Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, March 5

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Denver at Sacramento
The Nuggets look to build on their 5-1-1 ATS record in their last 7 games against the Kings. Denver is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4 1/2)

Game 501-502: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 118.835; Philadelphia 112.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: LA Lakers at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.862; Oklahoma City 127.524
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 218
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Denver at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.238; Sacramento 113.910
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 221 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4 1/2); Under

NHL

Boston at Washington
The Bruins look to build on their 15-3 record in their last 18 road games. Boston is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140)

Game 51-52: Edmonton at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 12.115; Columbus 11.230
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-135); Under

Game 53-54: Tampa Bay at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.453; New Jersey 10.477
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Over

Game 55-56: Boston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.366; Washington 11.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Under

Game 57-58: Buffalo at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.086; Carolina 10.657
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 59-60: Montreal at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.631; NY Islanders 12.186
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+110); Over

Game 61-62: Philadelphia at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.809; NY Rangers 11.896
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-155); Under

Game 63-64: Winnipeg at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.560; Florida 11.757
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-110); Under

Game 65-66: Colorado at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.030; Detroit 10.560
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Over

Game 67-68: Minnesota at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.839; Chicago 13.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-200); Under

Game 69-70: San Jose at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.028; Vancouver 10.657
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+125); Over

Game 71-72: St. Louis at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.592; Los Angeles 12.704
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-135); Under

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NCAAB

Ohio State at Indiana
The Buckeyes look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Ohio State is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+8 1/2)

Game 507-508: Illinois at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 69.887; Iowa 71.235
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Iowa by 4; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+4); Under

Game 509-510: Marquette at Rutgers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 70.485; Rutgers 61.358
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 9
Vegas Line: Marquette by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-6 1/2)

Game 511-512: Virginia Tech at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 57.439; Duke 76.315
Dunkel Line: Duke by 19; 145
Vegas Line: Duke by 20 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+20 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: St. John's at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 62.690; Notre Dame 69.089
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 6 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 9; 126
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+9); Over

Game 515-516: Boston College at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 61.256; Clemson 62.422
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1
Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+4 1/2)

Game 517-518: Southern Mississippi at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 62.763; Marshall 58.775
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 4; 136
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+6 1/2); Under

Game 519-520: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 52.140; Central Michigan 47.122
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 5
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 1
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+1)

Game 521-522: Ohio at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 61.057; Buffalo 54.833
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6
Vegas Line: Ohio by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-4 1/2)

Game 523-524: Miami (OH) at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.318; Akron 63.323
Dunkel Line: Akron by 15
Vegas Line: Akron by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+16 1/2)

Game 525-526: Bowling Green at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 52.021; Kent State 60.865
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 9
Vegas Line: Kent State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-8)

Game 527-528: Ball State at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 52.443; Western Michigan 58.364
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 10
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+10 1/2)

Game 529-530: Northern Illinois at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 43.448; Toledo 52.390
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 9
Vegas Line: Toledo by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+10 1/2)

Game 531-532: Arkansas at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 62.656; Missouri 74.382
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 10
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-10)

Game 533-534: TCU at Kansas State(7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 48.420; Kansas State 73.406
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 25
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-21 1/2)

Game 535-536: Memphis at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 69.467; UTEP 60.610
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 9; 134
Vegas Line: Memphis by 3; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3); Over

Game 537-538: Alabama at Mississippi (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.106; Mississippi 70.198
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 9; 131
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 4; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-4); Under

Game 539-540: Ohio State at Indiana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 71.871; Indiana 78.308
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 6 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Indiana by 8 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+8 1/2); Under

Game 541-542: Seton Hall at Providence (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 56.627; Providence 68.006
Dunkel Line: Providence by 11 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Providence by 8; 133
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-8); Over

Game 543-544: Boise State at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 62.813; UNLV 72.393
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-7 1/2)

Game 545-546: Loyola-Chicago at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 55.544; Youngstown State 53.090
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+2)

Game 547-548: Cleveland State at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 53.311; Illinois-Chicago 51.132
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 2
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+4)

Game 549-550: WI-Milwaukee at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 46.774; WI-Green Bay 59.732
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 13
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+14 1/2)

Game 561-562: Winthrop vs. Radford (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 44.526; Radford 44.139
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Winthrop by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Radford (+1 1/2)

Game 563-564: Longwood at NC-Asheville (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Longwood 38.012; NC-Asheville 50.141
Dunkel Line: NC-Asheville by 12
Vegas Line: NC-Asheville by 14
Dunkel Pick: Longwood (+14)

Game 565-566: Presbyterian vs. Campbell (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 42.625; Campbell 40.788
Dunkel Line: Presbyterian by 2
Vegas Line: Campbell by 3
Dunkel Pick: Presbyterian (+3)

Game 567-568: Liberty at Coastal Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Liberty 41.355; Coastal Carolina 53.791
Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Coastal Carolina by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Coastal Carolina (-8 1/2)

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Winnipeg vs. FloridaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Panthers host the Winnipeg Jets on Tuesday night, and Florida is looking to bounce back from three consecutive losses. In order to do that, they will need better play from their goaltenders. Jose Theodore left in the first period of Saturday's game versus Carolina with an injury, and he won't be available for today's game.
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Scott Clemmensen came in to relieve Theodore, and he allowed six goal on 33 shots. Now some might say that a backup netminer that wasn't expected to play, could be forgiven for such a performance, and they may have a point. Yesterday's terrible outing was not an isolated incident though, as Clemmensen couldn't even get out of the first period in his previous start, allowing three goals on 10 shots.
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Clemmensen's numbers are "off the charts", and not in a good way. He's 2-2-2 with a 4.31 GAA. To put that in perspective, there are 40 goaltenders in the NHL that have a GAA lower than 4.00, meaning most teams have two or three goalies with better numbers. He really doesn't belong in the NHL, and he's not likely to last too much longer.
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The Panthers have since called up Jacob Markstrom, who has allowed six goal in two starts this season, with a GAA of 3.05.
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Ondrej Pavelec has been average at best for the Jets, and he allowed three goals on just 21 shots in his last game, losing 3-0 to the Caps.
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Eight of the last 10 head to head meeting between these teams have seen the total go over. The Panthers have played four straight over versus teams with a losing record, while the Jets have seen the total go over the number in four straight road games.

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Louis vs. Los AngelesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The St. Louis Blues are coming off a loss on the road in Dallas on Sunday, and they are in L.A. Tuesday to take on the defending champs. The Kings are playing in a back-to-back situation after hosting Nashville on Monday night.
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Both these teams have 24 points on the season, locked in a five way tie with three other teams, occupying 4th to 8th in the Western Conference. This game should have a playoff feel to it, given that both these teams are on the cusp.
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Here are my keys to the game:
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1: Situational/Motivational - This game is so important to both teams, that neither team can afford to let up. I expect to see both teams play desperate "playoff style" hockey, as they try to earn at least a point.
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2: Recent History - These two teams have seen the total  go under in five of six previous meetings in L.A., and the Kings have not seen the total go over 5 goals in any of their last six games versus division rivals.
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3: Goaltending - Jaroslav halak is the probable starter for the Blues, and he's just getting back from an injury that has kept him out for a few weeks. Halak is 5-1-1 with a 1.90 GAA this season. He's allowed just seven goals over his last four starts, and the Blues have allowed opponents 20 shots or less in three of those four games. Halak started this season with shutouts in two of his first three games.

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michigan
Pick: Central MichiganFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Now that Keno Davis’ CMU has finally snapped a debilitating 10-game SU losing streak by pounding Northern Illinois on Saturday, the Chippewas might like the feel of winning so much that they do so again vs. the limited EMU weaponry. Keno getting nice contributions lately from frosh G Chris “ESPN” Fowler, who has scored in DDs in his last five games and is tallying a hefty 18 ppg his last three, relieving some of the offensive burden from explosive UNC-Greensboro transfer Kyle Randall (17.6 ppg).  Expect CMU to hit better than the 23% beyond the arc that hindered the Chips vs. Rob Murphy’s zone in the first meeting on Jan. 15 at Ypsilanti, where Eagles won by 6.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois vs. IowaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: IllinoisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LTKO revenge rears its ugly head again in this one as the Illini will look for payback from an opening round 64-61 defeat at the hands of the Hawkeyes in the 2012 Big Ten tourney, a loss that ended an Illinois 5-game win-and-cover streak over Iowa. John Groce’s team also had a 5-game streak snapped last week by Michigan.  Hey, no shame in dropping a contest to a Wolverines squad with two guys named Tim Hardaway and Glenn Robinson and their 25 years of combined NBA experience. Anyway, that 5-game Illini win streak, which began with back-to-back upsets of Indiana and Minnesota and ended with three straight trouncings of Big Ten bottom-feeders, put Illinois up on the 20-win pedestal, an accomplishment that nearly guarantees they’ll be dancing in March. Now they need to seal the deal with a big road win in Iowa City against a Hawkeye squad in the middle of an Indiana/Nebraska same-season revenge sandwich and a 3-8 SU record versus teams with a win percentage greater than .666 this season. We have no problem fading this wobbly home favorite tonight. Neither should you.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Illinois.

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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami (OH) vs. AkronFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Miami (OH)FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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The RedHawks are coming off a 78-58 loss to Kent State on the 2nd. It was Miami Ohio's seventh straight setback. Will Felder had 18 points on 7 of 10 shooting.
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Akron is coming off an 81-67 loss at Buffalo on the 2nd. Zeke Marshall led the way with 17 points.
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Statistical Analysis
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While Miami Ohio has been an overall disappointment for bettors this year in almost every single ATS statistical category, it's still significant to note that it's 2-0 ATS over the last two years as a road dog in the 15.5 to 18 point range.
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Note that Akron is just 5-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season, and 0-1 ATS after allowing 80 points or more.
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Pick Analysis
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The last time these teams played against each other, Akron would hold on for the 54-50 win on February 9th. Akron had a 19 game win streak snapped in the setback to Buffalo. This often has a hangover like effect for College level athletes, and I believe that's going to be the case tonight. While I'm not calling for an outright upset, I definitely feel that the pieces are in place for the RedHawks to keep this one much closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe; grab all those points!

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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TCU at Kansas StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: TCUFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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TCU is absolutely terrible, so this is not a game where I will try and build a case for the Horned Frogs. But talk about flat city for Kansas State. It's Senior Night, the Wildcats know they've got a soft touch and they're already a lock for NCAA. There are much bigger fish to fry at Oklahoma State this weekend, and in the conference tournament next week. I just cannot see any intensity for the home team here, and it's tough to cover numbers like this in total dead spots. The bad news is that TCU is just awful enough to get annihilated regardless. But the situation says take the gigantic road dog, so I'll go ahead and take the plunge with TCU and the massive points.

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Jim Feist

Memphis at UTEP
Pick: UTEP

Memphis already has the Conference USA title locked up and this is their third straight road game. Memphis is 1-1 on this trip, losing at Xavier as -4.5 chalk. UTEP is very good, third in the conference and the Miners are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. They play great defense and have been playing well of late, 3-2 SU, 4-0-1 ATS the last 5 games. And when UTEP faces a good team the Miners are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Play UTEP!

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Don Best Consensus

Presbyterian vs Campbell
Pick: Under

Under is 9-2 in Blue Hose last 11 overall. Under is 4-0 in Fighting Camels last 4 neutral site games.

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Sean HiggsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio State vs. IndianaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: IndianaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I just feel that Indiana has the size and guard play that hurt the Buckeyes. This is a big line, and Ohio State does have recent trends in their favor. Regardless, I think the Hoosiers are a legit title team while I have OSU outside of that fence looking in. Final home game here for Indiana.

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Dave EsslerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa -4FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois, as of now in Linardi's bracket, is in the Dance, while Iowa is not. That HAS to piss Iowa off, given that Illinois really only has a couple of quality wins at home. Not that Iowa can make a case for being "in" with a loss at Nebraska, but this is a home game and it is a rivalry. It's not Iowa's last home game, but with only the rematch against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, it's one they'll most certainly be focused in. Yes, Illinois has been playing fairly well, or at least has strung together some wins. But they've got no more home games and play at Ohio State on Saturday. They're a .500 team in the Conference and can not move up prior to the Big Ten Tournament, so what they're playing for is to ensure that they stay "in" the dance, and with the 10th worst Conference SOS, I would contend that they're a bit over rated. They shoot a lot of three's, which is always tough to back on the road, and they are NOT a great defensive rebounding team, which is also tough to back on the road.
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Iowa's ONLY home loss was to Michigan State, and only by three points. Illinois is simply not the Spartans. In Conference play Iowa has the second best three point defense, which obviously plays right into what Illinois wants to do. Illinois' defense, although they can create turnovers, is simply not that good. Size-wise Iowa can compete, but what we really like here is that Iowa is a great FT shooting team and get to the line as much as anyone in the Big Ten. (See Montana, FML).
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I've watched Iowa get super-hot from behind the arc, although it's not their norm. However, because Illinois' three point defense is at the bottom of the Conference, it's just another way Iowa can win this game, and the only way the Illini win it is to simply outscore Iowa, which I simply do not see happening on the road. Iowa will play at a faster tempo, and also have a much deeper bench. Since Gesell got hurt, Marble has shifted to the point guard position, which I actually like because he's far more experienced. Illinois had to travel to Iowa Monday before a storm was coming in, and Marble at 6'6" just presents matchup issues everywhere. Sam McLaurin, a backup for Illinois that typically plays about 50% of the minutes, is coming off a mild sprain. If he's not 100% that weakens Illinois even further.
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Bottom line here is that it's going to take a perfect set of circumstances for Illinois to get this win n the road, while as we've alluded to, Iowa has tons of ways to win this game, and making the Tournament for them is not out of the question, or at least don't tell them that.

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JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit -160FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These R W's are  (10-8-4)  & 2-0-1 in its last 3 at home after a three-game losing streak .. The O is shooting the  puck well scoring 15 goals the 5 battles... #'s are strong at.... Avalanche are 0-5 in their last 5 road games & Avalanche are 11-23 in the last 34 meetings. Fire on the Redwings..

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Boise State +8FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these teams are 20+ win teams so this line seems like it is a little bigger than it should be. This matchup falls into a system to play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Boise State when they have covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, and they are playing only their 3rd game in a week. This system is 59-30 (66.3%) over the last 5 seasons.
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You should also play on a road team like Boise State when they are a good offensive team scoring 74-78 points per game against a defensive team allowing 63-67 points per game, after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. This system is 58-35 (62.4%) over the last 5 seasons.
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UNLV is 7-9 ATS so it seems their 15-1 home record is getting them a little too much credit with the oddsmakers. Boise State is a good team that is 7-5 ATS on the road. Their high powered offense should be able to keep this game close on the road in what should be a very good game.

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CAROLINA -½ +128 over BuffaloFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Regulation only. The Sabres have quieted the critics by picking up seven out of a possible eight points over their last four games. We’re not buying their sudden improvement for a second. A close look reveals that the Sabres’ three wins came against Tampa Bay, Florida and New Jersey. Combined, that trio is on a current 4-25 run and Buffalo did not outplay any of them, getting outshot and out-chanced in all three by wide margins. Buffalo’s recent success is a complete mirage.
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Much ado has been made over the Hurricanes losing Cam Ward to injury for 6-8 weeks. We say, “big deal”. In fact, it has created an overreaction by the betting public to which we can take full advantage. Cam Ward has been average all season while Dan Ellis has been outstanding. This could be a blessing in disguise. Ward leaves with a 2.84 GAA and .908 save percentage in 16 games while Ellis steps in with a 2.53 GAA and .923 save percentage in six games played. Since the return of Joel Skinner and Tim Gleason from injuries, Carolina has won three straight while outscoring the opposition 13-5. That includes a 4-1 win over the Penguins. Expect more of the same here against the most disorganized team in the NHL.
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N.Y. ISLANDERS +107 over MontrealFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Montreal Canadiens are back on the map. After beating Boston on Sunday, the Habs are in first place in the Eastern Conference. Quite remarkable when you consider that they missed the playoffs last spring. Overall, this greatly improved club has lost just four times in regulation in 22 games. However, this is just one of those situational spots that is not in Montreal’s favor. The Canadiens are coming off four games in succession against its biggest rivals, Ottawa, Toronto, Pittsburgh and Boston. The past two games, on Saturday and Sunday against the Pens and Bruins respectively, were playoff like action and intensity that both came down to the final seconds. It’s highly unlikely that the Canadiens will match that intensity here at a venue that sorely lacks atmosphere.
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The Islanders remain one of the biggest risks as a favorite while being the most profitable dogs in the league. Too often, their impressive wins are followed by a disturbing loss. Such was the case recently when the Islanders beat the Devils 5-1 only to follow it up with a 7-0 loss to the Flyers two days later. The Isles have victories over some of the best teams and losses against some of the worst. In other words, the New York Islanders are the NHL’s most unpredictable club. However, the Islanders are still loaded with talent, they have a Sidney Crosby-like superstar in John Tavares and a power-play that ranks 4th in the league. As a pooch in a favorable spot, they offer up value and it all fits here.
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COLUMBUS +114 over EdmontonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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OT included. The Jackets remain a last place club but that doesn’t mean they should be a dog at home to the team that sits just four points ahead of them in the standings. It obviously goes a bit deeper thathat. Edmonton is losing by considerable margins with five of the Oilers last six losses being by two goals or more, including their past two, at St. Louis and at Minnesota, where the Oil were outshot by a combined 73-38. Edmonton has dropped five of seven and it will play its fifth straight on the road here with a game on Thursday in Detroit on deck. This poor play is no coincidence as the Oilers enter this game with as many as nine regulars on the injured list.
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Meanwhile, Columbus continues to improve. Its work ethic is second to none in the NHL. This is one of the most improved clubs in the NHL this year but its record has not reflected that yet due to some hard luck. The Jackets have picked up points in three straight over Dallas, Chicago and Colorado. All of the Blue Jackets last seven losses have been by just one goal and that includes games against Los Angeles, St. Louis, Anaheim and Chicago. Columbus is coming off a 2-1 win over Colorado in which they out-chanced the Avs by a count of 19-6 and outshot them 34-19. Unlike the Oilers, Columbus is gaining steam and confidence and it has not allowed a PP goal against in six straight games. They’re also at home where the Jackets have picked up points in seven of 12 games. The host in this series has won eight of the past 10 games, the Blue Jackets will get some key healthy bodies back in the lineup tonight (Jack Johnson and center Derick Brassard) and there’s not a legit reason why Edmonton should be favored at this venue.

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UTEP +133 over MemphisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Memphis Tigers have two games left beginning with this one. The Tigers are now 14-0 in the conference and 25-4 overall. However, with both the C-USA conference and an invite to the dance locked up (should they not win the conference tournament), the Tigers can take a breather here and get ready as the #1 seed in the conference tournament this coming weekend. All the Tigers have is a bunch of skewed numbers against one of the easiest schedules of all tournament teams. The Tigers three toughest opponents this season has been Minnesota, VCU and Minnesota and in those games, Memphis is 0-3, losing by nine or more each time. They will also play its third straight game on the road and for these kids, that’s a tough assignment when there is nothing on the line.
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UTEP’s only chance of making it to the big event is by getting an automatic bid by winning the C-USA tournament. The Miners sit in third place in the division but they’re just a game ahead of fourth place UCF. UTEP’s motivation here would be to secure the #3 seed in the conference tournament to set up a match against an easier opponent. Playing a ranked team and a conference rival is also a motivating factor. More than all of that is the unfavorable situation of a ranked team spotting road points in a vulnerable spot.
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UNLV -8 over Boise StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boise State’s only chance of making the tournament is by receiving an automatic bid by winning the MWC tournament this weekend. That’s not going to happen and for all it’s worth, the Broncos will close out their season with this game followed by a home contest against San Diego State that is likely going to decide the fourth and fifth seeds in the MWC tournament. That final home game is where all the focus will be for the Broncos.
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The Rebels of UNLV come into this one unranked, on the bubble and third in the Mountain West with a 9-5 record. What a shame it would be to see this dangerous Rebels squad miss the dance. To suggest that this is not one of the top 25 or 30 teams in the country is bordering on ludicrous. UNLV certainly has a great chance to win the conference tournament but in case they don’t they have to win its final two games to be considered. The Rebels are 22-7 overall and the committee would have to look long and hard at them should they finish with a 24-7 record. Freshman Anthony Bennett has had some injury issues of late but he’s getting better and is expected to play here. It shouldn’t matter as all five starters are more than capable of hanging 20 points on anyone. The Rebels are loaded with scorers, they're one of the best rebounding teams in the country (ranked 5th), they’re deep and at this important time of year, they have should have no trouble putting away this below average guest in dominating fashion. 
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Pass NBA

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Wunderdog

Marquette at Rutgers
Pick: Marquette -6.5

It has been another agonizing season for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, as once again they find themselves near the bottom of the Big East standings. Overall, Rutgers is 13-14 on the season, but is just 4-12 in Big East play, and just 1-10 in their last 11 games. While they have played better at home, they are 0-4 at home in their last four vs. teams that have a winning record within the conference, with an average margin of -12 points per game. Marquette still has a chance to win the Big East at just one game out, so this is an important game for them. Marquette has been doing damage on the road vs. a team with a winning home record at 30-4-1 ATS in their last five. Play this one on Marquette.

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John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland State +4½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that CS, lined currently as a 3 ½ point dog will in this game. Valparaiso is the clear favorite to the3 win this conference tournament and earn the automatic bid. Detroit has a nice squad and is The only team capable of defeating Valpo. There are nine teams in the conference and Alpo and Detroit have earned the double byes. Wright Stat earned a one-game BYE. So, Cleveland State would then play the winner of the 4-seed Green Bay versus 9-seed Milwaukee matchup. Then after those two games, the winner gets the ‘reward’ of playing Valpo in the semifinals. Cleveland Stat has struggled with ball control issues up to the last five games where they had 13 or fewer turnovers in each game. Over Th. Least four games that have averaged 9.5 turnovers per game and this is a dominant reason I like the dog quite a bit in this matchup. IC has had 58 turnovers over their last five games averaging almost 15 turnovers per game. CS has done a far better job rebounding the ball as well. They out rebounded four of Th. Least five opponents while IC has had four of Th. Least five opponents out rebound them. I feel strongly that CS is playing vastly better team basketball entering this matchup. Take Cleveland State.

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Steve JanusFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa Hawkeyes -3½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Iowa is showing some great value as a small home favorite. The Hawkeyes may be just 7-9 in the Big Ten, but they are 14-2 at home with their only two losses at home in conference play coming against Indiana and Michigan St. Iowa still has a chance to finish 9-9 inside conference play, as they have a relatively easy home game against Nebraska to finish up the regular season on Saturday. Illinois is coming into this game off a 72-65 win over Nebraska at home, but failed to cover as a 14-point favorite. The Illini are 6-1 over their last 7 games, but this is a very tough matchup for Illinois. Iowa's defense is holding opponents to just 28.9% shooting from 3-point range at home. That's crucial here as the Ilinni rely a lot on their ability to knock down the outside shot. Iowa is 8-2 ATS vs teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers this season and are 11-3 ATS in home games vs teams who aer outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game over the last two seasons.

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NHL PredictionsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Bruins / Capitals Under 5.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Boston Bruins are coming off a 4-3 loss to Montreal, but had won 6 straight prior to that. In their last 7 games they've allowed just 13 goals against (less than 2 per game), with the UNDER going 4-1 in their last 5 games. The Capitals are winners of 3 of their last 4 games, and they've played to the UNDER in three straight. The Caps have allowed just 5 goals against in their last 4 games, and 4 of those goals came in one game in Philadelphia (the other three games included two shutouts). Braden Holtby is confirmed for tonight and he has recorded two shutouts in his last 3 games. Tuukka Rask is expected to be between the pipes for Boston and he has a GAA under 2.00 on the year. The UNDER is 6-2 in the Bruins last 8 road games, while the UNDER is 6-2-1 in the Caps last 9 home games. I think we've got a generous price on a 5.5 total tonight and I'm taking the UNDER.
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Winnipeg Jets -110FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Winnipeg Jets are 10-10-1 on the year, and 6-4-1 on the road. They are coming off a 3-0 home loss vs Washington, but they had 35 shots on goal in that game. The Jets have won 5 of their last 7 games overall. The Florida Panthers are losers or 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games, which drops them to 6-11-5 on the year and just 3-5-4 at home. Winnipeg is 5-1 in their last 6 road games, while the Panthers are 1-7 in their last 8 home games. The Panthers are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and they are 0-7 in their last 7 games in the same situation. Good teams usually don't have a problem playing 3 games in 4 nights, but it is tough for a team like Florida that has only won twice in their last 12 games. I expect Winnipeg to come out with another big road victory tonight.
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Los Angeles Kings -128FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The St Louis Blues enter this meeting with Los Angeles with an 11-8-2 record and 6-3-1 road record. Although they got off to a hot start the Blues have been struggling as of late, including losing 4 of their last 6 games. Their last game was a 4-1 loss in Dallas. They've scored just 8 goals over their last 5 games. The Kings have been the complete opposite, starting slow but heating up big time as of late. The Kings won 5-1 last night making them 6-1 over their last 7 games. Over that 7 game span the Kings have out scored opponents 24-12. Los Angeles is 11-7-2 on the year and 6-1-1 at home. Note that St Louis is just 2-6 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record. The Kings are 18-8 in their last 26 vs a team with a winning record and 19-7 in their last 26 home games both dating back to last season. Los Angeles won their only meeting so far this season 4-1 in St Louis, making it their 6th straight victory against the Blues. Last year the Kings went 3-1 vs St Louis in the regular season and then swept them in the playoffs on the way to the Cup. The Kings are hot and have had St Louis' number, while the Blues are struggling as of late. I think we have a good price on L.A. to go back to back at home for us.

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