Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

SPORTS WAGERS

MIAMI +3 over Cincinnati

The 6-2 Bengals are on a four game winning streak and look like the cream of the AFC North. They are only 2-2 on the road though and before last week won their games by very small margins. The 3-4 Dolphins have lost their last four games and are just 1-2 at home. The question is if this is a correction game - streaks of five are somewhat rare, either way, and both exist in this game. The Bengals also have a trip to Baltimore after this game which is a much bigger matchup since they can further dominate the division. On paper this should be a decent Bengals win but the two losses at home by the Fins were only by three points or less. This is also the third road game in the last four weeks for the Bengals with a fifth looming next week.

The Fins have only allowed two touchdown passes over their three home games this year and no one passed for more than 269 yards. All combined, Miami has only allowed nine passing scores over seven games and that includes four thrown by Drew Brees in New Orleans. This is a good defense playing a Bengals team that has not had much time to prepare. The same can be said for the Fish but the difference is Miami is at home and they’re the team receiving points. Let’s not forget that the Dolphins built a 17-3 lead in New England last week before faltering in second half. In a good situation and getting points at home, the Dolphins get the call here. Buy low, sell high.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

SPORTS WAGERS

Nashville +143 over PHOENIX

OT included. The Coyotes have won four of their past five games but what’s most surprising is that this team is scoring goals at a higher rate than any team in the West except for Chicago and San Jose. The Coyotes 8-3-2 record has masked the fact that this team is also allowing a lot of goals. In fact in the West, only the Flames and Oilers are allowing more goals than the ‘Yotes and that’s not a strong argument for spotting a price like this one.

This is a rather large overlay on the Predators because of Pekka Rinne’s injury but that’s not enough to deter us from playing them in this good spot. Incidentally, Carter Hutton is 2-1 with a .927 save %, which is the 10th best mark in the game. You would have to go deep into the archives to find the last time the Coyotes were favored by this much over the Predators and frankly, it’s just not warranted. Prior to losing in St. Louis in its last game, Nashville had picked up points in six of its past seven. They are healthy (outside of Rinne of course) and they are rested, having been off since Saturday. Here’s the kicker for this one: Between now and Nov. 15, the Preds will travel nearly 7,000 miles across North America to play seven games in 17 days. It’s a franchise-record road trip in terms of time away from Nashville, as the Predators did have a seven-game trip in 2002-03. It’s the kind of road stretch that could make or break their season and setting the tone in the first game is of the upmost importance.

“I said to the guys that this could be the best trip we’ve ever had based on what we do,” Head Coach Barry Trotz said. “We’ll be making a North American tour. We’ll see every climate, both sides of the country. If you look at it in a positive way versus it being a negative, we’ll be fine. I have no doubts this team can play well on the road.”

Based on the situation and the price, the Preds are most certainly worthy of a play here.


Buffalo +174 over N.Y. RANGERS

OT included. The Rangers want to win at home badly but that’s not enough reason to pass up a wager against them at a price this high. Fact is, the Rangers are averaging less than two goals a game, which makes them a huge risk spotting a tag like this. They are also missing key personnel and goaltender Henrik Lundqvist is just playing average. The Rangers did not play a single preseason game at home. They opened the season with 10 straight on the road, meaning they’ve been boarding a plane and flying around almost daily for almost seven weeks. After hosting the Canadiens on Monday, they had another road game on Long Island on Tuesday. This is an exhausted and laboring team spotting a huge tag.

One had to be impressed with the Sabres effort against Dallas on Monday. They fell behind 4-1 and instead of quitting they dug down harder, rallied to make it 4-3 and outshot the Stars 9-5 in the third. Despite losing, it was probably Buffalo’s best game of the season and it’s no coincidence that it was Matt Moulson’s debut. A true pro in every sense, Moulson went out there and played his heart out instead of showing disappointment after being traded from one of the NHL’s best lines. Buffalo has been better on the road with two wins in six games and they always seem to play hard in New York. Another effort like the one against Dallas here and the Sabres absolutely have a chance to win.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

SPORTS WAGERS

South Florida +19 over HOUSTON

The Cougars are 6-1 overall and 3-0 in the conference. As a five-point pooch at Rutgers last weekend, Houston won 49-14 and that result combined with South Florida’s 34-3 loss to Louisville has the Cougars extremely overvalued here. Houston has had a lot of success against a slew or awful teams. They’ve also had a huge edge in turnovers and field position the entire season, which has also helped to skew their numbers. Contrary to public belief, this is not a dominant Cougars football team. The Cougars have covered nine straight games dating back to last season, but only two of those came as a favorite of more than a field goal and now they’re being asked to lay some serious weight.

The Bulls do not have much appeal but what they do have is a decent defense that can keep them in this game. South Florida will also make a QB change for this game in true freshman Mike White. The return of workhorse RB Marcus Shaw is also significant, as the Bulls could eat up a lot of clock by slowing this game down and allowing Shaw to wear down the Cougars defense, something he’s very capable of. Lastly, the Cougars have a huge game up next week against #23 UCF and for a young and unseasoned club, that game next week will certainly take some focus away from this one. This is not the right time to get on the Cougars bandwagon.


WASHINGTON ST. +11 over Arizona State

Seriously, 11 points? Indeed the Sun Devils are an explosive bunch that has some big wins on their résumé this year but this game is not in the desert. ASU’s QB Taylor Kelly has not come close to thriving on the road like he has at home during his career. The Sun Devils have played just one road game this season and lost by 14 at Stanford. ASU is still likely to score a bunch here but their defense is not capable of preventing the Cougars from scoring and that’s a significant disadvantage on the road when spotting a tag like this one.

The Cougars are so much better than their 4-4 record suggests. They’ve been buried in three of their last four games but those losses occurred against Oregon, Oregon State and Stanford. WSU has an offense capable of matching ASU’s offense yard for yard. Connor Hall has already thrown 18 TD’s and nearly 3000 yards. It’s a distinct possibility that the Cougars get the first TD here and that would give them an 18-point advantage when you include the margin being offered. Give a special teams’ edge to the Cougars, home field and 11 big points with an equally explosive offense and we’ll take it every time.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

SPORTS WAGERS

CHICAGO -7½ over New York

There's no better way to begin a season than by having your best player declare he's always wanted to be a free agent. Carmelo Anthony foreshadowing aside, the Knicks won't have J.R. Smith or Amar'e Stoudemire and that makes the New York spotlight shine just a little bit brighter on Andrea Bargnani, who freezes like a deer in the headlights when the going gets tough. New York blew a 21-point lead at home against Milwaukee last night against a Bucks’ squad that might be unwatchable this season. The Knicks are not improved this season and the oddsmakers know it but offering these enticing points. Don’t bite. 

The Bulls are coming off a rather disastrous opening night loss in Miami in a game they were supposed to compete in. They didn’t but that was Derrick Rose’s first game back in a long time and he was not the same. Now that Rose has that game out of the way, expect a different story here. Derrick Rose is everything. If Rose returns to form, the Bulls will be the most improved team in the league. Chicago has assembled the perfect roster around Rose and now they just need the centerpiece to relax on the floor and do what he does best. Expect a big response from both Rose and the rest of the team in their home opener.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Dave Price

North Texas -2.5

North Texas has been tough to beat at home in recent years. In fact, it has won 10 of its last 13 at home and is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four there. The Mean Green should be able to continue their home success tonight against a Rice squad that has struggled to stop the run. Rice ranks 82nd in the country in run defense with 181.9 yards allowed per game, and that's looks to be a big problem for the Owls. You see, North Texas, which averages 157.5 yards per game on the ground, is a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS this season when rushing for more than 104 yards. I don't see Rice being able to keep the Mean Green from reaching that mark tonight. Lay the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Ross Benjamin

Anaheim Ducks vs Boston Bruins
Play: Anaheim Ducks +115

The Boston Bruins host the Anaheim Ducks on Thursday at the TD Garden with the opening faceoff coming at 7:05 PM ET. According to NHL betting odds the Bruins are a -135 money line home favorite and the total is 5.5. These two clubs have seen 5 of their last 7 meetings in Boston go over the total.

Home Crowd Hangover

There is sure to be some type of emotional letdown today in the city of Boston today after watching their Red Sox win the World Series last night at home. It marked the first time in 95 years that the Red Sox had won a World Championship at historic Fenway Park. The question will be entering tonight’s game will be how much energy will the home town faithful have left to cheer on their beloved Bruins in an early season non-conference game?

Getting Back on the Saddle

The Bruins were defeated 3-2 last night in Pittsburgh which marks the first time this season that they’ve lost 2-games in a row. Boston ran into a Pittsburgh team last night that was playing with a chip on their shoulders after being swept in 4-games of last season’s Eastern Conference Finals. On a positive note Jerome Iginla scored his 3rd goal in the last 2-games in last night’s loss. In addition the loss marked the first road defeat of the season for the Bruins who had won their first 4-games of the season in enemy territory. Boston is now 5th in the Atlantic Division just 2-points behind Tampa Bay, Montreal, and Detroit who are all tied for second place. Backup goaltender Chad Johnson is scheduled to get the start tonight for the Bruins.

The Mighty Ducks

The Anaheim Ducks are off to a terrific 10-3 start to the season which finds them in second place in the Pacific Division just 2-points behind first place San Jose. This will be the Ducks 5th game of a 7-game road trip that has seen them go 3-1 thus far. Tuesday night they captured their third win in a row with a 3-2 victory at Philadelphia. The Ducks trailed in the game 2-0 at the conclusion of the 1st period. They proceeded to score the last 3-goals of the game with the winner from Kyle Palmieri coming with just 4:09 left in the 3rd period. It was the 2nd goal of the game for Palmieri with both of those coming in the final stanza. The Ducks outshot the Flyers 37-28 which is nothing new this season. The Ducks are 2nd in the NHL averaging 35 shots on goal per game, and have outshot their opponents by an average of 6.5 per game. The Ducks #1 goaltender Jonas Hiller is scheduled to be between the pipes tonight.

Final Analysis

This is an extremely tough spot for the hometown Bruins for a variety of reasons. Boston expended an abundance of emotion and energy in last night’s loss at Pittsburgh. The Ducks enter this contest riding a wave of momentum, and are sure to be up to the challenge of playing one of the best teams in the NHL. In addition the Ducks will have their #1 guy in goal tonight, while the Bruins will rest star goalie Tuukka Rask who played in last night’s loss. My lean is with the red-hot road underdog in this spot.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Jeff Alexander

Louisiana-Monroe +3

The Warhawks are a reliable 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games, and they have been even more valuable on the road in tonight's specific spot. ULM is 9-1 ATS in road games the last 3 seasons if it played at home last game. It is also on a perfect 7-0 ATS run as a road underdog of 3 points or less. It has won these 7 contests by an average of 12.8 points. Bet the Warhawks.

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NHL Predictions

Phoenix Coyotes -155

The Predators enter this game 6-5-1 on the season, although they are just 2-3 at home. Phoenix is 8-3-2 on the year, and they are one of the best home teams early in the season going 5-0-1 at home so far. The Predators have been off since Saturday, which was a 6-1 loss at home vs St Louis. They've dropped 2 of their last 3 scoring just 4 goals over those three games. The Coyotes beat the Kings 3-1 on Tuesday which was their 4th win in their last 5 games. They've scored 21 goals over those 5 games, which is 4.2 goals per game. Phoenix now ranks T4 in the NHL with 3.31 goals per game, while the Predators sit in 27th with just 1.92 goals per game. Note that dating back to last season the Preds are just 6-21 in their last 27 vs a team with a winning record, 6-22 in their last 28 road games, and 1-7 in their last 8 following a loss of 3+ goals. The Coyotes are 4-0 in their last 4 home games and have won 4 of their last 5 meetings with Nashville and 4 straight meetings in Phoenix. With Phoenix playing so well at home this year and Mike Smith expected to start again tonight I will go ahead and lay the chalk on the Coyotes at home.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Andre Gomes

Golden State Warriors +6.5 & Over 204.5

The Clippers got crushed on the fourth quarter of their opening game against the Lakers. Of course the main reason for that was their poor defense, something that Doc Rivers immediately mentioned after the game.

"I thought we broke down a lot defensively" Doc Rivers said. "All the things we've worked on that we do in the drill, then when the lights came on, we didn't do them and they took advantage of them."

So, the key question for this game is if the Clippers will be able to adjust defensively with just one practice in the middle between games. I believe that's highly unlikely and I really think that the Clippers will continue to struggle on defense on their following games. Doc Rivers is trying to implement the same defensive system that he used in Boston, a system that had Kevin Garnett as the key defensive player, who was amazing on team help defensive coverage. That role in LA has to be performed by Blake Griffin, who lacks Garnett's excellent defensive skills (so far). Worse than that, the Clippers have J.J. Redick and Jared Dudley on the backcourt, two players who aren't explosive enough on closing out on the opposing shooters. This is why the Lakers shot 14-29 3pts against them and that they will get an even tougher task tonight against the team that was #1 on 3pts% last season. Besides that, the Warriors showed already yesterday that they have a great offensive flow and two of the best shooters in the league in Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson.  The Warriors absolutely crushed the Lakers last night and so, they were able to rest players for today. This was vital for them, as their lack of depth is the team's main weakness, especially with Harrison Barnes injured.

On the other hand, the Clippers' offense looked good against the Lakers, with a good ball movement (27 assists) and 19 fast break points. Their only problem was the poor 13-23 FT, with Blake Griffin struggling with 3-10 FT! Also Chris Paul didn't impress a lot with 5-13 FG, something weird as he had an excellent offensive matchup in that game. The Clippers are still struggling on their second unit especially due to the lack of a reliable big man. In fact, from the bench, Ryan Hollins was the only frontcourt player that entered the court and only for four minutes! Mark Jackson will possibly save Andre Iguodala to defend Chris Paul on the fourth quarter, something that could make Paul struggle a bit, especially as the Clippers don't have a perimeter defensive stopped like Eric Bledsoe last season to hide Chris Paul from having to defend Curry or Klay.

I expect a close and offensive minded contest in here, with both teams showing more efficiency on offense than on defense. I believe the Warriors are being clearly underrated in here as well and so, I'll be taking both Golden State and the Over in here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Jeff Benton

Thursday freebie is the Houston Cougars as the home favorite over the USF Bulls.

Not too much thought needed here, as this is a Halloween rout tonight in Houston.

The Cougars are averaging nearly 40 points per game for the season, and they have covered 9 in a row against the spread. The Bulls have failed to score an offensive touchdown in their last 12 quarters of football, and are just 2-5 under first year coach Willie Taggart this season.

Houston has a big game with conference-rival Central Florida up next on November 9th, but the Cougars own a superior 15-3-1 home spread mark when installed as the favorite, and they own too much firepower for a USF bunch that doesn't even average two touchdowns a game this year.

Cougars roar.

4♦ HOUSTON

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Craig Davis

Thursday free play winner in the NBA on the Clippers over the Warriors.

Honestly, it's so early in the NBA season that it's tough to handicap these games from a normal handicapping standpoint.

You have to look for advantages in the number, and I think I've found one in this game.

Here's what I see... I see a Golden State team that pummeled the Lakers last night, the same Lakers team that beat up the Clippers on opening night.

So what am I reading and hearing today? I'm hearing all about how the Warriors will pound the Clippers and how the Clips are overrated. Seriously??? After one game?

They will be fine once Doc Rivers gets his gameplan into action, and it could start as early as tonight.

Why would Vegas list the Clips as 6- to 7-point favorites after what happened the first two nights if they weren't encouraging Warrior money?

Take the Clippers to win and cover at home as your free play of the day.

2♦ L.A. CLIPPERS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Scott Delaney

My free play for Thursday night is going to be a bit of a shocker, perhaps, as I like the Under in the Arizona State-Washington State contest. The Pac 12 tends to play high with plenty of West Coast offensive units, but this total in the 70s is nonsense.

There is far too much at stake for these two teams to let down tonight, and basically allow one another to run the score up. On the contrary, I think we're actually going to see a physical game that may turn into a contest of who can hold the ball longer.

Arizona State needs just one win to become bowl eligible while Washington State needs two. Wazzou is out to post a third Pac-12 win for the first time since 2007, and the Devils are looking for their first road win of the season.

On paper, I know, it looks as if we could have a monster-scoring game. After all, Arizona State's high-powered offense ranks sixth in Division I FBS with an average of 45.4 points per game, and tonight takes a crack at a WSU defense that allows nearly 30 ppg. Nevertheless, this one is in Pullman, and with the teams coming off bye weeks, I think the Cougars might be well-prepared defensively.

The same can be said for ASU's stop unit, which is forcing opponents into an average of 6.7 three-and-out drives per game, a stat that ranks fourth nationally. And after facing physical teams like Wisconsin, Stanford, Notre Dame and Washington in a little over a month, the Devils are battle-tested for games like this.

Trust me, all the stats dictate a high-scoring game and there's no doubt these are two talented offensive units that can put  points on the board, but when everything points in one direction, the general rule of thumb is to go the other way.

Take the Under here.

5♦ Arizona State/Washington State UNDER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Brad Wilton

Free play for this Thursday night is the Rice Owls plus the points at North Texas.

Hot vs. hot tonight, as the Owls stand at 6-2 while the Mean Green are 5-3.

Have to side with the visiting dogs here, as Rice has covered 5 of their last 7 games when listed as the true road underdog, and they are 9-3-1 overall when they are catching points from the oddsmakers!

North Texas has made their bones this season in forcing turnovers, as they have forced 25 of them thus far, but Rice has been very good in protecting the football this season with Taylor McHargue doing solid work under center this season.

On the flip side, North Texas signal-caller Derek Thompson has more picks (11) than TD passes (10) this year, so look for an untimely turnover to swing the balance of this crucial Conference USA game tonight in Denton.

Hoot, hoot, the Owls plus the points to cover another!

2♦ RICE

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Brett Atkins

My free winner for Thursday night is on a college football total, as I like the Sun Belt battle between Troy and UL Monroe to stay low, and fall under the posted total.

Troy is back at home after last week’s upset of Western Kentucky, while UL-Monroe heads east after pulling away as double-digit ‘chalk’ against Georgia State. Both teams will be intensifying things defensively in this one, especially the Trojans, who allowed 532 total yards to the Hilltoppers, who cashed in for a whopping 29 first downs. This was an area of concern for the Trojans to improve on, and knowing the Warhawks are a physical bunch, Troy will have no choice but to step its game up on D.

Monroe is going to look to control the line of scrimmage on offense, with bruising running back Centarius Donald, who broke the century mark for the first time his senior season, rumbling for 126 yards on just eight carries.

Some might say the Warhawks are a viable underdog, which means a slower pace and lower-scoring game. After all, Monroe is on low-scoring runs of 4-1 on the road, 5-2 in the month of October and 4-0 overall.

This total is a bit high, as I think they're more likely to score in the 52-point range.

2♦ Troy/UL Monroe  UNDER

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Cincinnati/ Miami Over 43: The Miami defense has some hole, especially vs the pass and they will be taking on a hot QB in Andy Dalton. who has thrown for 1034 yards and 11 TD's in his last 3 games. Miami has allowed 23.9 ppg on the year and have allowed at least 23 points in each of their last 5 games. The Fish have allowed 24 ppg at home, with their home games putting up 47.3 ppg. The Miami offense is not great, but at home they do average 23.7 ppg, while the Bengals have allowed 22.6 ppg on the road. Thursday non-div games have gone a perfect 9-0 to teh Over in last 2 years when the OU line is < 49 pts, while all road favs of less than 5 playing off a 40+ point win have gone 10-0 to the over since 1991. Stats and trends support this play and I will roll will them both. I look for at least 48 points scored in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Harry Bondi

WASHINGTON STATE (+11) over Arizona State

We'll play the passing home underdog here. Washington State continues to be undervalued in the betting markets, going 6-2 against the spread this season, including 2-0 as an underdog in this range. Yes, the high-flying Arizona State offense has been piling up points, but tonight it will have to deal with some cold and windy conditions it is not used to. The last time ASU QB Taylor Kelly played in a cold-weather game he had one of the worst outings of his career, completing 22 of 41 passes vs. Oregon State for 153 yards. ASU hasn't beaten a Pacific Northwest team on the road since 2010 and is 2-10 away from home in November and December during that span. The Cougars are averaging 38 points per game at home and with a week off to lick its wounds after getting drilled by Oregon two weeks ago, they'll be rested and ready for tonight's game. Take the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Brady Kannon

Miami Dolphins +3

The Cincinnati Bengals are on quite a roll, having won 4-straight. Meanwhile, The Dolphins, after having started the year 3-and-0, have lost 4-straight SUATS. But Miami has been improved since the bye, outstatting their last two opponents. The numbers are pretty close in this match up. While Cincinnati's defense is the superior of the two, The Fish are very close in yards given up per play and actually get out on 3rd down more often than The Bengals stop unit does. Miami has been tested with a slightly more difficult schedule than that of The Bengals and while we are typically not a big fan of The Dolphins as a favorite, here we are getting a field goal against a non-division opponent, a role in which they succeed at a 9-and-1 ATS clip. Even better, Miami is 7-and-0 ATS off of a loss when going out of division against a team that has won 3-straight. We also like the fact that Cincinnati is coming off of such a convincing, high scoring victory as road teams off of a win of 40-or more points are just 1-and-8 ATS in the next game. What this all adds up to is the line being pushed in The Bengals favor, given their recent run, and away from Miami given their recent losses, albeit under the radar, the club is playing better. Finally, more reason to like the situation for The Dolphins as opposed to that of The Bengals is the fact that Cincinnati goes back in division to face the defending SuperBowl Champ Ravens next week and then into a revenge game with Cleveland the following week.  With The Cats set up to fall off a notch, we're going to back a solid team, at home, getting points, ready to right the ship on National TV.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

Wunderdog

Arizona State at Washington State
Pick: Washington State +11

Mike Leach hasn't quite gotten this Washington State Cougars program up to where he'd like it to be, but progress has been made. The Cougars are a respectable 4-4, with all four losses coming to teams ranked in the top 32 in the country, including three loss vs. the top 11. Arizona enters at 5-2, but they stole a win on a horrible call vs. Wisconsin. And, they have been vulnerable against good offenses, so I expect a lot of scoring here. The Sun Devils' game has not translated to field turf of late as they are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six playing on it, and is also a product of the fact that they do not seem to travel well at 1-4 ATS in their last five on the road. Washington State has shown the ability to shake off an ugly loss to go 6-0 ATS in their last six after losing by 20 points or more. Leach is 33-17 ATS in his career after a loss and he has had two weeks to prepare for this one and he will keep it close.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

The Real Animal

UL-Monroe / Troy Over 60.5

Granted the opponent was Georgia State but maybe UL-Monroe QB Kolton Browning is back in form.  He was a surprise starter last week and really revitalized the Warhawk offense throwing four touchdown passes.  Troy is #99 in points allowed this year at 32.8 points per game. But certainly nothing wrong with the Trojan offense. Troy is #16 behind senior QB Corey Robinson, who is the active leader right now in NCAA career passing yards.  Plus he has thrown 77 career touchdown passes. Troy has scored 32 or more points in 6/7 games this year.  Troy is 32-18 ‘OVER’ following a spread win under Coach Blakeney.  Troy barely went ‘UNDER’ 62 in their last game against Western Kentucky. The final was 32-26 with a total of 62.  That game featured 705 passing yards and 930 total yards. There was only eight points scored in the entire fourth quarter. Prior to that contest, Troy had played ‘OVER’ in all six games this year.  I’ll go ‘OVER’ 60 ½ tonight and anticipate a shootout between Robinson and Browning.  Troy put up 32 points at Western Kentucky in their last game. UL-Monroe recently yielded 31 points and 530 total yards to the Hilltoppers at home..

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, October 31

OC Dooley

Arizona St / Washington St Over 70.5

Both sides have had extra time to prepare for what should be an entertaining evening when considering that Arizona State (53 points scored) and Washington State (62 points allowed) are coming off very high scoring contests.  In the case of the visiting Sun Devils they are coming off a vicious stretch of facing four different “physical” foes that excel on the defensive side of the football including Wisconsin, Stanford and Notre Dame.  Courtesy of a bye-week Arizona State actually went an entire seven-day stretch WITHOUT suiting up in pads during practice which will have them refreshed coming into this particular contest against a struggling stop-unit.  During a current 1-3 skid Washington State’s defense in the setbacks has given up on average a whopping 56 points per pop.  While the Cougars have defensive deficiencies their head coach is the same Mike Leach who for years directed the high-octane offense at Texas Tech which was known as the “air raid”.  Here is an outstanding 85-PERCENT SYSTEM (29-5 the past five years with a high total of 70 points or more) that plays hot teams like Arizona State who have won at least 4 times in a six-game span OVER the total, in weeks 10-through-13 of the campaign.  My research also indicates that in the past three years after a game where the defense was shredded allowing at least 325 pass yards in the air, Washington State is an incredible “9-0” OVER the spot in the ensuing contest.

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