English Breakfast: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

English Breakfast: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

English Breakfast: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

The Barclays Premier League continues a jam-packed week of action on the pitch with a big slate of games Saturday.

We talk to Aron Black of Bet365 about the action coming in on some of Saturday's hotter fixtures.

Manchester United v Newcastle United (-188, +333, +600)

Why bet Manchester United: The Red Devils haven't won in their last three league matches and will be desperate for a full three points in front of the Old Trafford faithful. It all hinges on whether striker Robin van Persie plays or not. United has not one any of the five matches the Dutch superstar has missed this season. Wayne Rooney will miss this match due to picking up his fifth yellow card in midweek.

Key players out/doubtful: Robin van Persie, Wayne Rooney, Darren Fletcher, Michael Carrick

Why bet Newcastle United: After rattling off four-straight wins, the Newcastle juggernaut was finally stopped in Wales by Swansea. Still, the Magpies are healthy and are playing some of the best football in the league, which cannot be said about their opponent.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor

2012-13 fixture result: United 4, Newcastle 3

Key betting note: United is unbeaten in 22 of the last 23 matches (all competitions) against Newcastle.

Where the action is: "The issue of van Persie's availability is again in question this weekend and will again be an impact on prices as it was for last game, where on announcement that he would not be involved, the price on United’s FT result price went from an already drifting -133 to -125, if he had been in, the price would have been at least -150. These adjustments have not stopped the normal United action, as most would look to the unlikely two-straight losses at home after their recent impressive record had been, but Newcastle sees more action for a +600 range dog at Old Trafford. The draw sees some action but pales in comparison the either side winning."


Crystal Palace v Cardiff (+180, +230, +175)

Why bet Crystal Palace: It already feels like Palace is a different side with Tony Pulis calling the shots. The Eagles have won two of their last three matches in the league and their defending is vastly improved in recent weeks, conceding just one goal over the last four games.

Key players out/doubtful: Adlène Guédioura, Jerome Thomas

Why bet Cardiff: While Palace is on the rise, Cardiff is headed in the other direction. The Bluebirds are just four points ahead and have mustered two points in their last four games. They do have the best defensive record away from home of any of the promoted sides, with just 10 goals conceded through their first seven away matches.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

2012-13 fixture result: N/A

Key betting note: Palace's last six matches have gone under the 2.5 goal scoreline.


Liverpool v West Ham (-350, +500, +1100)

Why bet Liverpool: The Reds, no, Luis Suarez put on a masterful clinic in a 5-1 romp over Norwich midweek. Consistency has eluded Liverpool in recent weeks and the side will hope that the dominating display against the Canaries will fuel a big win over the Hammers.

Key players out/doubtful: Daniel Sturridge, Sebastián Coates, José Enrique

Why bet West Ham: The Hammers need a boost, but this doesn't look like the spot for a turn around. In fact, it's been miserable for the Hammers in their sojourns to Anfield. The Hammers haven't bagged a goal at Liverpool in their last five matches in all competitions.

Key players out/doubtful: Ravel Morrison, Andy Carroll, Mladen Petric, Winston Reid

2012-13 fixture result: Liverpool 0, West Ham 0

Key betting note: The Reds have bagged at least four goals in their last three Premier League games at Anfield.


Southampton v Manchester City (+400, +300, -138)

Why bet Southampton: How the 'mighty' have fallen. The Saints were the darlings of the early part of the season but have lost three-straight matches. That said, they are still tough at home and have just one loss at St. Mary's thus far.

Key players out/doubtful: Morgan Schneiderlin, Gastón Ramírez, Guly, Artur Boruc

Why bet Manchester City: When it comes to scoring goals, no team can touch City. The Citizens have tallied a whopping 40 goals on the season and own a whopping +26 goal differential on the campaign. The club has won three-in-a-row, but have had troubles away from home, with seven points in their seven away matches.

Key players out/doubtful: Stevan Jovetic, Matija Nastasic, David Silva

2012-13 fixture result: Southampton 3, City 1

Key betting note: City has been winning at the half and at full time in six of its last eight Premier League matches.

Where the action is: "Action is all about an away win with about 80 percent of the action so far on City at prices from -125 to the current -138, and this one will probably go further to them if skipper Vincent Kompany is listed to start as reports suggest he will. Sergio Aguero is seeing the most action to be First Goalscorer at +350 and To Score Anytime at +100, which are short prices for an away player, however given his goal scoring form this season, as well as City's fave status in this game, it's well founded."


Stoke v Chelsea (+550, +320, -175)

Why bet Stoke: The Potters have had a mixed-bag of results in recent weeks, with three draws, one win and won loss in their last five. The news in Stoke isn't good, however, as one of their top players - LB Erik Pieters - could miss out with an injury.

Key players out/doubtful: Robert Huth, Erik Pieters

Why bet Chelsea: Despite an at-times leaky back four, the Blues have rattled off three-straight wins and are unbeaten in four. We all know their dominance at Stamford Bridge under Mourinho, but Chelsea is one of the better sides away from home, with 11 points in seven matches.

Key players out/doubtful: David Luiz, Marco van Ginkel

2012-13 fixture result: Stoke 0, Chelsea 4

Key betting note: Chelsea has played over the 2.5 goal total in seven of its last eight Premier League matches.


West Brom v Norwich (-125, +275, +400)

Why bet West Brom: The Baggies are another club that has free-fallen down the table in recent weeks. Currently sitting 13th, they've lost back-to-back matches and haven't collected three points since Nov. 2. On the plus side, a visit from the dreadful Canaries - who have three points in seven away matches all season - could cure what ails them.

Key players out/doubtful: Jonas Olsson, Ben Foster

Why bet Norwich: How do you NOT follow up a decent 1-0 victory over Crystal Palace? By getting demolished by Luis Suarez. The Canaries have been horrific for the better part of the season but have shown flashes on rare occasions. They have gotten the better of the Baggies in recent meetings, as they've won three of the last four in their League meetings.

Key players out/doubtful: Ricky van Wolfswinkel, Elliott Bennett, Robert Snodgrass, Anthony Pilkington

2012-13 fixture result: West Brom 2, Norwich 1

Key betting note: The Canaries have played over the 2.5 goal total in their last four matches away from Carrow Road.


Sunderland v Tottenham (+333, +260, -105)

Why bet Sunderland: Sunderland sits last in the table with just eight points on the season. The Black Cats have improved under new manager Gus Poyet and were unlucky against Chelsea midweek, but a very erratic Spurs side could be ripe for the picking at the Stadium of Light.

Key players out/doubtful: Carlos Cuéllar

Why bet Tottenham: Spurs finally got back in the winning column midweek, but they had to battle back from a losing position and secured three points against a sorry Fulham side. Lewis Holtby's first league goal for Spurs keyed the North London side to victory and despite the sorry play over recent weeks, are still within striking distance of the top four.

Key players out/doubtful: Mousa Dembélé, Jan Vertonghen, Christian Eriksen, Danny Rose

2012-13 fixture result: Sunderland 1, Spurs 2

Key betting note: Spurs have played over the 2.5 goal total in their last three Premier League matches.

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