Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, June 5

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, June 5

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Cleveland at NY Yankees
The Indians look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games after dropping the first two games of a series. Cleveland is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145)

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 14.872; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.295
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under

Game 953-954: Miami at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 16.143; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.653
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+180); Over

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 13.977; Washington (Haren) 15.487
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under

Game 957-958: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Garland) 16.208; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.377
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+170); Over

Game 959-960: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 16.309; St. Louis (Kelly) 15.198
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over

Game 961-962: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Marquis) 14.361; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.922
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Under

Game 963-964: Cleveland at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 15.562; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 14.523
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Over

Game 965-966: Chicago White Sox at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 13.161; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.592
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-170); Under

Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.914; Detroit (Fister) 17.428
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under

Game 969-970: Texas at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 15.937; Boston (Lackey) 14.861
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Over

Game 971-972: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Walters) 15.377; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.475
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+135); Over

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Garcia) 16.093; Houston (Keuchel) 16.377
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 15.746; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 13.548
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Over

Game 977-978: Toronto at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.400; San Francisco (Zito) 16.845
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under

Game 979-980: Chicago Cubs at LA Angels (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 14.978; LA Angels (Vargas) 16.343
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

NHL

Pittsburgh at Boston
The Penguins look to rebound from their 6-1 loss in Game 2 and build on their 8-0 record in their last 8 games when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in the previous game. Pittsburgh is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100)

Game 11-12: Pittsburgh at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.808; Boston 11.843
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Over

WNBA

Indiana at New York
The Fever look to bounce back from their 86-77 loss to Atlanta and build on their 9-4 ATS record in their last 13 games following a defeat. Indiana is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4)

Game 651-652: Indiana at New York (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.665; New York 110.700
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, June 5

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit TigersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Detroit TigersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Tigers and Rays meet in Game Two of this three-games series in the Motor City Wednesday evening where Doug Fister takes on Alex Cobb. Fister toes the slab in strong KW form with 45 strikeouts and 9 walks in his last seven starts. He is also 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his five home team starts this season. With Cobb 0-2 in his career teams starts in this series and 0-3 his last three away team starts during June, look for the defending world champions to reign supreme tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Detroit.

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Freddy Wills

Atlanta Braves -135

Julio Teheran is looking like he is putting it together as the 22 year old has gone 21.2 innings pitched in his last three starts with a 1.02 WHIP and a 2.08 ERA. Teheran at just 22 years old has shown very good control for a young pitcher especially since he's developed a new pitch this year that is helping him produce 32.7% outside the zone swings with his slider. Teheran has faced some weak competition over his last three starts, but the Pirates are no offensive juggernaut scoring just 2.93 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10 games combined. They are also 22nd in OPS vs. RHP while they will start a lefty that has struggled big time on the road.

Wandy Rodriguez in 5 road starts this year has a 5.96 ERA which is nothing really new for him. He also has a 4.91 ERA during day starts. While he has had success against the Braves in the past he has allowed better than a .300 average to both left handed and right handed hitters. With the Pirates recent struggles and the Braves dominating bullpen I'm rolling with the Braves again for our free play of the day.

Notable Hot Starters:
Corey Kluber (0-3, 15 IP, 0.87 WHIP, 2.40 ERA)
Hisashi Iwakuma (2-1, 21.2 IP, 1.11 WHIP, 2.91 ERA)
Alex Cobb (2-1, 21 ip, 0.71 whip, 1.71 ERA)
Johnny Cueto (2-1, 20 IP, 0.75 WHIP, 1.80 ERA)
Alexi Ogando (3-0, 17.2 IP, 1.25 WHIP, 2.55 ERA)
John Lackey (2-1, 19 IP, 0.79 WHIP, 1.42 ERA)
Jason Vargas (3-0, 21.1 IP, 1.08 WHIP, 1.69 ERA)
Freddy Garcia (2-1, 19 IP, 0.89 WHIP, 1.89 ERA)
Bartolo Colon (3-0, 23 IP, 0.96 WHIP, 0.78 ERA)

Notable Cold Starters:
Jon Garland (0-3, 16 IP, 2.12 WHIP, 8.44 ERA)
Wade Miley (0-3, 16.2 IP, 1.38 WHIP, 8.64 ERA)
Jeremy Guthrie (1-2, 18.1 IP, 1.42 WHIP, 6.87 ERA)
R.A. Dickey (2-1, 20.2 IP, 1.55 WHIP, 6.10 ERA)
Yovani Gallardo (1-2, 15.2 IP, 1.60 WHIP, 6.89 ERA)

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Jeffrey Brandes

Oakland A's -103

Pitchers:
OAKLAND ATHLETICS: BARTOLO COLON (R) ERA: 3.33 W/L: 6-2
MILWAUKEE BREWERS:YOVANI GALLARDO (R) ERA: 5.05 W/L: 4-5

The A's BARTOLO COLON is 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's issued just 4 walks in 70 1/3 innings this year. In his last, he threw a five-hit shutout against the White Sox on Friday, walking none and fanning three while using 106 pitches.

For the Brewers, YOVANI GALLARDO was a winner in his last start but he gave up 3 home runs. In his last 3 starts, he's 1-2 with a 6.89 ERA.

Key Trends:
Oakland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

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Rob Vinciletti

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals    
Play: Washington Nationals

Washington had the Mets right where they wanted them last night. Down a run headed into the ninth. The Pathetic Mets and their make shift closer promptly let Washington Get the win as all 5 batters came up and reached without a single out recorded. The Mets now send Dillon Gee to the mound with his 7.76 road era, and follow him up with one of the Leagues worst road bullpen era at 5.56. Dan Haren goes for Washington and while he has not been great this season, a start against a New York squad that hits .215 on the road may be exactly what he needs. Washington also fits one of our solid systems here, that plays on certain home favorites with a total that is 8 or less and is off a 1 run home favored win where they scored 4 or less runs and their opponent scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits. This system has cashed 12 of the last 15 times.The Nationals have won 5 of the last 6 as a home favorite off a 1 run home favored win and should coast to another win here tonight. Take Washington.

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Jim Feist

Tampa Bay at Detroit
Pick: Under

The under is 5-2 in the Rays last 7 road games and they are in Comerica Park in Detroit, a great place for pitchers. Tampa Bay righty Alex Cobb is terrific, throwing strikes with 14 walks in 67+ innings, which will help in this park. Detroit righty Doug Fister (5-2, 3.28 ERA) is also an exceptional control pitcher with 11 walks in 68+ innings and the under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 home games. When these teams meet the under is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings, including 3-0-1 under the total in the last four meetings in Detroit coming into this series. Play the Rays/Tigers under the total.

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Dave Cokin

Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
Pick: Detroit Tigers

Two rock solid righties will oppose on another tonight at Comerica Park. It's Alex Cobb throwing for the Rays, while Doug Fister in on the mound for the Tigers. Detroit will be looking to make it two straight against the Rays after destroying Matt Moore on Monday night. Both pitchers come into this one in excellent form, and with each guy sporting impressive ERA's along with outstanding peripherals, it looks as though it could be tough sledding for the hitters. But a quick check of the history books tells a different story. Fister has had some trouble with the probable Rays starters. They're 17-55 against tall righty, which is pretty impressive. But it's worse than that for Cobb. Sure it's a small sample, but the likely Detroit starters have laced Cobb to the tune of 13-29. On the flip side, those were almost all singles, so perhaps it's just a fluke that will be corrected here. I'm giving Fister a slight edge over Cobb. But from a team perspective, it gets stronger for the hosts. Tampa Bay was the highest scoring team in baseball for the month of May, but I really cannot see that trend being maintained. I'm not expecting a major regression, as this team puts the ball in play and they've got a load of line drive hitters. But the offense is not as powerful as that of the Tigers and this team is just crushing the ball at home this season. In fact, the Tigers are hitting over .300 vs. righties at home while averaging well in excess of six runs per nine innings. Cobb will have to be at his very best to contain the Tigers tonight, and while the Rays might get some damage done against Fister, I cannot see them being able to outscore the hosts. I see the price here being more than justified and I'll go with the Tigers for tonight's free opinion.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco GiantsSERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San Francisco GiantsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There has been quite a dichotomy between Giant starter Barry Zito's performances at home in San Francisco as compared to the road. To wit: at AT&T Park, Zito has posted a 1.40 ERA and 1.13 WHIP while recording a 4-0 record, and the Giants seem to have gotten back on track with two wins in a row, including Tuesday's 2-1 success. On the other hand, Blue Jays knuckler R.A. Dickey continues to struggle, allowing six runs in each of his last two starts and now conceding 12 homers in 74 2/3 IP this season. Toronto is also 2-6 in Dickey's last eight starts.

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Bryan LeonardFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cubs / Angels Under 7.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With a 4:05 p.m. start time, the shadows should come into play in the early evening hours in Anaheim during Wednesday's game between the Cubs and the Angels. Last season, day games at Angel Stadium went under in 12 out of 20 games with the average number of runs per game at 7.35. To top it off, it will be a getaway day game for both teams as the Cubs head home to host Pittsburgh and the Angels make the cross-country flight out to Boston for a weekend set.
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The pitching matchup also lends itself well to the under. Matt Garza takes the hill for the Cubs and he should continue to get better with each start. Garza is striking out one batter per inning and fixed some of his command issues in his last start against Arizona, throwing over 48% of his pitches for strikes. Starters average around 45% for the season, so Garza was definitely on the right track there. Righties are just 3-for-31 against Garza since his return from the DL and the Angels' most productive bats hit right handed.
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Jason Vargas has been terrific at home this season, going 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA. The Cubs are one of the least-disciplined teams in baseball against southpaws and if there's any knock on Vargas, it has been his command. Overall, the Cubs don't walk much, so Vargas should be able to have success against their lineup. The Cubs have the league's worst OPS on the road at .619, so this is a team that really benefits from Wrigley Field and struggles away from it.
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It's a pretty good pitching matchup, but the shadows and a getaway day should have a lot of impact on Wednesday's game.

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Bryan PowerFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tampa Bay vs. DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I released the Tigers yesterday as a "premium selection" and was not disappointed as they destroyed the Rays 10-1 here at Comerica Park.  Don't be surprised to see a similar result on Wednesday as I mentioned yesterday Detroit has really had Tampa Bay's number the past couple of seasons and is also a tremendous home team.  They also have the pitching to compliment their great offense.
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The Tigers are averaging nearly six runs per game at home this season, after Tuesday's 10-run, 15-hit performance. Just to show how impressive a performance that was by the Detroit offense, Rays starter Matt Moore had allowed just 15 runs ALL SEASON. It was arguably his worst start ever.  Pitching in Detroit can do that to you.  Not only are the Tigers 18-9 at home this season, but they are batting over .300 as a team here.
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Anibal Sanchez gave the home team a quality start yesterday and now it's Doug Fister's turn.  Fister didn't allow any runs his last start, striking out 12, but received a no-decision in the team's 1-0 loss at Pittsburgh.  Fortunately, he's 4-1 at Comerica Park this season with a 3.18 ERA.  The Tigers are now 12-3 the last 15 times they've met Tampa Bay.  That includes a 6-1 home record.

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas vs. BostonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BostonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Yesterday's free play couldn't have been any easier as the Red Sox thrashed the Rangers 17-5 here at Fenway Park.  As a result, I'll come right back with the home team yet again tonight.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1.  John Lackey - Perhaps no pitcher in baseball deserves better than his record (3-5 in eight starts) than Lackey, who carries a 2.96 ERA and has been just sensational here at Fenway with a 0.90 ERA in three starts.  He's at least gone 2-1 at home as he's given up just two earned runs in 20 innings of work. He'd given up just two runs, both unearned, in back to back wins prior to losing at Philadelphia his last start.  But back at home, I look for Lackey to rebound.
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2.  Yesterday - It was pure destruction in Tuesday's opener as the Red Sox rolled to a season-high 17 runs, scoring in each of the first seven innings.  They hit for the cycle as a team in a six-run second inning and wound up hitting eight doubles for the game, finishing with 19 hits overall.  13 of them went for extra bases.  Keep in mind that on Saturday, Boston went for 18 hits in an 11-1 win over the Yankees.  It goes without saying that the offense is really clicking right now.
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3.  X-Factor - Because starter Justin Grimm was so ineffective, the Rangers were forced to use six pitchers yesterday.  This will place an undue burden on tonight's starter Alexi Ogando, who is making his 1st start since May 15th after spending time on the DL due to right biceps tendinitis.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Mets vs. NationalsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dillon Gee (3-6, 5.68 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Gee is coming off his first win since May 1st by striking out 12 Yankees on Thursday, giving up one run off four hits over 7 1/3's innings of work in his team's eventual 3-1 victory. Gee's "up-and-down" season continues; while he has losing records both at home and on the road this year, note that his ERA balloons to a ghastly 7.76 away from friendly confines (he's also a sub-par 1-4 with a 6.82 ERA in all "night games" this season). Gee will be opposed by Dan Haren (4-6, 5.09 ERA) who gave up two runs off eight hits while striking out five over 7 1/3's innings in a 2-0 setback to the Orioles on Thursday. The beleaguered right-hander is now 0-3 with a pedestrian 4.97 ERA over his last four starts (and note that Haren is 2-5 with a 4.44 ERA in all "night games" this season). Two suspect starters vs. a couple of underachieving lineups; I feel the table is set for some offensive fireworks.

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Andrew LangeFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Mets vs. NationalsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UnderFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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I was pretty active early in the season in fading New York's Dillon Gee but after a few adjustments, an uptick in velocity, and his best start of the season, perhaps we can jump in a "buy low" on the young right-hander. Last season Gee pitched to a 4.10 ERA and 3.54 xFIP. This year's strikeout and walk numbers are almost identical and his xFIP is a respectable 4.00. He's been a little unlucky with the home run ball (1.42 per 9) and BABIP (.356). Dan Haren was also on my early season fade list and while still NL-average, like Gee, he too has pitched better than his raw numbers (5.09 ERA/4.16 xFIP). Overall I see two mediocre pitchers who are in decent form and have a chance to pitch better than their numbers because of two below average offenses. Since May 1, Washington is hitting .224/.278/.633 and averaging 3.4 runs per game. The Mets own nearly identical splits for the entire season. I’m in with a play on the under 7.5.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland vs. MilwaukeeFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The A's wasted a brilliant performance from A.J. Griffin last night, as the bullpen gave up three runs in the 8th, and Milwaukee went on to win 4-3 in extra-innings.
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It was a tough loss, especially for Griffin who tossed seven scoreless innings allowing just four hits. Now the A's have to get back onto the field early Wednesday for Game 3, less than 24 hours later.
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Adding to their troubles is the fact that tomorrow's starter is facing what appears to be an imminent suspension for using PEDs, after his season was cut short by a suspension for steroid use last year. This might be the end of the line for 41 year old Bartolo Colon.
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Colon (6-2, 3.33 ERA) is having himself quite a season, so whatever supplements he's been taking appear to be working. Not only will he have a potential suspension hanging over his head, but he could be a little fatigued after going the distance in his last start, throwing over 106 pitches. You don't see many 41 year olds pitching complete games these days, even if they are all juiced up.
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The Brewers will send Yovani Gallardo to the hill, and he's coming off a win his last time out. Gallardo (4-5, 5.05 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits over 5 2/3 innings at Philadelphia, but picked up the win behind eight runs of support.
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It's fair to say that Gallardo has struggled this season, but he's been much better at home than he has been on the road. The A's haven't seen a lot of Gallardo, but those players that have seen him in the past haven't enjoyed much success. Nobody is hitting better than .200 against him.
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We're getting a good price on the home team here, all things considered.

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Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto vs. San FranciscoFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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After an early move up to '8' we've seen this total settle back down to '7.5' at most books, a clear reaction to last night's low-scoring 2-1 game in favor of the Giants.
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It's the wrong move, in my opinion.
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The Jays were held to a single run last night but entering this series they had been playing fairly consistent offensive ball, having scored at least three runs in 14 straight games. I fully expect to see them get back on track against Barry Zito on Wednesday afternoon, noting that the ball always carries much better in the afternoon sunshine at AT&T Park.
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Of course, Toronto has already seen Zito once this season, roughing him up for 12 hits and eight runs (five of them earned) in an eventual 10-6 win at Rogers Centre back on May 14th. Zito was fortunate to hold the A's to only one earned run over six innings in his most recent outing, issuing a whopping six walks in that start. He needed 117 pitches to get through that outing and I won't be surprised if that has a bit of a lingering effect this afternoon.
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San Francisco hasn't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard lately, but I do envision the Giants hanging a crooked number on the board today. They'll face R.A. Dickey, who has been a massive disappointment in his first year with the Jays.
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Dickey comes into this start at a low point in his season, having allowed 20 hits and 12 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings of work over his last two starts. The fact that this total is sitting at 7.5 is interesting as his last six outings have reached 9, 9, 16, 12, 11, and 14 total runs. Perhaps the oddsmakers are thinking a return to a National League park will help his cause. I'm not so easily convinced.
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The two-game set between these two teams back in mid-May produced 30 runs, and while I'm not expecting an all-out slugfest on Wednesday afternoon, I am confident that we'll see enough offense to help this one 'over' the rather low posted total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, June 5

Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit Tigers -140FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Doug Fister has been a stud for the Tigers this season going 5-2 in his 11 starts and posting a 3.28 ERA and 1.209 WHIP. He is the kind of pitcher that throws a lot of strikes and hits his spots which is why he has only 11 walks in 68.7 innings pitched. He should have no problems getting run support from his teammates who are averaging 6 runs per game with a .303 batting average at home this season.
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Tampa Bay has given the start to Alex Cobb for today’s game. If Cobb has a weakness it is playing on the road. He has allowed 5 home runs in 4 road starts and 28 hits in 25.3 innings pitched. The Rays are coming off a blowout loss to the Tigers because of their inability to score runs. They have a .248 batting average on the road and a losing road record at 14-16. Facing Fister today will only make that losing road record worse as the Tigers should roll again tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, June 5

John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami Marlins at Philadelphia PhilliesFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Miami MarlinsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will gain a valuable upset win. If you are initially a bit leery about this play, the consider the run-line and the fact that Philadelphia is 1-10 against the run line (-9.7 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Philadelphia?s ace starter Hamels has fallen on some very difficult times. At 1-9 for the season, he has pitched well at times, but has not received any run support. In other starter, he has pitched poorly with better than average run support. Moreover, he does not and has not ever pitched well in day games. So far this year he has posted a 1-3 record in 4 DAY starts with a 6.65 ERA. In 2012 his highest split ERA was in day games at 3.14, but allowed 10 of his 24 home runs in these day games. Even going back to 2006 where he posted a 6.00 ERA in 9 day-starts, his highest ERA with the exception of 201 has been in day starts. Take the Marlins.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, June 5

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Baltimore at HoustonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Houston +1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The truth is, Houston is not going to win a lot of games this season. But, even the worst of the worst teams, and the best of the best teams  have peaks and valleys over 162 games. Houston is in the midst of one of those peaks right now, having won six of their last seven games. The pitching has been getting it done, allowing just 24 runs over their last nine games at 2.7 per contest. That vaults them into a valued position here at home on the runline. Baltimore ranks No. 28 in the league in pitching, and their pen has already blown eight saves. Houston is 5-0 in Kuechel's last five starts on regular four days rest. Go with Houston on the runline.

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Steve MerrilFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Atlanta BravesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Braves and Pirates wrap up their series with an afternoon affair on Wednesday. Atlanta is sending Julio Teheran to the mound where he is 3-2 with a 3.71 ERA. He has allowed just 5 runs and 17 hits in his last three starts. The righty is facing a Pirates’ offense that is hitting right around .210 in their last eight games. The Braves’ bullpen has an ERA under 2.00 at home and they’ve been great for the most part closing out games. Wandy Rodriguez has continued his history of road struggles. He is 2-1 with a 5.96 ERA in five starts away from Pittsburgh. Rodriguez has only 13 strikeouts in just over 22 road innings. Jason Heyward (5-11), Gerald Laird (4-9) and Blake DeWitt (2-7) have good numbers against the Pirates’ starter. Atlanta has been close to dominant at home and they have a winning record against left-handed starters. They are also 10-7 in day games while scoring 4.6 runs per game. We’ll recommend playing the Braves in this game on Wednesday afternoon.

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