MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, September 6

MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, September 6

Friday's MLB National League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (+100, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Kyle Lohse is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 13 innings against the Cubs this season.

Cold batting stat: Chicago OF Nate Schierholtz is the only Cubs player with a home run against Lohse.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Brewers have won seven of Lohse's last nine starts.

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (-104, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cliff Lee is 1-3 with a 3.80 ERA since the All-Star break, compared to 10-3, 2.86 in 19 first-half starts.

Cold batting stat: John Mayberry Jr. and Jimmy Rollins are a combined 3-for-21 against Braves lefty Mike Minor.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The over is 11-3-1 in Philadelphia's last 15 Friday home games.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds (-128, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Reds right-hander Mike Leake is 1-2 with a 7.22 ERA over his last six starts.

Hot batting stat: Cincinnati 2B Brandon Phillips is a .400 hitter with four doubles and a home run in 35 career at-bats against Dodgers left-hander Chris Capuano.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The over is 9-4 in Leake's last 13 home starts.

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (-137, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Jose Fernandez hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last nine starts.

Cold batting stat: Nationals 1B Adam LaRoche is batting .200 in 140 at-bats since the All-Star break.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 25 percent chance of a thunderstorm. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Marlins have won Fernandez's last nine home outings.

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander A.J. Burnett limited St. Louis to a run on four hits over seven innings of a 7-1 Pittsburgh victory in their last encounter six days ago.

Cold batting stat: Cardinals C Yadier Molina is just 4-for-23 lifetime versus Burnett.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 9-4 in its last 13 Friday games.

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres (+101, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Juan Nicasio was torched for six runs over 4 1/3 innings in a loss to Cincinnati in his last start.

Hot batting stat: Padres 3B Chase Headley has dominated Nicasio in his career, going 6-for-9 with a pair of home runs against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-4-1 in Nicasio's last 15 road starts.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (+105, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Diamondbacks left-hander Patrick Corbin has lost back-to-back starts, allowing 14 runs on 16 hits over 10 1/3 innings in that stretch.

Hot batting stat: Giants OF Hunter Pence is 6-for-16 with two homers and five RBIs against Corbin.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Diamondbacks have won 22 of Corbin's last 28 starts.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, September 6

Friday's MLB American League Betting Cheat Sheet
By CBy Covers.com

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles (-163, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Orioles right-hander Scott Feldman has allowed just five runs over his last four starts, going 2-1 over that stretch.

Cold batting stat: Baltimore 1B Chris Davis is hitting .253/.355/.519 in the second half after slugging .315/.392/.717 prior to the All-Star break.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 7-19 in their last 26 Friday games.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (+100, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Yankees lefty Andy Pettitte allowed three unearned runs over 6 2/3 solid innings to earn the win in his last start against Boston, improving to 20-11 lifetime versus the Red Sox.

Hot batting stat: Boston DH David Ortiz is a career .371 hitter in 62 at-bats against Pettitte, though he has just one home run off him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Yankees are 7-2 in Pettitte's last nine starts against Boston.

Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins (+111, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Blue Jays knuckleballer R.A. Dickey has surrendered 29 home runs in 29 starts - five more than he allowed in 33 starts during his 2012 National League Cy Young Award-winning season.

Cold batting stat: Toronto 1B Edwin Encarnacion has just one hit - a solo home run - in 11 career at-bats against Twins right-hander Mike Pelfrey.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Toronto has won 14 of the last 18 meetings in Minnesota.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (-102, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Anibal Sanchez is 1-1 with a 1.35 ERA in two starts against the Royals this season.

Cold batting stat: Detroit OF Torii Hunter has just one RBI and 11 strikeouts in 43 career at-bats against Kansas City starter James Shields.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Kansas City.

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics (-265, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Athletics right-hander A.J. Griffin dominated Tampa Bay in his last touting, allowing one run on five hits while fanning seven over seven innings of a 5-1 win.

Hot batting stat: Members of the Oakland roster are hitting a combined .311 against Houston starter Dallas Keuchel.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under clear skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-1 in Detroit's last 11 Friday home games.

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels (-104, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Angels left-hander C.J. Wilson has been perfect in the second half, going 5-0 with a 3.32 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat:Rangers 2B Ian Kinsler is a career .462 hitter in 13 at-bats against Wilson, while 3B Adrian Beltre is hitting .367 with four doubles and a homer in 30 at-bats.

Weather:Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings.

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners (+104, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma is limiting left-handed hitters to a .214/.249/.348 slash line in 375 at-bats.

Cold batting stat: Seattle hitters are a combined .190 with 18 strikeouts in 63 at-bats against Tampa starter Alex Cobb.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 30 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-2-1 in Iwakuma's last eight home starts.

Interleague

New York Mets at Cleveland Indians (-162, OFF)


Cold pitching stat: Cleveland left-handerScott Kazmir is 0-3 with a 7.11 ERA over his last four starts.

Cold batting stat: Indians 1B Nick Swisher is batting just 3-for-26 over the last seven days.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The Mets have won nine of starter Zack Wheeler's last 11 appearances.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, September 6

MLB Odds and Picks – Baseball takes a back seat
By: The Linemakers   
Sportingnews.com

LAS VEGAS -- There was no better evidence that baseball has been kicked to the curb by Las Vegas bettors than the scene that unfolded at the South Point Thursday night, as The Linemakers on Sporting News filmed our weekly NFL videos while the Broncos and Ravens kicked off the season.

It was like a scene from January, when the NFL playoffs are going full-throttle. Every seat in the book and adjacent lounge was packed, and the crowd cheered with approval each time Peyton Manning connected for another touchdown pass.

About 40 percent of the crowd even cheered when favored East Carolina scored against Florida Atlantic and looked like they were on the way to covering 19 points, before FAU got a back door fourth-quarter touchdown to make it 31-13. The public loves betting big favorites in college football.

Meanwhile, there were a couple of baseball games scattered on TVs throughout the book and lounge, one of which was the Yankees and Red Sox in the first of a critical four-game series. When the Red Sox jumped out to a 6-2 lead after five innings, we wouldn’t expect anyone – even a Boston fan – to get too excited, because it seemed like they were going run away with the game.

But the Yankees started a comeback in the bottom of the seventh, and eventually scored six runs to take an 8-7 lead, and that deserved some kind of yelp from the hundreds in the crowd. But it got nothing – just crickets – and it became clear that baseball is on the back-burner, at least until the playoffs start. Almost simultaneous to the Yankees making their charge, Broncos linebacker Danny Trevathan did his best DeSean Jackson impression – he dropped the ball just before crossing the goal line – which aided the noise; but it wasn’t for the Yankees comeback.

Baseball, in fact doesn’t play second fiddle time of year – it actually plays third fiddle behind college football, even though this is the most exciting time of the year for MLB as teams make their final runs for the postseason and players go for personal records. But football is king in America, and maybe even to a greater extent here in Las Vegas. As George Carlin says, baseball is played "in a park with caps," while football is played “on the gridiron with helmets."

As sports books track their sport-to-sport handle, baseball always sees a huge drop off once the real football games start. From July to August, there’s a decrease of about 30 percent in baseball action, as bettors choose to play preseason football with part of their weekly bankroll, but it’s an even sharper drop in September when the pros and college take center stage together.

The slide in baseball action isn’t only spurred by public bettors with small wagers, because the sharp bettors are also splitting up their massive bankrolls and playing less limit-wagers. Some of respected sharp players don’t like September baseball games as much because of the inflated rosters. This time of year, a team’s rating – especially that of a team out of contention – becomes skewed because lineups are filled with minor leaguers that got called up for their September cup of coffee when rosters are expanded to 40 players.

However, one of the advantages of playing baseball now is that there isn’t as much line movement as there may have been in July. A bettor might pass on a game simply because he missed the best line: “I was willing to lay -130, but not -142.“

There are also fewer rushes to the bet window when breaking news occurs. On Tuesday, we saw only a five-cent move with Miguel Cabrera being inserted in the lineup earlier than expected, even with 19-game winner Max Scherzer pitching. It could have been that sharps just didn’t like the side to begin with, but in a May, June or July situation, these crews rush the window on any 15 cent edge whether they like the game or not just because of the value.

Our advice for the rest of the way is to stick with teams or starting pitchers on streaks, teams in contention, or wait to see who is in the starting lineup. And always try to get the best price available and never lay a favorite over -140.

Football is still king in Las Vegas, and we’re a perfect example here. We’ll continue to use this space for a daily baseball write-up, but football will dominate our coverage.

Friday selections:

Pirates (Burnett) -105 at Cardinals

Rockies (Nicasio) -102 at Padres

Yankees (Pettitte) +101 vs. Red Sox

Marlins (Fernandez) -130 vs. Nationals

Second-half record: 80-79 (+576)

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