Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Los Angeles Lakers +3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Los Angeles Lakers have been playing their best basketball of the season over the past few weeks. They have won eight of their last 11 games overall with their only losses coming on the road against Miami, Boston and Phoenix. They shouldn’t have lost that game to the Suns after holding a 13-point lead in the 4th quarter, but they simply ran out of gas in a back-to-back situation.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Clippers are going to be in a very tough spot Thursday night. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days after beating Houston 106-96 at home on Wednesday. Both teams played at a pretty fast pace, so that will certainly leave the Clippers with tired legs heading into this one.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This play falls into a system that is 44-17 (72.1%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Clippers are 0-8 ATS in road games after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons. LAC is 1-9 ATS after a game where they made 12 or more 3 point shots over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Bet the Lakers Thursday.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Don Best Consensus

Arkansas Little Rock vs Arkansas State
Pick: Over

The over is 14-5 in Arkansas Little Rock's last 19 & 11-4 in ARK-LR last 15 road games. The over is 10-3 in Arkansas State's last 13 home games

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Tony GeorgeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Heat / Thunder Over 204FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The battle of Titans tonight, and of course a matchup for the 2 teams who made the finals last year.  The Heat have flat out owned the Thunder covering the last 5 in a row, and LeBron is on an epic run of 6 games shooting 60% and scoring 30 or more for the Heat.  Just unreal how King James is backing up an MVP year and the Heat look unbeatable right now, which is a perfect setup for tonight with them getting BIG points from oddsmakers.  Both teams clicking on offense at 109 ppg each their last 5 games each, and while it is tempting as hell to take the points with Miami, especially after the Thunder’s ugly loss at Utah where they self destructed and lost their composure, I will not drink the kool aid on that line, which has oddsmakers begging you to take Miami.  I feel the VALUE is in the totals play, and the fact both teams will be gunning for the basket and running the floor and scoring points at a rapid pace.  As a matter of fact 8 out of the last 11 in this series in OK City have went over the total.  Look for a shootout tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Toronto at CarolinaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Carolina -145FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Since losing to the Hurricanes 4-1 on February 4th, the Maple Leafs have reeled off four straight wins. So they are hot, right? Well it probably won't matter. Carolina has won four of five so they are hot too. And, Toronto is without Matt Frattin and James Reimer. Carolina has won nine of the last twelve in this series. Toronto is just 15-35 the past two seasons when facing good offenses like Carolina's (teams averaging over 29 shots per game on goal). The Leafs are 9-20 dating back to last season revenging a same season loss. Take the home team in this one.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

DAVID BANKS

Heat / Thunder Over 205

A rematch of the NBA Finals highlights the last NBA on TNT Thursday doubleheader before the All-Star break as the Miami Heat (35-14, 25-24 ATS) pay a visit to the Oklahoma City Thunder (39-13, 31-19-2 ATS) at Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma at 8:05 ET. The Thunder are tied with the Heat for the second best home record in the NBA at 23-3, trailing only the San Antonio Spurs. However, the Heat are a perfect 2-0 straight up as underdogs this season, as that is one role that always motivates them, and they have the hottest player on the planet in LeBron James.

It is not a stretch of the imagination to say that James is currently riding the best six-game stretch of all time. After all, he has become the first player in NBA history to record six straight games of scoring at least 30 points and shooting at least 60 percent from the field, and on top of that, he has hit on an utterly insane 60 of his last 80 field goal attempts for 75 percent! For the entire season, James is averaging 27.1 points, 8.1 rebounds and 6.9 assists, and the last player to average at least 27/8/6 over an entire season was some guy named Jordan for the Bulls in 1998-99. James is also now shooting 56.5 percent for the season, and he has been so good that people are forgetting that the Heat are supposed to be the best "team" in the Eastern Conference. Sure Miami has been lazy at times this season but they are rolling at the moment riding a six-game winning streak coinciding with James putting the team on his back, and the two times that the Heat have been underdogs this season they won outright beating the Nuggets in Denver and the Lakers in Los Angeles.

Now the Heat figure to be bigger underdogs in this game than they have all year, as the Thunder may have gotten caught looking ahead to this game when they lost 109-94 at Utah on Tuesday for only their second double-digit loss all season. After all, Oklahoma City has now won seven straight home games while going 7-0 ATS in those games and winning by an average of +22.3 points! They also have arguably the second most dynamic play in the league in Kevin Durant, who is averaging 29.0 points and 7.4 rebounds, and they are ranked ahead of the Heat in field goal percentage allowed (43.0 to 44.0) and in total rebounds per game (42.9 to 38.7), as the Heat are dead last in the league in rebounding. Then there is that little matter of revenge after losing to the Heat in five games in the Finals, something that the Thunder were unable to get in a 103-97 loss at Miami on Christmas Day. So the question now becomes is all of that enough to overcome what James is doing by himself right now?

The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after allowing at least 100 points in their previous game, 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. the Western Conference and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. the Northwest Division. The Thunder are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. the Southeast Division.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

NellyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Minnesota - over WisconsinFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Minnesota is in a tailspin with losses in six of the last eight games but the early season results for Minnesota are undeniably strong. This is a team that would still project as a solid #5 or #6 seed in the NCAA Tournament right now and a team that could get on a nice late season run to close out the Big Ten schedule. Losing at home to Illinois was an unacceptable loss but the Illini were the more desperate team in that match-up. After losing by one point against Wisconsin in Madison, this will be a critical game for a now desperate Gophers team. Wisconsin enters this game coming off back-to-back overtime wins, beating Iowa last Wednesday and then miraculously beating Michigan on Saturday. Both of those wins came at home, as did the ugly 45-44 win over the Gophers less than a month ago. In that game Minnesota shot less than 35 percent but still had a chance to tie the game with a final free throw attempt. Minnesota actually had fewer turnovers than Wisconsin in that game but the Badgers made more 3-point shots. Wisconsin has lost two of the last three road games and the Badgers only have three true road wins all season long. Wisconsin has been a terrible ATS team on the road with a 2-7 ATS mark and Minnesota is still capable of dominating at home. Minnesota has won by double digits in three of six Big Ten home games and in 11 of 14 home games overall. The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these rivals and the defensive numbers are quite similar for both teams. Minnesota is a much better shooting team on offense from the floor as well as from the free throw line and Minnesota should also have an edge in rebounding in this match-up. This has the look of a clear letdown spot for Wisconsin coming off such an amazing win last weekend while Minnesota needs a nice win to get back on track this season after consecutive losses.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Bob BalfeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Heat 5 over ThunderFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Miami has this teams number and until OKC breaks the trend we will keep going against them. Some teams and players just match up better against other teams. This is the case in this game. Lebron is on fire this month and I don’t see him being stopped on primetime TV. Take the Heat.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Joe Gavazzi

Gonzaga vs. Saint Marys
Play: Saint Marys

Since losing earlier in the season in Spokane, 83-78, the Gaels have ripped off 9 straight wins to remain just 1 game behind the Zags for Top spot in the WCC. That all changes tonight. In that 1st meeting, the Gaels used their grit and determination to outboard the Zags by a 34-23 margin. Though Gonzaga is deemed to be a giant inside, for the season they have just a +6.5 rebound margin compared to St. Mary’s who is +9.4 on the boards. Each of these teams has great offense with the Zags averaging 79/51/39 with 16 APG. St. Mary’s counters with an attack that averages 78/49/40 with 15 APG. From a technical perspective we give the edge to the home team who is 57-6 SU 3+Y at Mckeon including 13-0 SU this season. February home dogs are 107-58 ATS play vs. Road favorites off 6 or more consecutive wins. Though the Zags cruised in off wins of 19 vs. Loyola and 26 vs. Pepp, know that in the last 3 years Mark Few’s minions are 0-7 ATS on the road following consecutive 15 point victories. Behind Matty Dellavedova, the best perimeter player in the League, look for St. Mary’s to use their strong home court, revenge motive, and underrated rebounding advantage to gain this victory and even the standings atop the WCC.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Kyle Hunter

Wisconsin vs. Minnesota
Play:Wisconsin     

The Minnesota Golden Gophers looked like one of the top teams in the Big 10 earlier this year, but they have been playing some bad basketball of late. They have lost 6 of their last 8 games, and I don't understand this line. Wisconsin plays a ton of very close games because of their style of play, and Minnesota hasn't blown anyone out in a very long time. Look for a game that isn't decided until the final buzzer. Grab the points and the underdog here. Take Wisconsin.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Jeff Alexander

California -2½

UCLA covered the spread its last time out with a 14-point win against Washington State. However, those who went to the well with the Bruins in that game may want to think twice before backing them again. After all, UCLA is just 1-7 ATS this season following a game in which it covered the number. Cal checks in off an upset win at Arizona, but I don't expect a letdown as it will be hungry to avenge an earlier loss to UCLA. Fading road teams that are off a double-digit home win and matched up against an opponent that's off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more has produced a 39-14 ATS mark since 1997. Also, February favorites that check in off an upset win as an underdog of 10 or more are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Bet Cal.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

VCU/ UMass Under 147: Uptempo pace doesn't always mean high scoring games. Just look at these two teams. UMass checks in at 21st in the nation in tempo and yet their games have averaged 142.3 ppg overall. The Minutemen do score 72.6 ppg, but they don't shoot all that well (42.9%). On the road the minutemen put up just 66.9 ppg on 42.2% shooting, with their road games averaging just 132.7 ppg. For VCU, they re 92nd in the nation in tempo and their games have averaged 140.4 ppg overall and 137.9 ppg at home. VCU does score 77.7 pg at home, but UMass allows 65.8 ppg on 38.5 % shooting away from home. Now we know that both these teams can score, but they also can play defense as well. I already stated UMass' road defense. Well VCU allows just 60.7 ppg at home and they have allowed just 62.9 ppg overall. Umass is 95th in the nation in defensive efficiency, while VCU is 42nd in that category. Some other stuff to consider... UMass hits 64.6% from FT line on the road, while VCU hits just 69.1% at home... Neither team shoots the 3-ball well and both defend the arc very well... VCU's last 5 games have averaged 139.8 ppg and just 3 of their 13 home games have put up more than tonight's total, with one of those games being in OT and the other 2 vs FDU and Longwood, games in which they scored 90+ in and won by 29 and 37. Neither of that will happen here... UMass is 8-0-1 to the under in their last 9 road games and 7 of their 8 road games this year have failed to top 139 points in a game. The Numbers just don't add up to a game in the 140's, let alone nearly 150.


Northwestern +17.5 over OHIO STATE: I realize that the Buckeyes are probably angry off their home loss to the Hoosiers, but I also see this as a flat spot for OSU. The Buckeyes are off BB games vs Michigan and Indiana and they have a road date vs Wisconsin, followed by home games vs Minnesota and Michigan State on deck. This is a tough stretch for them and smack dab in the middle is a Northwestern squad that is just 4-7 in Big 10 play and has been blown out in their last 3 conference road games. Still the Cats can be a sneaky team and are capable of keeping this one close, especially behind a defense that has allowed just 62.1 ppg on the year. Look for at best a 13 point OSU win.


Oakland/ South Dakota Over 157.5: This would be a fun one to watch. Both teams play uptempo and neither plays good defense. The first meeting this year saw 175 points scored and we should easily get into the 160's with one. Oakland is 67th in the nation in tempo and they have averaged 71.4 pg on the year, including 81.2 ppg in their last 5 games. They have averaged just 67.8 ppg on the road, but this South Dakota defense is bad as they have allowed 79.2 ppg at home and 77 ppg in their last 5 games overall. Oakland's road games have averaged just 142 points, but in 2 of their conference road games vs uptempo teams (South Dakota State and Neb-Omaha) they had scores of 155 and 177.  South Dakota games have been very high scoring at home, with an average of 158.5 ppg put up. Not only have they allowed 79.2 ppg at home, but they have scored 79.3 ppg on their home floor and thy shoot 41.7% from long range at home. Oakland comes in allowing 74.2 ppg on the road and 71.2 ppg in their last 5 games. In those last 5 games they have also allowed 50% shooting overall and 37.7% from long range. Both teams are ranked 281st or worse in defensive efficiency and both teams can score a ton. Should be a fun uptempo game with at least 160 points being scored.


MINNESOTA -5.5 over Wisconsin: Minnesota is a solid team overall and at home they are 12-2 and have outscored their foes by 17 ppg. Wisconsin is normally a good road team, but so far they are just 3-4 in their true road games and they are off BB OT games, including beating Michigan in their last game. Could be a bit of a flat spot for them here.  Minnesota has lost 2 in a row and this is a series they have struggled in this series for a while but after beating Michigan in their last game and having Ohio State on deck, I feel this is a great spot for Minnesota to get a resume building win over a solid top 20 team. Look for Minnesota to win by 9 or more here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Lakers/ Clippers Under 200: Last night the Clippers played Houston and they allowed just 86 points in that game. Even though this is considered a road game for them, the Clippers have still allowed just 92.5 ppg in this building this year. The Lakers haven’t played great defense overall this year, but they do so in this building, allowing just 96.5 ppg and teams shoot just 31.1% from long range vs them in this building. The Lakers have slowed their offense down a bit and they come in averaging just 95.5 ppg in their last 6 games, while the Clippers have averaged just 96.9 ppg over their last 5 games. Both teams play very good defense in this building and I feel that will be more than enough to keep this one from hitting 200 points .

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Harry Bondi

UMASS (+12) over Virginia Commonwealth

After an easy winner in the NBA with the Nets last night, tonight we go back to the college ranks and take advantage of an inflated price. Virginia Commonwealth has been overvalued all season, as seen by its 6-11 ATS record and 5-10 mark at the betting window when laying points. UMass won't be intimidated by the Rams' "Havoc" style of play, because that's exactly the pace of play it thrives in with junior point guard Chaz Williams running the show. UMass has won 13 of 16 straight-up and those three losses have been by eight points, three points and one point. This is a difficult team to blow out, so we'll gladly take the double digits in a game that will be close throughout.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday February 14

Alf Musketa

LA Clippers at LA Lakers
Recommendation: Over

Usually when two rivals face off they are familiar with one another’s style and roster. As a result, these types of games have a tendency to go under the total. But in this particular matchup I see plenty of reasons to look the other way. 
 
It's NBA All-Star week and we have seen some teams throw in the towel when they are down, but a lot of those squads were bottom feeder teams like Charlotte and Orlando. Also during All-Star week we've noticed that defenses tend to be lackadaisical and less physical – none of the top players want to get injured before the festivities and Sunday’s All-Star game. So tonight we don't envision anyone on the Lakers trying to block a Blake Griffin slam dunk or commit a flagrant foul when Kobe Bryant drives the lane.
 
Each time the Clippers and Lakers meet they are playing on their home court at the Staples Center. Tonight the Lakers are the designated home team, and the linesmakers do not account for a home edge, but I think they have missed the number with the total for this contest. Both teams get to shoot at the friendly confines of their home baskets. They also know the court sidelines, court bounces and advantages of the backboard. When these two teams met last month the Clippers won 107-102.
 
When handicapping the side or total involving a team that played the night before, (the Clippers hosted Houston last night), closely look at the minutes played by not just the starters but the bench as well. All-Star guard Chris Paul played 31 minutes and you might think that is a lot for someone coming back from a knee injury, but we are looking for 37 minutes or more. (A real red flag is when they play 40 minutes or more and must travel the next game.) Blake Griffin played 32 minutes, Chauncey Billups only 20, Caron Butler 29 and the rest of the team, including the Clippers’ solid bench, played double digits – I see that as a good thing; you want your bench contributing, playing well and resting the key starters.
 
Since Paul’s return, the Clippers have scored 106, 107 and 102 in their last three games. If Steve Nash is going to guard CP3 we expect at least 25 points. It is very apparent that against good teams the Lakers are atrocious defensively. Recently they gave up 116 points to Boston on 53% shooting, and 107 to the Miami Heat on 55% shooting. In the Lakers’ last game against Phoenix, Kobe posted only four points. We look for him to rebound closer to his season average of 27 points tonight.
 
Due to the fact that the Clippers played last night we have to believe that a good portion of the Lakers strategy is to try and run fast breaks and force an up-tempo game. Combine that with the other handicapping notes above and we are on the OVER.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213895 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44839
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
280985
Average Posts Per Hour:
5.8
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3564
Newest User:
Troy
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2197

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com