NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, February 24
NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, February 24
Inside the Paint - Monday
By Chris David
As we approach the final quarter of the season, the playoff picture is starting to take shape in both conferences.
In the Eastern Conference, you can argue that the top six spots are locked up and you can certainly make a case for Charlotte as the seventh team. The Bobcats have opened the second-half of the season with four straight wins and they’ll be off for six days before starting a three-game road set against the Spurs, Thunder and Heat.
Just behind the Bobcats is Atlanta, who continues to be plagued by injuries. Despite being short-handed, the Hawks are 3½-games up on the Pistons. After Detroit, you have another pair of underachieving clubs in Cleveland and New York, who are barely hanging onto their playoff hopes.
The top five spots in the Western Conference look solid, with the Thunder leading the way. The real fun will be the final three playoff berths, which should be decided between the Suns, Warriors, Mavericks and Grizzlies.
Monday’s card only has five games and none of the matchups are fantastic but you can bet on them and I’ll try to help you win.
Let’s break ‘em down.
Milwaukee (10-45 SU, 22-33 ATS) at Philadelphia
This game is clearly unwatchable and certainly going to be tough to handicap. Oddsmakers opened the 76ers as 1½-point home favorites but the number has been flipped to a pick ‘em and a few outfits have made the Bucks favorites, something that has only occurred twice this season.
This will be the third encounter between the cellar dwellers this season. The 76ers captured a 115-107 win on Nov. 22 at home while the Bucks notched a 116-106 home victory on Dec. 21. The ‘over’ easily cashed in both games.
I usually lean ‘over’ whenever you have a meaningless matchup between clubs that won’t be making the playoffs and that’s probably the best look here, especially when you look at the defense of the 76ers (110.7 PPG) and Bucks (101.9 PPG).
Dallas (34-23 SU, 32-25 ATS) at New York
The Mavericks have been installed as 3½-point road favorites over the Knicks and you could argue the line should be higher. The Knicks have been awful lately, losing three of their last four and eight of 10. Meanwhile, Dallas has started the second-half with a 2-1 record behind an offense that is averaging 114.3 points per game.
We do realize that the wins for Dallas came against the Pistons and 76ers, which is something it has been doing all season. The Mavericks have gone 17-8 SU and 16-9 ATS against the East this season while New York is 6-15 SU and 8-13 ATS versus the West. Surprisingly, the Knicks defeated the Mavericks 92-80 on Jan. 5 as 6½-point road underdogs.
Tonight’s total is hovering around 204 points. The ‘under’ has cashed in three of the last four meetings between the pair. I'm not sure how much stock any of you put into officials but referee Eric Lewis is on the hardwood for this game and he's seen the 'over' go 34-10 (77%) this season.
Golden State (34-22 SU, 26-27 ATS) at Detroit
As mentioned above, the Pistons are still in the playoff race but this is a tough club to bet on lately. Detroit is 1-4 both SU and ATS in its last five games and three of those loss came at home.
Including tonight’s matchup against the Warriors, the next three games for the Pistons will be against the West, which isn’t a good thing. Detroit has gone 4-16 SU and 6-14 ATS in non-conference games, three of those wins coming at home. Total bettors should be aware that the ‘over’ has gone 18-2 (90%) in Detroit’s games versus the West this season.
Golden State defeated Detroit 113-95 on Nov. 12 as a nine-point home favorite. Including that win, the Warriors have won five in a row against the Pistons, two of those wins coming at The Palace. The ‘over’ has gone 4-1 during this span.
L.A. Clippers (37-20 SU, 31-26 ATS) at New Orleans
Possible letdown spot for the Clippers, who beat the Thunder 125-117 on the road yesterday. Despite that win, Doc Rivers’ club is just 14-15 as a visitor this season.
Along with the letdown, fatigue could be a factor for the Clips as well. Los Angeles has gone 5-7 SU and 6-6 ATS on zero days rest this season and that includes a 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS mark in their last five back-to-back situations.
New Orleans has opened the second-half with three consecutive losses. However, the three setbacks came by a combined 10 points, which tells you that the Pelicans have been competitive and a lot of that is attributed to All-Star Anthony Davis.
The Clippers have won four straight (3-1) encounters against the Pelicans, which includes a 108-95 victory on Dec. 18 as 9½-point home favorites from the Staples Center. Three of the last four in this series has gone ‘under’ the number.
Boston (19-38 SU, 27-29 ATS) at Utah
The late-night battle takes us to Salt Lake City and I’m surprised the Jazz are only three-point favorites. Utah isn’t a great team by any means and it has opened the second-half with three loss in a row but the Celtics have dropped four straight, they’re short-handed and they’ve been atrocious in non-conference action.
This season, the Celtics have gone 4-21 SU and 11-13-1 ATS against the West and all four wins came at home. Quite the opposite, the Jazz are a respectable 9-10 SU and 8-11 ATS versus the East.
Different teams on the hardwood for this matchup but bettors should make a note that Boston has won seven straight (6-0-1 ATS) in this series and that includes a 97-87 win this season on Nov. 6.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, February 24
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Boston Celtics at Utah Jazz
Utah enters this game amid a brutal season. After losing to the TWolves on Saturday night, the Jazz have lost three straight outscored by an average 10.3 PPG and hit the hardwood 19-36 (24-28-3 ATS) on the campaign netting 94.6 per/game while allowing 100.7 per/contest. On the other side, Celtics also dropping it's last three by an average 7.3 PPG are having an equally bad season and come in 19-38 (27-29-1 ATS) overall scoring 95.1 per/game while giving up 98.8 per/contest. Not usually a good idea siding with a team such as Boston with a 33.3% winning margin. But, if there was ever a chance for Celtics to pull the plug on it's losing streak it's against Jazz. Celtics winning the earlier meeting are on a 6-0 (5-1 ATS) stretch vs Utah and despite C's road woes (8-21 SU) they're 16-13 ATS away from Boston, 11-8 ATS vs a poor defensive team (=>99).