Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Anthony Michael

Miami Heat -5.5

You know how good the Heat have been when playing after a loss and they will be extra good since that loss was a complete drubbing on their home court. There is no way the Spurs can shoot like they did in the first half last game so look for a very motivated Heat team to get this win and cover here.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Andre Gomes

Odds to win group E

France to win Group E -1.34

France -134 | 1.75
Switzerland +266 | 3.66
Ecuador +377 | 4.77
Honduras +2000 | 21.0

I understand that France has been a major disappointment in the last few years, and their performance in South Africa 4 years ago was laughable w/ some bizarre off-the- field stuff, just read this two articles: (World Cup 2010: France revolt leaves Raymond Domenech high and dry | Football | The Guardian & Raymond Domenech criticises France's 2010 World Cup 'imbeciles' | Football | theguardian.com)

However, this is a new team and more importantly, they have a good coach in Didier Deschamps that simply doesn’t allow any sign of indiscipline. In a controversial decision, Deschamps left out Manchester City’s star Samir Nasri because he believes team spirit is key to winning. In the playoffs, France was almost humiliated @Ukraine by losing 0-2, but they bounced back in France and won 3-0 and secured the qualification. Nasri started in the first game and had a terrible performance, while he didn’t play in the second game at home, so the correlation is pretty clear for me.

I was about to send this play earlier and being a Triple Dime Play, but the injury and absence of Franck Ribery was indeed a major blow for them. Nevertheless, I still think that we have some value in them to win the group as my fair line in here is France having 60% of chances to be #1 in the group @ -150 odds.

I really love France’s midfield trio on the center of the field w/ Matuidi, Pogba and Cabaye. These three players can defend and attack with great quality, and they impose a great tempo to the game – something pivotal in today’s preferred style of play. Ribery is gone, but it looks like Benzema “connects” pretty well with Olivier Giroud on the front as both players are great passers despite being strikers.

Regarding their opponents…

Switzerland is a well organized team that will be tough to score against them but they don’t have a plan “B” if things don’t go well for them. Besides Shaqiri, they don’t have the proper talent on the front to create chances to score in “open plays”. I wouldn’t be surprised if they can get a quality outcome vs. France, but I expect them to struggle against Honduras and Ecuador as they will have the “onus” to be the favorite team and is “forced” to win the game– something that doesn’t fit well in their overall mindset and game plan.

Honduras is by far the weakest team in the group, and probably of the whole tournament…

Ecuador is the “wild card” of the group. They have qualified in 3 of the 4 last WC’s, so they have some experience in this superior level. They are a great “home team” that benefits from the fact that they play in altitude to crush their opponents. The good news for them is that the first game of the group against the Swiss’s will be played @Brasilia - Altitude: 1,172m (3,845ft), so they might have some physical edge in that first game. Ecuador plays an exciting style of football using their wingers quite often (their best player Valencia plays in Man Utd), but in my opinion they are vulnerable on the back. In 2014 (all friendly games), they have allowed 3, 1, 3 and 2 goals!

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Andre Gomes

Germany             -150 | 1.67
Portugal              +245 | 3.45
Ghana                  +970 | 10.70
USA                      +1350 | 14.5

This is considered to be one of the “groups of death” of the tournament alongside with Groups B & D.

Germany is the clear favorite and one of the best teams in the tournament. It would be a major surprise for me if they failed not only to advance to the next round, but also to make a serious challenge to the title.

They have a stable structure under NT’s coach Joachim Loew and their amazing depth is probably their biggest strength. We are dealing with one of the most fun teams to watch in the world that plays with a tremendous pace and verticality in a completely offensive minded system.

This team is loaded with several Bayern Munchen players who are coming from a dominating domestic season, but crashed out of Champions League play in a dismal semifinal performance against Real Madrid. While that loss was a major disappointment for them as after all, they were the clear favorites to win (repeat) the Champions League in this season, note that we are dealing with relatively “fresh” & rested players and ultimately, this could be a major factor for the tournament! For example, while both Cristiano Ronaldo & Lionel Messi logged more than 2500 minutes in the Spanish domestic league in this season, Gotze, Schweinsteiger, Kroos and/or Muller didn’t even reach the 2200-minutes mark in the Bundesliga.

Still there are some potential problems for them: Sami Khedira is a key player on their midfield and despite being fit, he was sidelined five-months with a knee injury. His performance @ final of Champions League didn’t impress me at all!; Despite all their superior depth, especially with offensive minded midfielders, this team doesn’t have the proper depth @ striker position! Most likely, Germany will start with Miroslav Klose on the front, who will turn 36-years old next week – not a good sign for them!

My home country Portugal is dealing with the potential terrible news that Cristiano Ronaldo could be severely banged up. There is a lot of counter information regarding this health, so we should proceed with caution. Nevertheless, his last games for Real Madrid were painful to watch because CR7 was far from being 100% fit.

Portugal doesn’t have much depth on the roster. Actually, this is a team with “only” 5 world class players and a bunch of “decent” players (CR7, Pepe, Coentrao, Moutinho and Nani), so they need badly those 5 players to step up big time, and this could be a problem: CR7 is banged up; Pepe missed the CL’s final due to an injury, Moutinho disappointed @ Monaco in his first season and Nani wasn’t an option in his club (Man Utd).

The good news is that Portugal is one of the better organized and tactically sounded teams in the world. They know exactly what to do on the field, and their work-rate is pretty impressive for a European team. Basically, they put 10 hard workers players + CR7 on the field, and they are deadly in the counter attack! Just have a look of Portugal’ goals against Sweden in the playoffs to have an idea (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ot7YbwrV4ww).

This ability of Portugal to produce goals in quick transition moves could be lethal against USA and Ghana, because these two teams’ loves to play wide open and will be exposed in the back.

USA has shown some major defensive problems that could be dramatic at this level. The overall inexperience of their defensive back line has been quite evident in these latest friendly games against “better teams”. Bradley and Jones are a decent duo on the midfield but don’t have the proper creativity to make the difference; Altidore works hard and his off the movements are pretty sharp but his lack of scoring ability is just too damaging!

Ghana is way more dangerous in my opinion than USA. They are a relatively young team but with some vastly experience at his major level. Note that the majority of these players have won the U20 World Cup in 2009 in Egypt.

They have a (natural) physical advantage over their opponents that could be important and they play in a high tempo. Their midfield unit is pretty impressive with Sulley Muntari,Kwadwo Asamoah, Kevin-Prince Boateng and Michael Essien, so they will create plenty of chances to score.

The biggest problem for them in on the defensive side… their Goalkeeper is inexperienced at this level and the positioning of their defensive back unit isn’t consistent. Unlike Portugal for example, this team has some problems to be in-game consistent and is prone to commit individual errors.

With a healthy Cristiano Ronaldo, both Germany and Portugal would be “locks” to advance to the next round… Ghana is the clear outsider of this group while USA looks to me as the worst team of the group by some margin. To make any kind of future play without knowing the "real" status of Cristiano Ronaldo is worthless in my opinion.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Wunderdog

Tigers vs. White Sox
Pick: Under 7

This should be an interesting game as the upstart Chicago White Sox, a team that lost 99 games a year ago, trail the Tigers by just 2.5 games in the AL Central. Chris Sale has become one of the top pitchers in MLB, and has yet to lose at 5-0 with an ERA of 2.06. The White Sox will have to face Max Scherzer, who is 7-2 with a 3.38 ERA, and both pitchers have the stuff to dominate any lineup, so runs should be hard to come by. Scherzer owns a 2.57 ERA vs. the Sox, and Sale posts a 3.00 ERA vs. the Tigers, and both are capable of going deep into the game. The Tigers' offense has produced 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. Scherzer is 11-3-1 to the UNDER in his last 15 road starts, and Chicago is now 11-3 to the UNDER in their last 14 to a total of 7 to 8.5. This one finishes UNDER.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Wunderdog

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat
Pick: Under 97.5 1st Half

San Antonio was scorching hot in game three, as they cruised to an easy win. Things are likely to be quite different tonight. The Heat have an in-depth understanding of what wins playoffs games, and that is defense. No team over the last 14 Heat playoffs losses have topped the 100-point mark against them, and there is a huge difference when they are off a loss vs. off a win in this time period. The Heat allow 46.4% shooting after a win, but just 43.5% after a loss, so the focus coming out of the gate will be on the defensive end, which has been their playoffs protocol after a loss. The Spurs are a savvy veteran team with a very good coach, and they know that they are going to have to come out and match the defensive intensity of the Heat early. This game should be played strong on the defensive end early - before a free-throw contest turns a low-scoring game into a higher scoring game late. Respect the early defense and play the first half UNDER the total.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

SPORTS WAGERS

San Antonio +5½ over MIAMI

The Miami Heat have shown an uncanny ability to be bounce back after every loss. In fact, Miami is on a remarkable run of 11 straight playoff wins after losing the previous game and perhaps that’s one of the reasons they are favored by so much here. After watching the first three games of these Finals, one has to question how the Heat can be a bigger favorite at home in this game than the Spurs were on their home floor in the first two games. One could argue that had the Spurs not missed four consecutive free throws with a 2-point lead in Game 2, they would be up 3-0 in this series. Miami has been in chase mode the entire series and it would be futile in trying to pin their overall failure on one or two categories of defensive lapses. The Heat have faltered on the perimeter and in the paint. Sometimes they allow San Antonio players to blow past them, sometimes they leave too much space and cannot close quickly enough to contest outside shots. It would be easier to highlight what has gone right for Miami than come up with a comprehensive list of what’s going wrong.

The difficulty for Miami in deciphering San Antonio’s offense is not only concerning, but it’s alarming too. The Spurs also rolled up 110 points on Miami to win Game 1 and they’re not about to slow the pace down here. LeBron James cannot defeat this Spurs team single handily but that’s what he’s being asked to do. Ray Allen is not a stopper and has primarily turned into an outside shooter. In the first three games, Dwayne Wade has four steals, no blocked shots and has had trouble staying with people on the perimeter throughout. Chris Bosh took four shots in Game 3. Meanwhile, San Antonio’s list of outstanding performances runs deep and now this explosive offense that is playing at a level much higher than Miami’s is receiving significant points in a game that can essentially put the Heat to rest. That’s worth playing.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

DAVE COKIN

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS AT HOUSTON ASTROS
PLAY: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -109

It’s no longer easy to make a case against the Houston Astros. The former punching bag franchise has seen its fortunes turn around this season with the arrival of some major prospects and it looks like the lean time are about to become a bad memory for Astros faithful. But there are still some holes here and there, and one of the team’s struggling starting pitchers looks worth a bet against tonight.

Scott Feldman is getting hit very hard lately. The numbers over his last five starts are alarmingly bad. Feldman is giving up hits at a crazy rate, and while some of his stats are skewed by awful defense that has victimized him, there’s basically nothing positive at all to glean from any of these recent outings. The Diamondbacks are very average offensively against righties, and it’s not like this team is crushing the ball, but I think you have to like their chance of getting some production against Feldman tonight.

Wade Miley will throw for the Snakes, and that short left field porch is definitely a concern as Miley can get homer prone at times. The Astros have also posted some impressive digits against southpaws, particularly at home. So it’s not like I’m thrilled with Miley. But I do put the starting pitching check mark next to him as opposed to Feldman and the Arizona pen owns a bit of an edge as well.

The overall breakdown here says the number is just about on the button. So this is primarily a one-factor play for me and that’s simply riding the anti-Feldman bandwagon until such time as he again proves he can retire big league hitters on a reasonably regular basis. That just isn’t the case currently, so my choice here is the Diamondbacks to salvage a split of this four-game home and home set.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Bruce Marshall

Chicago at Pittsburgh
Pick: Under

Games featuring the Cubs and starter Jeff Samardzija are often lower-scoring affairs. As the numbers indicate...especially at Pittsburgh, where Samardzija is 3-1 with a 0.69 ERA in five career starts at PNC Park. Samardzija has a 3.09 ERA in his last five starts against the Pirates overall while receiving a combined two runs of support. He scattered five hits over seven scoreless innings in a 1-0, 10-inning defeat at Pittsburgh on opening day. Meanwhile, Bucs starter Edinson Volquez had gone 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA over a three-start stretch before allowing four runs and four hits over six innings in Saturday's loss to Milwaukee. The right-hander pitched well aside from yielding three runs in the fourth.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Jeff Alexander

Boston Red Sox -147

The Indians have lost 7 of 10 on the road, 15 of 20 as a road dog and 11 of 13 on the road versus southpaw starters.  They've especially had trouble with the southpaw they are set to see this evening.  Lester is 6-1 (10-3 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.43 in 13 starts versus the Tribe.  The Sox are 4-0 in his last four starts against them and 4-1 lifetime in his home starts against them.  Boston has won 5 straight at Fenway and 15 of Lester's last 22 at Fenway.  The Red Sox are also 20-8 in their last 28 home matchups with the Indians.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Dave Price

Toronto Blue Jays +103

The Blue Jays are showing value at this price given the edge they have on the mound with Buehrle. The veteran southpaw is 10-2 with a 2.04 ERA in 13 starts and an unbeaten 5-0 with a 1.46 ERA in six road starts.  In addition, the Blue Jays are 11-1 in their last 12 road games, 9-0 in their last nine games as a road underdog and 7-0 in their last seven versus division opponents.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Jack Jones

Detroit Tigers +106

After losing the first two games of this series to the Chicago White Sox, I look for the Detroit Tigers to come out highly motivated tonight to avoid the sweep.  We are getting them at a great price as an underdog here, and you'll rarely get an opportunity to back tonight's starting pitcher as a dog all season.

2013 AL Cy Young winner Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Tigers.  He went 21-3 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 2013.  While he hasn't been as dominant in 2014, he is still 7-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.242 WHIP.  He has 98 strikeouts in 85 1/3 innings as well.

Scherzer has simply owned the White Sox throughout his career.  Indeed, the right-hander has gone 10-5 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.035 WHIP in 20 career starts against Chicago.  Scherzer has won each of his last three starts against the Sox while giving up just five earned runs over 18 innings.

Scherzer is 24-5 (+14.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last two seasons.  Chicago is 13-31 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after two or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons.  Detroit is 45-17 in Scherzer's last 62 starts overall.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Dennis Macklin

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies    
Play: Atlanta Braves -106

The Rockies are riddled with injuries and it shows as Colorado has lost 11 of 12. The Braves are just treading water at 3-4 L7 but are impossible to pass here at basically a pick. Ervin Santana is not much but battles. He's 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA in his last couple of starts and would have won Saturday at Arizona except for an uncharacteristic meltdown by Kimbrel. The Rocks counter with Jhoulys Chacin who is 0-4 with a 5.35 ERA in his seven 2014 starts. He's allowed 11 earned and 26 baserunners in his L16 innings of work so the damage could/should have been much worse. This guy might just be the cure (0-2 with 6.23 LT ERA vs Atlanta) for what ails the anemic Bravo offense.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Sam Martin

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays starter Mark Buehrle can't buy any respect from the linesmakers, and despite having a 10-2 record and 2.04 ERA on the season he'll take the mound as the underdog here in Baltimore. We'll grab that excellent line value noting Buehrle is even better on the road with a 5-0 record (6-0 TSR) and 1.46 ERA, along with a WHIP under 1.000.

O's starter Kevin Gausman has only made two starts this year - doing well his last time out against Oakland but getting shelled against Detroit allowing five runs in just four innings of work. He also did poor in his lone career meeting against the Jays (last year) allowing four runs in five innings taking the loss in a 12-6 decision.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Primetime Insiders

Dodgers -124

We have Greinke taking the mound against Simon in a day game at Great American Ball Park. This is an excellent spot for the Dodgers and Greinke as he is coming allowing 11 hits against the Rockies. Where is Simon is coming off a dominate performance against the Phillies. Greinke is all about his slider which he throws one every five pitches and it is by far his most dominating pitch. If he turns to that pitch today it is going to give the Reds fits as they are the worst slider hitting team in baseball. Greinke should also find some success against the Reds with his fastball, curveball, and change up as the Reds don't hit those pitches well either. Simon on the other hand is up for a huge regression and our system points to this game as the game he gets lit up and comes back down to earth!

Diamondbacks -107

Miley vs Feldman in Houston tonight. Miley according to our system has been very unlucky and is due for a good night and this should occur against the Astros. The Astros have been hitting a lot better but they like the Reds are a terrible slider hitting team and Miley has an above average slider that he throws a quarter of the time. Miley should turn to the pitch often tonight which should calm the Astros bats. Feldman has been terrible his last two starts and according to our system he is due for another bad night and should regress even further! He is one of the few pitchers in baseball who throws very few fastballs and is dependent on the cutter and curveball. The good thing for the Diamondbacks is they obliterate those two pitches and should be able to find a lot of success and get to at least 5 runs tonight in Houston.

Brewers - 112

Lohse is looking to come back after a terrible outing where he allowed 8 runs and it should happen tonight against the poor hitting Mets. Lohse is all about his slider which is one of the best in the game and fortunate for him and the Brewers the Mets are terrible at hitting sliders. They are also a poor fastball and curveball team as well which are Lohse's two other go to pitches. Niese continues to deliver on the mound but is due for a lot regression per our system. He should have a lot of difficulty tonight in New York against the Brewers. The fastball is the pitch Niese turns to the most and the Brewers are average to above average against that pitch and destroy the curveball which Niese throws 16% of the time.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Bob Balfe

Chicago Cubs +110

Jeff Samardzija has for the most part pitched very well this season without any run support. If you stack him up against Volquez he is better across the board. The Cubs have been playing a little better as of late and although they have light years of work to get done it still is encouraging to see them compete. If they could get a few big bats they might have a shot with a decent bullpen. Neither team is great at plating runs so we will go with the better pitcher tonight. Take the Cubs.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Nelly

Spurs at Heat
Play: Heat -5

The Spurs are up 2-1 in this series but that has been with two 59 percent shooting games. Despite the incredible start for San Antonio in Game 3 Miami battled back to make it a game but 20 turnovers were too much to overcome. Miami has not lost consecutive games in the playoffs this season and they did not lose consecutive games in the playoffs last season, now 11-0 S/U and 10-1 ATS off a S/U loss in the playoffs the last two seasons. Miami has outplayed the Spurs for the majority of this series with the exception of just a few quarters and despite allowing 111 points on Tuesday Miami has been dominant defensively at home in the playoffs, having allowed just 90 points per game until the outlier Game 3. The Spurs have been a losing ATS team on the road against winning teams this season and San Antonio could be more affected by playing a third game in five days compared with the longer breaks they have had in much of the postseason. Five points sounds like a lot but nine of the last 11 meetings between these teams have been decided by at least seven points as there have not been many close final scores as most close games will feature the winning team pulling away late with free throws in a playoff setting. This is not a situation the Heat have often lost in and the Spurs will have a very tough time getting as many shots to fall as they did in Game 3.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Rocketman

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles    
Play: Toronto Blue Jays +103

The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Baltimore to take on the Orioles on Thursday night.  Toronto is 39-28 overall this year while Baltimore comes in with a 33-31 overall record on the season.  Toronto is 10-3 this year against a team with a winning record.  Toronto is a nice 19-11 on the road this year.  Mark Buehrle has been lights out this year with a 10-2 record and 2.04 ERA overall this year, 5-0 with a 1.46 ERA on the road this season and 2-1 with a 1.66 ERA his last 3 starts.  Kevin Gausman is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA overall this year.  Buehrle has a 3.45 ERA overall in his 20 starts against Baltimore in his career.  Gausman is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in his one start vs Toronto in his career.  We'll recommend a small play on Toronto tonight! 


Rocky Atkinson's Featured Package

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Ray Monohan

San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat    
Play: San Antonio Spurs +5½

The Spurs really put on a show in the first half on Tuesday night. Despite all that scoring the oddsmakers are making the Heat at roughly the same number as they did in G3. A rebound is to be somewhat expected but I think this line is a little too generous and more about the market than the game.  When the Spurs are on they dominate and even when they are off they can keep it close. I think they are going to take control of the series in this one.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Ian Cameron

Atlanta at Colorado
Play: Over 10

High scoring potential as the Atlanta Braves and Colorado Rockies have combined for a whopping 33 runs scored in the last two games. Ervin Santana has been inconsistent of late. He is coming off a great outing against Arizona but prior to that he was on a string of allowing 20 runs over four consecutive starts. The most concerning thing for him today is his track record against Colorado here at Coors Field. Even though it is a small sample size Santana (w/ LA) coughed up 7 runs on 9 hits in 5.2 innings including a pair of homers. Colorado has roughed up Mike Minor and Julio Teheran on back-to-back nights and I think they will score their share of runs today against Santana. Jhoulys Chacin has had more bad starts than good this season. His track record at Coors Field has been spotty with a 5.40 ERA in three home starts including an anemic 10 walks to 12 strikeouts ratio. His track record against the Braves is equally poor – a 6.23 ERA in three starts. Five of the six starters in the first three games of this series have failed to work past the 6th inning which should leave plenty of chances for late runs against a pair of taxed bullpens. Also note that Santana and Chacin have both struggled to pitch during the day this season. Santana has a 7.36 ERA in a pair of daytime starts while Chacin has a 6.00 ERA in five outings.

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, June 12

Andre Gomes

Croatia +1.5 -110

In this first game of the tournament, I believe that the host Brazil is a bit overvalued as we should be dealing w/ AH line of -1 or -1.25 goals and not this current -1.5 spread line. Note that I think Brazil is the cut clear favorite to win it all, as their amazing depth will be a key factor for them later, let alone the fact that they are playing at home. However, Croatia will be a tough matchup for them…

Under NT’s coach Scolari, Brazil is playing w/ a double pivot on the center of the midfield – it looks like Paulinho and Luiz Gustavo will start in here, while Oscar will play @ traditional playmaker position in from of them. Oscar is clearly out of form as he is coming from a subpar second half of season for Chelsea, and both Paulinho and Gustavo don’t have the proper technical ability to create open-plays for the team. I’ve watched their “friendly” game against Serbia, and the Brazilians had some tremendous problems to create chances to score a goal! Eventually they won the game w/ a goal from Fred...

I’ve decided to talk a bit of Brazil’s center midfield potential problems, because I really think that Croatia’s midfield unit can outplay them today or at least, create some serious problems. Luka Modric, Ivan Rakitic and Mateo Kovacic are all coming from tremendous individual seasons serving their clubs, and all of them have a superior technical ability.

Obviously, we can expect Brazil to make an incredible pressure from the start, but the superior ability of the Croatians to retain the ball will make the difference in here in my opinion as those 3 players are really great in passing the ball between them. Croatia’s best striker Mandzukic is suspended and will miss the game and most likely, Ivica Olic will play on the front – that bodes well for Croatia as they’ll try to score in quick counter moves, and Olic is more mobile when compared to Mandzukic.

I’m not saying that Croatia will win the game because Brazil has some supreme individual talent that can solve the game in any instant, but I expect them to have some problems in here due to Croatia’s style of play, therefore, I’m playing Croatia AH (+1.5) as my Single Dime Play!

Blade
useravatar
Online
207974 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44327
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275373
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.1
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3458
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2297

Online: 
Blade

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com