ERA compared to 6.38 at home. But take into consideration Jimenez lasted just 4 innings his last trip to New York on May 7th, giving up 4 runs and 8 hits. The Yanks' offensively are better than they were back then. The Yankees pasted two quality pitchers against the Jays, Buehrle and Hutchison for 13 runs, so it should be more of the same against Jimenez. I'll be on the OVER 8.5.

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

MIAMI -144 over NY Mets: The Mets won last night but still scored just 1 run in the game and that won't win many games for them, especially vs Miami at home, when the Marlins have averaged 4.88 rpg on the year. The Met offense has really struggle of late, scoring just 2.4 rpg in their last 11 games and they don't figure to get much more here vs Henderson Alvarez, who has a 1.672 ERA at home and a 1.27 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. Dice-K has been good for the Mets, but still he does have a 3.97 ERA in his last 3 starts and in his lone road start this year he allowed 4 ERs in 4.1 innings of work to the Cubs. I say he gets hit around again tonight, while the Alvarez keeps this Mets offense shutdown once again.

Milwaukee/Colorado Over 10.5 (-115): Putting a homerun pitcher at Coors Field vs an Angry Rockies team that just got no-hit should result in plenty of runs for the Rockies. The Rockies did struggle to score in their 3 games in LA, but now are back at home, where they have averaged 6.35 rpg on the year. This offense will take on Marco Estrada, who has really struggled of late with a 7.94 ERA in his last 3 starts, while he also has a 4.94 ERA on the road for the year. Christian Bergman has a 3.75 ERA in his two starts this year, so not much to go on there, but we do have a solid Milwaukee offense that has averaged 4.59 rpg on the road this year and 5.4 rpg in their last 5 games overall.. The last 6 meetings between these teams here have all gone over the total, with all 6 games posting at least 11 runs, while we also note that the Over is 10-1 the last 11 meetings overall. This game should put at least 13 runs on the board.

2 UNIT PLAY

NY YANKEES -142 over Baltimore: When all is said and done at the end of the year I believe the Yanks will win the AL East and they are starting to play like the best team in the division. The Yanks have now won 7 of their last 9 games to climb to within a game and a half behind the Blue Jays. The Yanks are now 45-22 in their last 67 games as a favorite, while the Orioles come in just 18-37 in their last 55 games in this park. Ubaldo is a much better pitcher pitcher at night, than in day games, but still he has struggled with the Yanks, going 1-4 with a 6.67 ERA in 6 career starts vs them. Kuroda is just 3-3 in 7 career starts vs the O's, but with a fine 3.15 ERA in those games. Game 1 of this series should go the way of the Yanks.

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Primetime Insiders

Miami -142

Our system loves the Marlins tonight at home. They are coming to this game after being shutout by Wheeler last night. Matsuzaka takes the mound for the Mets tonight and our system grades him as one of the most overrated starting pitchers in baseball. He owns an ERA that is a lot lower than it should be... On the other side we have Alverez who is slightly underrated. The Mets bats have really struggled and tonight should be no different as Alverez throws a fastball on 61% of occurrences and the Mets sit in the bottom 5. Alverez also throws a slider on 15% of occasions which the Mets hit the worst in baseball. I honestly don't see this game being close as the Mets won't be able to keep up with the Marlins. I will be making a play on the money line as well! Final Score 5-2


Atlanta / Washington Under 7

We have Minor vs Stratsburg tonight in Washington and a great spot for the under play! Both pitchers per our system are gravely underrated. When we have a top notch pitcher against one of the poorer hitting teams in baseball leads to a huge play. Minor should have some success against the Nats as they are just an average fasetball hitting team and are quite poor against both the slider, curveball, and change up which Minor throws 15%, 13%, and 10%, respectively. We see a final score of 3-2 which would result in an easy under play.


Seattle / Kansas City Under 7.5

Similar to the Braves and Nationals game we have two top tier pitchers against two teams who really don't hit the ball all that well. Both Iwakuma and Shields are slightly undervalued which should lead to an easy under game in this one. Iwakuma throws a lot of sliders and split fingers which the Royals really struggle against. Shields has struggled at home being a Royal but should have no problem against the poor hitting Mariners. We have a final score pegged at 3-2 as well.

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River City Sharps

Detroit Tigers +140

The Tigers have struggled as of late but put their best pitcher so far this season out tonight against the Indians. Porcello is 8-4 with an ERA just over 4.00. He opposes Kluber who has also pitched well and is 6-4 with a 3.35 ERA, but his last two starts he has not made it through the 6th inning. The Tigers are in an unfamiliar position, second place and look to right the ship coming off a win against Kansas City last night. We will gladly take Detroit at this number as we look for another good effort here.

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Larry Ness

Philadelphia Phillies at St Louis Cardinals
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals

The Phillies were seven games out of first place in the NL East on June 8 and ranked 25th in the majors with 3.9 runs per game. However, they?ve won EIGHT of 10 since (including a season-best four in a row), while averaging 4.8 RPG to move four back of the NL East-leading Washington Nationals. The Phillies had a modest output in Thursday's 4-1 victory at St Louis but Philadelphia had just scored 21 runs in its three-game sweep of Atlanta earlier in the week. Ryan Howard has nine RBI in his last four games, after hitting his 14th homer and driving in three runs Thursday. The St Louis native is also a .374 career hitter with 38 RBI in 27 games at Busch Stadium "It's always good to be able to come back home and play in front of family and friends," Howard said.

The Phillies will hand the ball to A.J. Burnett, who is hoping he just may have turned a corner in his last two starts overall, allowing five runs in 15.1 innings after going 1-4 with a 7.25 ERA in his previous six starts. He took the loss this past Sunday, although he allowed just three runs over eight innings in a 3-0 defeat against the Cubs. Burnett, whose 4.1 walks per nine innings marks his second-highest rate since 2004 but didn't walk a batter for just the second time in 15 starts this season. He?s 4-6 with a 4.17 ERA in his 15 starts this year (Phillies are 8-7) but Busch Stadium has NOT been kind to him over the years, as Burnett is 1-2 with a 13.50 ERA in four career starts there, all since 2012 (no ?old news? in that LT record!).

The Cards had won EIGHT of nine (including FIVE in a row), before dropping their last two games. However,they figure to have a good chance to get back on track with Jaime Garcia (3-0, 3.72 ERA) on the mound. Garcia has won back-to-back starts while allowing just one run over 14 innings. Garcia has allowed eight ERs over nine innings while losing his last two matchups with the Phillies but he had dominated them in four previous starts, posting a 0.96 ERA. Knowing that the Phillies have averaged just 2.9 RPG vs left-handed starters in 17 tries here in 2014 (7-10), my belief is that Garcia should do just fine. Let me add that in nine night games in 2014 vs lefties, the Phillies are 2-7, while averaging a WOEFUL 2.0 RPG.

Garcia moves to 4-0 in 2014 with a win here.

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Teddy Covers

San Francisco vs. Arizona
Pick: Over

My clients and I have cashed repeatedly betting Tim Lincecum Over the total in his starts this year, and tonight’s matchup against the Diamondbacks provides another rock solid opportunity to cash in riding this under-the-radar trend.

Tim Lincecum continues to struggle with his command, resulting in high pitch counts for relatively short stints. Lincecum has been feasting on weak lineups, facing the Mets, Reds, Cubs, Twins, Braves, Indians and Padres in recent starts, nary a one of them an above average offensive ballclub. And even against those second tier lineups, he's been mediocre at best; continuing his struggles from recent seasons.

In three starts here in June, Lincecum has a 7.16 ERA in a trio of games that flew Over the total.  In two previous starts against Arizona this year, he’s allowed eleven earned runs in just ten innings of work.  That comes on the heels of a 1-6 record and a 5.16 ERA in nine starts against Arizona over the previous three seasons.

Josh Collmenter is no more trustworthy than Lincecum and the Giants lineup continues to put up crooked numbers on the scoreboard, banging out 29 runs in their last six games as part of an under-the-radar 10-1 run to the Over. Collmenter has allowed 14 runs on 24 hits in his last three trips to the hill, a fringe starter on a last place team.  Expect fireworks!

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Michael Alexander

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cincinnati Reds    
Play: Cincinnati Reds -144

After a great May the Blue Jays have been horrible the first week of June losing 9 of their last 12 games overall. They also rank just 23rd in team OPS in June. They have scored more than 4 runs just twice over their last 12 games. The Reds come into this one having won 6 of their last 8 games overall and have scored 5+ runs in 5 of those 8 games. Cincinnati will have Mat Latos making his second start of the season. Latos did well in his first outing of the year going 6 innings allowing just 2 hits and no runs with 4 strikeouts and no walks.

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Dave Essler

Seattle +125

Don't panic on me. The Royals finally lost yesterday and are in a first-game-back situation, which is one we like to fade. Especially now that the Royals proved to themselves that they're not invincible. Many of the Mariner regulars, especially Cano, have hammered James Shields, in in more limited at bats Saunders, Seager, and Morrison. Conversely, Iwakuma hasn't let anyone hit him, including anyone on the Royals roster. IMO this line NOT really moving tells me that Seattle isn't the dumbest play (especially at this price) and if you think about it, even had the Royals NOT reeled off all those wins, with Shields on the mound they'd probably be -115/-120 or so anyways. Just a huge over reaction, and when Shields is bad he's really bad. Although they've underperformed lately, as a whole I like the Mariners pen better, too. So, at this price it's a play for me.

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Harry Bondi

TEXAS (+185) over LA Angels

Texas has dominated the Angels of late winning 17 of their last 22 games. They also catch LA in a bit of a funk as the Angels have dropped 5 of their last seven games. Rangers just match up well against the halos and as a almost 2-1 underdog defiantly worth a shot tonight.

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