Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 28

Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 28

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

LA Clippers at Indiana
The Pacers look to follow up their 108-97 win over Golden State on Tuesday and build on their 11-1 ATS record in their last 12 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Indiana is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1)

Game 501-502: LA Clippers at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.405; Indiana 130.739
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 9 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1); Over

Game 503-504: Philadelphia at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 108.686; Chicago 124.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 16; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 179
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7); Under

Game 505-506: Minnesota at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.808; LA Lakers 121.720
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 210
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10 1/2); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 28

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

St. Peter's at Canisius
The Golden Griffins look to take advantage of a St. Peter's team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. Canisius is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Griffins favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-12 1/2)

Game 507-508: North Carolina at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 67.870; Clemson 66.246
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Drexel at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 51.857; Old Dominion 54.667
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 3; 133
Vegas Line: Drexel by 2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+2); Over

Game 511-512: Ohio State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 67.871; Northwestern 63.000
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 5; 118
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 10; 122
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+10); Under

Game 513-514: Detroit at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 62.858; Temple 63.165
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Temple by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2)

Game 515-516: Arkansas State at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 61.994; North Texas 50.409
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-4 1/2)

Game 517-518: South Alabama at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.787; Western Kentucky 55.991
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 3
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 5
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+5)

Game 519-520: San Jose State at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 43.347; TX-Arlington 58.921
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 11
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-11)

Game 521-522: Seattle at Texas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 48.927; Texas State 51.808
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 3
Vegas Line: Texas State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (-1)

Game 523-524: Utah State at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 59.389; Louisiana Tech 66.912
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-6)

Game 525-526: Idaho at TX-San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 51.904; TX-San Antonio 49.226
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho by 1
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-1)

Game 527-528: UL-Lafayette at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 47.879; AR-Little Rock 56.024
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 8
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 6
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-6)

Game 529-530: Florida International at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 49.335; UL-Monroe 46.749
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida International by 7
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+7)

Game 531-532: Middle Tennessee State at Troy (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 66.126; Troy 53.921
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+13 1/2)

Game 533-534: San Francisco at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 56.363; San Diego 60.332
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-2 1/2)

Game 535-536: Utah at California (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 56.788; California 70.621
Dunkel Line: California by 14; 129
Vegas Line: California by 10; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-10); Over

Game 537-538: Missouri at South Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 70.982; South Carolina 57.413
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Missouri by 9; 138
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-9); Under

Game 539-540: Duke at Virginia (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.376; Virginia 74.134
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Pick; 129
Dunkel Pick: Virginia; Over

Game 541-542: Cal Poly at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 57.718; CS-Northridge 53.512
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 4
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+2 1/2)

Game 543-544: Pacific at CS-Fullerton (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 54.320; CS-Fullerton 51.046
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+1)

Game 545-546: Oregon State at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 59.653; Oregon 66.949
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 141
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+10); Under

Game 547-548: Gonzaga at BYU (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 70.505; BYU 66.370
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 4; 143
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6; 147
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+6); Under

Game 549-550: Loyola Marymount at Santa Clara (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 49.035; Santa Clara 64.950
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 16
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 14
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-14)

Game 551-552: UC-Davis at UC-Riverside (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 55.061; UC-Riverside 46.549
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (-3 1/2)

Game 553-554: UC-Santa Barbara at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 50.093; Hawaii 53.739
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+8 1/2)

Game 555-556: Samford at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 47.575; Appalachian State 51.499
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 4
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (-3)

Game 557-558: Chattanooga at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 45.837; Western Carolina 50.425
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 8
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+8)

Game 559-560: Furman at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 38.780; The Citadel 40.133
Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: The Citadel by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+4 1/2)

Game 561-562: Morehead State at Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.997; Tennessee State 57.846
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 10; 144
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 7; 140
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-7); Over

Game 563-564: Rider at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.774; Niagara 58.326
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Niagara by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+8 1/2)

Game 565-566: St. Peter's at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 43.673; Canisius 59.844
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 16
Vegas Line: Canisius by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-12 1/2)

Game 567-568: Wofford at College of Charleston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 46.742; College of Charleston 57.546
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 11
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 8
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-8)

Game 569-570: South Dakota at IUPUI (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 43.536; IUPUI 43.167
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 2
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+2)

Game 571-572: South Dakota State at NE-Omaha (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 61.949; NE-Omaha 48.144
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 14
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 11
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-11)

Game 573-574: Tennessee-Martin at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 39.615; Murray State 54.964
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 20
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+20)

Game 575-576: SE Missouri State at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 47.921; Austin Peay 49.527
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay

Game 577-578: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Tech (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 58.673; Tennessee Tech 49.675
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 9
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-5 1/2)

Game 579-580: UMKC at Western Illinois (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 40.443; Western Illinois 62.950
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 15
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-15)

Game 581-582: Idaho State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 43.875; Northern Arizona 48.600
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-3 1/2)

Game 583-584: Montana State at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 37.495; Southern Utah 47.511
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 10
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (-4 1/2)

Game 585-586: Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 48.015; Eastern Washington 47.538
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 1
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+1 1/2)

Game 587-588: Weber State at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 60.268; Sacramento State 48.085
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 12
Vegas Line: Weber State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-8)

Game 589-590: North Dakota at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 46.027; Portland State 48.091
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 2
Vegas Line: Portland State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+3 1/2)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 28

John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Samford at Appalachian St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Appalachian St.FORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that AS will win this game by four or more points. The strongest projection calls for AS to win by 10 or more points. The SIM shows that the pace of play will certainly favor AS. It shows that AS will attempt between 54 and 62 shots, will attempt 19 to 24 free throws, will attempt at least four more free throws than Samford, and will force 14 to 18 Samford turnovers. In past games, AS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. Take Appalachian State.

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Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Clippers at Indiana PacersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Indiana PacersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pacers have been playing out of their minds of late, winning and covering the spread in five straight games with all of those victories coming by double-digits. In fact, four of those five wins saw Indiana win by no less than 18 points! We'll back Indiana here on their home court where they are a dominant 24-5 straight up (and profitable 19-10 against the spread) to take care of business against the visiting Clippers. LA has also played well of late (save for a blowout home loss against the Spurs), but now they have to take to the road where they are 18-12 (compared to 23-6 at home) and have to face a very good Indiana defense that only allows 89 ppg on the season. When the Clippers lose, it's usually because they run into good defense, putting up scores of 90, 89, 90, and 73 points in four of their last five defeats. Pacers are on a roll and look unbeatable at home. We're not stepping in front of that train and we'll back the Pacers in a virtual pick 'em spot!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 28

Rob Vinciletti

North Carolina vs. Clemson
Play: North Carolina   

The Heels have slowly climbed to 23 in the RPI Scale and are 5-1 this season vs teams ranked between 100 and 150 . They have won 26 of 28 vs teams who average 65 or less points and and have won and covered 5 of 7 this month. In games as a road favorite from -3.5 to -6 they have covered 2 of 3. In the series they are 4-0 straight up and ats the last 3 years. Clemson is ranked 146 in the RPI Rankings and has lost all 6 times vs top 50 ranked teams. They are 1-6 ats at home when the total is 130 to 135 and have lost 13 of 15 vs teams who average 77 or more points per game. Finally as a home dog of 3.5 to 6 they are 0-3 going losing to the spread twice. So I have no problem laying a few points here with North Carolina.

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Freddy WillsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah State vs. Louisiana TechFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Utah StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah State has revenge on their mind as they are 7-3 on the road facing off against the best team in their conference LA Tech. Tech defeated Utah State on their own court by 3 despite shooting just 33.3% and being out rebounded by 19. Utah State ironically has played much better offensively on the road shooting 51.2% and 39.4% from three so I expect them to give Tech a close battle here today. After all LA Tech’s offense at home has not been overly dominant at home shooting just 41.1% and Utah State continues to be a tough defensive opponent. As long as Utah State takes care of the ball they should be able to cover and I wouldn’t be shocked to see revenge win here with the advantage Utah State can have on the boards. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

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Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Jersey vs. WinnipegFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: New JerseyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Normally a much better team when playing at Winnipeg, the Jets are coming off a rare successful road trip. Tuesday's 4-3 upset victory at MSG gave them a 4-1 record since their last home game.

One of those four wins came against these same  Devils, a 4-2 win on 2/24. Give the Jets credit for their successful voyage. However,  keep in mind that playing the first game back home from a road trip can sometimes be tough.
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Why is it that the first game back home from a trip can be difficult?

Part of the logic is that the players can be distracted by the return to every day life. They can have girlfriends, spouses and/or friends that demand their attention. Bills to pay. Household chores to tend to. Things of that nature.
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Those factors may not sound like much but if you ask players or coaches, they'll tell you that they can indeed come into play.

Also, note that the Jets are actually 0-3 their last three at Winnipeg. So, their long-standing tendency of being a better home team may be starting to change. (In fact, they actually have a better road record than home record this season.)
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Facing a revenge-minded and well-rested New Jersey team, I won't be surprised if the Jets stumble here.

The Devils, who haven't played since the 2/24 loss against the Jets, are already 2-0 this season, when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting.
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Most recently, after losing on 2/2 at Pittsburgh, the Devils beat the Penguins on both 2/9 and 2/10. Also, after losing vs. the Islanders on 1/31, they beat the Isles (at Long Island) by a 3-0 score on 2/3. (They subsequently lost their next game vs. the Isles on 2/16 but weren't in the revenge role at that time.)

The Devils won their last visit to Winnipeg and they're 8-2 the last 10 times that they were a guest in this series, dating back to when the Jets (Thrashers) were based out of Atlanta.
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Off back to back losses and having dropped four of five, we should be able to count on a determined effort from the visitors.
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While they may not have Brodeur between the pipes, I believe the Devils are well worth a look here. Consider New Jersey.

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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Gonzaga vs. Brigham YoungFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Brigham YoungFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Situational Analysis
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This is a revenge game for BYU after it fell 83-63 to Gonzaga back on January 24th.
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Gonzaga is coming off a relatively easy 81-50 victory over San Diego on the 23rd. Kevin Pangos had 18 points. The team has now won 10 straight games.
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BYU is coming off a 64-57 setback at St. Mary's on the 21st. It was an unfortunate loss, as the Cougars did in fact hold the Gaels to just 36% shooting from the floor. BYU shot over 51%, but was just 12 of 19 from the charity stripe. Brandon Davies led the way with 25 points and nine boards.
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Statistical Analysis
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Note that Gonzaga is just 3-4 ATS its last seven as a road fav in the 3.5 to 9.5 range.
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Note that BYU is 3-2 ATS in its last five in revenging a road loss.
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Pick Analysis
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Gonzaga has actually won three straight over BYU. A victory tonight and the Zags will clinch the league title outright. Easier said than done in my humble opinion though, as the Cougars will be looking to play spoiler on their home floor, and to atone for the earlier setbacks. The last time that the Bulldogs lost to the Cougars was an 83-73 road loss a year ago. WCC scoring leader Tyler Haws was held to just a single point on 0 of 9 shooting in the loss to Gonzaga in January, but is averaging 22.1 points on 49.3% shooting in Provo. I believe the home side has plenty of external motivating factors working in its favor, and while the outright upset isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend grabbing the points as the Cougars keep this one much closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe!

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Will RogersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit vs. San JoseFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San JoseFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The San Jose Sharks haven't fared well in the month of February, winning just twice in 11 games. They have played seven of those games on the road though, and they faced the league-leading Blackhawks three times. The Sharks are coming off a win at home over Colorado on Tuesday, and they will look to build on that momentum when they host Detroit tonight.
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Here are my keys to the game:
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1: Fatigue - The Wings played last night in L.A., and they blew a 1-0 lead in the third period, losing 2-1 to the Kings. Tonight will be Detroit's second back-to-back situation in six days, after playing on consecutive nights over the weekend. There may be some tired legs on the Red Wing's bench tonight at the Shark Tank.
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2: Injuries - Detroit has been bitten by the injury bug of late, with a few players sidelined with a variety of ailments. Valtteri Filppula has four goals and six assists on the year, and he's one of the more notable players slated to miss tonight's game. The Sharks are relatively healthy, and they welcome Ryan Clowe back from a two game suspension.
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3: Recent History - The Sharks have taken six of seven versus the Wings at the Shark Tank, and four of five overall. The Wings have just two wins in eight road games so far this year, while the Sharks have won six of nine at home.
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4: Special Teams - The Sharks have been just average on the power-play, but they have been great at killing penalties, ranking 6th in the NHL with an 86 percent kill rate. The Wings are below average with their power-play, and simply terrible killing penalties, ranking 24th in the NHL with just a 77 percent kill rate.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon St. vs. OregonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Oregon St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This in-state hardwood-battle may not quite classify as a ‘Civil War’ (as it does on the gridiron) but the revenge-minded Beavers arrive in Eugene with plenty of ammunition. For starters, the dog in OSU games this season is 15-7-1 ATS this season. And that fits like a needle in the Biogenesis Clinic to Oregon’s 2012-2013 campaign. You see, the Ducks are the epitome of a team playing to the level of its opposition this season, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS versus greater than .666 foes – but only 3-12 ATS versus .666 or less competition. Add the fact that the webbed ones enter off a same-season revenger versus Stanford (1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS after clashing with the Cardinal) with a same-season revenger against Colorado waiting on deck and you can see why we feel they may be bringing just a water gun to this Thursday night tussle. With that, we say grab the points as the Beavers make amends for an earlier home loss.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Oregon State.

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Larry NessFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Gonzaga vs. Brigham YoungFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Brigham YoungFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Gonzaga first made the NCAA tourney in 1995 and the school’s current run of 14 straight “Big Dance” invites began in 1999, the last 13 coming under the leadership of head coach Mark Fox. The Bulldogs and Fox will extend that streak to 15 and 14 this year but there are two bigger issues on the table. This past Monday, Gonzaga climbed to No. 2 in the AP poll (the school's highest-ever ranking) and now, with top-ranked Indiana’s loss at Minnesota on Tuesday, the “Zags” have a chance to earn the AP’s top place in the poll come Monday, IF they can win tonight at 20-9 BYU and then take care of business Saturday at home vs Portland. The Pilots are 11-19, so that will be the easy part of this ‘tango,’ but winning in Provo will be a test. Gonzaga (27-2, 14-0) enters having won 10 straight by an average margin of 22.7 PPG since its last-second 64-63 loss at then-No. 13 Butler on Jan 19.
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The Bulldogs have already set a school record for regular-season victories and are two shy of matching their mark for overall wins in a season. A win tonight will also clinch the WCC league title outright, so there is much to be gained by the Bulldogs tonight. The Bulldogs are led by national player of the year candidate Kelly Olynyk, The seven-footer is averaging 17.7 PPG and 7.0 RPG and BYU had no answer for him the first time around, as Olynyk was 9 of 9 from the floor and 8 of 8 from the free-throw line, scoring 26 points along with grabbing nine rebounds and five assists in Gonzaga’s 83-63 home win over BYU back on Jan 24. His frontcourt “partner in crime,” the 6-8 Harris (14.5-7.4), added 25 points and 10 rebounds in that game while guard Pangos (12.0-3.3 APG) went 4 of 8 from beyond the arc as the Bulldogs shot 56.9 percent from the floor. On paper, Gonzaga looks too strong for BYU, as the 6-9 Dower (7.3-2.9) and 7-1 freshman Karnowski (5.8-2.6) add depth up front off the bench, while Bell (8.9-2.4 APG) and Stockton (3.8-3.2 APG) join Pangos in the backcourt.
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BYU’s Haws (20.9-4.7) is a terrific guard and the 6-9 Davies (18.0-7.7) is a quality big man but those two don’t have the surrounding support. However, the Marriott Center will be ‘hopping’ tonight, where the Cougars are 15-2 SU, losing only by one point to St Mary’s and inexplicably to San Francisco, in a game in which the Cougars were favored by 14 points. BYU will remember it beat Gonzaga here at home last year (83-73) and KNOWS what it means to the Bulldogs if they win this one. How BYU would love to deny Gonzaga that No. 1 ranking! Adding more fuel to the motivation is the fact that BYU hasn’t been a home dog since 2005, a season in which the Cougars were just 9-21. Take the points!

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Detroit vs. TempleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DetroitFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Very awkward (and dangerous) re-schedule for Temple, which was originally slated to face Detroit on Dec. 28 before a snowstorm-caused postponement. Now, the Owls hardly need a highly-compteitive non-conference game in late February that could potentially cause grievous harm to Temple’s NCAA at-large hopes.  The Titans are nothing if not road-tested after their succession of spread covers at hostile Big East venues (St. John’s, Pitt, Syracuse) in pre-league play.  And Detroit has the backcourt presence in Gs L’il Ray McCallum (19 ppg) & Jason Calliste (14.1 ppg) to match Temple’s strength, featuring G Khalif Wyatt (19.4 ppg).  Fran Dunphy’s Owls just 2-9 vs. the line as Liacouras Center chalk this term.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. PhoenixFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhoenixFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota is 9-7-2 overall, but it's just 2-5-1 on the road. The Wild have won three of their last four, most recently a 2-1 win over Calgary on Tuesday. There is some room to read between the lines when looking at Minnesota's record though as it's scored a league worst 37 non-shootout goals thus far. It's also gone a dismal 2 for 24 on the power-play over its last seven contests (interestingly, Minnesota is just 4-5 this year vs. teams with losing records). Phoenix is 9-7-3 overall, and is 6-3-1 at home. And that's good news for us, as the Coyotes begin a stretch of six of their next seven in front of the home town crowd. Phoenix is most recently coming off a convincing and momentum building 4-2 win over the Canucks on Tuesday, and I fully expect this team to carry that momentum over tonight. The Wild can't help themselves looking ahead to their game at Anaheim tomorrow night, and the home side finds a way to get the job done in the end. Lay the short price.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia vs. ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bulls are struggling, with twice as many losses as they have wins in the month of February, and they are winless at home this month. They haven't had an easy schedule though, as they have played nine of their 12 games in February away from home. Chicago is coming off a home loss to Cleveland on Tuesday, despite the fact that Kyrie Irving didn't suit up for the Cavs.
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Chicago will have to fancy it's chances of getting back on track against Philadelphia on Thursday, the Sixers are a sorry bunch at the moment. Philly has lost six straight, but it was the last loss that was the straw that broke the Camel's back. After losing at home to a shorthanded Orlando team, playing without Jameer Nelson, coach Doug Collins completely lost it in a post-game interview.
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“If everybody looked inside themselves as much as I did, this world would be a CAT scan. OK? Believe me, there’s not two days go by that I don’t go to Rod [Thorn], I don’t go to Tony [DiLeo], ‘What can I do? Can I do anything different? How can I be a better coach? How can I be a better leader? How can I help these guys?’
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He went on to criticize his players work ethic, his organization for the players that they have to work with, and the players they have lost. His comments were not those of a coach looking to light a fire under his team to motivate them, but those of a desperate man at his wick's end, who is throwing his hands in the air, saying "I quit".
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Collins will not last much longer in Philly, he's practically daring the organization to let him go. He certainly won't be coming back next year if he lasts that long.
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Chicago on the other hand still has a post-season run to look forward to, and the hope that their superstar PG will return to the lineup. I expect the Bulls to play with a level of desperation that you expect from a team that is looking to break out of a slump, while Philadelphia just continues to go through the motions.

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JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Carolina +120FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Vegas respect to these Cannes tonight short & sweet and powerful.. let's do this as the Jr Oster goes top shelf {3* Twins on the Thursday February 28th NHL ticket...} 3-1 last 4 NHL plays and the members play to a pesky NHL winner with the Dog in this battle.... let's go ugly dog here @ the "PNC" Arena, Raleigh, North Carolina....Home team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Power rated @ Pitt - 110

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WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah State at Louisiana TechFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Utah State +6.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have been a huge surprise in the WAC Conference, sitting at 24-3 on the season. The Bulldogs have been a flawless 13-0 at home These numbers put them clearly into the over-rated mode, as their schedule has been about as soft as it gets ranking No. 223 in the country. Despite the lofty record, the Bulldogs will likely need to win the WAC Conference tournament to get an NCAA Tournament bid, as their current RPI is in the 50s. Utah State was sailing along to a 14-1 record before injuries took the heart and soul out of this team. Consequently, they suffered four straight losses, but have regrouped to go 5-2 since. Keep in mind that both losses were by 3 points or less. Utah St. can win this game, and the points are quite plentiful here vs. a Tech team that hasn't been tested much at all. Play on Utah St.

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Jimmy Boyd

BYU +6

You should always play against road teams as a favorite or pick like Gonzaga when they are coming off 6 or more consecutive wins and playing in a February game. This system is 117-65 (64.3%) over the last five seasons. Gonzaga is 2-9 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive conference games over the last two seasons.

BYU is an NCAA Tournament team. They have 20 wins this season and statistically look better than Gonzaga. They average 81.3 points per game at home compared to the 72.3 the Bulldogs average on the road. The Cougars also have a rebounding advantage over the Bulldogs. They are bringing in 40 total boards per game compared to 36 per game from Gonzaga.

This game is not just about statistics. It is also about revenge. BYU was embarrassed by the Bulldogs back in January and this is their chance to prove they deserve to be ranked among the top teams in college basketball. That 20 point loss to the Bulldogs is nothing more than motivation for the Cougars today.

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Carlo CampanellaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Missouri vs. South CarolinaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play South CarolinaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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These two teams met back on January 22nd in Missouri, with the Tigers winning at home by 6 points, 71-65. That first meeting was in Missouri, but Missouri is NOT the same team on the road, as they 're an UNDEFEATED 15-0 SU at home, but struggled to a 4-8 SU (5-7 ATS) road record. Now they meet a month later in South Carolina, were the Gamecocks are own a "winning" 9-7 SU record and can pull the upset on a Missouri squad that's been a MONEY BURNING 1-6 SU & ATS away from their home court against fellow SEC conference rivals this season!

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Don Best ConsensusFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco at San DiegoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San DiegoFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Toreros are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 vs. the West Coast Conference. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Jose State Texas ArlingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Texas ArlingtonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Texas-Arlington is far from an offensive juggernaut. But at least this team can put the ball in the basket every once in awhile. San Jose State just cannot get anything to fall. Since losing their best player for the season, the Spartans have become the most inept shooting team in the nation. Minus Kinney, this team is now 173/541 for a staggering 32% from the field. That's actually tough to do, but the numbers don't lie. For some reason I cannot figure, it still isn't showing in the spread, despite the fact that San Jose State is not covering anything. I see that unfortunate trend being maintained this evening, and I will side with Texas-Arlington to put enough on the board to notch the win and cover.

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