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NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 11

NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 11

MIAMI (79 - 21) at SAN ANTONIO (71 - 27) - 6/11/2013, 9:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-86 ATS (+28.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 268-208 ATS (+39.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 114-80 ATS (+26.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 157-115 ATS (+30.5 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 58-42 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 56-44 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 12 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

Miami at San Antonio
Miami: 12-4 ATS off 3+ home games
San Antonio: 9-18 ATS off BB Unders

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 11

Spurs Heat Showdown Shifts To San Antonio                      
By Jim Feist

The NBA Finals continues this week moving to the Alamodome for Games 3, 4 and 5, the Spurs stealing Game 1 in Miami. Many fans find this odd, as all the previous series are in a 2-2-1-1-1 format, but then the Finals shifts to a 2-3-2 format. It is odd, but there are two reasons for the change: Money and Ratings.

The NBA prefers a longer series to build up interest and increase television ratings. The league won't admit it, but the 2-3-2 format was instituted because it's theoretically tougher for a team to win the first two games at home, then win two of the next three on the road to close out a series in five games. The league doesn't want five games, it wants six or seven.

Despite 2010's Celtics/Lakers Game 7, it really hasn't worked often. Since 1994 there have only been three seven-game Finals. Over the last 13 years the Finals have gone 5, 6, 5, 4, 6, 5, 7, 6, 4, 6, 5, 7, 6 and 5 games. Too many sweeps and five-game series, not exactly what television executives and ratings observers would like. It wasn't always this way. The 2-3-2 format, which copies the World Series, was put into effect for the 1985 NBA Finals during an earlier series when the Celtics and Lakers met during the Bird/Magic years. Before that, the Finals had always been 2-2-1-1-1, which worked fine. In fact, from 1976-84 there were three 7th games in the Finals and five series that went six games. Since 1985 under the 2-3-2 format there have more sweeps (4) than seven-game NBA Finals (just three, 1988, 1994, 2005). So much for changing the rules to get longer series!

Some players have even suggested that the team with home court doesn't really have an edge for the Finals, being forced to play three road games in a row in the middle of the Finals. Not having home court appeared to help the Heat last year, getting a split in Oklahoma City after losing Game 1, then blitzing the young, wide-eyed Thunder with three straight home games. OKC's reward for having a better regular season record: Playing 3 of 5 NBA Finals game on the road.

That's what happened nine years ago when the Pistons got a split in LA in the first two games, then came home and swept the middle three for the title. Seven years ago Miami got back in the series, down 2-0, then sweeping the middle three at home to take charge on the way to winning a title, putting the pressure on Dallas for Game 6. Dallas returned the favor in 2011 getting a split in Miami before winning 2 of 3 at home.

When the Celtics defeated the Lakers in seven games in 1984 (the last of the 2-2-1-1-1 format), they took a 3-2 series lead by winning the key fifth game at home. That's an edge that won't be possible this Finals. A year later (1985) when the two met again, the Lakers won the fifth game at home to take a 3-2 series lead and went on to win the series under the new 2-3-2 format. After the series, Celtics star Larry Bird commented that he didn't like the format change, and didn't like the fact that the all-important fifth game was on the road even though his team had earned the home court via a better regular season record.

You can argue the same thing happened in 2006 when the Mavericks went up 2-0 at home, then had to play three in a row in Miami. The Heat won all three, including the pivotal fifth game, putting the pressure on Dallas. The Mavs surely would have preferred to come home for Game 5.

Not counting this current series, over the last 14 years the home team is 58-20 SU, 47-29-1 ATS in the Finals, while the favorite is 52-26 SU/44-33-1 ATS. Recent results show the home team stepping up and getting the money, while the favorite often wins but doesn't always cover. In fact, from 2001-2004 the home team went just 10-10 SU/6-13-1 ATS in the Finals.

Defense often rules this time of the year. Last year the Heat and Thunder were 4th and 5th in field goal shooting defense. Although the ultimate champion Miami ranked 4th in points allowed, while OKC was only 17th. In 2011 the Mavericks finished 6th and 10th in the NBA in points allowed, while in 2010 the Lakers finished 5th and 9th in the NBA in points and field goal shooting defense allowed.

In 2008 the Celtics and Lakers were in the top six in defensive field goal percentage allowed, while Boston was second in points allowed. In 2009 Orlando and LA had reputations of being all-offense, but Orlando was at 6th in points allowed and LA was 13th; plus the Lakers were sixth in field goal shooting defense while the Magic was third (43%). Do they old men of San Antonio have won last title in them? Or is this a true Miami dynasty?

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 11

Heat at Spurs: What Bettors Need to Know

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (-2, 187)

Best-of-seven series tied 1-1.

A second-half Game 2 demolition by Miami has created some momentum for the Heat as they start a stretch of three straight games in San Antonio with Tuesday’s Game 3 matchup against the Spurs. Miami used a ferocious 33-5 run to turn a close contest into a lopsided affair en route to a 103-84 victory that evened the series at a game apiece. San Antonio hopes to get a better effort from their veterans who struggled in Game 2.

Miami forward LeBron James has been held to a 17.5 average in the first two games and didn’t even lead the Heat in scoring on Sunday when Mario Chalmers was the most pivotal figure with 19 points. The Spurs’ trio of Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili combined for only 35 points in Game 2 after compiling 54 in San Antonio’s Game 1 victory. The Spurs now need to quickly forget the thrashing. “If you look at the result – being 1-1, it’s not bad,” Ginobili said. “But you don’t want to play like this in an NBA Finals. You don’t want to give them that much confidence and you feeling bad about yourself.”

ABOUT THE HEAT: The performance of Miami’s supporting cast drew criticism in the playoff series against the Indiana Pacers but there has been no shortage of players stepping up against the Spurs. Veteran guard Ray Allen has scored 13 points in each of the first two games while Mike Miller and Chris Andersen each contributed nine points off the bench while joining Chalmers as game-changers. James said he feels Miami’s supporting cast has the edge despite the perception that the Spurs have a deeper list of contributors. “They’ve been making an impact all year long and they feel like their supporting cast is better,” James said. “We feel like our supporting cast is better. It’s who goes out and does it each and every night to help seal wins.”

ABOUT THE SPURS: Duncan was just 3-of-13 shooting in Game 2 after being superb in the opening game with 20 points and 14 rebounds. Parker and Ginobili also played poorly as the trio was a combined 10-for-33 from the field. “Defense has something to do with it,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich said. “Just missing shots has something to do with it. No matter how you slice it, it’s 10-for-33. Missing shots and not shooting it well and turning it over is a bad combination.” Spurs guard Danny Green had 17 points in Game 2 on 6-of-6 shooting – including hitting all five 3-point attempts – and is averaging 14.5 points in the series. Green is 9-for-14 from 3-point range in the two games.


* Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a win.
* Under is 5-0 in Heat’s last five overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Spurs’ last six home games.


1. San Antonio committed just four turnovers in the opener before slipping to 17 in Game 2.

2. Miami is 3-22 all-time in San Antonio with one of the victories occurring in the regular season despite James and Dwyane Wade not suiting up.

3. Spurs F Kawhi Leonard is averaging 12 rebounds in the series and has six double-digit games on the boards in the postseason.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 11

Heat at Spurs, Game 3
By Brian Edwards

With the NBA Finals knotted at 1-1, the best-of-seven series shifts to San Antonio for Tuesday night’s Game 3 at AT&T Center.

Most books have installed San Antonio (71-27 straight up, 50-46-2 against the spread) as a two-point home favorite with a total of 187.5. The money-line price for the Spurs is -130, while the Heat is +110 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $110).

For first-half wagers, San Antonio is a one-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 93.5. has adjusted the series price to Miami -165, San Antonio +145.

Miami (79-21 SU, 56-44 ATS) drew even Sunday by capturing a 103-84 Game 2 win as a six-point home favorite. The 187 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 189-point total.

The Heat broke open a tight game in the second half by turning a 62-61 deficit into a 27-point lead thanks to a 33-5 run. When LeBron James buried a trey with 7:43 remaining, Gregg Popovich emptied his bench to concede defeat.

James flirted with another triple-double, finishing with 17 points, eight rebounds, seven assists, three steals and three blocked shots. Mario Chalmers scored a game-high 19 points and didn’t commit a turnover in 35-plus minutes of action.

Chris Bosh finally had a good shooting night, draining 6-of-10 shots from the field. He produced a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds. Ray Allen has now made 6-of-9 shots from 3-point range in the series and is averaging 13.0 points per game. Mike Miller splashed the nets with all three of his attempts from deep in Game 2.

Danny Green scored a team-high 17 points in the losing effort. The UNC product made all six of his shots, including 5-of-5 from behind the line. Tony Parker made only 5-of-14 shots en route to a 13-point effort. He had just as many assists (five) as turnovers (five).

Tim Duncan finished with nine points and 11 rebounds, struggling from the field all night by connecting on just 3-of-13 attempts. Kawhi Leonard pulled down 14 boards but had only nine points on 4-of-12 shooting from the floor.

This is Miami’s first underdog situation in these playoffs. The Heat has been an underdog seven times this year, going 6-1 both SU and ATS. They own a 5-2 record both SU and ATS in even postseason road assignments.

San Antonio has won six of its seven home games in these playoffs, compiling a 4-3 spread record.

The ‘under’ has cashed in both Games 1 and 2 and has cashed at a 23-5 clip in the last 28 head-to-head meetings between these clubs.

The ‘under’ has cashed in five consecutive Miami games and has gone 9-7-1 in the postseason. Meanwhile, San Antonio has seen the ‘under’ go 9-7 in the playoffs.

Game 3 is scheduled to tip at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets is currently showing LeBron James as the -200 favorite to win Finals MVP honors. Parker has the next-shortest odds (+180), followed by Duncan (+450), Wade (20/1), Ginobili (50/1), Bosh (50/1) and Chalmers (50/1). The ‘field’ has 25/1 odds.

Maurice Cheeks has been named the new head coach of the Detroit Pistons, replacing Lawrence Frank. This will be Cheeks’s third NBA head-coaching gig. He posted a 284-286 regular-season record for Philadelphia and Portland. He had a 5-11 record in three trips to the postseason. Cheeks was the starting point guard for the 76ers on their NBA championship team in 1983.

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported Monday that the Hawks have hired Quin Snyder as an assistant for new head coach Mike Budenholzer.

Also, the AJC reported Monday that former Hawks point guard Mookie Blaylock surrendered to the Jonesboro Police Department after being charged with second-degree vehicular manslaughter. Blaylock was released from an Atlanta hospital over the weekend.

According the Associated Press, the Hawks and two other teams have been fined an undisclosed amount of money for tampering. The Hawks’ fine came after a letter to season-ticket holders mentioned the potential signings of Chris Paul and Dwight Howard.

According to quotes from the man himself and published by USA Today, Kenny Smith has ‘been talking’ to the Sacramento Kings about their General Manager position.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 11

NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs

Tuesday night oddsmakers have San Antonio set as a 2-point home favorite over visiting Miami Heat. During the postseason, the Spurs have posted 6-1 SU record at home (4-3 ATS) the Heat have notched a 5-2 SU/ATS mark on the road. Thrashed 103-84 in game-two the Spurs will attract their share of backers as they're on a 15-6-1 ATS stretch following a loss of 10 or more points. Adding fuel, Spurs own a profitable 8-4-1 ATS stretch hosting Miami since 2000 and Heat are on a 0-4 ATS skid following a SU win it's last four during second season. But Miami backers will won't be swayed knowing Heat are a smart 8-3 SU/ATS in the third game of a playoff series the past three years, 2-0 SU/ATS in GM-3 of the finals. Miami backers will also point to the fact Heat are a perfect 5-0 ATS as a road dog following a win by 10 or more points, 3-0 ATS as a road dog after allowing an opponent 90 or less points the previous game.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, June 11

2013 NBA Playoffs

Duncan is 3-16 from floor when Haslem is on floor, 8-16 when he is off; Haslem has played 33 of 96 minutes in series. Miami is 0-6 vs spread in game following its last six wins- their spread results in last eight games are LWLWLWLW, losing last two road games in Indiana series. James has taken only six foul shots in first two series games; he needs to go to basket more. Last five Miami games stayed under the total, but five of Spurs' last six home games went over. Heat won their visit here this year with James/Wade sitting out; they're 3-22 SU in 25 visits to Alamo. Spurs are 6-1 at home in playoffs, with pair of overtime wins. SA had 16 turnovers last game, after having only four in series opener.

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