Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
UCLA vs. Oregon StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Oregon State +5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Bruins have been on a nice streak of late but I think this is just too many points to ask them to cover on the road in this situation. Oregon State is 9-2 in home games and will be hungry to not only get a much needed conference game, but to get revenge from a 10 point loss at UCLA the last time these teams met. Note that that UCLA is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5-6 points the past three seasons. The Bruins are coming off a hard fought and narrow two point win over Oregon in their last game and a letdown can be expected here in their second game in row on the road. Oregon State is 2-0 ATS versus UCLA the past three seasons and easily covered the last game it hosted in. Consider taking the points.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Rob VincilettiFOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
UCLA vs. Oregon StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UCLA -5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
UCLA has owned this series with Oregon St and has won and covered 11 of the 14 here vs the Beavers. The Bruins are also a solid 5-1 straight up and to the spread vs winning teams and have won all 14 times as a favorite this season with 11 spread wins. In games vs teams who score 77 or more they are 3-1 to the spread. Oregon St is 2-6 vs teams who score 77 or more and has lost 12 of the last 15 February games they have played and have dropped 7 of 11 vs winning teams to the spread. We will lay the couple of points here with UCLA.


Rob Vinciletti's Featured Package

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Red Dog Sports

Jets vs. Canadiens
Play: Under 5½

There are just two games going Sunday afternoon since the Super Bowl is being played later. Montreal has played 17 overs and 29 unders this year. The last four Montreal games reached 5, 3, 5 and 5 goals. The first meeting back in October ended 3-0. Look for an under on Sunday as they get the game over and go home to watch the Super Bowl.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Orlando Magic at Boston CelticsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Boston CelticsFOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Not a very exciting game to lead us into today's Super Bowl contest. The long contest on the NBA slate pits two teams that a few years ago where both contenders, no just pretenders. Orlando is actually coming off a rare win, but don't get too excited, it was against the worst team in the NBA - Milwaukee. The win was just the club's third in their last 18 games. One of those wins did come at home against the Celtics, back on January 19th, a 93-91 barnburner. For a club that is rarely favored, you might expect some a decent spread record at least in the dog role. Not really though, as the Magic are just 5-6 ATS their last 12 and before that had eight straight losses vs the number. The Celtics have two more wins this season than the Magic, but they are playing just as bad if not worse. Boston brings a four game losing streak into today's contest. In addition, the Celtics are just 2-16 S/U their last 18 games. They aren't much easier on bettors than the Magic are either, going 2-6 ATS their last eight games. So what tidbit can we grab onto in this contest, being it's the only game in the NBA today? Well, first the Magic are just 4-11 ATS when playing on 1 days rest. They are also just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Celtics get three days off prior to this contest. When they get three days off the Celtics are 5-2 ATS their last 7 times. Boston is also 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 games against the Southeast conference. It isn't a lot, but with their rest I'll lay the short points here with the home club.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Larry Ness
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Virginia vs. Pittsburgh
Pick: Pittsburgh
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Pittsburgh has won 17 straight at the Petersen Events Center against unranked foes and is in a bad mood...
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Pittsburgh opened the current season 10-0 before losing 44-43 to Cincinnati at MSG on. The Panthers opened the week 18-2 and ranked 18th in the AP poll, with their only other loss coming 59-54 at current No. 2 Syracuse (soon to be No. 1 on Monday). Jamie Dixon can coach. He’s led Pittsburgh to the NCAA tourney in NINE of his 10 seasons at the school and the one season he didn’t make the “Big Dance,” he led the Panthers to the CBI title. Hard to argue with that kind of success.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Three guards start, a trio including the 6-5 Patterson (17.7-4.8-4.5), Wright (10.8) and Robinson (8.4-4.2 APG). Starting in the frontcourt are 6-9 senior Zanna (13.4-8.0) and 6-8 freshman Young (5.9-4.9). 6-6 sophomore Johnson (8.8-3.0) has been lost for the year with a knee injury but the 6-7 Artis (4.7-3.2) and 6-9 Rutgers transfer Randall (2.5-3.3) are contributing.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Pittsburgh had been thoroughly dominant at home during its inaugural season in the Atlantic Coast Conference, until a long-time ACC powerhouse (Duke) paid the Panthers a visit this past Monday. Pittsburgh (18-3, 6-2) won its first 12 at home this season before struggling in the second half of Monday's 80-65 loss to the No. 17 Blue Devils. The Panthers shot 41.2 percent (21 for 51) overall -- a season low on their floor -- and were outscored 46-33 after the break. Following their biggest loss of the season against Duke, the No. 18 Panthers will look to bounce back when they host Virginia on Sunday.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
A win against Virginia (16-5, 7-1) will put Pitt in second place behind Syracuse, which improved to 8-0 in the conference with a 91-89 overtime win over Duke on Saturday. The Cavaliers are 7-1 SU (8-0 ATS) since Jan 1, losing only 69-65 at Duke, as a six-point underdog. Virginia (at 7-1) is off to its best ACC start since Ralph Sampson's team of 1982-83! The Cavs are offensively-patient and defensively, smothering. Virginia allows just 56.0 PPG (2nd-best) on 38.1 percent shooting (9th).
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
However, I wonder just how the Cavs can keep winning with the team's lack of offense. Last year's two-best players both returned but both are WAY off LY's contributions. Harris led the team in scoring from the wing at 16.3 PPG but this year is averaging only 11.5 PPG. The 6-8 Mitchell averaged 13.1 & 8.9 last season but checks in at only 6.6 & 6.5 TY. Starting with those two are 6-5 guard Brogdon (11.6-5.3), PG Perrantes (4.5-3.8 APG) and the 6-11 Tobey (7.8-4.6).
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
I'm betting Pitt bounces back here, as after all, the Panthers are 12-1 at home (after the 15-point loss to Duke), still outscoring opponents on average, 77.6-to-59.8 PPG. Speaking about UVa's visit to the Petersen Events Center, Virginia forward Akil Mitchell told the team's official website, "It's a tough place to play. I think it's more of a big deal because we know that they're a good team, and it's another opportunity (to beat a quality opponent) ... So that'll be fun."
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
I believe Mitchell is somewhat understating the situation.The Cavaliers are still seeking their first win this season against a top-25 team. Virginia, which has lost to VCU, Wisconsin and Duke, has not defeated a ranked foe on the road since beating then-No. 15 Minnesota 87-79 on Nov 29, 2010. Prior to the loss against Duke, the Panthers had beaten their first three ACC opponents they hosted by at least 15 points, including a 76-43 rout of Clemson on Jan 21.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
The Panthers have won 17 straight at the Petersen Events Center against unranked foes and Pitt is in a bad mood following its nationally-televised 80-65 home loss to Duke on Monday, Virginia is in the WRONG place at the WRONG time!

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

John RyanFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
UCLA at Oregon St.FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UCLAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The simulator shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by 7 or more points. SIM projects that UCLA will make between 47 and 53% of their shots; make 38 to 45%of their three-point shot attempts; will score at least 81 points; will commit 10 to 13 turnovers. In past games, the results have been money makers over time when UCLA plays to this level. UCLA is a solid UCLA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season; 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game this season; Oregon State is a money burning 30-71 ATS (-48.1 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. As you can see the key here for UCLA is to get to 81 points scored and I further do not see a solid way that Oregon State can prevent that from happening this afternoon. Take UCLA.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Steve Janus

Pittsburgh Panthers -4

Pittsburgh has had a full week to think about that 15-point beating they took at home against Duke in their last game. I don't think there's any doubt the Panthers come out looking to make a statement against a very good Virginia squad. Keep in mind that Pittsburgh followed up a heartbreaking 5-point loss at Syracuse just a while back with a 33-point home beat down of Clemson. I don't think the Panthers will be blowing out the Cavaliers by that kind of a margin, but I definitely like their chances of winning here by more than 4-points.

Virginia is just 18-33 ATS in their last 51 road games when listed as an underdog of 6-points or less, while Pittsburgh is a solid 41-25 ATS in their last 66 games after suffering a loss to a conference opponent.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Jeff Alexander

Bowling Green +3

Bowling Green is showing value catching 3 points considering it is 11-3 in its last 14 home games versus Buffalo with each of the losses coming by 3 points or fewer. The Falcons have lost their last two but are 15-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in the series. Grab the points.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Dave Price

Boston Celtics -5½

The Orlando Magic have struggled on the road to say the least. They are 0-10 SU and ATS in their last 10 road games with an average losing margin of 15.7 points. They have especially struggled in Boston where they have lost seven straight by an average of 12.7 points. They went just 1-5-1 ATS in these meetings. The Celtics have received some much needed rest having had the last three days off, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games when playing on 3 days' rest or more. It is also worth noting that Boston is 13-2 ATS in Sunday home games the last three seasons, winning these by an average of 8.2 points. Lay the points.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Ken ThomsonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Oakland +2FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
If the Boys from Oakland, Michigan are focused they should avenge a home loss to Wis-Milwaukee from three weeks ago.  In that game, the Golden Grizzlies leading scorer Travis Bader scored only seven points on ( 7-7 ) from the foul line.  He went ( 0-9 ) from the floor including ( 0-7 ) from three point land.  I expect Bader to shoot it well and for point guard Duke Mundy to run the offense with most touches going through Bader who rarely plays poorly two games in a row against the same team.  If the Panthers get off to a good start in front of the hometown fans, they could ride that momentum to a season sweep.  I'm banking on Bader to be the differnce!

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Detroit +104 over WASHINGTONFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
OT included. The blueprint for beating the Capitals is not a difficult one. All one needs to do is stay out of the penalty box and force the Caps to score five on five. Washington is a one-line outfit that has produced an incredible 32% of their goals on the power-play. Five on five, the Caps not only struggle to score, they struggle to get the puck out of their own end. Furthermore, this game is the Caps 10th game since Jan 15 and nine of those have been on the road. They return home after a five game trip that concluded in Detroit on Friday. They lost 4-3 in OT but that is a flattering score to the Capitals, as they were outshot 45-29 and had it not been for Michael Neuvirth, Washington would have been down by four goals or more. Since the Christmas break, the Caps have allowed more shots on net per game than any team in the NHL and the result has been 13 losses in their last 17 games. There is no fix in sight for this team.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Many folks consider the Red Wings as an older team but that is not true at all. An influx of young talent that is starting to gel is what is going to keep the Red Wings as a force to be reckoned with years to come. The Red Wings have scored four goals or more in four of their past five games. Tomas Tatar, Gustav Nyquist, Justin Abdelkader, Riley Sheahan and Darren Helm could all crack just about any lineup in the game. These guys have been groomed to thrive and it’s paying off. The Red Wings are headed in the right direction while the Capitals are one of the worst five teams in the NHL. They’ve been sinking for weeks and they’re not done yet. Better team in a better scheduling spot gets the call.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
OREGON STATE +5 over UCLAFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Bruins are good, make no mistake about that but we’ve seen this scenario play out far too often to ignore it. You see, UCLA is coming off a huge win over the Ducks in Oregon. The Bruins scored a bucket with five seconds left on the clock and those road wins against strong competition is what separates the great from the good in this sport. The Bruins are a tournament team that is going to be many pool participants’ “sleeper” pick to make it the Elite Eight or even the Final Four. However, asking the Bruins to cover by margin here in their second game of back-to-back road tilts is a tall order. UCLA has already played its toughest part of the schedule and that puts them in danger of taking a breather before the final 10 games of the season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Oregon State has no such luxury. It’s now or never for the Beavers and should they lose here, they are not going to the post-season. The Beavers are just 4-4 in the conference and 12-8 overall and they’re going to need to put together a big run against big programs to have a chance at an invite. OSU is playing some decent ball right now. They’ve won three of their past five games, which include an 11-point win in Washington. The Ducks are an outstanding shooting outfit that ranks 14th in the country in FG % and 50th in points scored. Beavers forward Eric Moreland, who was serving a suspension for violation of team rules, has been back for eight games now and he makes a huge difference on this team. He’s an NBA prospect that can block shots, score points and rebound and he already has 16 blocked shots this season. The Bruins have a truly stellar statistical profile but they are just 2-2 on the road while the Beavers are 9-2 at home. In a similar spot on January 16th and 18th, UCLA won in Colorado and subsequently lost two days later in Utah. Seldom do we trust a ranked team to pull away and win by a margin on the road after a big road win just three days ago.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pass NBAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

DAVE COKIN
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS DENVER BRONCOS
PLAY: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +2.5
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
This will be about the briefest analysis you’ll find on one of my daily free plays. The reason is simple enough. The Super Bowl has been dissected from every possible angle, and there’s just nothing particularly relevant I can add that hasn’t been said by someone already.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
One piece of advice. It’s just one game, and should be treated as such as far as your betting bankroll is concerned. The fact the Super Bowl is the biggest game does not mean it should be your biggest bet. Unless you’re over the top convinced one way or the other, play it like you’d play some nondescript basketball game. Trust me, the money doesn’t know the difference.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
So here it is. I use three key sets of metrics to come up with a number. They’ve done well for the most part in the playoffs, including winning both of the conference title games two weeks ago. My line for this game is Seahawks -1.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
In other words, this is not exactly a slam dunk. But I’ve got Seattle as the better team by the smallest of margins. Add in the spread and the only way I can play is to take the Seahawks plus the points.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

NFL Betting Picks

1ST TOUCHDOWN - Wes Welker (Denver) (+950)

1ST TOUCHDOWN - Luke Wilson (Seahawks) (+5000)

For these last two prop bets I've put half a unit on each - Wes Welker and Luke Wilson to score the game's first Touchdown. Wes Welker has been targeted 14 times in two playoff games by Manning and has caught 10 passes for 76 yards and a touchdown. During the regular season he was targeted 110 times with 73 catches and 10 touchdowns. I like the match up for Welker in the red zone and I will take him at +950. The second is a long shot pick on Seahawks tight end Luke Wilson. During the regular season this 5th round Canadian draft pick had 20 catches on 28 targets for 272 yards and a touchdown (average of 13.6 yards per catch). Seahawks coach had this to say about Wilson: "Luke has tremendous talent, he has speed and strength and catching ability and range and all of that". Wilson was targeted once against the 49ers, although it isn't recorded as an official target as a 15 yard penalty was called against the defender. Wilson's TD this year was a 39 yard TD catch, but I could also see them using him in the red zone. Of course at 50/1 it is a long shot, but I will put half a unit on the big athletic TE.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Mr East

TOTAL COMBINED ACCEPTED PENALTIES? UNDER 12.5 -150 It is easy to see which way the odds makers want you to bet offering sucker odds on the over at +120, and deterrent odds on the over, and rightfully so, but just a bad line all together. While both of these teams were heavily penalized this season, that has been the case in prior Super Bowl's as well, without any change in how these games are called. Once you get into the playoffs the referees swallow the whistles as much as possible. Let's take a look at all NFL games over 20+ years and what we see is the following in all regular season games: 2928 times a game resulted in more than 12 penalties 2,928 times and less than 13 penalties 3185 times. That represents 47.9% of all games having 13 or more penalties, making the odds here not worth wagering on. Now let's take a look at all playoff games over the last 12 years and we see an entirely different picture. There were 13 or more total penalties in 41 games, and 12 or less in 101 games. That means just 28.9% of all games would go over the 12.5 posted here, and we have tremendous value on the under. Looking at the last 23 Super Bowls we see similar numbers with just 6 of the 23 having had 13 or more penalties 26.1% of all games, right in line with the entire playoff picture. I like the value on the under here.

WILL THERE BE A SCORELESS QUARTER IN THE GAME? NO -280 This prop based on all Super Bowl games to date show that 15 of the 47 Super Bowl games played have seen a scoreless quarter, or 31.9% of all games. That is right within a statistical acceptance range of the -280 line offered here. However, when you look back at the early years of the Super Bowl, scoring was at a premium. The first 11 Super Bowls played saw 7 games feature a scoreless quarter, and a lot of that is based on what scoring was like in that era. The defenses ruled, and in those first 11 Super Bowls the posted total was an average of 37. What has since happened, counting those 11 games, all Super Bowl totals have averaged 46. It is certainly probable that games with a posted total in the 30s would feature a higher rate of scoreless quarters by default. looking in the most recent era where NFL scoring has risen, if you take the last 16 years, and look at totals posted from 45-49 we see that 7 of the 8 have not featured a scoreless quarter. Denver has also only had 11 scoreless quarters in their 18 games, out of 72 possibilities, or just 15.3% of all quarters, ad Seattle just 15 out of their 72, or 20.8% of the time. Looking aat the Seattle defense we see 33 of 72 scoreless quarters and Denver with 22 of 72. Denver has had only 1 game all season where they were shutout in more than 1 quarter, and Seattle just 3, so for both to match up with a 0 in the same qurter is certainly less likely than the -280 odds offered here.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

David Banks

Seattle / Denver Under 48

Two weeks of hype is finally over and it will be the top offense in NFL history in the Denver Broncos taking on the top defense in the NFL this year in the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLVIII from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ Sunday at 6:30 ET on FOX. The Broncos set an NFL record this season for both total offense at 457.3 yards per game and points scored at 37.9 per contest. The Seahawks led the league this season in total defense surrendering just 273.6 yards per game and in scoring defense allowing an average of 14.4 points. So who usually prevails in these types of battles?

Well, this is the fifth time in Super Bowl history that the number one offense has taken on the number one defense, and the defense went 3-1 in the first four meetings. Furthermore, the one time that the number one offense won it all, it was one of the most complete teams of all time in the 1989-90 San Francisco 49ers who also boasted the league's third ranked defense. But wait there is more! Thus far, 15 teams that led the NFL in total defense have reached the Super Bowl, and those teams have gone 12-3. Now there is obviously no question that Denver's Peyton Manning is a far superior quarterback to Seattle's Russell Wilson, but keep in mind that even Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl riding the coattails of a phenomenal defense, and Wilson's mobility can also add a nice variable vs. the Denver defense. And it is the Seahawks that unquestionably have the better running game here led by Marshawn Lynch, and many a team has been carried by great defense and a power running game to a Super Bowl title.

Manning comes off of possibly his best season at the age of 37 as he set an NFL record with 55 touchdown passes, passing for 5477 yards while completing 68.3 percent of his passes and averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt with only 10 interception. However, it is safe to say that Manning did not face a devastating defense like this all season. Say what you will about the boisterous Seahawk cornerback Richard Sherman, but he backs up his words on the gridiron and is fully capable of taking away half the field in this game. Also, while Manning passed for 400 yards vs. a decimated New England defense in the AFC Championship Game, surprisingly little has been made of the fact that the Broncos still scored only 26 points in that contest after scoring 24 points vs. the San Diego Chargers in the Divisional round, so it is not a given that the Broncos will put up the video-game type numbers they put up during the regular season, especially given the defense they are facing here.

The Seahawks are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall, 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up win and 13-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records. The Broncos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 playoff games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf.


SUNDAY FEB 2/2014 NFL SUPERBOWL PROPS

SUPERBOWL PROP #1:
First score of the game is not a touchdown (+135)

SUPERBOWL PROP #2
Marshawn Lynch to score a TD (-155)

SUPERBOWL PROP #3
Longest Field Goal made (UNDER 43.5 -110)

SUPERBOWL PROP #4
First coaches challenge SEATTLE (-110)

SUPERBOWL PROP #5
Wes Welker to make OVER 5.5 receptions (-135)

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Harry BondiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
KNOWSHON MORENO OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS (-130)VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Seattle secondary can cover as well as anyone in the league and that means Peyton Manning will have to check down quite often, which will benefit Moreno's production today. The Denver starting running back had three of more receptions in 12 of 16 regular season games, so he has been a popular target all season. He only had a total of three receptions in the two playoff games, but that just adds value here today.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

John RyanFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Detroit Red Wings at Washington CapitalsSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Detroit Red WingsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The simulator shows a high probability that the Red Wings will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-15 mark for 68% winners using the money line and has made a very tidy sum of 26 units/unit wagered since 2008. It has feasted on false favorites averaging a nice +128 DOG size play. Play against home Favorites of -200 or less in the month of February against the money line (WASHINGTON) after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals. SIM projects that Washington will score two or fewer goals. In past games, Detroit is a solid 18-6 making 13.2 units this season, 65-15 making 50 units over the past three seasons and 664-87 making 532 units ince 1996 when allowing 2 or fewer goals. Washington is an imperfect 0-23 losing 28 units this season, 12-59 losing 58 units the past three seasons, and 103-470 losing 480 units since 1996 when failing to score more than two goals.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Jimmy Boyd

South Florida +14½

South Florida is a very underrated team, and this matchup sets up perfectly for the Bulls to play a close game with Cincinnati. The Bearcats are playing in a letdown situation after picking up a road win over Louisville in their last outing. They also have another tough AAC opponent on deck when they face UConn, so its likely Cincinnati will be looking ahead to that game. The last time these teams met Cincinnati won by just seven points, and I don't think a change in venue is enough to swing the outcome of this game by enough points for the Bearcats to cover this spread.

You should play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like South Florida when they are facing an opponent that is coming off an upset win as a road underdog. This system is 40-14 (74%) against the spread over the last five seasons. South Florida dominated the rebounding margin in the first meeting of the season. They are +3 in rebounding margin when playing on the road, and with so many factors pointing towards a letdown performance from Cincinnati, the Bulls are an easy call in this game.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 2

Rickie Robbins

Detroit Red Wings vs. Washington Capitals    
Play: Detroit Red Wings +105

The Detroit Red Wings and Washington Capitals will play one another on Sunday for the third and final time this season. The previous two meetings were decided in shootouts and each team has one apiece.

We can only hope for another great hockey matchup before the Super Bowl gets underway.

Anyway, shootouts are what Detroit has gotten used to over the last couple of weeks, as four of its last seven games have been decided in the extra period. It’s won three of its last four games. Although the Red Wings aren’t known as a great offensive team, they’ve scored 17 goals in their last five games, including four in Friday’s game against Washington. It’s the goaltending that has been shaky as of late, allowing 13 goals in the last three games.

The struggle continues the Capitals as they’ve lost nine of their last 11, including two in a row. Alex Ovechkin was fortunate enough to send Washington into overtime against Detroit at the last minute, but one goal by Patrick Eaves ended Washington’s month of January with only four wins. As it has been the story all season, the goal tending continues to be an issue for the Capitals, allowing 13 goals in the last three games.

With both teams struggling to keep the puck out of the net, it may be best to consider playing the over. Both teams haven’t been the most consistent this year and this rivalry has a long history of going back and forth.

The last four meetings between these two teams have gone over the projected total. I like Detroit to win here. They have been playing solid.

Blade
useravatar
Online
213368 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44811
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
280478
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.2
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3554
Newest User:
Kevin
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2467

Online: 
Blade

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com