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Sunday Night Football Cowboys vs Saints

Sunday Night Football Cowboys vs Saints

DALLAS (5 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 2) - 11/10/2013, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

Dallas at New Orleans
Dallas: 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in the second half of the season
New Orleans: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games

Dallas @ New Orleans

The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 4-1 ATS as underdogs against NFC South opponents. The Saints are 15-6 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 21-10 ATS as a favorite overall, 9-1 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 17-4 ATS overall at home, 19-6 ATs when playing in a dome and 12-6 ATS versus winning teams. Note the underdog in this series is 8-0 ATS the last 8 meetings and the underdog in Dallas games now stands at 35-12 ATS.

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Re: Sunday Night Football Cowboys vs Saints

NFL Week 10

Cowboys (5-4) @ Saints (6-2) —
New Orleans is 4-0 as home favorite this year, winning by average score of 32-15; Payton covered his last 12 regular season home games- Saints are 17-7 in game following their last 24 losses. Saints turned ball over twice in all three of their losses (-3), only three times (+9) in their five wins. Rob Ryan coached Dallas defense LY, so he has to have at least a little advantage here, vs Cowboy squad that is 1-3 on road, with losses by 1-1-9 points, with a 17-3 win at Philly (KO’d Foles after he had only 80 PY in over a half). Home team lost last five games in this series, with Saints winning seven of last eight (30-27/34-31 last two)- this is just second trip to Superdome for Dallas in last decade. Cowboys have 11 takeaways (+7) in last four games; tey ran ball only nine times last week, dropped back to pass 54 times- they won’t win shootout in this dome. NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 6-6, 4-4 on road; NFC South home favorites are 5-2. Four of last five Saint games, four of last six Dallas games went over the total.

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Sunday Night Football Betting: Cowboys at Saints

Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints (-6.5, 53.5)

The Dallas Cowboys have had trouble away from home and face a difficult road test when they visit the New Orleans Saints on Sunday night. New Orleans is undefeated at home and leads the NFC South by one game, but is coming off an ugly offensive performance in a 26-20 defeat at the New York Jets last week. The game features a juicy subplot - Saints defensive coordinator Rob Ryan gets to face the team that fired him from the same position after last season.

Dallas owns a one-game lead atop the NFC East following a last-minute, come-from-behind victory over the Minnesota Vikings last week. It marked another close call for the Cowboys, who have lost three of their four games by a combined five points. Dallas has dropped two straight and seven of eight against the Saints, including a 34-31 overtime home loss in December 2012 - a game in which New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees threw for 446 yards and three touchdowns.

LINE: The Saints opened at -7 and have been bet down to -6.5. The total opened at 52.5 and is up to 53.5.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Cowboys (-3.5) - Saints (-5.0) + home field (-3.0) = Sains -4.5

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (5-4 SU, 7-2 ATS): Tony Romo threw for 337 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week to rally the Cowboys, his third 300-yard game in the past five as the running game continues to struggle. Running back DeMarco Murray returned from a two-game injury absence but had only four carries for 31 yards as the Cowboys ran the ball a franchise-low nine times. Romo had a huge game in last season's loss to New Orleans, throwing for 416 yards and four touchdown passes. Dez Bryant had nine receptions for a career-best 224 yards and a pair of scores in that game, but he missed practice Wednesday due to back tightness and was limited in Thursday's session.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS): New Orleans has lost two of three following a 5-0 start and part of the problem is an inability to run the ball while stopping the opponent from doing so. The Saints managed 41 yards on 13 carries and were gashed for 198 yards on the ground by the Jets. "We've been a little bit lopsided," New Orleans coach Sean Payton said. "Pass protection becomes more manageable when you're running the football." Tight end Jimmy Graham has two TD catches in four of his last five games despite battling a foot injury, and the passing game should be helped by the return of running back Darren Sproles, who suffered a concussion last week.


* Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Saints are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games versus a team with a winning record.
* Under is 11-4 in Cowboys last 15 road games.
* Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games on fieldturf.


1. Brees and Romo rank 2-3 in the league with 21 and 20 TD passes, respectively.

2. Dallas is 11-0 when Murray has at least 18 carries.

3. Three-time Pro Bowl LB Jonathan Vilma (knee) was placed on season-ending injured reserve by the Saints just three days after making his season debut.

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Dallas at New Orleans

DALLAS COWBOYS (5-4) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (6-2) Line & Total: New Orleans -7 & 54.5
Opening Line & Total: Saints -7 & 53.5

The Saints look to remain undefeated in the Superdome when they host the Cowboys on Sunday night.

Dallas is coming off of a tight 27-23 home victory over the Vikings, but New Orleans was unable to beat the Jets on the road. The Cowboys are just 1-3 SU on the road, but 3-1 ATS, and have another tough matchup against the Saints who are 4-0 (SU and ATS) in their own building and beating visitors by 17.2 PPG.

Last season, New Orleans earned a 34-31 win as an underdog in Dallas in a game that featured 400+ passing yards for each team. That continues the Saints' dominance in this series where they are 7-2 (SU and ATS) versus the Cowboys since 1994, including 4-1 ATS (3-2 SU) at home. New Orleans is also 17-4 ATS in home games over the past three seasons, including 11-1 ATS as a home favorite of seven points or less. However, Dallas has been a great underdog wager under Jason Garrett, going 7-1 ATS when getting between 3.5 points and 9.5 points from the lines.
The Cowboys defense should benefit from the return of DE DeMarcus Ware (quad), but WR Miles Austin (hamstring) is doubtful to play for the Cowboys. Both SS Roman Harper (knee) and WR Marques Colston (knee) could be out for the Saints, but RB Darren Sproles (concussion) has already returned to practice and should play on Sunday night.

With just 35 seconds remaining against the Vikings last week, QB Tony Romo connected with WR Dwayne Harris for a game-winning touchdown. Romo is having a great season, throwing for 2,553 yards (7.4 YPA), 20 touchdowns and just six interceptions. He also lit up New Orleans last year with 416 passing yards (9.7 YPA) and 4 TD. WR Dez Bryant had 224 of those yards and two scores on nine receptions (24.9 avg.), but he caught just six passes for 64 yards last week. With the Vikings keeping Bryant in check, Romo turned to his old go-to pass catcher in TE Jason Witten, who finished with eight receptions for 102 yards and a touchdown in the win.

The Cowboys ran a franchise-low eight times in the game, and will need to get back to using RB DeMarco Murray against the Saints. Murray is averaging 4.8 yards per carry this season and in his four rushing attempts against the Vikings, he ran for 31 yards (7.8 YPC). He also caught six passes out of the backfield for 19 yards.

The Dallas defense will have a tough time stopping Saints QB Drew Brees on Sunday if they don’t tweak some things. The club is allowing 305.2 YPG through the air (2nd-worst in NFL) and Brees leads the Saints offense that is third in the league with 317.6 passing YPG. The return of DE DeMarcus Ware (115 career sacks) should help put more pressure on Brees.

New Orleans suffered a disappointing 26-20 loss to the Jets last week, but now Drew Brees gets a dream matchup with a Cowboys defense that really struggles against the pass. That was certainly the case when these teams met last year when Brees completed 37-of-53 passes (70%) for 446 yards, 3 TD and 0 INT. Brees has thrown for 2,672 yards, 21 touchdowns and just seven interceptions this season, but two of these picks came in last week's defeat. TE Jimmy Graham, who caught two touchdowns as part of 116 yards against the Jets, remains his go-to option, especially with both RB Darren Sproles (concussion) and WR Marques Colston (knee) slowed by injury.

The Saints would like to have both Sproles and Colston back after they each tallied more than 100 receiving yards in last year's win in Dallas. But Graham, who had 88 receiving yards in the 2012 meeting, has been completely dominant this season, catching 49 passes for 746 yards and an NFL-best 10 touchdowns. The Saints will need to find a way to get their ground game going, as they rushed for just 41 yards in the loss to the Jets.

New Orleans’ defense doesn’t have a favorable matchup against Tony Romo and the explosive Cowboys offense, but they have done an excellent job against the pass so far, allowing just 211.9 yards per game through the air (5th in NFL) and a lot of the credit should be given to Rob Ryan, the team’s defensive coordinator. The Saints defense was miserable last season, and is now one of the league’s best in terms of defending third downs (34.7%, 6th in NFL) which has prevented long drives and led to its meager 27:05 time of possession on defense (2nd-best in league). SS Roman Harper would be a tough loss for New Orleans, however, as it will need all of its secondary players available to defeat pass-happy Dallas.

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