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MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 12

MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 12

MLB Weather Watch

Seventeen mph winds blowing out at Wrigley and there's a chance of snow in Minnesota. Here are the projected weather reports for Friday's MLB games:

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with a few showers. Winds will blow out to center field at 17 mph.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Skies will be mostly cloudy and temperatures will be in the mid-50s. Winds will blow out to left field at 10 mph.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Temperatures will be in the high-40s with cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 14 mph.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Skies will be cloudy and temperatures will be in the low-50s. Winds will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Winds will blow in from left field at 15 mph. There will be an 80 percent chance of rain by game time.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals
Clear skies with temperatures in the high-40s. Winds will blow from left field to right field at 12 mph.

Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics
Clear skies with temperatures in the high-50s. Winds will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins
There will be a 30 percent chance of snow. Temperatures will be in the mid-30s. Winds will blow out to center field around 11 mph.

MLB Baseball Weather Analyzer

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 12

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Toronto at Kansas City

Much was expected from Toronto after the dramatic overhaul this offseason but hurlers struggling out the gate with a 5.42 ERA, batting a mesily .240 overall the A.L. East basement dwelling Blue Birds have sputtered to a 3-6 (-$482) start after getting spanked 11-1 by the Tigers on Thursday. Meanwhile, Kansas City platting 4.78 runs/game along with solid work from their pitching staff (3.20 ERA) are off to a smart 6-3 (+$340) start and holding down top spot in the A.L. Central. Two pitchers coming off excellent starts to the season take the mound in this one. Jays have southpaw J.A. Happ (1-0, 00.0 ERA) toeing the rubber while Royals counter with righty Luis Mendoza (0-0, 1.50 ERA). Happ the only Jay starter with a victory threw 5 1/3 scoreless innings, giving up one hit, three walks with six strikeouts in his opening win against the Red Sox. Jays 6-2 vs Royals last season including 4-0 at Kauffman Stadium another solid effort by the left-hander history repeats itself. Mendoza held the Phillies to two hits, one run in six innings last Saturday walking off with a ND as Royals blew a 3-1 lead in the loss. With the team loss Mendoza now sports a 1-7 TSR in April with both Royals/Rangers. The betting market knowing Royals are on a 7-2 stretch as home favorite, Jays on a 0-3 road skid following a loss by 10 or more runs have Kansas City between -$1.18 and -$1.35 favorite depending on locale.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 12

Cliff Notes - Friday Baseball
By Dave Essler

Giants at Cubs: Surely with the wind expected to be blowing out at 17 MPH, today's game with bullpens all but shot, even with the chill in the air this total will be a big number. But, with Cain on the mound perhaps too high. Villanueva's numbers in the Braves game looked decent on the surface, but he gave up 13 flyball outs. In Turner Field you can get away with that. Cain gave up 12 flyball outs (to three groundball outs) against St. Louis. After a rough start, the Giants pen has been stellar the last week, so it'd be hard to take the Cubs here. Lean Giants and under.

Reds at Pirates: I usually look at "overs" in games Leake pitches, simply because he's such a great hitting pitcher. Both teams a day off. Pirates take two of three from Arizona, while Reds lose two of three at St. Louis. Leake was torched by the Nationals and Pittsburgh has hit him very well from top to bottom, and since the Pirates pen has been great (WHIP under 1.00 this season), and Burnett has pitched well in his two losses, it's the Pirates or nothing.

Atlanta at Washington: Braves a day off while the Nationals play the White Sox, so clear advantage in the back end to the Braves, not that there wasn't already. Teheran was dominant in AAA but has fallen on hard times and cannot keep that 95 MPH fastball down at time, but he's got great upside. Possible advantage early on because Washington hasn't seen him. Dewtiler looked great against the Reds, and is exactly the type of pitcher that gives Atlanta trouble.  Love to be able to take Atlanta here, given the rest situation, but I can't. Not unless something happen in the Nats game against the White Sox to change my mind. Given that the Braves are rested I would think that Teheran is on a short leash, so lean Nationals and under.

Philadelphia at Miami: Fish have scored more than three runs once in nine games, and shutout by Atlanta two of the last three. Perhaps they're day off can help them regroup. Stanton has been a non-factor, and teams aren't even pitching around him. Phillies ten or more hits three of the last four games. Lannan a classic game for him against the Royals with 18 ground ball outs, and I have to think that the young Fish won't adjust to him living on the outside of the plate, either.  Nolasco making his third start, first one at home, and off a 100+ pitch game. Was a little surprised to see the Phillies only -125 or so, actually, given that they've seen plenty of Nolasco. Simply cannot trust Miami's pen, but, they did improve at home against the Braves. It'd be hard to do anything but take the under in this park, especially given that it looks like the game COULD be closer than most would expect.

Milwaukee at St. Louis: Is this total sitting at 8 tempting, especially with the wind blowing out (probably) fairly hard. Almost too easy. Lohse going against the team he pitched for for the last five years. It's been a long time, but it's almost sad how badly Beltran owns him, and Holliday is 5-9 off of him. Tough to pitch around both of them. Miller is a hard throwing kid, and I do mean "kid" at 22. He walked four against the Giants, but perhaps at home he settles down. Only allowed two hits in eight innings late last year at Busch, so I'd have to think the Cardinals are the right side here. Again, not touching the Brewers and their pen on the road.

Dodgers at Arizona: Certainly some disrespect here for Corbin and/or the D-Backs losing two of three to the Pirates, making Kershaw -150 on the road. The Dodgers have seen Corbin, but did nothing, and his numbers at home were actually better than on the road last season, so he appears to have no issues w/Chase, yet. With that in mind, and not even looking at Kerhsaw, there is no chance of laying -150 here (for me) whatsoever. Lean under, of course, in any Kershaw game with a total of eight.

Colorado at San Diego: Even though the Padres lost to the Dodgers in the last game, they did have eleven hits, and Quentin is expected to play, so without too much adieu, leaning Padres. But, the two caveats here are obviously that the Padres don't have Thursday off like Colorado does, and they just hit Ross pretty hard in Colorado. Usually, the second time around it's advantage pitcher, in this case. And Garland just threw six solid ground-ball innings against the Padres in Colorado. Lean to the Padres and the over.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 12

MLB Odds and Picks
By: The Linemakers

What a great treat baseball fans get this weekend with the two teams favored to win the NL East battling it out for first place.

The Atlanta Braves have won six in a row and have jumped out to the majors' best record at 8-1, their best start since winning 13 of 14 games to begin the 1994 season. The Nationals sit right behind them at 7-2, but have the home-field edge in Washington, where they have yet to lose in six games.

While the Braves have won the last four meetings between the two, the Nats have gotten the best of them in D.C., winning four of the last five. But last year’s stats don’t matter too much this time around, especially considering the Braves have a completely different look, most notably the addition of the Upton brothers.

Ross Detwiler (0-0) takes the mound for Washington and is a modest -135 favorite. That's a well-earned price considering Detwiler was outstanding at Cincinnati -- the Nats’ only road win -- in his season debut last week, allowing only one unearned run in six innings. The usually steady bullpen blew a four-run lead that day before the Nats eventually won 7-6 in extra innings.

The Braves send Julio Teheran (0-0) to the mound, a pitcher we identified in spring as being one who could provide value matching up against other teams’ No. 5 starters. Although Teheran had an outstanding spring, he struggled in his first regular-season start against the Cubs, allowing five runs in five innings of a game the Braves eventually won, 6-5. We think he’ll bounce back with a much better performance tonight and keep the streak rolling for the Braves in somewhat of an early-season statement game.

What’s wrong with the Angels?

We should be talking about the Oakland A’s, who have won eight straight and are in first place in the AL West after sweeping the Angels in their home debut. But the more sensational story is about the struggling Angels with their $142 million payroll sitting at the bottom of the division with a 2-7 record.

To make matters worse, ace Jered Weaver is going to be out for up to six weeks with a broken left elbow. The good news is that it’s not his pitching elbow. While this team hasn’t hit as expected, there shouldn’t be much concern because it eventually will. The real concern has to be the pitching -- all facets -- that sits in the bottom-five with a 5.42 ERA.

Tonight the Angels are an obscene -200 favorite behind Tommy Hanson (1-0) against the Houston Astros and their ace, Bud Norris (1-1). Hanson was on the mound five games ago against the Rangers when the Angels got their last win, but the price tonight is begging us to take the Astros (+180). After winning their first game in the season opener, the Astros lost their next six. But their bats came strong in their last two, outscoring the Mariners in their pitcher-friendly park, 24-12. This selection is a combination of the Angels’ losing streak, their poor pitching, the Astros sending their best to the mound and the insane price.

Masterson on a roll

We love to ride hot teams and hot pitchers, and tonight one of the hottest pitchers in baseball, Justin Masterson (2-0, 0.69 ERA), takes the mound at home against the Chicago White Sox as a short -135 favorite. Masterson usually figures to be at a disadvantage having to take on opposing teams’ aces as the No. 1 starter on the Indians, but so far, so good. Masterson has started by outdueling last year’s two Cy Young award winners in R.A. Dickey and David Price.

The Indians (3-5) have been rained out their last two games and look to avoid their first 0-3 home start in 17 years. Their offense has been sporadic, showing signs of busting out on a few occasions, but then going completely dead. They’ve been shut out twice already and in their last game they lost 14-1 to the Yankees. However, we think they get healthy tonight against Sox starter Jose Quintana, who got beat up for six runs in four innings against the Mariners while getting the no-decision in an 8-7 White Sox loss.

Lohse returns to St. Louis

The St. Louis Cardinals (5-4) are fresh off winning two straight against the Reds to pull into a tie with Cincinnati for first place in the NL Central. Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers are languishing in last place at 2-6. The rain-out at Wrigley Field gave the struggling Brewers two straight nights off, which allowed them to regroup and get their heads straight for the big three-game set in St. Louis this weekend.

The Cardinals are -140 today behind one of the better up-and-coming pitchers in Shelby Miller (1-0), but we’re going with the underdog today solely because of Kyle Lohse making his return to the place that resurrected his career. In five seasons with the Cardinals, Lohse went 55-35 with his best season coming in 2012 where he was 16-3 with a 2.86 ERA. Lohse was terrific in his only start of spring and allowed only one run to the D-backs in six innings before the bullpen blew another one in a 3-1 loss.

Friday’s plays:

Braves (Teheran) +125 at Nationals

Indians (Masterson) -135 vs. White Sox

Astros (Norris) +180 at Angels

Brewers (Lohse) +130 at Cardinals

Season to date record: 21-7 (+1599)

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