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MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 12
MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 12
Monday's National League Betting Cheat Sheet
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-170, 7)
Cold pitching stat: Phillies starter Cole Hamels gave up five runs in five innings in his lone start versus Atlanta this season.
Hot batting stat: Braves C Brian McCann is 16-for-57 (.281) in his career versus Hamels. McCann has notched three homers and driven in 15 runs in those at-bats. The catcher missed Sunday's game versus the Marlins due to a sore knee, however.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: The Phillies are 3-7 in Hamels' last 10 road starts versus the Braves.
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (+128, OFF)
Hot pitching stat: Reds SP Mat Latos is 4-1 in his last six starts. He is coming off a great start versus Oakland on August 6 where he tossed 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a 3-1 Reds victory.
Cold batting stat: Reds SS Zack Cozart is 1-for-13 (.077) in his career versus Cubs starter Travis Wood.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 7 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.
Key betting note: The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the two ball clubs.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies (-163, 9.5)
Cold pitching stat: Padres starter Edinson Volquez is 0-3 with a 12.18 ERA in four starts versus the Rockies this season. Volquez has given up 34 hits in 17 innings over the four starts.
Hot batting stat: Rockies C Wilin Rosario is 7-for-15 (.467) with two homers and seven RBIs in his career versus Volquez.
Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing from right field to left field at 5 mph.
Key betting note: The Padres are 2-7 in the last nine meetings in Colorado.
New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (-192, 7)
Hot pitching stat: Dodgers pitcher Ricky Nolasco is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his two August starts. The Dodgers are 5-1 in Nolasco's starts since they acquired the righty from the Marlins.
Cold batting stat: Mets 1B Ike Davis is 5-for-23 (.217) with eight strikeouts in his career versus Nolasco.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.
Key betting note: The Mets are 1-4 in Jenrry Mejia's last five road starts.
Baltimore Orioles at Arizona Diamondbacks (-119, 8.5)
Cold pitching stat: O's starter Scott Feldman had a rough outing in his last turn on the mound. The righty gave up five runs on seven hits in 4 2/3 innings of work in an 8-4 loss versus the Seattle Mariners on August 3.
Cold batting stat: Collectively, the DBacks roster owns a .183 batting average in 82 at-bats versus Feldman.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 7 mph.
Key betting note: The over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 12
Monday's American League Betting Cheat Sheet
Oakland A's at Toronto Blue Jays (-114, 9.5)
Hot pitching stat: J.A. Happ gets the start for the Blue Jays. The lefty gave up six runs on seven hits in four innings of work in his last start on August 7. He was charged with the loss in a 9-7 defeat to the Seattle Mariners.
Cold batting stat: Jays slugger Edwin Encarnacion is 1-for-6 in his career versus A's starter Dan Straily.
Weather: Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime, the roof could be closed at Rogers Center in Toronto.
Key betting note: The Athletics are 5-0 in Straily's last five starts with five days of rest.
Texas Rangers at Houston Astros (+192, 7.5)
Hot pitching stat: Rangers starter Yu Darvish is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his previous two starts. He tossed seven innings in each performance.
Cold batting stat: Astros 2B Jose Altuve is 0-for-12 with five strikeouts in his career versus Darvish.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-100s with wind blowing out to right field at 8 mph. Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast, the roof at Minute Maid Park could be closed Monday.
Key betting note: The Rangers are 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Houston.
Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-150, 8)
Hot pitching stat: Yankees starter Hiroki Kuroda is 6-2 with a 1.74 ERA in his 10 starts at Yankee Stadium this season.
Hot batting stat: Angels slugger Mark Trumbo is 3-for-9 in his career versus Kuroda with two of those hits going for home runs.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 7 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast for gametime.
Key betting note: The Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 Monday games.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins (-101, 8)
Hot pitching stat: Twins starter Andrew Albers was spectacular in his Major League debut on August 6. Albers went 8 1/3 innings scattering just four hits in a 7-0 victory over the Kansas City Royals.
Cold batting stat: Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is a career .204 hitter (11-for-54) at Target Field in Minnesota.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 9 mph.
Key betting note: The Indians are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Minnesota.
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (+111, 7.5)
Hot pitching stat: Detroit's Doug Fister has not lost since June 21 and is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in two August starts.
Hot batting stat: Sox 1B Adam Dunn is 6-for-10 with one double in his career versus Fister.
Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast.
Key betting note: The White Sox are 1-4 in Chris Sale's last five starts vs. Tigers.
Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals (-180, 8.5)
Hot pitching stat: Royals starter Wade Davis is pitching much better after the All-Star break. He was 4-8 with a 5.89 ERA before the break, but is 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA in three starts since.
Cold batting stat: Marlins OF Juan Pierre is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career versus Davis.
Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow from left field to right field at 4 mph.
Key betting note: The Marlins are 1-6 in Tom Koehler's last seven starts versus a team with a winning record.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 12
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Atlanta on some roll recording a 15-1 mark the past sixteen on the diamond look to remain the best team in the majors with a win over visiting Philadelphia. The Braves send Julio Teheran to the mound Monday sporting a 9-5 record, 2.96 ERA. The right-hander has been light's out the past four allowing just three runs helping Braves post a perfect 4-0 mark over the span. Matching up against Teheran will be Phillies Cole Hamels, with the left-hander bringing a 4-13 record, 4.81 ERA to the mound. Hamels seems to be righting the ship tossing three consecutive quality starts with a miniscule 1.64 ERA but has nothing to show for the effort as Phillies provided little run support in losing all three starts. Given the intimidating streak Braves are ridding and the fact Phillies are struggling through a 3-17 stretch the current betting market has Atlanta -$1.70 to -$1.80 favorite to make it 7-of-10 vs Philadelphia. A steep price, but if your into laying heavy lumber take comfort in knowing Atlanta has a 12-3 streak opening a series at Turner Field including 5-1 when laying -$1.65 to -$180. Atlanta is also 7-3 when Teheran starts in the role of home favorite. Finally, Phillies have not been good bets at Turner Field of late w/Hamels losing three straight including the season opener.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 12
Monday MLB Thoughts
By Dave Essler
Phillies-Braves: Have to wonder if Atlanta is going into a funk here, at least at the plate. When they do, and because they rely a lot on the long ball, it can get ugly. Although the did finally wake up later in the game Sunday. Teheran has been super-solid his last four starts only allowing three runs, and I'd try to discredit that by seeing who he's beaten, but one of them was a two hit shutout against the Cardinals. Add that to the 0.44 ERA of the Braves bullpen the last week, and that would be tough to fade. But, Hamels hasn't had the greatest track record at Turner Field. McCann might be dinged up. Certainly not laying -170 (although better numbers are out there:). If there's anyone that can motivate the Phillies right now it may be Atlanta. Aside from the rivalry, the Braves just swept the Phillies in Philadelphia last week, so I could make a reasonable argument for the Phillies here, certainly the RL, but because the total is so low the RL is a bit pricey (expected).
Reds at Cubs: Latos may remember getting shelled at Wrigley back in June and have some revenge plans. But, the last time Latos pitched after having three straight 100+ pitch games he was lit up in Atlanta. The Reds are under .500 on the road and their bullpen has had some issues, so taking Latos is far from automatic for me. I'm real interested to see what total they put out. Ryan Ludwick is supposed to be activated for this game. I guess the Cubs are the Cubs, but since Wood has started three games against the Reds this season, all losses, maybe he's got some incentive. Lean under here and may Cubs RL.
Padres-Rockies: I'd love to find a way to take the + with San Diego, but against a RHP and without Quentin, I'd have to think hard about that, especially with an under-performing bullpen lately. Volquez has been decent lately, but he hasn't pitched past the sixth inning in about ten straight starts, which brings said bullpen into the mix. Chacin has been in or won every game, and the last team to get to him badly was the Padres back in early June. He's already paid them back, but my guess is he hasn't forgotten that and that this line is probably justified. If the Rockies don't rest people or use too much bullpen against the Pirates on Sunday I could make a case for the Rockies, here, even the RL. Especially with the Padres already playing at least 11 innings on Sunday, if not more.
Met-Dodgers: We'll see what the Dodgers do against the Rays, but they're starting to pull away in the NL West, even with all the injuries. Hanley may or may not be back, and without him, and even with it being the Mets, I lean under here. Mejia can be solid, but he does have a bone spur that apparently requires surgery when the season is over. I just don't get why he doesn't have that done now. The Dodgers pen has a 1.66 ERA over the last week, while the Mets pen has been quite good all season, another reason I do like the under here, especially in the big park and at night where the ball doesn't travel as well. This is only Nolasco's second home start since being acquired by the Dodgers, and he saw plenty of the Mets when he was with the Fish. It's a shame that David Wright is out because he simply owned Nolasco. Even with that, I could make a case for the Mets RL without too much trouble.
Oakland-Toronto: Is Josh Johnson really someone that's only -110 here? Because he had one solid outing against the Mariners? He's been trade bait and nobody seems to want him, and actually cleared waivers. Maybe that's what'd got him finally pissed off enough to throw strike. Clearly this is either a gift to take Oakland or a trap. The plus for taking Toronto is that the A's have never seen Johnson. Straily was hit pretty hard in Oakland last week by these Jays, and you guys do know I favor the pitcher next time around. With that in mind, and both teams having solid bullpen, if we think Johnson won't get hammered, I lean under here, especially in a day game where the "A" teams may not be on the field.
Texas-Houston: I am a little surprised that Darvish is "only" -215 here. Perhaps it's due in part to the fact that the Rangers' bats have seemingly gone silent, or the tightness he had in the last start, or the fact that Houston whacked him around pretty good in Arlington about a month ago. Or perhaps even the fact that Oberholtzer shut out Boston and shut out the Orioles for seven innings. Clearly a case for the Astros RL here. But again, this is a day game and people are likely to rest. I wish the total were 8 and not 7.5, because I do like the under. However, that's all the more reason, if it stays where it's at, to think there's value to the home team RL.
Angels at Yankees: So the Angels and their bullpen have a complete meltdown against the Indians on Sunday. They simply have to have their golf clubs more on their mind than a trip to Yankee Stadium. And did we think the Yankees would be -150 this season to too many people, say, a month ago. Richards IS (has been) a relief pitcher and has two starts now where he's actually gone 6+ innings and kept the ball on the ground. Kuroda hasn't pitched at home in a month, and the ONLY thing that concerns me here is that he's had four straight 100+ pitch games. This would almost be automatic on NYY if Rivera hadn't blown some saves, and they couldn't close out the Tigers without first having another blown save on Sunday. I do take from that game that PERHAPS Pettitte is worth playing somewhere along the line. Maybe, just maybe, the Halos RL here.
Detroit-Chicago: I suppose if you thought you could get Sale at home as an underdog you'd jump at the chance. I would almost rather had the Tigers beat the Yankees rather than blow that game, because NOW Detroit might be pissed. Detroit's had little problem (this year) getting some runs off of Sale, and they (Detroit) can't quite put it in cruise control yet. Fister has been close to unhittable since the break, and has been exceptional at keeping the ball on the ground. Since Alexi Ramirez is about the only one that's hit Fister (aside from Viciedo who is hurt) there is no chance of taking the White Sox, unless people rest for Detroit. Like a lot of people. I doubt, but haven't looked that the weather, that this gets to eight runs.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 12
Monday Night Action
By Kevin Rogers
Angels at Yankees
Probables: G. Richards (3-4, 4.20 ERA) vs. H. Kuroda (10-7, 2.45 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Halos failed to pull off the sweep of the Indians after blowing a 5-0 lead in Sunday's 6-5 defeat. The Yankees split a four-game series with the red-hot Tigers, including a 5-4 walk-off win on Sunday afternoon as heavy home 'dogs.
Current trends: Los Angeles has hit the 'over' in eight of 10 games this month, while entering tonight's action at 2-7 in the past nine away contests. New York is 0-8 the last eight games off a victory, while not winning consecutive home contests in a month.
Phillies at Braves
Probables: C. Hamels (4-13, 3.81 ERA) vs. J. Teheran (9-5, 2.96 ERA)
Previous series recap: Philadelphia's road struggles continued after getting swept at Washington, while allowing 23 runs in three losses. The Braves won their fifth consecutive series after grabbing two of three from the Marlins, as Atlanta gave up just five runs in the series.
Current trends: Atlanta has won nine of 10 home contests since the All-Star break, while losing only once in their last 16 games overall. The Phillies have dropped 11 straight road contests, while hitting the 'over' in four of their last five games away from Citizens Bank Park.
Reds at Cubs
Probables: M. Latos (11-3, 3.21 ERA) vs. T. Wood (7-8, 3.04 ERA)
Previous series recap: Cincinnati finished off a 5-3 homestand by taking two of three from San Diego, including a walk-off victory on Sunday. The Cubs profited nicely with a pair of underdog triumphs at St. Louis, before losing, 8-4 on Sunday to the Cardinals.
Current trends: The Reds have lost five of their last six road contests, but Cincinnati is 6-1 in seven games at Wrigley Field this season. The Cubs have struggled on the North Side recently by losing eight of their last nine at home, including four straight.
Tigers at White Sox
Probables: D. Fister (10-5, 3.50 ERA) vs. C. Sale (7-11, 2.77 ERA)
Previous series recap: Detroit managed a four-game split with the Yankees, but lost two games on walk-off hits. The Sox were tripped up at home by the Twins, losing three of four, all in the favorite role.
Current trends: Chicago has lost 16 of its past 21 games since taking two of three from Atlanta in mid-July, while posting a 2-5 record the last seven home series openers. The Tigers are 8-1 the last nine games off a loss, while winning nine of the previous 12 contests away from Comerica Park.
Marlins at Royals
Probables: T. Koehler (3-7, 4.40 ERA) vs. W. Davis (5-9, 5.42 ERA)
Previous series recap: Miami's offensive woes continued in a series loss at Atlanta, as the Marlins have scored three runs or less in seven of the last 10 games. The Royals keep rolling after taking three of four from the Red Sox, while winning eight of their past 10 home contests.
Current trends: Kansas City is riding a 5-1 'under' stretch the last six games, while winning nine of the last 10 as a home favorite. The Marlins have lost six of seven road games against American League foes, as Miami looks to snap out of a current 1-7 funk tonight.
Indians at Twins
Probables: D. Salazar (1-0, 3.29 ERA) vs. A. Albers (1-0, 0.00 ERA)
Previous series recap: Cleveland avoided a sweep by Los Angeles with a massive rally from five runs down, while snapping a six-game losing streak on Sunday. Minnesota returns home after winning its third road series in its last five tries following a 3-1 weekend at Chicago.
Current trends: The Twins have quietly won seven of their last 10 games, while taking two of three from the Indians the last time Cleveland visited Target Field. The Tribe has won four consecutive games in the road favorite role, but Cleveland has lost three straight road series openers.
Padres at Rockies
Probables: E. Volquez (8-9, 5.44 ERA) vs. J. Chacin (10-6, 3.30 ERA)
Previous series recap: San Diego held its own at Cincinnati, but lost two of three, including an extra-innings defeat on Sunday. The Rockies bounced back from a terrible road trip by sweeping the Pirates at Coors Field, while scoring 19 runs in the three victories.
Current trends: Colorado has beaten Volquez four times this season, including twice at Coors Field. The Rockies are listed as a favorite for the first time since July 28 in a home victory over the Brewers, while going 10-3 against the Padres this season. San Diego has surprisingly won five consecutive road games off a loss, including three victories of at least a +130 underdog.
Orioles at Diamondbacks
Probables: S. Feldman (9-9, 4.10 ERA) vs. W. Miley (9-8, 3.56 ERA)
Previous series recap: Baltimore improved to 4-1 on its current road trip against NL West opponents after grabbing two of three games at San Francisco. The Diamondbacks lost the final two home contests to the Mets, while getting outscored, 13-6 in those two defeats.
Current trends: Arizona has won all four home games against the American League, including sweeps of potential playoff teams Tampa Bay and Texas. The Orioles are riding a 4-0 streak in road series openers, while Baltimore owns a 4-1 record the last five in the role of an away 'dog.
Mets at Dodgers
Probables: J. Mejia (1-1, 1.96 ERA) vs. R. Nolasco (8-9, 3.65 ERA)
Previous series recap: New York has played better of late after a road series victory at Arizona, as the Mets are 5-1 the last six games overall. The Dodgers swept the Rays at home, while outscoring Tampa Bay, 20-2 since falling behind Tampa Bay, 6-0 in Friday's comeback victory.
Current trends: Since the All-Star break, the Dodgers own a scorching 20-3 record, while posting a 7-1-1 mark to the 'under' at home. The Mets are 3-9 the last 12 opportunities coming off back-to-back wins, but New York is 6-1 the past seven road contests against NL West competition.