Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 29

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 29

Joe Gavazzi

Oregon State +22

Arizona RB Casey went for 2 Bucks and QB Denker was 19/22. It sure didn’t seem like the Ducks cared much once their National Championship aspirations evaporated for the season. Even with the opportunity to garner the PAC 12 North, and play in the Rose Bowl, the Ducks showed little motivation. No surprise they have beaten the rival Beavers 5 straight times averaging 47 PPG. But if the motivation for playing for the Rose Bowl did not inspire them, how do they get psyched for an Oregon St. team that has a total meltdown in losing 4 straight games to Stanford by 8, USC by 17, Arizona St. by 13 and Washington by 42 last week, in a game where the Beavers allowed 530 running yards. Note the recent 24-11 ATS road record of Oregon St.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 29

Chris Jordan

I like the basketball game taking place here in Vegas late tonight at the Orleans Arena.

Northwestern is big and physical. UCLA is quick and athletic.

I like what I see with the line I'm getting.

My free winner is in the NBA, as I love the Denver Nuggets to get it done over the visiting New York Knicks, who will conclude a four-game road trip in the Mile High City. Seriously, though, I'm not even analyzing this game, I'm just going to put things in perspective as to why the Knicks could care less and will just want to get back to the Big Apple.

On Nov. 23, the Knicks went to the nation's capital to start this tour. They lost to the Washington Wizards. Two days later they were in Portland, where they lost to the Trail Blazers by 11. Two days later they were in Los Angeles and lost by 13 to the Clippers. Now I don't know the travel habits of the NBA over holidays when you have one day off, but I can't imagine two days after the loss in L.A., the Knicks are in any mood to play in high-altitude Denver on a seven-game losing streak.

If the Knicks flew all the way home to see family yesterday, they're tired. If they didn't, they're likely pissed and frustrated.

I'm telling you now, this is going to be a blowout. Nuggets roll.

3♦ DENVER NUGGETS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 29

LT Profits

Miami-FL vs Pittsburgh
Pick: Pittsburgh +2.5

The Miami Hurricanes were once 7-0 this season and had aspirations of playing in a BCS bowl after being banned from bowl play the last two years, but then running back Duke Johnson was lost for the season during their loss at Florida State and that began a downward spiral as it started a three-game losing streak before a non-covering win over Virginia last week. In fact, the Canes are now on a six-game ATS losing streak. The Pittsburgh Panthers are in their first season in the ACC and they became bowl eligible with a 17-16 road win at Syracuse last week. Pitt is 3-4 in the conference and now has a chance to even that mark at home vs. a disappointed team they may not be too excited the rest of the way given the Canes’ preseason hopes. Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games vs. teams with winning road records.


Duke vs Arizona
Pick:Arizona -2.5

It is a marquee matchup in the NIT Season Tip-Off Final with the fourth ranked Arizona Wildcats facing the sixth ranked Duke Blue Devils, although the latter may be overrated as usual. More telling than the poll rankings is that Arizona is ranked 10th on the Pomeroy Ratings while Duke only ranks 22nd. The Blue Devils can shoot the basketball as they have an outstanding effective field goal percentage of 61.5 percent, but they can also get pushed around under the boards. Arizona has a huge edge there as the Wildcats rank 12th in defensive rebounding percentage while Duke is 239th in offensive rebounding percentage. Also, while four of the Arizona starters played big minutes last season, Duke’s only starting senior is the limited Tyler Thornton, and the youth of the Blue Devils showed in their loss to Kansas. Duke is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games following an ATS win.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 29

OC Dooley

Cavaliers +4

Since both sides are struggling with poor overall shooting percentages from the field, it is wise to “take” the generous points.  At most offshore locations this game opened with the Celtics as just a three-and-a-half point favorite but the line has increased since the nation back on Wednesday got to see Cleveland in an ESPN national telecast where LeBron James came back to home.  Following Wednesday’s 95-84 home loss versus defending league champion Miami in what was an emotional affair, the Cavaliers are riding an 0-4 skid which is a season-high.  Star point guard Kyrie Irving (21 ppg) was quick to point out that his Cleveland teammates are determined to quote “figure things out” and they certainly have a COACHING edge this evening in terms of experience.  The Cavs are being coached by Mike Brown for a second time and he is still implementing his detailed defensive schemes which only were introduced during training camp.  Not only is Brown experienced after taking the Cavaliers annually to the playoffs when LeBron James was still with the team, he has a vast “professional” edge as opposed to new Boston head coach Brad Stevens who prior to this campaign had only collegiate experience with Butler.  Boston may have an above .500 record with Stevens but in front of the HOME fans (2-5 SU/ATS) they have struggled.  In the coaching career of current Cleveland head coach Mike Brown, when his teams are coming off an ugly loss of “double digits” his squads have responded with a 25-11 ATS/ROAD mark

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