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College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday, February 7
College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday, February 7
Friday's Big East Tips
By David Schwab
The re-tooled Big East heads into this weekend’s games with two teams in the national rankings and both happen to be in action this Friday. The surprising No. 6 Villanova Wildcats will play host to Seton Hall and later that night No. 12 Creighton will welcome DePaul to CenturyLink Center Omaha.
Seton Hall Pirates at No. 6 Villanova Wildcats
The Pirates have already lost to Villanova this season as part of a 4-5 straight up record in conference play. They failed to cover as eight-point home underdogs in a 83-67 loss to the Wildcats on Jan. 8 and the total went OVER the 141-point line. They have alternated SU losses and wins ever since, but remain a decent team to bet on at 5-1 against the spread in the last six outings. Seton Hall is 11-10 ATS overall this season and the total has gone OVER in 13 of the 21 games. The total trend has reversed itself lately by staying UNDER in four of its last six contests.
Consistency on defense has been an issue for the Pirates this season and on average they are allowing 70.7 points a game. They have done a better job as of late by holding teams to less than this total in five of their last six games. Seton Hall is averaging 75.5 PPG, but it has only exceeded this total twice in its last eight games, which helps explain the turnaround on the total line.
Villanova only has two SU losses against 20 victories this season and one of those setbacks was to No. 1 Syracuse in late December. The other loss was a stunning 96-68 beatdown at the hands of Creighton as a 6½-point home favorite on Jan. 20. The Wildcats have won five of their other eight conference games by double digits and are tied with the Bluejays at 8-1 in the Big East. They have also been a solid bet lately with a 7-2 record ATS in their last nine games to improve to profitable 15-5 ATS on the year. The total has gone OVER in 14 of 20 games overall, but in just five of nine home games.
Behind James Bell and JayVaughn Pinkston the Wildcats are averaging 80.9 PPG. Bell is the team’s leading scorer (15.8 PPG) and its best pure shooter from outside; hitting 39.1 percent from 3-point range. Pinkston is second in both points (14.7) and rebounds (5.7). The last time that Villanova won 20 of its first 22 games it earned a No. 2 seed in the 2010 NCAA Tournament but made an early exit. In the 2005/2006 season the Wildcats started 20-2 and ended up going all the way to the Elite 8.
Villanova has been opened as a hefty 13½-point favorite over the Pirates for Friday’s clash.
Before this season’s loss both SU and ATS, the Pirates had covered in five of the last six meetings. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games between these two.
DePaul Blue Demons at No. 12 Creighton Bluejays
DePaul finds itself as one of the bottom feeders in the Big East with just two SU wins in its first eight conference games. It is 10-13 SU overall with a 10-12 record ATS. It comes into this matchup with five straight losses and a 1-4 record versus the number during this skid. This will be its second go-round against the Bluejays after getting blown-out 81-62 on Jan. 7 as a 10-point underdog at home. The total stayed UNDER the 144 ½-point line in that game, but it has gone OVER in six of the Blue Demon’s last seven games.
Making matters worse for the back-end of this season series is the 'questionable' playing status of arguably DePaul’s best player Cleveland Melvin (16.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG). He was suspended from the team for undisclosed reasons and has now sat out the last three games. Even with him in the lineup, a Blue Demons’ defense that has allowed an average of 74.3 PPG this season has been the primary reason for this team’s dismal record.
Creighton came over from the Missouri Valley Conference this season and has made itself right at home in its new surroundings. Its only conference loss was an unexpected 81-68 letdown against Providence as a four-point road favorite on Jan. 18. The Bluejays are 18-3 SU on the year with a 13-6 ATS mark. They have covered in seven of 10 home games this season and the total has stayed UNDER in six of those contests. They are 6-3 ATS in the Big East and the total has gone OVER in five of the nine games.
This team’s success this season has revolved around the stellar play of All-American senior forward Doug McDermott. He is the second-highest scorer in the nation with 25 PPGand he is shooting 50 percent from the field and 43.9 percent from 3-point range. Creighton is another high-scoring team with 81.3 PPG, but it has also done a pretty good job on the other end of the court by holding teams to 65.6 PPG. It has also held its own under the boards with 36.7 RPG.
Melvin’s availability for Friday’s game remains up in the air, but that has not stopped Creighton opening up as a prohibitive 21-point favorite for this game. However, the early move was on the underdog and the line dropped to 19½-points.
Counting this season, these two have met four times since 2005 with Creighton winning the last three. The closest game between these two was the Bluejays’ 83-75 victory in 2008 in a game that had no posted line.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Friday, February 7
College Basketball Information
Princeton was supposed to challenge Harvard for Ivy title, but they lost first three Ivy games, by 6 or less points or in OT, all on road, so thats over, since there is no conference tourney here. Columbia lost last two games, by 10-8 points, both on road. Tigers won last eight games with Columbia, winning last four here by 10-5-11-6 points. Ivy League home favorites of 7+ points are 2-4 vs spread.
Home side won Yale's first four Ivy games; Bulldogs lost at Brown by 17 in only road game. Bruins won 12 of last 14 games with Dartmouth, with 71-62 loss here LY ending 3-game win streak in this gym. Green is 2-2 in Ivy after sweeping Penn/Princeton at home last week; they force turnovers 25.4% of time in Ivy games. Ivy League home teams are 4-0 in games where spread was 5 or less points.
Harvard is 4-0 in Ivy, with three wins by 16+; they won at Dartmouth by 30 in only road games. Crimson won its last eight games with Brown, winning last five here by 1-20-7-27-7 points. Home side won all four of Brown's Ivy games; Bruins lost by 7 at Yale in only road game. Harvard has made a ridiculous 54.5% of 3's in league games. Ivy League double digit home favorites are 2-3 vs spread.
Cornell is 0-17 vs D-I teams, losing its four Ivy games by 10-16-12-4 points; Big Red is making 26.5% of its 3's in league play. Penn lost last two games on road; they upset Princeton in OT in their only home game. Quakers won three of last four games with Cornell, with wins by 12-7-8 points. Penn has made an amazingly bad 21.8% of its 3's in league. Ivy League home favorites of 7+ points are 2-4 vs spread.
Villanova made 12-23 from arc in 83-67 (-8) win at Seton Hall on Jan 8; Wildcats are 11-1 in last 12 series games, winning last five here by 21-9-2-10-8 points. Villanova is 3-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 30-26-23 points, with loss to Creighton. Seton Hall is 5-0 as a Big East road dog, with three of five games decided by 1 point. Big East double digit home favorites are 5-3 vs spread.
Road team is 6-2 vs spread in Charlotte's C-USA games; 49ers lost last three road games, by 8-20-2 points- they're turning ball over 21.9% of time, last in 16-team league. Tulane covered three of last four games, but three of its last four C-USA losses are by 26+ points. Green Wave holds teams to 28.4% from arc, #2 in league. C-USA home underdogs of less than 5 points are 5-3 vs spread.
Creighton (-10.5) was 11-21 from arc in 81-62 win at DePaul Jan 7, but game was just 37-32 at half; Bluejays are 3-2 as home favorites, winning Big East home games by 18-6-28-13-3 points. Blue Demons lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); they're 3-2 as road dogs, losing road games by 7-10-5-26-22 points. Last time DePaul covered was Jan 14 against St John's. Big East double digit home favorites are 5-3 vs spread.
Valparaiso was 36-44 from foul line on road in 78-70 (+2) win at Detroit Jan 15, Crusaders' 7th win in last nine series games. Valpo won/covered five of last six games, is 3-1 as Horizon favorite, winning home games by 15-13-15, with loss to Wright State. Detroit is 2-2 as Horizon road dog, losing away games by 10-14-10 points, with win at Milwaukee. Horizon home favorites of 8+ points are 6-5 vs spread.
Marshall won three of last four games with Southern Miss, upsetting the Golden Eagles at home LY after losing 103-46 here. Herd is 0-3 as a dog this season, losing those league games by 10-17-21 points. Eagles won, covered six of seven league games; they're 3-0 as home favorites, winning by 22-9-31 points in Hattiesburg. C-USA double digit home favorites are 11-4 against the spread.
Monmouth (-4) beat Fairfield 63-60 in first meeting Jan 23; they trailed by 8 with 9:37 left. Hawks are 5-1 as MAAC road dogs, losing games on foreign soil by 9-20-9-6-2 points, with win at Niagara. Stags are 1-11 in league, 1-5 at home; they're 0-3 as MAAC favorites, losing at home by 11-1-4-8-26 points. MAAC home favorites of less than 3 points are 5-2 vs spread. Hawks are last in MAAC, making just 62.6% of foul shots.
Siena (-4.5) beat St Peter's 64-47 at home Jan 23, in brickfest where the Peacocks were 5-15 on line and teams combined to miss 23 of 28 from arc. Peacocks lost last five games (0-5 vs spread); they're 1-4 at home in league, with only win an upset of Quinnipiac. Siena won three of last four games; they've lost five of last seven vs St Peter's. MAAC home teams are 8-5 vs spread in games with spread of less than 3 points.
Canisius won seven of last eight games; they're 5-1 as home favorites in MAAC, with five of six wins by 13+ points. Griffins lost three of last four games with Manhattan, but beat Jaspers here in two of last three meetings. Manhattan lost last three road games by 5-4-12 points; this is only second time this year they're an underdog in league play. MAAC home favorites of less than 3 points are 5-2 vs spread.
Iona made 14-26 from arc in 118-92 win over Niagara (-12) at home Jan 4; Gaels scored a ridiculous 1.53 ppp that game, have won/covered last five games- they're 4-1 on MAAC roiad, with only loss at Quinnipiac. Niagara lost eight of last ten games; they're 2-3 at home in MAAC, with losses by 13-11-12 points. Iona makes 41.5% of 3's, Niagara is making just 30%. MAAC home underdogs are 5-10 against spread.