MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 15
MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 15
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland coming off a 15-4 thrashing of Toronto last night raises a flashing red light. Although 'Over' has been the correct betting option of late with Tribe (4-0-2 O/U), Jays (3-0-1 O/U) staying the course may not be a good option when the two clubs complete their three-game set. MLB teams off a 10 or more run victory usually see scoring dry up next time out as they plate just 3.86 runs/game resulting in a 17-31-5 O/U mark. Tribe 5-7-1 'Under' vs a left-handed starter crossing 3.31 runs/game, hurler Happ 11-1 'Under' in home starts with Jays the choice here is 'Under'.
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels and Tampa Bay Rays open in a four-game set Thursday at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Halos have not reaped the benefits of home cooking this campaign compiling a record of 8-10 plating 4.83 runs/game with it's pitching staff surrendering 5.56 per/contest. Mike Scioscia has Tyler Skaggs (3-1, 4.14 ERA) toeing the rubber in the opener. The Angels have flourished when Skaggs has been a home favorite posting a perfect 3-0 record and have thrived overall with the southpaw notching a 6-1 record in his seven starts. Taking a closer look at the situation, Skaggs has looked a little off the mark the past three giving up 12 runs over 17 2/3 innings and has given up 4 jacks, 17 runs over 22 2/3 innings of work at home. Meanwhile, southpaw Erik Bedard takes the ball for Tampa and brings a 2-1 record, 3.38 ERA to the mound over 5 starts. (3-2 TSR, +$67). Rays in a bit of a funk winning four of their last eleven games but who was the Tampa starting pitcher in two of those games? Erik Bedard, allowing a lowly 1 run over 12.0 innings. Skaggs suspect, Bedard in great form were sticking with underdog Tampa as they're 15-5 last 20 meetings, 8-2 last ten trips into Anaheim and Bedard sports a smart 14-6 TSR in May with his teams 8-2 on the road.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 15
Thursday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
Bettors who put their faith in the road team were rewarded handsomely Wednesday, with a whopping 10 of 13 teams winning away from home. The only home teams to prevail: Kansas City (-132), Houston (+105) and San Francisco (-131).
Los Angeles Angels hurler Tyler Skaggs looks to add to his already impressive money total as he faces off against the visiting Tampa Bay Rays (+138, 8.5). Skaggs ranks seventh in the majors in money won ($509) thanks in large part to a 6-1 moneyline record.
Who Are You?
The Yankees and Mets will conclude their latest Subway Series with a showdown between two pitchers making their major-league debuts. Chase Whitley takes the mound for the Yankees, while the Mets counter with fellow right-hander Jacob deGrom.
* The Boston Red Sox are a sizzling 11-0 against the moneyline in righty Clay Buchholz's previous 11 regular-season starts as a road favorite. Buchholz and the Red Sox are installed as -124 faves Thursday in Minnesota; Buchholz is 24-5 in his last 29 starts against the AL Central.
* Only once has either team scored more than four runs in any of San Diego Padres right-hander Ian Kennedy's eight starts this season. Kennedy, who is 2-6 O/U in those outings, leads the Padres (+110, 7.5) against Johnny Cueto and the host Cincinnati Reds.
* Cleveland Indians outfielder David Murphy had a career-best five hits in Wednesday's 15-4 win over Toronto. The Indians, who improved to 6-0 O/U on the season when Murphy records more than one hit, resume their series with the Blue Jays (-106, 9.5) on Thursday.
* Los Angeles outfielder Mike Trout is mired in an 8-for-52 slump; the Angels haven't missed a beat - going 9-5 against the moneyline - but are just 5-8-1 O/U during that stretch. Trout will look to bounce back Thursday when the Angels (-138, 8.5) host Tampa Bay.
Miami Marlins (6-0 O/U): After five straight woeful pitching efforts help the Marlins reluctantly build a nice Over streak, the offense took over Wednesday - racking up 17 hits, including a trio of homers, in a 13-3 shellacking of the Dodgers.
Prop of the Day
Taking the Pirates to sleepwalk their way though Thursday's matinee in Milwaukee may be the best bet on the ledger. Pittsburgh is a -120 bet to record fewer than 7.5 hits against the Brewers (-143, 8); the Pirates are tied with Atlanta for last in the majors with a .199 average in afternoon games.
* Texas Rangers right-hander Martin Perez has a torn ligament in his pitching elbow and may require Tommy John surgery. The Rangers went 5-3 against the moneyline in his eight starts this season, but dropped his last three after he allowed 19 runs over his final 13 1/3 innings.
* Tampa Bay Rays infielder Ben Zobrist suffered a dislocated thumb Wednesday and will likely be placed on the disabled list. Zobrist is stuck in an 8-for-53 tailspin during which the Rays have gone 6-8 against the moneyline and 8-5-1 O/U.
* Fans at Citi Field should expect wind blowing out to left field at 12 mph. Teams combined for 2.04 home runs in 26 games under similar conditions last season - slightly better than the stadium average of 1.84.
Umpire of the Day
Under is 7-2 in umpire Paul Emmel's last nine games behind home plate. Emmel will call balls and strikes for Thursday's matchup between Toronto and Cleveland.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 15
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
LAS VEGAS – Here’s a rundown of Thursday’s MLB betting slate, including a few picks for your consideration.
Padres (Kennedy 2-4, 3.12 ERA) at Reds (Cueto 3-2, 1.43 ERA) Game 1
Line: Reds -170, 7 UN -120
Notes: Postponed yesterday. Padres on season-high four-game win streak. Reds now 6-12 in one-run games after Tuesday’s 2-1 loss. Padres are 12-4 to the UNDER in road games.
Padres (Ross 4-3, 3.02 ERA) at Reds (Francis - LHP 0-0, 0.00 ERA) Game 2
Line: Reds -110, 8 OV -115
Notes: Veteran lefty Jeff Francis was called up from Triple-A Louisville to give the Reds rotation some rest. He was 4-3 with a 3.33 ERA in eight starts on the farm. The Padres have won their last three games started by Tyson Ross. He’s given up only one earned run in each of his last two outings. The Reds' current roster is hitting .242 against Ross.
Pirates (Rodriguez - LHP 0-2, 7.65 ERA) at Brewers (Gallardo 2-2, 2.92 ERA)
Line: Brewers -123, 8 OV -115
Notes: Brewers are 7-2 vs. Pirates this season and 6-2 vs. lefties. They also have gone 16-6 to the UNDER at home, but are 12-5 to the OVER on the road. Pirates LF Starling Marte (back) came into the game last night and had a key two-run double in a three-run ninth, but is still questionable today. Brewers CF Carlos Gomez (leg) is serving a three-day suspension and will be eligible to return Saturday. Aramis Ramirez (hamstring) has been placed on the 15-day DL. Gallardo hasn’t given up a run in 12 2/3 innings in two daytime starts this season.
Cubs (Hammel 4-1, 2.45 ERA) at Cardinals (Wacha 2-3, 2.85 ERA)
Line: Cardinals -180, 6.5 OV -115
Notes: Postponed yesterday. Despite Wacha pitching well, the Cards are only 2-6 (-6.3 units) behind him, including a loss to the Cubs as a -175 favorite 11 days ago. The Cubs are 4-3 (+1.8 units) behind Hammel, who has quality starts in all seven outings. He has allowed two runs or less in four of those starts.
Marlins (Eovaldi 2-1, 2.86 ERA) at Giants (Cain 0-3, 4.25 ERA)
Line: Giants -134, 7 UN -120
Notes: The Giants have won 10 of their last 13 at AT&T Park. Matt Cain is 1-3 with a 3.35 ERA in seven home starts against the Marlins and is looking for his first win of the season. In six starts, the Giants have gone 1-5 (-4.3 units) behind him. The Marlins had 17 hits Wednesday at Dodger Stadium to help end a five-game slide, which took their MLB-worst road record up to 4-15. Eovaldi has a 2.03 ERA over his past five starts.
Red Sox (Buchholz 2-3, 6.44 ERA) at Twins (Hughes 4-1, 3.92 ERA)
Line: Red Sox -129, 8.5 OV -120
Notes: David Ortiz is on fire. He hit a pair of home runs for the second straight day Wednesday. It was the Red Sox’s seventh win in eight games at Target Field. Ortiz may not be through, either. He’s 9-for-22 (.409) with two homers lifetime against former Yankee Phil Hughes. Clay Buchholz is looking for his fourth consecutive win against the Twins, but comes off a terrible outing at Texas where he gave up six runs in 4 2/3 innings in an eventual 8-0 loss.
Indians (Salazar 1-3, 5.65 ERA) at Blue Jays (Happ - LHP 1-1, 4.63 ERA)
Line: Blue Jays -109, 9.5 UN -129
Notes: The Indians have averaged 6.1 runs a game while winning six of their last eight. Danny Salazar is 0-5 with a 4.26 ERA in nine career road starts. J.A. Happ was good in his first start on May 5 at Philadelphia, where he didn’t allow a run in five innings and picked up the 3-0 win, but in his last outing against the Angels on Saturday, he lasted only 2 1/3 innings, giving up four runs in a 5-3 loss. The Blue Jays are 4-4 on their current nine-game homestand.
Orioles (Chen - LHP 4-2, 3.95 ERA) at Royals (Ventura 2-2, 2.34 ERA)
Line: Royals -129, 7.5 UN -130
Notes: The Royals have lost Yordano Ventura’s last two starts, but he gave up only three runs in each. On April 25, Ventura went eight shutout innings at Baltimore to win 5-0. The Royals won two of three in that series. The Orioles are on a season-high four-game losing streak.
Rays (Bedard - LHP 2-1, 3.38 ERA) at Angels (Skaggs - LHP 3-1, 4.14 ERA) 10:05 pm ET
Line: Angels -144, 9 UN -120
Notes: Erik Bedard will try to win his third-straight start, which would be the first time he’s accomplished the feat since 2009. He’s allowed only two runs over his last three starts, and pitched six shutout innings Saturday against Cleveland in a 7-1 win. He’s 3-1 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four starts against the Angels. His last start against them was a 2-1 win last June while pitching for the Astros. Ray’s 2B Ben Zobrist (thumb) is day-to-day. Tyler Skaggs is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four home starts this season. The Rays have won 15 of their last 19 at Anaheim.
Yankees (Whitley 0-0) at Mets (deGrom 0-0)
Line: Yankees -106, 8.5 UN -120
Notes: Great stuff on hand today at CitiField, as we get to watch these teams match up in the series finale with starting pitchers making their Major League debuts. Chase Whitley tries to start a new Yankees win streak in the Subway Series after the team lost its six vs. the Mets before Wednesday’s 4-0, win. He went 3-2 with a 2.39 ERA, striking out 32 in 26 1/3 innings, while walking only seven in seven games at Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. Jacob deGrom will be the second consecutive Mets starter making his debut coming from the Las Vegas Triple-A farm. He was outstanding in seven starts, going 4-0 with a 2.58 ERA and striking out 29 in 39 1/3 innings.
From just a Vegas perspective, it’s great seeing the farm producing players capable of making it to the show. Two Vegas starters making back-to-back Major League debuts is definitely a new one for us.
Royals (Ventura) -125 vs Orioles
Rays (Bedard) +134 at Angles