Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, April 27

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, April 27

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

LA Clippers at Golden State
The Clippers look to go up 3-1 in the series and come into today's contest with a 21-8 ATS record in their last 29 Sunday games. LA is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2)

Game 753-754: Chicago at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 119.621; Washington 119.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 187 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2); Over

Game 755-756: LA Clippers at Golden State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 127.780; Golden State 122.431
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 210
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2); Under

Game 757-758: Toronto at Brooklyn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.367; Brooklyn 125.535
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 192
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-4); Under

Game 759-760: Houston at Portland (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.705; Portland 123.411
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 218 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+2 1/2); Over

NHL

Anaheim at Dallas
The Ducks look to follow up their 6-2 win in Game 5 as they face a Dallas team that is 0-5 in its last 5 games after allowing 5 or more goals in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+105)

Game 59-60: Philadelphia at NY Rangers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.601; NY Rangers 11.930
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-155); Over

Game 61-62: St. Louis at Chicago (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.326; Chicago 11.534
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+130); Under

Game 63-64: Anaheim at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.111; Dallas 10.993
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+105); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

LA Angels at NY Yankees
The Yankees look to close out the series tonight and come into the contest with a 10-2 record in their last 12 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. New York is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165)

Game 951-952: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 15.124; NY Mets (Gee) 16.720
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Under

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.883; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.795
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105); Over

Game 955-956: San Diego at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 16.178; Washington (Jordan) 15.113
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hammel) 4.146; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.614
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-155); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Volquez) 16.343; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.130
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+150); Under

Game 961-962: Colorado at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.388; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.899
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Over

Game 963-964: Philadelphia at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 14.276; Arizona (McCarthy) 15.107
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Over

Game 965-966: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.489; Toronto (Dickey) 16.018
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 14.833; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.775
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+105); Over

Game 969-970: Oakland at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 15.560; Houston (McHugh) 13.938
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-145); Under

Game 971-972: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.681; Minnesota (Gibson) 15.031
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under

Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 14.634; White Sox (Carroll) 15.780
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+135); Over

Game 975-976: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.536; Seattle (Maurer) 14.738
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-105); Over

Game 977-978: LA Angels at NY Yankees (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.371; NY Yankees (Tanaka) 16.939
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); Under

Game 979-980: Cleveland at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.495; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.532
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-110); Under

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago vs. MilwaukeeFOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Play: Under 7.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This game fits a totals system that has gone under 14 of 15 times since 2004. We play the under for Home favorites of -140 or higher with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored win at -140 or higher and scored 5 or more runs, vs an opponent that lost as a road dog and scored 4 or less runs on 4 or less hits, provided both teams had no errors. These games average just 5 runs. The Brewers may be with out R. Braun today and they are 0-13 to the under at home this year. They have played under in 7 of 8 day games and all 3 times on Sunday. Its no wonder they only average 2.8 runs here. The Cubs average 2.4 runs on the road and have had problems scoring. Both pitchers have excellent current form. W.Peralta for the Brewers has a solid 1.83 home era and Hammel for the Cubs has a 2.63 road era. Look for this one to play under the total.


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Andre GomesFOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Bulls / Wizards Under 183.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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I was about to pass in this contest but the fact that Nene Hilario was suspended for this contest changes it all! CHI's defensive game plan for this series has been predicated in slowing down John Wall & Bradley Beal, and Nene took advantage of it and has been torching the Bulls' defense in multiple ways. Without him, the Bulls defense will be even more focused on WAS's backcourt.
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On the other side, the Wizards defense has been doing a solid job in protecting the rim in this series. M. Dunleavy was the Bulls' MVP in G3 w/ 12-19 FG, 8-10 3pts and 3-4 FT's for 35 points but still, CHI struggled w/ outside shots apart of him. Because all 3 games went OVER, we are dealing w/ 183.5 points while my fair line adjusted to Nene's absence is 180 points.
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LA Clippers -2FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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In my Triple Dime Play w/ LAC in G3 I've said:
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"Not only LAC is clearly the best team in this matchup but more importantly, GSW's defense simply doesn't have any solution to slow down LAC's best player Blake Griffin.
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I took LAC-7 in the first game of the series and the Warriors won the game primarily because Griffin battled foul trouble and played only 19 minutes. However, in those 19 minutes, the Clippers outscored the Warriors by 9 points!  In the last game, Griffin scored 35 points in just 30 minutes of action w/ 13-17 FG & 9-10 FT!
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GSW's without A. Bogut doesn't have a chance vs. LAC's frontcourt… Jermaine O'Neal is just too old and slow; D. Lee doesn't look like @100% and he "can't" defend anyway; Speights doesn't have the "proper" basketball IQ to rotate defensively and, good luck for D. Green if you are guarding B. Griffin down low!"
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Guess what…Blake Griffin dominated the game once again w/ 15-25 FG for 32 points! This won't change in this series regardless what Mark Jackson tries to do because GSW's frontcourt without Bogut doesn't have any solution.
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LAC escaped w/ a 2-pts win but actually they clearly dominated the game especially @ second half. Chris Paul apparently played with fever and DeAndre Jordan was involved in foul trouble and still the Clippers won the game! LAC's defense is putting a tremendous pressure on Curry and Thompson and this won't change today.
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We are dealing w/ two teams going in opposite directions and I really think that the Clippers will win once again on the road today.

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Stephen Nover

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers    
Play: Chicago Cubs +150

It's hard to step in against the Brewers, especially with a team as bad as the Cubs. But as bad as the Cubs are they are a live 'dog in this matchup because the Brewers could have arguably their three best players out of the lineup and closer Frank Rodriguez carries a high fatigue rating having pitched seven of the last nine days and getting saves the past two days. Ryan Braun and Jean Segura left yesterday's win with injuries. Catcher Jonathan Lucroy is scheduled to rest with backup Martin Maldonado coming off suspension Sunday. Maldonado usually catches Wily Peralta, who is Milwaukee's schedule starter. I like Peralta a lot believing he's a rising star. However, Cubs starter Jason Hammel has been solid going 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA. Hammel also is 3-0 lifetime versus the Brewers with a 2.88 ERA. This is a long-standing rivalry and the Cubs are trying to avoid a sweep.


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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta BravesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Atlanta BravesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Braves and Reds put the wraps on a three-game series in Atlanta Sunday afternoon where Julio Teheran matches serves with Johnny Cueto. Teheran toes the rubber in string KW form with 13 strikeouts and 2 walks in his last three starts knowing he's cashed 7 of his last 9 team starts at home. He is also a sparkling 9-0 in his career team starts during the month of April. With Cueto 0-3 with a 5.73 ERA in his last three starts in this series, we recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Marlins at New York MetsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: New York MetsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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New season, same old story for Miami as they currently reside last in the NL East with a 10-13 record heading into the weekend. Miami has been very good at home, posting a 9-4 record. However, the road hasn't been kinds as the Marlins have the worst road record in baseball, losing nine of their first 10 away games. Tom Koehler has been a pleasant surprise for the fish, posting a 2-1 record with a 2.13 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in four starts. Still, his two starts on the road has both resulted in Marlin losses though he did pitch well in both games. In fact, Koehler hasn't allowed over two earned runs in any of his four starts. Walks are an issue though, as the 27-year old has allowed 10 free passes in his four starts. The Mets have surprised some with their early good play, posting a 13-10 record through their first 23 games including a three-game win streak heading into the weekend. Dillon Gee will toe the rubber today with a 101 record and 3.58 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in five starts. Gee is coming off two straight quality starts, allowing just two earned runs over his last 13 innings with two walks and seven KO's. The Marlins haven't given Koehler much support on the road, winning just two of his last eight away starts. The Mets have won four of the last five meetings with the Marlins in New York and while I look at this pitching matchup as a draw, the fish are just too bad a road club to back here.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Angels vs. New York YankeesSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: New York Yankees -164FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Yankees bounced back from an embarrassing loss in the series opener to take game two from the Angels yesterday and I look for them to build off that victory. The Angels will send Garret Richards (2-0, 2.52 ERA) to the mound. Richards is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA in three career games -- two starts -- against the Yankees. Richards has had a decent start to the season, but I think it’s still too small a sample size to call him a World beater quite yet. The Yankees meanwhile will send Masashiro Tanaka (2-0, 2.15) to try and get the series win. Tanaka’s WHIP of 0.82 is the best in the Majors so far; he's struck out 35 batters over 29 1/3 innings in four starts while issuing only two walks. Tanaka limited Boston to two runs and five hits over 7 1/3 innings in a 9-3 road victory on Tuesday. The Yankees did a good job of making the right pitches when LA had runners in scoring position yesterday; the Angels were just 2 for 14 with runners in scoring position overall. Look for more of the same here with Tanaka on the hill. While the Angels have been a strong 8-6 on the road, the Yankees have been even more impressive at home with a 7-4 mark. New York is also 8-4 against the Angels at home the past three seasons. Consider laying the price on the superior starter.


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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Marlins at New York MetsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Miami MarlinsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Marlins might finally be getting a bit more comfy on the road, where they have dropped 9 of 11 but did win last night at Citi Field and have prevailed in 2 of their last 4 away. Starter Tom Koehler has been victimized by lack of rin support, but his 2.13 ERA has been close to airtight, and he has limited opponents to a .198 batting average. A Bronx native who attended nearby Stony Brook, Koehler has been backed by seven total runs in seven previous meetings vs. the Mets, undermining his 2.35 ERA and 18 consecutive scoreless innings over his last three starts. A little run support can go a long way for Koehler today.

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Jeff FensterFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Royals vs. OriolesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 8½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Royals and James Shields (2-2 1.91 ERA) take on the Orioles and Miguel Gonzales (1-0 2.57 ERA).  These are two very good pitchers and 8.5 runs is a lot for these teams.  The Royals have only cleared 8.5 runs one time in the last 6.  The Orioles haven't hit higher than 5 in their last 2 and there are better pitchers throwing tomorrow.  There is an edge for us to exploit and my system is screaming UNDER.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Bulls at Washington WizardsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Chicago BullsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulls got themselves back in this series with a win in Game 3, and now they need a victory in Game 4 to even this series with Washington. All three games in this series have been close, and with Nene serving a suspension Sunday, Chicago should have the upper hand. Home court has not been much of an advantage for the Wizards this season, as they actually won more games on the road than they did a the Verizon Center. Winning on the road is also not an issue for the Bulls, who posted a winning record away from home in the regular season. The home team has failed to cover in eight straight in this series, and we can expect that trend to continue here tonight. Nene was averaging over 20 points per game coming into Game 3, and it's unlikely that the Wizards will get that kind of production from Trevor Booker. The Wizards took 2-of-3 in the regular season series, but the one game that Nene missed was a blowout win for Chicago, winning 96-78 at Verizon Center.


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Heath MacFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto Raptors vs. Brooklyn NetsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Brooklyn Nets -4FOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Nets were able to recapture home-court advantage with a hard-fought 102-98 win over the Raptors in Game 3 thanks to yet another big night from Joe Johnson who led the way with 29 points. Deron Williams added 22 points and Paul Pierce had 18, but all in all it was a solid team effort as the Nets took control late in the first half and never looked threatened untl the Raptors made their run late in the final minutes.
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Speaking of the Raptors, DeMar DeRozan led the way with 30 points but had very little support as Patrick Patterson added 17 while Kyle had just 15. The Raptors needed more from Jonas Valanciunas but he battled foul trouble all game and could never find his rhythm, while Terrence Ross has yet to find his shot in this series, scoring just five points after totalling just five in the first two games. The bottom line is that Toronto need to find someone, anyone to inject some life into the team or they'll find themselves down 3-1 in this series at the final buzzer tonight.
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In ATS trends, the Raptors are 2-5-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five Conference Quarterfinals games, while the Nets are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record.

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Steve Rosen

Toronto vs. Brooklyn
Play: Over 192

This game is going over 192 today. They have played 2 out of 3 already with hitting the over.Over is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Brooklyn.

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Dave Essler

Minnesota +1.5 -125   

With the weather as bad as it is (chilly and VERY windy blowing in) I just have to take this. Gibson was crushed last time out, but in all of his home starts he's been pretty solid. The Twins know Verlander as well as anyone, and a few hit him at least decent enough for this to be a low scoring, one-run game, IMO. And, unless Verlander is a beast (he hasn't been) the Tigers bullpen has sucked lately, while the Twins has been very good. I might actually split this with the ML.

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DAVE COKIN

BOSTON RED SOX  AT TORONTO BLUE JAYS
PLAY: BOSTON RED SOX -105

Maybe it was the World Series hangover, maybe it was losing the team’s leadoff hitter and a prime offensive catalyst, maybe it was the injuries. Whatever it was, the Red Sox had not been resembling anything remotely close to a championship caliber team through the early going this season. But they’ve looked more like the 2013 Red Sox the last couple of days, with the offense coming to life somewhat and the series with Toronto going Boston’s way thus far. The Red Sox will try and complete the sweep today as Jon Lester opposes R.A. Dickey.

Pick the category and you’re likely to see some kind of advantage for the Bosox here. Lester had a BABIP nightmare vs. the Yankees earlier this week, but his K rate was still right there and he surrendered no long balls. It appears to have just been one of those blips that get every pitcher now and then. I have to give Lester the edge over Dickey. The knuckleballer continues to be prone to big innings and his control remains an issue. Those walks could be a serious problem today as the Red Sox are as patient as it gets and pitchers with shaky control can really struggle against Boston.

The Blue Jays have some dangerous bats, but they’ve been inconsistent with the sticks and the stats against lefties have not been good to date this season. The Red Sox, now that they’ve gotten a couple of key walking wounded back on the field, are starting to produce the way they’re capable of, and they did a great job of capitalizing on Brandon Morrow’s wildness yesterday.

Bullpens are always a key factor in any analysis, and the Red Sox have what should be a commanding edge in that department. A couple of the key guys in the 2013 Toronto pen are not doing nearly as well this time around, and closer Casey Janssen is still stuck on the disabled list. If this game is close heading down the stretch, the Red Sox are definitely the favorite.

The tally sheet here seems clear enough to me. I see the Red Sox emerging from their early season slumber and with stat wins on the team elements as well as the starting pitching, I’m thinking Boston is a bargain of sorts at anything less than 6/5. The price is certainly not that high currently, so I’ll take my chances with the Red Sox today.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, April 27

Erin Rynning

San Diego at Washington
Play: San Diego +105

Early start in Washington, D.C. with the Padres and Nationals concluding their four-game series. After last year’s disastrous campaign (5.23 ERA), San Diego’s Ian Kennedy looks to be in solid form. He sports a decent 3.60 ERA and an even more impressive 28-8 K/BB ratio.  Those numbers can be directly tied to an uptick in velocity. Keep in mind, Kennedy isn’t far removed from 2011’s 2.88 ERA that spanned over 220 innings. His last outing in Milwaukee (6 IP, 4 hits, 1 ER) solidified him as a “bet on” pitcher. The same cannot be said for Washington’s Taylor Jordan.  In fact, with a strong showing from Tyler Roark yesterday and Doug Fister working his way back from injury, Jordan’s time in the starting rotation is coming to an end.  He’s going in the wrong direction since his first start of the season against the Braves having allowed 18 runs and 25 hits over his last three outings. With marginal stuff, even this sub-par Padres lineup should be able to plate enough runs to get us the win with the short road dog.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, April 27

Scott Spreitzer

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Colorado Rockies

Dodger pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu owns interesting home/road splits of late. The southpaw has pitched well on the road, but he's been smacked all over the park in his last four regular season starts at Dodger Stadium. Ryu is 0-3 in those games with a 6.50 ERA. Those are hardly the numbers you'd hope for when laying a price north of 170. Ryu also expects to be a little short of a full arsenal at the plate with Hanley Ramirez expected to take the day off. Some say it's due to the pitch he took to the hand last week, while Dodger manager Don Mattingly says Ramirez was scheduled to have the day off anyway. Either way, he will likely be on the bench for this one. The Dodgers are averaging less than 3 rpg in home games against lefties this season after averaging just 3.73 rpg at home against southpaws in 29 tries in 2013. The Rockies are on a 6-3 run in their last 9 games and we'll back them plus the big ML price on Sunday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, April 27

Jimmy Boyd

Washington Wizards -1½

One of my big concerns with the Bulls is that in the playoffs everyone plays with the same intensity that they bring on a nightly basis during the regular season. Chicago simply doesn't have the offensive weapons to be a serious threat in the playoffs. Even with Nene suspended for this matchup, I think the Wizards are showing tremendous value as a mere 1.5-point home favorite.

The only reason Chicago was able to win Game 3, was because Mike Dunleavy was lights out from the outside. Dunleavy scored 35 points on 12 of 19 shooting and was a ridiculous 8 of 10 from behind the 3-point line. He's simply not a good enough player to repeat that kind of success. I look for the Wizards backcourt duo of John Wall and Bradley Beal to take over this game and lead Washington to a commanding 3-1 series lead.

The Wizards are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 games revenging a home loss and 19-6 revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 or more points!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, April 27

Bob Balfe

Seattle Mariners -115

Both starting pitchers have not seen much action at all this year so that means you look at the bullpens. Texas does not have a good bullpen which favors the home team here. Texas is not that great against right handed pitching this year. Take the Mariners.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, April 27

SPORTS WAGERS

N.Y. RANGERS -½ +109 over Philadelphia

Regulation only. This series is similar to the Colorado/Minnesota series in that one team has been dominant but the other team is stealing some games. In the two games in New York, the Rangers outshot the Flyers by a combined 69-40 but left New York with the series tied 1-1. Up 2-1 in the series after Game 3, the Rangers were once again the dominant team in Game 4 with a distinct advantage in puck possession while outshooting Philadelphia 38-25. Steve Mason stole Game 4 for the Flyers. Expecting him to steal another one could happen but it’s a stretch. Philadelphia’s defense is in big trouble. They lost Nicklas Grossmann in Game 4 and while Grossman is certainly replaceable, Philadelphia has chosen to use Hal Gill instead of Erik Gustafsson as that replacement. Gill is not only slow, but if he’s paired with Mark Streit, (Grossman’s pairing partner), the ingredients are there for disaster because Streit is an active offensive defenseman and Gil will not be able to bail him out if he gets caught up ice. Whether or not that comes to pass remains to be seen but no matter how you break it down, the Rangers will once again get far more scoring chances. New York will also win the puck possession game.

Five on five, Philadelphia has not looked like a playoff team at all. They are constantly battling to get the puck out of their own end and that sort of play cannot hold up over seven games. The Flyers are rather fortunate to have one victory in this series, let alone two. Hell, one could even argue that their best game so far was in Game 3 when they lost 4-1. With the series shifting back to MSG and with everything on the line is this pivotal game, we can’t envision the inferior team stealing another win.

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