Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 14

Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, September 14

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAF

Alabama at Texas A&M
The Aggies look to take advantage of an Alabama team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Texas A&M is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Aggies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+7 1/2)

Game 111-112: Eastern Michigan at Rutgers (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 67.399; Rutgers 87.051
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 19 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 27 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+27 1/2); Over

Game 113-114: Stanford at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 107.951; Army 69.619
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 38 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Stanford by 28 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-28 1/2); Under

Game 115-116: Georgia State at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 50.815; West Virginia 95.367
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 44 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 38 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-38 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Louisville at Kentucky (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 92.430; Kentucky 81.035
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 11 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Louisville by 14; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+14); Under

Game 119-120: Marshall at Ohio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 85.057; Ohio 75.112
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 10; 73
Vegas Line: Marshall by 7 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-7 1/2); Over

Game 121-122: Akron at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 63.533; Michigan 109.944
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 46 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Michigan by 37; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-37); Under

Game 123-124: Bowling Green at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 83.477; Indiana 88.559
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 5; 58
Vegas Line: Indiana by 2 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2 1/2); Under

Game 125-126: Virginia Tech at East Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 89.950; East Carolina 80.296
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 9 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 7 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-7 1/2); Over

Game 127-128: Maryland at Connecticut (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 88.671; Connecticut 76.810
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 12; 52
Vegas Line: Maryland by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-6 1/2); Over

Game 129-130: New Mexico at Pittsburgh (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 66.706; Pittsburgh 92.046
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 25 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 21; 52
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-21); Under

Game 131-132: UL-Monroe at Wake Forest (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 75.359; Wake Forest 80.802
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 5 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-3); Over

Game 133-134: Western Kentucky at South Alabama (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 79.289; South Alabama 66.401
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 13; 49
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-10); Under

Game 135-136: Fresno State at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 89.839; Colorado 82.766
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 7; 70
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 9 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+9 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Nevada at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 83.189; Florida State 105.779
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 22 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Florida State by 34; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+34); Under

Game 139-140: UCLA at Nebraska (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 97.993; Nebraska 104.566
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 6 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 4 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-4 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: Georgia Tech at Duke (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 103.473; Duke 83.795
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 19 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 8 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-8 1/2); Over

Game 143-144: Tennessee at Oregon (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 86.561; Oregon 120.820
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 34 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Oregon by 27 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-27 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: Mississippi at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 93.736; Texas 104.139
Dunkel Line: Texas by 10 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-2 1/2); Over

Game 147-148: Boston College at USC (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 80.543; USC 100.228
Dunkel Line: USC by 19 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: USC by 14; 43
Dunkel Pick: USC (-14); Over

Game 149-150: Iowa at Iowa State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 88.429; Iowa State 84.020
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Iowa by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-2 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Alabama at Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 114.944; Texas A&M 115.742
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 1; 66
Vegas Line: Alabama by 7 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+7 1/2); Over

Game 153-154: Northern Illinois at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 95.165; Idaho 54.962
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 40; 56
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 28; 62
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-28); Under

Game 155-156: Mississippi State at Auburn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 91.033; Auburn 99.198
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Auburn by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-5 1/2); Over     

Game 157-158: Washington vs. Illinois (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 93.355; Illinois 88.404
Dunkel Line: Washington by 5; 58
Vegas Line: Washington by 10; 62.5
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+10); Under

Game 159-160: Central Florida at Penn State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 91.475; Penn State 101.800
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 10 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Penn State by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-5 1/2); Under   

Game 161-162: Ball State at North Texas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 77.416; North Texas 76.303
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 1; 68
Vegas Line: Ball State by 3 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+3 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: Memphis at Middle Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 68.108; Middle Tennessee State 72.245
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7); Over

Game 165-166: Southern Mississippi at Arkansas (12:21 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 67.290; Arkansas 93.751
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 26 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 22; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-22); Under

Game 167-168: Vanderbilt at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 95.228; South Carolina 104.957
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 14; 51
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+14); Under

Game 169-170: Tulsa at Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 79.721; Oklahoma 108.679
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 29; 56
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 24; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-24); Over

Game 171-172: Ohio State at California (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 100.807; California 88.044
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 13; 71
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 15 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: California (+15 1/2); Over

Game 173-174: Massachusetts at Kansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 57.835; Kansas State 107.482
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 49 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 38 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-38 1/2); Under

Game 175-176: Florida Atlantic at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 65.932; South Florida 86.755
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 21; 49
Vegas Line: South Florida by 12; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-12); Over

Game 177-178: Kansas at Rice (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 76.456; Rice 81.031
Dunkel Line: Rice by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Rice by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+7); Under

Game 179-180: Kent State at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 82.926; LSU 106.007
Dunkel Line: LSU by 23; 59
Vegas Line: LSU by 37 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+37 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: Notre Dame at Purdue (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 101.889; Purdue 87.670
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14; 43
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 20 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+20 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: UTEP at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 68.241; New Mexico State 65.709
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: UTEP by 5 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+5 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Western Michigan at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 61.375; Northwestern 104.717
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 43 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 30 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-30 1/2); Over

Game 187-188: TX-San Antonio at Arizona (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 68.040; Arizona 102.778
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 34 1/2;
Vegas Line: Arizona by 25 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-25 1/2); Under

Game 189-190: Oregon State at Utah (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 90.547; Utah 100.446
Dunkel Line: Utah by 10; 62
Vegas Line: Utah by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-3); Over

Game 191-192: Central Michigan at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 68.861; UNLV 78.955
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 10; 51
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7; 56
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-7); Under

Game 193-194: Wisconsin at Arizona State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 101.700; Arizona State 100.058
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+5 1/2); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Kansas City at Detroit
The Royals look to build on their 4-1 record in Ervin Santana's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135)

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.774; Milwaukee (Hellweg) 15.830
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+160); Over

Game 903-904: Miami at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.645; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 13.801
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-115); Under

Game 905-906: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 14.374; NY Mets (Torres) 13.462
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Washington (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.672; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.931
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Baker) 14.993; Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.660
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+165); Under

Game 911-912: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 14.720; Atlanta (Medlen) 16.277
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-190); Over

Game 913-914: Colorado at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Oswalt) 13.804; Arizona (Miley) 15.285
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-180); Under

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.779; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 14.817
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+145); Over

Game 917-918: Baltimore at Toronto (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.797; Toronto (Rogers) 15.850
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Boston (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.432; Boston (Lester) 17.062
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 14.518; Texas (Darvish) 16.199
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Under

Game 923-924: Kansas City at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 15.522; Detroit (Fister) 14.588
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135); Over

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.675; White Sox (Rienzo) 14.173
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-155); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.772; Houston (Oberholtzer) 16.662
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under

Game 929-930: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.376; Minnesota (Albers) 13.934
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under

Game 931-932: Seattle at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 15.361; St. Louis (Wacha) 14.808
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+200); Over

CFL

Toronto at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games in September. Saskatchewan is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8)

Game 293-294: Winnipeg at Edmonton (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.448; Edmonton 109.952
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+4 1/2); Over

Game 295-296: Toronto at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.193; Saskatchewan 120.227
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 11; 59
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 8; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-8); Over

WNBA

Tulsa at Seattle
The Shock look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Western Conference opponents. Tulsa is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2)

Game 651-652: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 114.967; Minnesota 125.125
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 160
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Under

Game 653-654: Tulsa at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 112.237; Seattle 112.670
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 4 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+4 1/2); Over

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John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Huskies at IllinoisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Washington HuskiesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by 10 or more points. The Simulator is the dominant reason I make any play, but I put in endless hours research plays to make certain the fundamentals and game conditions support the SIM grading. One way to look at my plays is that we are on a team where even if things don't go our way by way of penalties, turnovers, or execution, we still have a solid chance to cover ATS. I also like graded plays that have a ton of experience coming back from the previous season. Washington returns 10 starters on offense including their quarterback and 8 on defense. Illinois has returned just 4 starters on defense and this matchup favors Washington in a very big way. At any level of football, the chemistry of the offensive line is the foundation for solid offensive execution leading to scoring points. Moreover, Illinois will have a very tough time getting pressure on the QB and they are suspect in the secondary. SIM shows that Washington will score 28 or more points. This is a pivotal number in CFB when dealing with ATS records. In past games, Washington is 11-3 ATS the past three seasons and 74-36 ATS since 1992, when they have scored 28 or more points. Illinois, by contrast, is just 1-11 ATS the past three seasons and 20-81 ATS since 1992 when they have allowed 28 or more points. This is just a sample report of the comprehensive research I provide for my TOP RATED Titans so be sure to join me each week and stay the course. You'll be glad you did!

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River City SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Mississippi St. at AuburnFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Mississippi St. +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these teams cruised last week against inferior foes and now it’s time to get into SEC play. Auburn HC Malzahn has the Tigers off to a very nice start, especially offensively. The Tigers are averaging 34.5 points in their two wins while only surrendering 16.5ppg. MSU QB Tyler Russell, who was knocked out of last week’s game with a concussion, is expected to start for the Bulldogs against a less than formidable secondary. The Tigers offense is led by QB Nick Marshall, who was efficient going 10-17, 147 yds and two scores. This should be a pretty good defensive battle and Bulldog HC Dan Mullen knows this is important for their postseason chances, even this early in the season. We thing that Miss State is going to hang very close, might even sneak out of Jordan hare with a victory.

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Greg ShakerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Georgia Tech / Duke Over 56FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This number is resting on the Key Number of 56 and that is slightly up from the open of 55.5. There are a number of factors that lend itself to a higher than average scoring game here and while as always I am not willing to share them all, we can talk about a few reasons why my number is higher than what is posted. These teams have a history of playing each other of course but they have not developed any kind of significant rivalry, at least not on the football field. That's good for us in this contest and so is the fact that Duke is opening the season with a lean defense that is experiencing some early injuries despite returning 8 starters. Two things that we should not be fooled by in the Duke/Memphis game. Memphis, as poor a football team as they are, does play solid Defense and part of the reason why the Blue Devils managed just 28 points. They did put a lot of numbers up though with near 500 Yards of offense. The other of course is that Memphis has serious scoring issues and we need not think that Duke is ready to stop a squad like GT this week especially with the Triple Option attack having 2 weeks to prepare. Duke does score a lot of points when they play here at home and this series has seen a lot of scoring. This is the lowest posted number since the 2008 season and mostly due in part to Starting QB Boone being out with a Broken Collarbone. But Junior QB Connette is very capable and proved that in the 2nd half last week. Sometimes injuries actually help us achieve our number and at 56 this is a go. We have 61.2 here..

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Harry BondiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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NOTRE DAME (-20.5) over PurdueFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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We look for the Fighting Irish to bounce back big against a Purdue team that can't score or stop anybody. Boilermakers had 1 offensive touchdown versus Cincinnati in week one and one versus Indiana State last week!! Purdue D a sieve allowing 33.8 points per game in their last 12 games so the big spread is not an issue. Look for the Irish D to pitch a shutout and for "Tommy Turnover" to get back on track. Take the Irish on Saturday.

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Carlo CampanellaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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UCLA vs. NebraskaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UCLA +4½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These two teams met last season in California, with UCLA upsetting Nebraska, 36-30. Fully expect UCLA to put up big offensive numbers again this year now that HC Him Mora's and returning Soph QB Hundley start their second season together. Nebraska allowed Wyoming to put up 602 offensive yards in the season opener, but looked much improved last weekend when holding Southern Miss to only 284 total yards. But, UCLA is a MUCH better team than Wyoming or Southern Miss and looked great two weeks ago when defeating Nevada, 58-20, while putting up almost 650 total yards- Over 300 rushing and passing (345 rushing & 302 passing yards)! With Nebraska a money burning 6-9 ATS seeking revenge behind HC Pellini, the difference here might be UCLA's week off, giving them 2 weeks to prepare for a team they scored 36 points on last year.

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Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida Atlantic vs. South FloridaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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South Florida is coming off a loss at Michigan St. to drop to 0-2 on the season. The defense allowed just 21 points so while that looks like a solid effort from the stop unit, the Spartans offense is in shambles so all of the credit cannot be given to the Bulls for that one. All we have to do is look at the previous game and see that they were annihilated against McNeese St. out of the FCS by a score of 53-21. After South Florida jumped ahead 7-0, the Cowboys scored 40 unanswered points to chalk up one of the most embarrassing losses in school history. Making matters worse, Bulls starting linebacker Reshard Cliett likely will miss Saturday's game against Florida Atlantic after injuring his shoulder in the fourth quarter at Michigan St. Going back to last season, the Bulls are just 1-11 over their last 12 games and going back to the beginning of the 2011 season when they started 4-0, they are 4-18 over their last 22 game so this team has taken a rapid descent from when it used to be a solid program. Yet South Florida comes in as a double-digit favorite. Florida Atlantic is off to a similar 0-2 start as it dropped its opener against Miami (Fla.) 34-6 and then lost last Thursday at East Carolina 31-13. While neither game was close, the Owls can at least hang their hats on the fact those are two very tough teams they lost against. Even though they hit the road for the third straight game, this is the most winnable one of the bunch. There is not much expected of Florida Atlantic this season in its first season in C-USA but head coach Carl Pelini does have the Owls going in the right direction. They have 15 starters back from last season and while the quarterback situation remains a work in progress, this being the third game could see some production. Instead of having Quez Johnson and Greg Hankerson rotate every possession, Pelini said he might let one player have the first half with the other getting the second half which makes more sense as they will each be able to find a comfort zone quicker. The Owls went down by 18 points at East Carolina nine days ago but Florida Atlantic hung in statistically with the Pirates, the team most picked to finish first or second in C-USA's East Division, gaining 282 yards to East Carolina's 312. The Owls are 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a road loss and are 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games. Meanwhile, South Florida is 0-6 ATS in its last six games as a favorite while going 0-6 ATS in its last six games after scoring 14 or fewer points in its last game.

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Sean Higgs

Louisville -13½

The Louisville Cardinals come into Lexington ranked #7 in the nation. Cardinals have not been challenged yet this year posting wins of 49-7 over Ohio in week 1 and 44-7 last week over Eastern Kentucky. Teddy Bridgewater is a candidate for the Heisman Trophy this year and with nearly 77% of his passes being completed (9TDs 1Int) he appears to be in the conversation. What I really like about this junior QB is his maturity. You hear about guys needing to ‘mature’ and ‘show leadership’ from their coaches. After his 397 yards, 4TD no interception day, all Teddy Football said was that he was just ‘average’ and “We’re chasing perfection,” “And today wasn’t near perfection.” That kind of talk inspires others around oneself. Offensive coordinator Shawn Watson said ‘“No way should we be satisfied, we didn’t play very well today, we did not play well at all,” said Watson, who later added, “I was embarrassed.” This was after rolling up 475 yards of total offense and putting 44 points on the board. I can’t see the Cardinals changing things up this week just to get the rushing attack off the ground. UL scored more than forty points only twice last year, and has tied that mark in their first two games. Head coach Charlie Strong has already acknowledged the fact that his Cardinals have not been challenged yet this year, and even with victories the last 2 years over Kentucky, this will be a major test.

The Kentucky Wildcats bring in new head coach Mark Stoops and his ‘Air Raid’ offense. With a new up-temp offense in place, the Wildcats dismissed Miami Ohio last Saturday 41-7. That was on the heels on them losing opening day to Western Kentucky. Obviously, just because you play in the SEC doesn’t mean you can’t show up and still get wins. I am not a fan of dual QBs, and don’t think you can win with them. The fact is this team just blew out a terrible Miami Ohio team who the week before got abused by Marshall 52-14. Add in that they were off a terrible loss and I am pretty sure that if they wanted to keep their SEC Scholarships, then anything less than a 30+ point blow-out win would have unacceptable!

My Final Thoughts

Louisville has the superior talent without question. The question everyone has is are they for real. A real National Championship contender would do what it take to do here, which is pretty much name their own score. Yes Kentucky is an in-state rival getting double digits. But the Cardinals are talking the right kind of talk. They are taking one game at a time and focusing on each opponent, and looking to improve along the way. I

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Strike Point SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Southern Miss / Arkansas Over 49.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If the first two games are any indication, Southern Miss is going to have a long season. The Eagles allowed 56 points last week to Nebraska and have woefully begun their season 0-2. USM have gone over the posted total in nine of their last 10 road games, and considering the home Razorbacks are heavy chalk here, I see this one being a blowout as well. And just the same, Arkansas has gone over in 12 of its last 14 home games vs. losing road teams. Pig Suey has scored 30+ in each of its two ball games so far on the year, and from my perspective this total number is a bit low. I see another 30-point performance by the home Razorbacks in this one, and Southern Miss should do well to at least make up the difference. Play the over between these two.

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Allen EastmanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis (+7) over Middle TennesseeFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The public is all over Middle Tennessee State in this game. Around 70 percent of all the bets in this game are coming down on the home favorite. But MTSU is not the type of team to be favored. And not by a touchdown! This game doesn't mean anything to college football fans. But it is a rivalry for the kids at these schools since they are both in state. Middle Tennessee won in a blowout last year, 48-30. But that game should've been much closer as Memphis shot itself in the foot. That also gives Memphis a revenge motivation. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in this series. MTSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games, and they are coming off a very physical game at North Carolina that they lost by 20 points. I will take the points in this game, and I think that this improved Memphis team is capable of the upset.

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Scott SpreitzerFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cal Poly-SLO at Colorado St.FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Cal Poly-SLO +9.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Mustangs are a solid FCS playoff team from last season and will move the ball and score points against the Rams' defense.  Poly put 25 points on the board last week against Fresno State, while gaining over 400 yards of offense.  The Rams are hurting, allowing 71 points in their first two games against Colorado & Tulsa, coming up short in their game against their in-state rivals and a late game loss last weekend in Tulsa.  I expect the team to be off kilter emotionally and I expect them to be shocked by the efficiency of the Cal Poly attack.  I'm recommending a play on Cal Poly plus the points.

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Steve MerrilFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Alabama vs. Texas A&MFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: AlabamaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Alabama has won 13 consecutive games away from home and 12 of those 13 wins have come by 10 points or more.  We recommend laying the points with the motivated and revenge-minded road favorite in this game on Saturday afternoon.
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Alabama had this game circled in red after losing 29-24 to Texas A&M as 13.5-point home favorites last season.  That was the Crimson Tide’s only loss last season, and it was just their third home loss over the last five years.  Alabama comes into this game off a bye week so they’ve had extra time to get ready for this revenge game in College Station.  Don’t be quick to downgrade Alabama’s poor offensive performance in their season opener against Virginia Tech.  The Hokies have one of the best defenses in the country so we’re willing to give Alabama’s offense a pass for that poor performance.  Alabama’s defense was stout against Virginia Tech.  The Crimson Tide held the Hokies to only 10 points on 212 yards of total offense with 77 of those yards coming on one play.  The Crimson Tide’s defense got shredded last year by A&M, and they’ll be out to make amends for that ugly display of football.
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Texas A&M has rolled in their first two games; the Aggies have won their two games by a combined score of 117-59.  But wins over inferior teams Rice and Sam Houston State mean absolutely nothing.  Texas A&M is taking the biggest step-up in class versus Alabama in this game.  When A&M beat Alabama last season, the Aggies already had nine games under their belt.  They were battled tested in games against Florida, Mississippi, and LSU.  Those games prepared them for Alabama.  The Aggies don’t have that luxury this season, and facing a pair of cupcakes in no way prepares them for what they’ll face in the Crimson Tide.  Alabama has won 13 consecutive games away from home and 12 of those 13 wins have come by 10 points or more.  We recommend laying the points with the motivated and revenge-minded road favorite in this game on Saturday afternoon.

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Wunderdog

Texas San Antonio at Arizona
Pick: Arizona -24.5

The Texas San Antonio Roadrunners played Oklahoma State to a 21-point game on the road last week as a 33.5 point underdog. But, the Cowboys are not the team they were the last few years. The Wildcats have it going on both sides of the ball, and have won their first two games by a total of 80 points, and this one does not look to be much different. Arizona has a punishing running attack which has ground-out 730 yards in two games. And, UTSA simply does not have the team speed or depth to handle it. Oklahoma State put up 610 yards on them last week, and Arizona is going to put up similar numbers. The difference here is that the Wildcats have a stronger defense, so the distance between these teams is going to show up early and often - especially on the scoreboard. An offense in motion tends to stay in motion in college football, and Arizona has covered four straight after topping the 40-point mark. Play on Arizona in this one.

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Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Stanford at ArmyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Stanford (1-0) faces a tough challenge to have to travel east to West Point, New York to then be ready to play at a Noon EST start time. Expect the Cardinal offense to start slow with their body clocks thinking it is 9 AM. As it is, Stanford has played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total. The Cardinal defense, however, should still slow down the Army ground game after holding San Jose State to just 251 yards of offense last Saturday in their 34-13 victory. That game finished below the 48.5 Total -- and Stanford has now played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of September. Additionally, the Cardinal has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams outside the Pac-12. Army (1-1) looks to rebound from their 40-14 loss at Ball State -- and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. Now the Black Knights return home where they have played 22 of their last 30 home games Under the Total. Expect Army to do what they can to grind this game out by keeping the Stanford offense off the field by running the clock with their triple option rushing attack. Last week, the Black Knights churned out 363 rushing yards by averaging 5.7 yards per carry against the Cardinals' defense. Army will look to not be embarrassed in this one by shortening the time of the game -- there is a reason they have played 6 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Take the Under in this one.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia Tech at East CarolinaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: East CarolinaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Apparently, this line is based purely on name and reputation. The truth is these two teams are heading in opposite directions and the oddsmaker can do little about it. The Pirates have won 7 of their last 8 regular season contests while the Hokies have dropped 6 of their last 10. In addition, the Techsters were favored on the road four times last season, going 0-4 ATS while losing three of those games straight-up. Yes, we realize the Hokies are 13-1 SU in the state of North Carolina during the regular season since 2004, but this game is hardly a ‘must-win situation’ and these aren’t the same Beamer Boys we’ve come to love in the past. On the flip side, we’ve been predicting a breakout season for Ruffin McNeill’s squad and a victory here would be a huge step in that direction. However, Bud Foster’s defense made Alabama’s young offensive line look silly at times in the season opener, so an outright win is a difficult proposition. Still, keep in mind that the Pirates are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five games of this series, and that home underdogs of 7 points or less in Game Three coming off back-to-back home wins are 11-3 ATS since 1993. Finally, Mike Leach disciple McNeill is 13-0 SU and 8-2-1 ATS at home against opponents with a record of .500 or worse. In this case, it’s better to receive than to give.  We recommend a 1-unit play on East Carolina.

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Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Youngstown St vs. Michigan StFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Youngstown StFOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Youngstown State isn't just going into this game hoping not to embarrass itself. The Penguins believe they can hang with the Spartans for 60 minutes and possibly even pull off the massive upset. Although, to be honest, I'm not sure it would be quite the monumental upset that some would make it out to be.
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Note that Youngstown State walked into East Lansing and hung tough against a much stronger Spartans squad two years ago, ultimately losing by a 28-6 score as a 34-point underdog. That was a 14-6 game at halftime, and it wasn't until midway through the fourth quarter that Michigan State was able to put the game away for good. Keep in mind, that Spartans squad was loaded with talent from top-to-bottom, with guys like Kirk Cousins and Le'Veon Bell starring on offense.
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This year, Michigan State is off to a 2-0 start, but certainly hasn't impressed in either victory. The Spartans have faced a pair of truly punchless opponents in Western Michigan and South Florida, and although they'll be taking on an FCS squad on Saturday, the Penguins are by no means pushover.
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Youngstown State is 2-0 to start the season, defeating Dayton and Morehead State by a combined 95-23 score. This is an experienced and talented team, and one that returns some of its core from the squad that battled the Spartans two years ago.
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Make no mistake, the Spartans aren't coming into this game thinking it will be a cakewalk. Sure, their defense has been stout in the early going, but their quarterback situation is an absolute mess, and no one has appeared ready to truly take over the reins in the ground game. It sounds like freshman QB Damion Terry will finally see some game action this week, but Mark Dantonio and the coaching staff have been tepid in their optimism surrounding the rookie who they perhaps would have preferred to keep the redshirt on for this season. Note that Terry will see action, but Connor Cook will get the start. By the time Terry comes in, it may already be too little, too late in terms of a pointspread cover.
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The Spartans simply want to pick up a win and move to 3-0 heading into their showdown with Notre Dame next week. While their supporters would love to see them pick up some style points, I don't see it happening against a determined and fundamentally-sound Penguins squad on Saturday afternoon.

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Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa -2½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Iowa Hawkeyes clearly want revenge from the last two losses to the Cyclones in this instate rivalry over the past two seasons. Both losses have come by a combined six points, so you can bet that Iowa State has their attention. I believe Iowa comes into the 2013 season underrated after a 4-8 campaign last year. This team was much better than its record would indicate as it lost five games by 6 points or less in 2012. Those five losses came by a combined 16 points.
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While Iowa lost another close one to Northern Illinois by a final of 27-30 in its 2013 opener, you have to remember that NIU played in a BCS Bowl game last season and is a legit squad. The Hawkeyes bounced back with a 28-14 victory over Missouri State last week, outgaining the Bears by 292 total yards in a game that was a much bigger blowout than the final score would indicate. There’s no question that the offense is much-improved this season, which is a great sign going forward after scoring just 19.3 points per game last year.
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Iowa is averaging 473.5 total yards per game while giving up just 317.5 total yards per game in its first two contests. New quarterback Jake Rudock has shown some great signs, completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 449 yards, while also rushing for 53 yards and three scores. Mark Weisman is one of the most underrated backs in the country, rushing for 280 yards and two touchdowns through two games. The speedy Damon Bullock (116 yards) compliments him well.
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Iowa State is clearly in rebuilding mode with just nine starters back from last year’s bowl team. That couldn’t have been more evident in a 20-28 home loss to Northern Iowa in Week 1. The Cyclones gave up 457 total yards to the Panthers in a very poor showing. They have just four starters back on defense, and lose arguably the two best linebackers in the history of the program. Both AJ Klein and Jake Knott are now in the NFL after monster careers at Iowa State. These two are simply irreplaceable, and I look for Weisman to have a monster game in their absence.
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While the offense for Iowa has been explosive, it's the defense that returns the most talent. Seven starters are back on this side of the ball, including each of the top three tacklers. They are senior linebackers Anthony Hitchens (124 tackles, 5.5 for loss), James Morris (113 tackles, 9 for loss) and Christian Kirksy (95 tackles, 2 INT). I expect Iowa to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball as it has five of seven starters back along the front seven defensively, as well as three starters back along the offensive line. Iowa State loses five of seven starters along the front seven defensively.
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Iowa State is 1-5-1 against the spread in its last seven home games. The Cyclones are 1-5 against the number in their last six games overall. Iowa State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous game. The Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games off a bye week. Bet Iowa Saturday.

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Vegas ConnectionFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Tennessee at OregonFFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OregonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Vols visit Autzen Stadium long trip and Tenn will have hands full. Yes Tenn is a SEC team but they do have a huge game with Florida next week. U0 has ultra weapons and will use all of them. Ducks roll easy here.

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Brad Diamond

Ole Miss +3 over Texas

We have been touting Freezeee for some time at Brad Diamond Sports. That's HC Huge Freeze of Mississippi who is coming off a solid campaign at 7-6 with a MAJOR bowl victory of 38-17 against Pittsburgh. Yes, Ole Mass was crushed 66-31 LY by these same Longhorns. So, if you can equate what revenge means on a general level in college sports, think what a 35-point loss means to Freeze and his Rebels. And, if you have not been aboard for the last few college seasons, you can find easy reading noting units coming off losses of 21+ points have responded with a noteworthy rebound the following set against the former. We believe this is a slight edge for Ole Miss although playing in the state of Texas. The Rebels started the season with a key SEC road win at Vandy then discarded Southeast Missouri for lunch last weekend. Texas comes into Saturday after being CRUSHED by BYU 40-21. They return 19 starters from last year, but were hurt on the DL (505 yards) last week. With the change at quarterback to McCoy, I will take a ticket with Freezeee who is 22-7 ATS Ole Miss!

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