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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 7

MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 7

Sunday Night Baseball: Angels at Rangers
By Steve Merril

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (-144, 8.5)

It's an AL West showdown on Sunday Night Baseball as the Rangers host the Angels.

Yu Better Believe It

Yu Darvish makes his second start of the season as he tries to top the one-hitter he threw against the Astros this past Tuesday. Darvish was magnificent against Houston although performances like that will probably be the norm against the Astros’ weak-hitting lineup. Now he takes a step-up in class against the Angels whom he faced six times last season. Darvish allowed 19 runs in those six games with 48 strikeouts. The righty actually had more struggles against Los Angeles at home where he had one of his worst starts of the season back on August 1. Darvish allowed seven runs on four hits and six walks in just five innings in that game which turned into an 11-10 victory.

Dream Weaver

Jered Weaver got a no-decision in his last start despite giving up only a single run and two hits in six innings at Cincinnati on Monday. His problem was the first three innings where he threw 63 pitches which was the reason why he couldn't go deep into the game. Weaver is not the biggest fan of pitching in Arlington, posting a 6.48 ERA in his three starts there last year. Most of that damage came in one outing back on May 13 when he allowed eight runs and 10 hits in just over three innings. He beat the Rangers on September 28 in Arlington after yielding only two runs and five hits in seven innings.

Injury Report

The injury reports for these two teams are relatively clean. The Angels are without Ryan Madson who is recovering from Tommy John surgery. He'll be big for their bullpen when he returns. Texas has a few key names that aren't available right no, including pitchers Colby Lewis, Joakim Soria, and Neftali Feliz who is expected to be out until early August due to ligament transplant surgery. The former Royals' closer, Soria, hopes to be back by late May after undergoing his own Tommy John surgery. Finally, Lewis also had elbow surgery and hopes to be back by late May.


Angels are 20-6 in Weaver's last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record
Under is 35-17-3 in Weaver's last 55 starts vs. a team with a winning record

Rangers are 11-4 in Darvish's last 15 home starts
Over is 5-2 in Darvish's last seven home starts

Hitters to Watch

Mike Trout 6-for-17 vs. Darvish
Albert Pujols 4-for-17 vs. Darvish

Elvis Andrus 23-for-60 vs. Weaver
Adrian Beltre 13-for-65 vs. Weaver

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 7

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays play the third game of this three game set against the Boston Red Sox at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Blue Jays swinging mean bats the past three games going yard nine times should feel pretty good about winning the rubber match. Blue Jays were 3-1 last year vs Boston with Lester touching toe to rubber spanking the left-hander for 7 Jacks over the span. Consider Toronto knowing Jays are on a 4-0 streak during game 3 of a series, an 8-3 stretch vs Red Sox and that Boston enters 1-4 in game three of a series w/Lester, 1-4 in the lefty's last five vs the division.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, April 7

MLB Odds and Picks – Premier Starting Pitchers Take The Hill
By: The Linemakers

There is nothing that captures the true essence of baseball more than an afternoon game. Today we get our first chance to embrace the sport the way it was meant to be played, with 14 of the 15 games under nature’s light. Baseball takes center stage in the sports-betting world on the first Sunday of the MLB regular season and the first Sunday since early November without college basketball action.

Meanwhile, most of the NBA teams are going through the motions, as half of the teams prepare for their vacations and a large percentage of the others rest their regulars ahead of the playoffs. Who needs to try and handicap that stuff, especially when there are so many better opportunities in baseball?

With baseball still in the infant stage of the season, every team feels like it has a shot to be playing deep into October and is playing with a little more pep in its step. That tune might change once reality sets in by July and August, but bettors should take advantage of the extra energy each team is playing with, not to mention the rapidly changing pitcher ratings that won't be fully ironed out until early May. Our hope is to offer a little insight on some of the daily profit opportunities that exist for bettors.

There are several games on the card that fit our criteria of offering value at great prices -- either by going with a pitcher that is on his game, or going against one that is a little off.

Nationals/Reds UNDER 7 (-120): What an outstanding pitching matchup we have in store for us today with Stephen Strasburg facing off against Johnny Cueto. Strasburg is coming off of a dominant spring and didn’t miss a beat in his opening day start. He deserves to be favored (-113) today, even though Johnny Cueto shook off the spring rust with a seven-inning, one run performance on opening day that also including nine strikeouts. Cueto had settle for the no-decision as the Reds fell 3-1 to the Angels, but he looked to be in midseason form. This has the look of a 3-2 game that will be won in the eighth or ninth inning by the bullpen.

Giants (Cain) -138 vs. Cardinals (Wainwright): Matt Cain was brilliant in his opening day start against the Dodgers, tossing six innings of shutout ball before being lifted due to a high pitch count. He had the misfortune of going against Clayton Kershaw, who matched Cain’s goose eggs frame-by-frame and broke the 0-0 tie with his own eighth-inning homer. Adam Wainwright struggled in his first start against the Diamondbacks, allowing four runs off of 11 hits over six innings in a 6-2 loss. The Cardinals also have the misfortune of having to watch -- in agony -- another Giants ceremony that they had a part in helping make happen. They already watched the World Series Champion flag raised on Friday, and today they get to see the Giants receive their World Series rings.

Red Sox (Lester) +126 at Blue Jays (Dickey): We’ve got a triple-whammy here with a pitcher we like going against a pitcher we don’t at a plus-money price. The pitcher we like -- no, we love -- is Jon Lester. He carried a dominating spring showing into opening day at Yankee Stadium. The pitcher we don’t like is R.A. Dickey, who not only had a rough spring and World Baseball Classic, but also took the loss in the Blue Jays’ home opener last Monday against what we now know to be a struggling Indians squad. Beyond needing some time to get used to the new rubber and surroundings of Toronto, Dickey also has the challenge of working with a catcher -- J.P. Arencibia -- who isn’t comfortable catching his knuckler. Arencibia had three passed balls in Dickey’s first start, while Dickey also got credit for a wild pitch.

Angels (Weaver) +128 at Rangers (Darvish): Jered Weaver comes off an outstanding road performance against the Reds where he got the no-decision in a 3-1 Angels win. The Rangers used to have Weaver’s number in Texas, but he got the monkey off his back last season, winning his last two starts there. He's notched a win in four consecutive starts against the Rangers and has the fortune of going against a lineup that no longer features Josh Hamilton, Michael Young and Mike Napoli. We wouldn’t go as far as calling them Rangers-light, but they’re definitely not the same team that made the playoffs the last three years.

As for Rangers’ starter Yu Darvish, he looked great against the Astros last Tuesday, coming within one out of a perfect game, but Houston’s lineup figures to be on the cusp of several near no-hitters this season. The Angels’ Alberto Callaspo tagged Darvish for three home runs last season while Mike Trout also went deep twice. Weaver should not be this large of an underdog, and the price is very inflated due to Darvish’s first outing. Take the value here.

Season to date record: 15-1 (+1570)

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