Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, July 16

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, July 16

DUNKEL INDEX

WNBA

San Antonio at Washington
The Mystics look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Washington is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-6 1/2)

Game 651-652: San Antonio at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 105.417; Washington 113.929
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 8 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-6 1/2); Under

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Hollywood Sports

American vs National
Play: Under

In the battle between the games best hitters and pitchers, the pitchers have betting getting upper hand as of late. Since 2006, only one time has more than 8 runs been scored. With both managers having the luxury of at least 13 pitchers at their disposal, Jim Leyland and Bruce Bochy will be able to maximize matchup advantages against opposing hitters in critical situations. Also, don't underestimate the advantage pitchers have when facing hitters that are unfamiliar with their stuff since they play in the other league. The last three All-Star games have seen an average of just 5.6 total runs per game. Go with recent history and expect another low-scoring game this year. Take the Under.

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Sports Experts 17

Costa Rica vs USA
Pick: USA

A matchup between 2 of the top teams in CONCACAF!!, time to see better soccer with USA team and Costa Rica team. Our prediction in this game is that the US is going to win without any problem because Costa Rica is not playing well lately as they used to be, a great competitive team always involved in the final 6 looking for a place in the world cups. USA team always have a high level that never comes down like all the teams in CONCACAF, this is a great team and we always say that soon in a few years they can be world champions, but they need more work to do to beat Europe teams that always are in the finals. Well now is the time to team USA shows how powerful they are and win this game. Line is -200, but we take USA -1 goal +115.

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Paul Leiner

100* American/National Over 8

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Wunderdog

San Antonio at Washington
Pick: San Antonio +7.5

There's been an overreaction in the line in this one thanks to Washington's double-digit road victory over San Antonio on Friday. This line opened at 6 points and has moved all the way to 7.5. But, adjustments happen in sports, and overconfidence can also creep in. I expect the Silver Stars to keep this one close. San Antonio has been their best against-the-spread on the road where they are .500. Over the past three seasons, they own a 28-16 ATS mark on the road. Washington has been their worst ATS at home. When facing up-tempo teams like the Mystics the past two seasons (teams averaging 62+ shots per game), San Antonio is 13-5 ATS. Over the past three seasons, the Stars are 16-3 ATS on the road vs. teams that allow 77+ per game. Finally, the Stars are 15-3 ATS the past three seasons when revenging a home loss. Take the points on San Antonio.

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Teddy Covers

American vs National
Play: Under

The American League has been the better league, top-to-bottom, for more than a decade. This shows in a variety of ways. The AL is more than 200 games over .500 in interleague play since 1997. They’ve been at least ten games over .500 in interleague play in every year since 2005. The AL went 142-110 against the NL last year, and here in 2013, the AL has gone 107-94 thusfar, well on their way to another winning record.

Yes, the NL has won each of the last three World Series. But a longer term look shows the AL emerging victorious 12 times in the last 21 Fall Classics – no edge for the NL in that department either.

Of course, this column is about the 2013 All Star Game, not which league is better overall. The last three All Star games have all been won by the NL, and none of them have been particularly close, with the senior circuit outscoring their counterparts by a combined score of 16-2 in those games. That being said, a longer sample size here offers very different results. Prior to the All Star Game wins over the last three years, the NL hadn’t won an All Star Game since 1996; just 3-12-1 in the last 16 meetings.

I’m not a big proponent of side wagers for the Midsummer Classic; a very difficult handicap in my opinion. The betting markets tend to agree, pricing the game near pick ‘em on an annual basis before factoring in the home field advantage for the league that bats last. This year’s line is no different from the norm, with the NL priced as short chalk (in the -125 range) at Citi Field.

But the total here is worth a look. Citi Field has lived up to its pitcher friendly reputation all year, according to the betting markets. The Mets have played 44 home games in 2013. 38 of those games were totaled at 7.5 or less. Six of those games were totaled at exactly ‘8’. In other words, we haven’t seen a single higher total than this one on this field all year.
I know that both lineups are loaded. But so are both pitching staffs, and with only a single inning allotted for most of the hurlers on the two staffs, nobody has time to get shelled. In other words, big innings that produce crooked numbers on the scoreboard are few and far between.

We didn’t see a single run after the top of the fourth inning last year, and the AL got shut out. Only once in the last five years have we seen an inning with more than three runs scored the top of the first inning last year. Each of the last five All Star games has produced a combined total of eight runs or less.

These staffs are loaded with aces; the Clayton Kershaw’s, Max Scherzer’s and Felix Hernandez’s of the world. But when the bullpens come into play, these two staffs really shine. Brett Cecil, Grant Balfour, Greg Holland, Glen Perkins. Jason Grilli, Aroldis Chapman, Mark Melancon and Craig Kimbrel might be the least recognized players on the field, but every one of those guys is more than capable of throwing a scoreless half inning, making my lean here clearly towards the UNDER 8 on Tuesday Night.

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Matt Rivers

250,000♦ AL/ NL Under 8

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Scott Delaney

25 Dime National League

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Chicago Syndicate

American / National Under


LA Syndicate

American / National Under

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Today's Best Bets

5 Units American League


5 Units American/National Over 8

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Sports Handicapper King

National

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Ocal Sports

National League

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RTG Sports

American League

Will There Be A Run Scored In First Inning? NO-130

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TMC Sports Advisors

American/National Under 8

American League +100

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