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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, June 9
MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, June 9
Sunday Night Baseball: Cardinals at Reds
By Steve Merril
It's an old fashioned NL Central rivalry game on Sunday Night Baseball as the Reds host the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-105, 8.5)
BRONSON BRINGING THE HEAT
Bronson Arroyo is 6-5 with a 3.38 ERA for the Reds. Arroyo has been hot and cold this season. He has not allowed an earned run in three of his last five starts. In the two starts not accounted for during that stretch, he allowed eight runs. Arroyo has already faced the Cardinals twice in St. Louis this campaign. In those two contests, he allowed six runs and 11 hits in 13 innings, striking out only two while walking a pair. The righty has been able to keep his pitch count in check going over 100 pitches just once. Arroyo has won three straight home starts against the Rockies, Cubs, and Brewers.
LYNN DOESN'T LIKE LOSING
Lance Lynn is 8-1 with a 2.76 ERA this season. In his last outing, he allowed just one run and five hits to the Diamondbacks over seven innings. The righty has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his 12 starts. Lynn has seen the Reds twice this season, giving up two runs and nine hits in 13 innings, striking out 15 while walking only three. The Cardinals starter has allowed just two runs in his last three road starts which came against the Dodgers, Cubs, and Phillies.
The Reds are one of the healthier teams in the league, although their short injury list does include a few studs. Johnny Cueto is expected to be activated off the disabled list on June 16. He has a shoulder injury which has also plagued reliever Sean Marshall. Chris Heisey and Ryan Ludwick have both been out of the lineup for a significant amount of time. Heisey is dealing with a hamstring ailment, while Ludwick has a shoulder problem.
The Cardinals will be without Jaime Garcia, Rafael Furcal, and Jason Motte this season with two of those three undergoing Tommy John surgery. Chris Carpenter is on the disabled list due to a nerve condition, but he'll be back sometime in July. Jake Westbrook's elbow ailment will keep him out a little longer.
The over is 8-3 in the Cardinals’ last 11 Sunday games.
Cardinals are 20-7 in Lynn’s last 27 starts.
Reds are 32-15 in their last 47 Sunday games.
The under is 27-12-3 in Arroyo’s last 42 starts.
HITTERS TO WATCH
Matt Holliday 15-for-49 vs. Arroyo
Jon Jay 11-for-30 vs. Arroyo
Zack Cozart 3-for-9 vs. Lynn
Brandon Phillips 3-for-8 vs. Lynn
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, June 9
MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers
Las Vegas -- The Cincinnati Reds will look to avoid dropping their third straight series to the St. Louis Cardinals this season in tonight's rubber match at Great American Ballpark. The Cardinals took two out of three from the Reds in the previous two series played at Busch Stadium, and if looking at the standings, the Reds can point to those losses as part of the reason they are three games behind St. Louis in the NL Central.
Taking the mound for Cardinals is right-hander Lance Lynn (8-1, 2.76 ERA), who is doing an almost identical repeat of what he did last season when he started out 8-1 with a 2.54 ERA in his first 10 starts. Things unraveled quickly for Lynn over his next 15 starts, however, as he went 5-4 with a 5.02 ERA and lost his job in the rotation.
However, Lynn has already passed that 10 game threshold set last year and is thriving. He's been amazing over his past three starts, allowing only three runs in 20 innings, but more importantly, the Cardinals are 3-0 in those games. On the season, the Cardinals are 9-3 behind Lynn, including wins in both series against the Reds. If the Cardinals win tonight, it will be the fifth straight series they have taken from Cincinnati dating back to last season.
The Reds will try to halt all their bad streaks tonight, countering with Bronson Arroyo (6-5, 3.38 ERA), who has stepped up big time over his last five starts. He's coming off of his best outing of the season against the Rockies, going eight shutout innings in a 3-0 win. He's gone 4-1 in his last five starts and didn't give up a run in three of those starts.
Arroyo's biggest problem tonight is the Cardinals themselves. He hasn't fared well against them over his career. He took a loss twice already this season, which brought his career record to 1-7 with a 5.27 ERA in 11 starts against St. Louis.
We like the form that both pitchers are in right now, but the edge goes to Lynn in this spot. We have been waiting the past two games for Lynn to show any sign of fatigue as he did last season, but it hasn't happened. He's stronger than ever and because of past history, we like him to carry just enough swagger and confidence to get the win.
On the other side with Arroyo, even though he's pitching well, he's already got a negative stigma placed within his mind regarding the Cardinals. He knows he doesn't beat them and knows he'll have to pitch his best tonight to make it happen. There are too many things floating around his head other than just getting batters out one at a time.
Cardinals (Lynn) -107 at Reds
Padres (Richard) +165 at Rockies
Pirates (Locke) -120 at Cubs
Dodgers (Magill) +152 vs. Braves
Season to date record: 118-112-1 (+833)
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