MLB Betting News and Notes
MLB Betting News and Notes
Rounding The Bases: The Best Bets In The Bigs
Every week we take a look at the hottest and coldest teams as well as the best over and under bets in Major League Baseball.
For the week of July 8-14.
Hot team: Tampa Bay Rays
Last week: 6-1
Upcoming schedule: at Blue Jays
Skinny: No team is hotter than the Rays heading into the All-Star break. Tampa has wins in 14 of its last 16 games, but hits the road for a nasty 10-game road trip beginning Friday.
Cold team: Houston Astros
Last week: 1-3
Upcoming schedule: vs. Mariners
Skinny: The Astros only have three wins in their last 15 games and should be very active sellers leading up to the trade deadline.
Over team: San Francisco Giants
Last week: 6-1 over/under
Season: 49-42-3 over/under
Upcoming schedule: vs. Diamondbacks
Skinny: The Giants still played over the total despite Tim Lincecum’s no-hitter on Saturday.
Under team: Pittsburgh Pirates
Last week: 0-6 over/under
Season: 39-52-2 over/under
Upcoming schedule: at Reds
Skinny: The Pirates have gone low in eight consecutive game, increasing their stature as one of the best under plays in the league.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes
Baseball's Best Bets After The All-Star Break
By Jason Logan
The real baseball season begins after the All-Star break, with teams rounding the bend in the playoff race.
The Oakland Athletics have actually earned the most units for baseball bettors following the All-Star Game over the past five seasons at +31.85 units. However, +30.40 of those earnings came last summer when the A’s went 51-25 in the second half of the schedule. Before 2012, Oakland was 135-150 for just +1.45 units after the break.
We look at which teams have consistently been breadwinners during the home stretch of the season.
Stats as of 2008.
Best post-break bets
Philadelphia Phillies (224-139, +30.77 units)
The Phillies have been in the black following the break in each of the past five seasons, including earning +8.62 units in 2012. Philadelphia’s biggest windfall came from a 50-25 record in 2010 which earned +15.60 units. The Phillies could be tuning up for another post-break bonanza, going 7-3 in their last 10 outings as of Friday.
Milwaukee Brewers (200-161, +26.54 units)
The Brew Crew have funded plenty of late-summer beer funds with their winnings following the break. Milwaukee went 47-23 and won +19.42 units in 2011. Those profits seem like a lifetime away for Brewers bettors, who have suffered through a 37-54 record and a MLB-worst -18.00 units in the first half of this season heading into the weekend.
San Francisco Giants (198-163, +19.95 units)
The Giants caught fire in the second half of the schedule and rode that to a World Series title last year. They posted a 48-28 mark after the break and brought in +15.10 units for Bay Area bettors. It’s been hit or miss for San Francisco backers in the second half of the schedule the past few years. The team was -12.31 units in the hole following the break in 2011 but won +12.81 units in the home stretch of 2010.
Tampa Bay Rays (207-156, +17.36 units)
The Rays have been one of the most consistent winners of the post-ASG schedule since 2008, posting the third-best win/loss record and earning the fifth-most units. Tampa Bay was a cash cow in the summer of 2008, going 42-26 and bringing home +15.22 units en route to the AL Pennant.
Baltimore Orioles (164-202, +14.92 units)
The Orioles have been one of the better post-break bets over the past three seasons, earning +49.13 units between 2010 and 2012 with a collective 118-107 record. However, Baltimore dug a deep hole for its loyal fans after the ASG in 2008 and 2009, burning through -18.93 and -15.28 units respectively – both ranked second worst in the majors for that season.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes
MLB Second Half Surges
By Jim Feist
The first half of the 2013 baseball season is in the books. There were surprising winners, such as the Royals, Diamondbacks and Pirates, a lack of hitting league-wide again, and some surprises such as the high payroll Dodgers and Angels stumbling. With the surprises out of the way, here's a look at some teams that might be active at the trading deadline and primed to make a second half surge.
Indians: First-year manager Terry Francona is getting the most out of the young Indians. The offense has been great, 9th in baseball in runs scored and 13th in on-base percentage behind 1B Mark Reynolds and catcher Carlos Santana. Now, about that pitching… Zach McAllister and submariner Justin Masterson have been fine, but they could use some starting depth or the wear and tear on the pen may take a toll down the stretch. Would you deal a big bat for an arm or two?
Tigers: Detroit certainly looks like a team that will have a big second half, with the best run differential in the American League. This pitching staff has been dynamite, seventh in team ERA in baseball. They have a trio of strikeout aces in Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer and Anibal Sanchez, plus Doug Fister is a control specialist who doesn't walk anyone and eats innings. The offense is equally good with speed atop the order in centerfielder Austin Jackson and plenty of punch to drive him in with Miguel Cabrera, Torri Hunter and Prince Fielder. This lineup is even better than last summer, top five in runs, batting average, OBP and slugging. Many teams might be thinking about shopping but the Tigers will be focused on staying healthy for October.
Giants: The NL West is competitive again, but how can you overlook a squad that has won two of the last three World Series? Most impressive is the balanced offense, which is top 15 in runs scored and batting average. A year ago they were ranked 12th in runs and 5th in batting before they crept up on a lot of people and won another October crown.
There are four reasons to believe the Giants won't go away, though: Lincecum, Cain, Zito and Bumgarner. San Francisco has a dynamic foursome which keeps away losing skids. Zito seems to be drinking from the fountain of youth, 11 years removed from his 23-5 Cy Young season but having a terrific year. Oddly, ace Matt Cain is the one who has struggled, so if they get him turn around the Giants should roll to another division title.
Angels: Should we give up on the overpaid bunch from Anaheim? Everything went wrong for Mike Scioscia's team in the first half, with their big bats (Pujols, Hamilton) more like pop guns. The biggest problem, though, was the injury to ace pitcher Jered Weaver early, which threw the staff out of whack and forced Scioscia to juggle arms on a taxed bullpen. But there's no ignoring the talent, speed and power on this lineup, one that could get hot as the summer heats up. They could be in the market for a quality starter alongside Weaver, but note that no one has made more errors in baseball, a serious problem.
Rockies: Colorado has been torching opposing pitching staffs with a powerhouse offense that is top five in runs, batting average, slugging and on-base percentage. The pitching has a solid pair of arms in 25-year old Jhoulys Chacin and Jorge Del La Rosa. But the rest of the staff has been mostly awful, so they will be in the market for some arms for the starting rotation and bullpen if they want to make a second half surge. And don't forget Chacin has a losing record in each of the last two years (11-14, 3-5) while De La Rosa only pitched 10 innings last season.
Rays: In the wide open AL East the Rays are a team no one wants to face down the stretch. This young rotation of David Price, Wade Davis, Alex Cobb and Jeremy Hellickson is impressive, though Price hasn't been healthy and Hellickson hasn't been sharp. The only weak spot would be closer, where Fernando Rodney has been shaky. The offense has been surprisingly good and is in the top five in steals, so they can attack opponents in a variety of ways. Would you like to face that staff in October? If they can get there.
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