Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

DUNKEL INDEX

NFL

Kansas City at Philadelphia
The Chiefs look to take advantage of a Philadelphia team that is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3)

Game 301-302: Kansas City at Philadelphia (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 130.509; Philadelphia 130.236
Dunkel Line: Even; 55
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3); Over

NCAAF

Clemson at NC State
The Tigers look to build on their 9-4 ATS record in their last 13 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Clemson is the pick (-13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-13 1/2)

Game 303-304: Clemson at NC State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 105.494; NC State 88.243
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 17; 61
Vegas Line: Clemson by 13 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-13 1/2); Under

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

NY Yankees at Toronto
The Yankees look to build on their 5-1 record in Hiroki Kuroda's last 6 starts against the Blue Jays. New York is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130)

Game 951-952: San Diego at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 15.770; Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.545
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Over

Game 953-954: San Francisco at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.739; NY Mets (Niese) 14.137
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 14.810; Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.113
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+135); Under

Game 957-958: St. Louis at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 15.111; Colorado (Oswalt) 13.790
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 10
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); Over

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 15.479; Arizona (Miley) 14.274
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Under

Game 961-962: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 13.678; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.045
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-270); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-270); Over

Game 963-964: Seattle at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 15.435; Detroit (Fister) 14.424
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Under

Game 965-966: Houston at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.270; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.727
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-240); Over

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.167; Toronto (Redmond) 14.765
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under

Game 969-970: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 17.449; Boston (Lackey) 16.658
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Over

Game 971-972: Texas at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.588; Tampa Bay (Moore) 14.671
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Over

Game 973-974: Minnesota at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 13.553; Oakland (Straily) 16.026
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-230); Under

WNBA

Washington at Atlanta
The Dream look to open up the playoffs and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 home games versus the Mystics. Atlanta is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6)

Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.664; Atlanta 115.986
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 152
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6); Under

Game 653-654: Phoenix at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 110.163; Los Angeles 120.327
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10; 168
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 161 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-7 1/2); Over

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Don Best ConsensusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia EaglesSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Philadelphia EaglesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Week 3 in the NFL will feature Andy Reid's homecoming to Philadelphia, a city where he had great success for many years. Coming off their first loss under coach Chip Kelly, the Eagles opened as 3-point favorites over the 2-0 Chiefs. Kelly took responsibility for some questionable time-management in the Eagles’ 33-30 loss to San Diego on Sunday and admitted he didn’t know one of the rules that would have allowed him to reinsert QB Mike Vick back into the lineup late into the game. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS vs. KC since 1992 and the Chiefs come in riding an ugly 1-11 SU mark in their past 12 games as an underdog. The Chiefs are much improved and will be competitive all season long, but we like the Eagles to put another 30 spot on the board which will prove to be too much for Kansas City to overcome.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado RockiesSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: St. Louis CardinalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
St. Louis has a powerhouse offense and is playing this one in a great hitter's park. Starter Michael Wacha (3-1, 2.81 ERA) is solid and the Rockies have never seen him before. Wacha has allowed only two runs over his last 24 2/3 innings of work. He is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA in four appearances (one start). The Cardinals are 21-10 in their last 31 vs. a team with a losing record. Colorado picked up Roy Oswalt (0-6, 7.71 ERA) off the scrap heap and he looks done. Oswalt has allowed eight earned runs over his last 9 2/3 innings pitched. The Rockies are 19-39 in their last 58 games as an underdog and the Cardinals are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Clemson vs. North Carolina StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ClemsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
We cashed an easy outright winner with underdog Tulane over Louisiana Tech last Thursday, but we'll switch gears and back the favorite in this Thursday night matchup as Clemson travels to Raleigh to take on N.C. State.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
I could really sum up my analysis of this play with one statement; I don't trust Wolfpack QB Pete Thomas.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
N.C. State was forced to reload after losing QB Mike Glennon to the NFL and fully expected to move forward with Arkansas transfer Brandon Mitchell under center before he went down to injury just a few series' into its season opener against Louisiana Tech.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Enter Pete Thomas.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Colorado State transfer has taken over the reins, although he is being pushed by freshman Bryant Shirrefs. For his part, Thomas has thrown for 449 yards but has yet to toss a touchdown pass, while handing out three interceptions. That's in keeping with a long-term trend for Thomas, as he threw only 18 touchdownns compared to 21 interceptions in his two-year career with Colorado State.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Wolfpack do have an emerging ground game, but not a dominant one by any means. With that in mind, I have a tough time envisioning a scenario that allows them to keep up with a high-powered Clemson offense for four quarters, unless they can win the turnover battle by a considerable margin.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Tigers have scored 90 points in their first two games this season - not all that surprising for a team that's thought of as a true offensive juggernaut. They'll be taking a step up in class here after facing South Carolina State last time out (that was nearly two weeks ago as they're coming off a bye week), but it's worth noting that they did hang 38 points on Georgia back in Week 1.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Last year, Clemson defeated N.C. State by two touchdowns despite falling behind by double-digits early in the second quarter. If it weren't for the heroics of aforementioned Wolfpack QB Mike Glennon in that game (he threw for five touchdowns), it obviously would have been a much more lopsided beatdown in favor of the Tigers. N.C. State didn't have an answer for Tigers QB Tajh Boyd in that game, as he threw for five touchdowns and ran for three more. While I do expect it to do a better job of containing him here, with the scene shifting from Death Valley to Raleight, there's no way they'll silence him.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
I think the real x-factor leading into this contest is the Clemson defense. The Tigers are known for their offensive prowess, but they also boast an experienced defense that is looking to take a big step forward this season. This is an opportunity for them to strut their stuff in front of a national audience, and I expect them to take full advantage.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
N.C. State is 2-0, but it's a 'paper tiger' at this point. I do expect the Wolfpack to return to prominence sooner rather than later, but this is a measuring stick game where they'll fall well short.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Jimmy Boyd

Los Angeles Dodgers + 100

The Dodgers are one of the few teams in baseball that score more runs on the road than they do at home. This season they have a .272 batting average and have put up 4.7 runs per game on the road. They have also performed well against division opponents, batting .274 and scoring 4.1 runs per game. That gives them a significant edge against this Diamondbacks team batting .253 against the division and scoring 3.9 runs per game.

The edge in favor of the Dodgers also extends to the matchup at starting pitcher. Ricky Nolasco has a 2.99 ERA on the road and a 6-3 record in 16 starts. Nolasco has performed well throughout his career against the Diamondbacks. His team is 9-2 in his 11 starts and he has a 3.48 ERA with a 1.051 WHIP. Arizona will give the start to Wade Miley today. In Miley's last three starts he has a 5.40 ERA and 1.600 WHIP.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Ray Monohan

Seattle Mariners +172

Lets try and take advantage of a hot new arm down the stretch in this one. Since coming up to the Majors lefty James Paxton of the Mariners has been near unhittable with just 6 hits allowed over 12 innings. He was only OK in the minors this year but he is facing Major Leaguers for the first time and it is working. Detroit is a very good hitting team but their average drops more than 20 points against lefties and Paxton will have the edge of facing the Tigers for the first time. Paxton has beaten top clubs before with wins against St. Louis and Tampa.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Rob Vinciletti

Boston Red Sox -136

Boston is a regular three unit selection here tonight as they fit a solid 34-8 League wide system that plays on certain home favorites off a home favored loss at -140 or higher while scoring 4 or less run on 10+ hits with no errors, vs an opponent off a road dog win that scored 5+ runs on 10 or more hits with 1 or less errors. Boston has Lackey going and his Home numbers are better than Baltimore C. Tillmans road numbers as Lackey has been superb at home with 2.63 home era. Lackey is 10-1 at home vs Baltimore and Tillman is 2-7 in September road starts the past few seasons. The Red sox average 5 runs per game in each of the 3 following categories. When playing at home, at night and over the past 7 games. Look for Boston to take the finale here tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Bruce Marshall

Los Angeles Dodgers AT Arizona Diamondbacks
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks

It's too late for Arizona to get back into the NL playoff picture, but have to admire the spunk shown by the D-backs, who appear hellbent to at least prevent the Dodgers from clinching the NL West in Phoenix. The Blue is not hitting on all cylinders at the moment, dropping 10 of its last 14 in its worst 2-week stretch since early June. And while Don Mattingly tries to set up his postseason pitching rotation, he has to be a bit concerned with a couple of his starters, including Ricky Nolasco, who gives it another shot this afternoon at Chase Field after getting tattooed in his last start by the Giants, allowing 5 runs, 7 htis and 3 walks in just 1 1/3 innings of work last Saturday in an eventual 19-3 loss. Any carryover could prove problematic on Thursday, especially since Arizona counterpart Wade Miley has been more than serviceable since the All-Star break, posting a solid 3.18 ERA in 11 starts and off of his first win in just over a month when besting the Rockies last Saturday.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Eddie JFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Chiefs at EaglesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Andy Reid will make his return to Philadelphia as his 2-0 Chiefs will face the high flying 1-1 Eagles.Michael Vick has flourished under Chip Kelly's offense. Vick has thrown for 631 yards with 4 TD and 0 INT. Vick has compiled a 119.0 QB rating. Vick isn't the only Eagles weapon as Desean Jackson has 297 receiving yards and Leshon Mccoy 356 total yards so far. Overall the Eagles have totaled 954 yards and 7 TD thru week 2. The Chiefs D has been strong only allowing 1 TD thus far but they will have their hands full and with Donovan Mcnabb getting his number retired the birds will be playing with alot of emotion. The Eagles defense has been just as bad as the offense is good and their weakness is a solid passing QB. Andy Reid loves to throw the ball and until the oddsmakers adjust on Eagles's totals keep pounding the OVER.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Line Lounge

Clemson -13.5 over NC State

Clemson has come out firing this season. They started with a great win over Georgia, where Tahj Boyd and the Clemson offense showed they still have a lot of fire power. Tahj Boyd has already thrown 439 yards for 3 TDS and has also ran for two. He has been supported by RB McDowell who is averaging 5.8 yards per rush. Sammy Watkins has picked up right where he left off last year, catching 9 passes for 146 yards. Clemson is averaging 37.7 points a game, which is to be expected. Their defense has been the surprise this year, making much improvement over last year.

NC State started off the season with an easy win over Louisiana Tech, but struggled in their next against a mediocre Richmond team. QB Thomas threw 2 interceptions and didn't seem to really be in rhythm. The defense gave up 322 yards, 300 of them passing. NC State is going to have trouble keeping up with Clemson on both sides of the field. NC State has a weak running game, and the Clemson defense should get a few sacks in this one as the Wolfpack only have one offensive option. The Clemson offense should run through the Wolfpack defense quite easily, as the running and passing threat will both be prevalently.

Projected Score: Clemson 41 North Carolina State 14

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Jeff Clement

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks    
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers   

The Dodgers have Ricky Nolasco(13-10) with an ERA of 3.36 on the mound against Arizona's Wade Miley(10-10) ERA of 3.70. Nolasco is 7-0 with an ERA of 1.59 in his last 8 starts and Adrian Gonzalez is batting .381 with 11 RBI's in his last 12 games. The Dodgers magic number is 2 to clinch the N.L. West Division and should do that today behind Nolasco's outstanding pitching of late.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Doug Upstone

Boston Red Sox -135

On Thursday, Play Against underdogs like Baltimore with a money line of +100 or higher, with a starting pitcher (Chris Tillman) whose winning percentage is better than 70 percent, against opponent with an AL starting pitcher (John Lackey) whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season. Since 2009, this system is 55-13, 80.9 percent, which include 13-2 this season!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Steve Janus

St Louis Cardinals -1.5

I look for the Cardinals to close out their 4-game series against the Rockies with a convincing win in the finale. The Cardinals are an impressive 71-40 against right-handed starters, averaging 5.1 runs/game and hitting a solid .275 as a team. Tonight they face Roy Oswalt, who has been awful in his five starts this season. Oswalt is 0-5 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.746 WHIP in those five starts. I wouldn't be surprised if the Cardinals put up a 10 spot tonight, as they try an build on their 2-game lead in the NL Central.

Adding to the value on the Cardinals run line is that they will be sending out talked youngster Michael Wacha, who is 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in seven starts. Hitter friendly Coors Field won't bother this kid, he went into Cincinnati offense friendly park a few starts back and threw six shutout innings.

When the Rockies are listed as a big dog it's usually been for a good reason. Colorado is just 4-22 when listed as an underdog of +150 or more this season, losing these games by an average of 3 runs/game.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

BOOKIEMONSTERS

    148-98-2 run

    24-15-3 run last 42 plays

    pod tigers game under 8

Invest In Sports - Do not gamble !
Site below is about high yield investing info.
Site below is excellent, and I purchased from it. HOT !!!
Click Here: http://www.emanagedforexaccounts.com/ Scroll Down

Undefeated77
Sports_Investor
useravatar
Offline
687 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Wunderdog

Phoenix at Los Angeles
Pick: Phoenix +8

The Phoenix Mercury had trouble keeping their key players on the court this season. They lost 35 games from starters, but now appear to be as healthy as ever. It had the effect of making them a streaky team, as they went a stretch winning eight of nine, and closed the season playing some of their best basketball at 9-4 in their last 13. The Los Angeles Sparks were a tough out at home this season, as they finished with a 15-2 mark on their home court. But remember, one of the two losses came at the hands of this Phoenix team 90-84. Phoenix also beat the Sparks by 16 points at home when scoring 97. The bottom line is that those wins were when Phoenix was streaking good, as they are right now as well, so I think this line is too strong here on LA. Diana Turasi went for 32, and 34 points in those two wins, so she is capable of keeping Phoenix in touch here. The Sparks closed at 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Western Conference often laying too much, as is the case here. Take the points and play on Phoenix.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Jack Jones

New York Yankees -123

The New York Yankees (80-72) still have a lot to play for as they trail the Texas Rangers by 2.5 games for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. They came from 3-0 down to win 4-3 yesterday to save their season and give them some momentum heading into tonight.

Hiroki Kuroda remains one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. Kuroda has gone 11-11 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.134 WHIP for the Yankees this season. He'll be up against Todd Redmond, who is 3-2 with a 4.10 ERA in 11 starts and three relief appearances for Toronto.

Kuroda is 4-2 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in seven career starts against Toronto. The Yankees are 10-4 in Kuroda's last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record. New York is 4-1 in Kuroda's last five starts as a favorite.

New York has gone 16-5 in its last 21 games as a favorite, and 4-1 in its last five games vs. a team with a losing record. The Blue Jays are 2-7 in their last nine home games, and 1-6 in their last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the Yankees Thursday.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

SPORTS WAGERS

Kansas City +3 +112 over PHILLY

Chip Kelley’s offense looked unstoppable in Week 1 but we were quick to point out that it was an offense that had never been seen before and therefore the Redskins could not prepare for it. As it turns out, Washington’s defense is proving to be one of the league’s worst so far. Furthermore, that “great offense” could not keep pace with the visiting Chargers last week. This week, on a short week no less, this rookie coach will now have three days to prepare for a great defense against a veteran coach with huge motivation that knows these Eagles better than himself.

Bringing in Andy Reid raised expectations for the Chiefs offense but little did we know that it would make the defense second only to the Seahawks in points allowed. This is a big test this week since the previous road game went well in Jacksonville but they are not being touted as the hot new offense in the NFL. However, last week, K.C.’s defense held the capable Dallas offense to just 16 points overall and just six points after the first quarter. The Chiefs forced Dallas to abandon the running game completely because the ‘Boys could not move forward on the ground. The Eagles will present new problems but Reid does know what his opponent is capable of and exactly which one will do it while Philly Chip knows nothing about the Chiefs. Alex Smith is not terrible, not bad, and maybe good. Game Manager good. He has not only thrown for two scores in both games but he's starting to run more. Against the Cowboys, Smith took off eight times and gained 57 yards for a career high. It adds a nice element to the offense and a new wrinkle for opposing defenses to consider. Alex Smith knows how to win and rarely has a bad game. Smith now faces a team that has allowed over 320 yards to both opponents. The Chiefs offense hasn’t gotten in gear yet but that figures to change here because Philly’s defense is horrible.

As the media hypes up Chip Kelly for being an offensive innovator, they seemed to forget that you have to play defense too. The problem with the Eagles offense is, when it succeeds, it’s off the field in two minutes and the defense is sent back out. When it fails, the defense is back out in 30 seconds. This ain’t the Pac 10, Chipper and while the Eagles are a fun and entertaining team to watch, they are a bad team to spot points with because the defense can’t get off the field and that offense is going to look worse week by week as top teams and defensive coordinators make adjustments. We get the better team, the much better defense, a veteran coach that has prepped many times for every situation and we also get to take back some points with juice. We’ll gladly get in line for that.

Pass NCAAF

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

SPORTS WAGERS

Seattle +168 over DETROIT

The price here on the Mariners is appealing enough to make a wager. The Tigers have dropped three of Doug Fister’s past four games and over that stretch, the soft tossing right-hander has walked nine batters while striking out 14. Fister has already tossed 194.2 innings this season after throwing just 162 last year and all that wear and tear may be taking a toll. Over his past two home starts against Oakland and K.C., Fister has been tagged for 21 hits in just 12.2 innings. Over his last 32 frames, Fister is sporting an unacceptable 1.67 WHIP. Fister comes in with a BAA of .281 on the season and no matter how you break down his numbers, he’s just too risky to be spotting a price like this.

James Paxton is worth riding. For a 24-year old rookie, Paxton has the poise of a 10-year veteran. He also has some solid skills. He’s made just two starts since his call-up and was outstanding in both of them, holding the Rays and Cardinals to a combined six hits in 12 innings. Paxton is coming off a six-inning, two hit shutout in St. Louis. Paxton uses a three-pitch mix, all of which flash plus, to attack hitters in any count. His fastball sits in the mid-90s while his curveball is his most dominant breaking pitch and is used to generate strikeouts. His change-up shows good fade and is used in any count. The tall lefty has continued to post high K rates and decent command throughout his minor league career. Paxton works off establishing his fastball early in counts to set up the curve, but with all three pitches capable of getting a strikeout, it keeps hitters guessing and contributes to his success. He’s been working low in the strike zone and is inducing groundballs at an elite 57% clip so far. Paxton is in tough today but he was also in tough against both the Cardinals and Rays and thrived. His confidence is high, his ability is higher and at this price, the risk is worth the reward.


St. Louis @ COLORADO

Roy Oswalt has taken the loss in each of his six appearances this season. It is safe to say that he no longer has the stuff to get MLB hitters out. Last season, his 39% hit rate seemed like an anomaly, yet he has followed it up this season with a 47% hit rate. It’s hard to even put that number into perspective but Oswalt has allowed 40 hits in just 25 innings for a BAA of .360 and a WHIP of 1.75. He takes on the best road offense in the NL in the friendliest hitting environment in MLB. Not a good combination for a pitcher struggling to get hitters out. The Cardinals may go over this number on their own today.

The Rockies are almost always good for three or more runs at home and they figure to get at least that today. Michael Wacha was called up in late May and after three starts was sent back down. Upon his August 10 recall, Wacha made a mediocre start, a long relief appearance and five shorter outings. In 15.2 IP, he allowed five ER (over two of the outings), 13 H (nine in the same two outings), and five BB while tossing 23 K. He followed that up with three consecutive quality starts against Cincinnati, San Diego and Seattle. No question that Wacha has a high ceiling but the kid is also a little too green right now to maintain such a low ERA. He’s still walking too many batters (10 BB over his past 24 innings) and he’s benefitted greatly from a high 85% strand rate. Coors Field takes no prisoners and is not usually friendly to pitchers that issues walks. Afternoon games in Colorado also tend to be higher scoring and that sure doesn’t hurt our cause.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, September 19

Big Kat Sports

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Take: Baltimore Orioles +125

The Baltimore Orioles will look to finish off a sweep of the Boston Red Sox when the two teams meet tonight at FenwayPark in Boston. The Orioles have had success against the Sox all season, posting a 9-6 record and pretty much control their own destiny for as they have a four game series with the Rays on tap this weekend before closing out the season with games at home against the Blue Jays and Red Sox. Here are a few trends that have us on the road team tonight in Boston.

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Orioles are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Orioles are 8-1 in Tillman’s last 9 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Orioles are 12-3 in Tillman’s last 15 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games.
Red Sox are 0-4 in Lackey’s last 4 Thursday starts.
Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Mark Wegner behind home plate.

Pair those numbers with the fact that the Orioles are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Boston and that they are 5-0 in Tillman’s last 5 starts vs. Red Sox and we’ll take the plus money in a game that we had as a pick when we made our numbers. The value is there tonight with the O’s and we’ll look for them to complete the 3 game sweep over the Sox.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224520 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45903
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
290618
Average Posts Per Hour:
6.2
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3765
Newest User:
Michael
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2205

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com