College Football Betting News and Notes Sunday, September 1

College Football Betting News and Notes Sunday, September 1

OHIO U (9 - 4) at LOUISVILLE (11 - 2) - 9/1/2013, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

COLORADO (1 - 11) vs. COLORADO ST (4 - 8) - 9/1/2013, 6:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Ohio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 6 games


Colorado is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado

Ohio at Louisville
Ohio: Bobcats 7-3 ATS last two years in non-conference games
Louisville: Cardinals 1-5 ATS in first two games of season over past three years

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Sunday's NCAAF Betting Cheat Sheet

Ohio Bobcats at Louisville Cardinals (-20.5, 58)

With Heisman Trophy hopeful Teddy Bridgewater under center and a schedule that bodes well for the potential for an undefeated campaign, No. 9 Louisville begins the season with national championship aspirations when the Cardinals host Ohio in Sunday's season opener. The Cardinals enter the season with their highest preseason ranking ever, looking to build off a Sugar Bowl victory over Florida last January. The Bobcats, who are picked to win the Mid-American Conference East Division, might be Louisville's toughest non-conference test.

The Bobcats have opened the season with victories the past three years, including an upset of Penn State last year, but they haven't played a top-10 team since taking on then-No. 2 Ohio State in 2010. "This may be the most complete football team (we've played) since I've been here," Ohio coach Frank Solich told reporters. "They have a combination of things that I think we have not faced before in our time here at Ohio." The teams have split four all-time meetings but haven't clashed since Ohio's 22-15 victory in 1959.

Key betting stat: The Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.

Weather watch: The forecast is calling for temperatures in the low-90s with a 45 percent chance of thunderstorms in Louisville.

Colorado Buffaloes at Colorado State Rams (-3, 48.5)

Mike MacIntyre, who led San Jose State to a 11-2 record and a Military Bowl victory over Bowling Green, makes his Colorado head coaching debut against Colorado State on Sunday in what is called “The Rocky Mountain Showdown.” MacIntyre, who replaced Jon Embree, takes over a Buffaloes’ team that finished just 1-11 a year ago with the only victory by one point - 35-34, at Washington State. The Buffaloes bring an eight-game losing streak into the contest, the fourth longest in the FBS.

Colorado State begins its second season under Jim McElwain, who was the offensive coordinator for Alabama’s 2011 national championship team before leaving to take over in Fort Collins. The Rams won last year’s meeting, 22-17, and are attempting to record back-to-back wins over their in-state rivals for the first time since 1999-2000. The Sunday afternoon contest is played at a neutral site, Sports Authority Park at Mile High in Denver, home stadium for the NFL's Denver Broncos.

Key betting stat: The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Weather watch: Temperatures in Arvada will be in the high-80s with a 21 percent chance of showers.

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NCAAF Week 1

Louisville QB Bridgewater (22 starts) is one of best QBs in country, but Ohio U's QB Tettleton (son of former big leaguer Mickey) is damn good too- he has 26 career starts . Since 2006, Bobcats are 13-9-1 as dogs on road- they covered seven of last ten non-MAC games. Cardinals have 10 starters back on defense; since '07, they're 10-17 as home favorites (7-10 under Strong), 9-9 in last 18 non-league games. Ohio lost three starters on OL (55 returning starts); Louisville has three OL starters back, but only one is a senior (64 returning starts).

Colorado won seven of last ten games vs Colorado State,. with faves 5-2 vs spread in last seven; both teams have experienced defenses and QBs with very little experience. Buffs are 9-20-1 vs spread as underdogs last three years, but former San Jose State coach MacIntyre is huge upgrade over previous regime- he was 16-7 as underdog at San Jose. Over last 10 years, Rams are 1-12 vs spread as favorite away from home- they're 4-9 vs spread in last 13 non-league games. State upset Buffs LY; its been 13 years since they beat Colorado two years in row. Rams have 94 starts back on OL (4 starters back), Buffs have 3 OL starters back (51 starts).

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Sunday, September 1

Sunday's Betting Notes

Ohio at Louisville

Line Analysis

Point-Spread: Louisville -21
Money Line: Louisville -1600 Ohio +1000 Total: 58

This line has been hovering between 20 and 21 points since it opened in early August.
The total hasn’t received much attention either, hovering between 57 ½ and 58 ½.
Louisville hasn’t been favored by this many points since the 2007 season when Steve Kragthorpe was making his debut as head coach after Bobby -- Petrino left for the NFL.
Ohio hasn’t been a double-digit underdog since 2010. The team caught 10-plus points twice that season, going 1-1 both straight up and agaisn the spread.
Total Notes

Ohio saw the ‘under’ go 6-5-1 in 2012.
Louisville watched the ‘over’ go 7-5 last season.

Week 1 Notes

Since Frank Solich arrived in 2005, Ohio has gone 5-3 in season openers. In his debut season, the Bobcats were humbled 38-14 at Northwestern. The other two opening season losses were by a combined eight points. Last year, the Bobcats beat Penn State 24-14 in Happy Valley as five-point road underdogs, which was Ohio’s third straight season-opening win.

Louisville has gone 2-1 in season openers under head coach Charlie Strong, the victories coming by 12 and 18 points. Last year, the Cardinals beat Kentucky 32-14 at home in their opener, which was also played on a Sunday afternoon.

Non-Conference Notes

Ohio went 5-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in non-conference games last season, which included a 45-14 dominating win over Louisiana-Monroe in the Independence Bowl.

Louisville went 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS in out of conference games last season. The pair of point-spread losses for the Cardinals came as double-digit favorites on the road. The biggest win came in the Sugar Bowl, as Louisville outclassed Florida 33-23 as a 14-point underdog.

Tech Trends from Bruce Marshall

OHIO at LOUISVILLE...Solich 4-1 vs. spread against non-MAC LY and 7-3 in role past two years. Solich 18-9 last 27 as dog since late 2007 and 5-1 as DD dog that span. Solich has also covered last three openers and six of last seven first games on the board. Charlie Strong only 5-8 as Papa John's chalk since 2010 and just 3-6 vs. spread vs. non-conf. at home that span. Cards 3-7 laying DDs since 2010 and 0-3 laying 20 or more that span.     Ohio, based on team trends.

Expert Analysis

Andy Iskoe - Louisville is a fashionable choice to be this season’s BCS Buster with a talented roster and favorable schedule. They are the clear favorite to win the watered down American Athletic Conference (formerly the Big East) and may well not face a ranked team until they travel to Cincinnati to end the regular season. They are well coached with coach Charlie Strong producing winning seasons in each of his three seasons at the helm, including 11-2 last season. They have an experienced QB with Teddy Bridgewater mentioned as a possible Heisman Trophy candidate. But unlike past seasons when Louisville was the hunter the Cardinals are now the hunted, burdened by the weight of those lofty expectations. Ohio also has a talented QB (Tyler Tettleton) and a coach (Frank Solich) who won a National Title back in the day (Nebraska). Ohio was on the verge of an outstanding season in 2012 before numerous injuries took a great toll. Still, the Bobcats went 9-4 which followed up their 10-4 2011 campaign. They’ve been to four straight Bowls, winning the last two and are projected to again be a contender in the MAC. Louisville deserves to be solid favorites in this game but Ohio will compete with a well balanced offense and competent defense.

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