Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 17

Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 17

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Miami at LA Lakers
The Heat look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games versus the Lakers. Miami is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2)

Game 501-502: New York at Detroit (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.434; Detroit 115.850
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 3 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.970; Minnesota 116.456
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 505-506: Milwaukee at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.791; Phoenix 119.149
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 196
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1); Under

Game 507-508: Miami at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.535; LA Lakers 120.736
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Over

NCAAB

College of Charleston at Georgia Southern
The Cougars look to take advantage of a Georgia Southern team that is coming off a 70-57 win over Davidson and is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS victory. College of Charleston is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cougars favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3)

Game 509-510: Florida at Texas A&M (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 76.637; Texas A&M 64.250
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Florida by 9 1/2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Valparaiso at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 58.787; Detroit 64.287
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Troy at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.581; Florida Atlantic 53.126
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 8
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+8)

Game 515-516: Duquesne at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 49.465; Massachusetts 57.328
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 8; 158
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 10 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+10 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Michigan at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 74.624; Minnesota 78.676
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4; 133
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Under

Game 519-520: Idaho at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.248; Louisiana Tech 63.848
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-8 1/2)

Game 521-522: North Texas at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 48.798; Florida International 51.252
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida International by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+4 1/2)

Game 523-524: UL-Lafayette at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 49.762; Western Kentucky 58.942
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 9
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 8
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-8)

Game 525-526: AR-Little Rock at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 53.859; Middle Tennessee State 65.696
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+15)

Game 527-528: UL-Monroe at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 45.945; South Alabama 58.348
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 11
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-11)

Game 529-530: Seattle at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 49.862; TX-Arlington 56.073
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 6
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+9)

Game 531-532: Cleveland State at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 52.110; WI-Milwaukee 47.869
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-1)

Game 533-534: Youngstown State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 50.197; WI-Green Bay 56.731
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 7
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+7)

Game 535-536: Northwestern at Illinois (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 58.028; Illinois 69.922
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 12; 128
Vegas Line: Illinois by 10; 132
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-10); Under

Game 537-538: South Florida at Rutgers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 59.463; Rutgers 63.625
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 4; 128
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 5 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+5 1/2); Over

Game 539-540: Utah State at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.863; New Mexico State 60.161
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+5)

Game 541-542: Georgia Tech at Duke (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 58.237; Duke 79.931
Dunkel Line: Duke by 21 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Duke by 16 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-16 1/2); Under

Game 543-544: St. Joseph's at VCU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 63.562; VCU 71.861
Dunkel Line: VCU by 8 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: VCU by 10; 133
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+10); Over

Game 545-546: Oregon State at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 57.622; UCLA 71.318
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 13 1/2; 157
Vegas Line: UCLA by 15; 153
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+15); Over

Game 547-548: San Jose State at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 50.809; Denver 64.936
Dunkel Line: Denver by 14
Vegas Line: Denver by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+15 1/2)

Game 549-550: UC Davis at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 48.887; CS-Northridge 52.316
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+5 1/2)

Game 551-552: Gonzaga at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 69.852; Portland 50.106
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 16
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-16)

Game 553-554: Long Beach State at UC-Riverside (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 54.815; UC-Riverside 44.545
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (-7 1/2)

Game 555-556: Santa Clara at San Francisco (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 57.463; San Francisco 58.904
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-1)

Game 557-558: UC-Irvine at CS-Fullerton (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 54.818; CS-Fullerton 55.784
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 1
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 5
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+5)

Game 559-560: Oregon at USC (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 69.627; USC 65.087
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Oregon by 2 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-2 1/2); Under

Game 561-562: Pacific at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 57.331; Hawaii 57.554
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 1
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+1)

Game 563-564: Manhattan at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 48.338; Canisius 58.216
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 10
Vegas Line: Canisius by 8
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (-8)

Game 565-566: Siena at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 43.544; Niagara 60.422
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 17
Vegas Line: Niagara by 14
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-14)

Game 567-568: Rider at St. Peter's (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 51.619; St. Peter's 51.991
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Rider by 4
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+4)

Game 569-570: UMKC at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 41.622; Oakland 55.699
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 14
Vegas Line: Oakland by 13
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-13)

Game 571-572: The Citadel at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 36.459; Davidson 60.457
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 24
Vegas Line: Davidson by 25
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+25)

Game 573-574: Furman at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 44.321; Elon 56.186
Dunkel Line: Elon by 12
Vegas Line: Elon by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+13 1/2)

Game 575-576: College of Charleston at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 52.904; Georgia Southern 45.485
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3)

Game 577-578: Appalachian State at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 51.089; Chattanooga 47.886
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State

Game 579-580: North Dakota State at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 61.593; IUPUI 51.038
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 13
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+13)

Game 581-582: South Dakota at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 46.655; IPFW 50.037
Dunkel Line: IPFW by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: IPFW by 5
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+5)

Game 583-584: Marist at Loyola-MD (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 45.603; Loyola-MD 58.045
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-11 1/2)

Game 585-586: Eastern Illinois at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 40.903; Murray State 54.327
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+16 1/2)

Game 587-588: Morehead State at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.686; SE Missouri State 49.263
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+2 1/2)

Game 589-590: Eastern Kentucky at Belmont (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 55.125; Belmont 66.669
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Belmont by 14
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+14)

Game 591-592: South Dakota State at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 58.519; Western Illinois 61.410
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois

Game 593-594: SIU-Edwardsville at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 41.687; Austin Peay 48.817
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 8
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 5
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-5)

Game 595-596: Western Carolina at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.116; Samford 48.015
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+1 1/2)

Game 597-598: Eastern Washington at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 43.687; North Dakota 48.950
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 4
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (-4)

Game 599-600: Jacksonville State at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 50.964; Tennessee State 52.270
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+4 1/2)

Game 601-602: Northern Arizona at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 40.127; Weber State 63.721
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Weber State by 17
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-17)

Game 603-604: Sacramento State at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 45.416; Idaho State 42.131
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-2 1/2)

Game 605-606: Portland State at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 47.806; Northern Colorado 47.611
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Portland State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+1 1/2)

Game 607-608: Southern Utah at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 44.977; Montana 58.567
Dunkel Line: Montana by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+14 1/2)

Game 609-610: (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 40.127; Weber State 63.721
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 23 1/2
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 17

Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee vs. PhoenixFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MilwaukeeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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How in the world is it even possible that the Bucks have lost 24 straight times to the Suns in Phoenix? They are just 2-10 ATS vs. Western Conference teams this season, but one of those winning tickets was cashed last Tuesday at home vs. tonight's opponent, 108-99 win as six-point chalk. I was on Milwaukee in that game....
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Phoenix is just awful right now. They have dropped 12 of their last 14 including a double-digit loss here at home to Oklahoma City Monday night. Interesting to note here is that the Suns are just 9-26 ATS when seeking revenge for a road loss. Over the last seven games, they are averaging just 84.6 points per game on 42% shooting.
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Turnovers were key for the Suns in the first meeting as they coughed the ball up 16 times, which is right on par with their average over the last seven games. Milwaukee ranks among the league leaders, forcing 16 TO's per game.  The Bucks have been playing harder for interim head coach Jim Boylan, whose first game on the bench came vs. Phoenix. Though they lost to the Lakers Tuesday night, I expect a bounce back here and the club's 1st win in Phoenix since 1987.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami vs. L.A. LakersFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: L.A. LakersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It hasn't been primetime ratings for 'The Lake Show' thus far but that could all change with a win against the David Letterman's of the NBA world. We know the Lakers are banged-up and haven't done much against the Western Conference elite this year but it should come as no surprise to learn they are 12-2 SUATS at home against non-rested Eastern Conference opposition. Our database also finds Nicholson's bunch 10-2 SU and ATS (5-0 SUATS last five) at home in Thursday TNT prime-time affairs versus non-rested opposition. It looks like another Hollywood ending in the Staples Center as the James Gang gets gunned down out west.  We recommend a 1-unit play on the Lakers.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon St. vs. UCLAFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Oregon St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Still on an AMAZING 10-1 run with complimentary hoops picks in 2013, I had to settle for a push with my last free play on Brooklyn. Many of you would have cashed in a winner, as the line had dropped to 6.5 at most books by Tuesday morning. Tonight's play is on the Oregon State Beavers, getting a whole bunch of points on the road at UCLA.
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The Beavers have lost three straight at home, to Oregon, Arizona and Arizona State. Despite facing tough opponents, they were competitive in each of those games. Tonight's game will be the third time this season they face a team ranked in the top 25, not counting their meeting with Oregon, as the Ducks weren't ranked at the time. They lost the last two to Kansas and Arizona, but both of those were close games.

Arizona defeated the Beavers in Oregon by a score of 80-70, failing to cover an 11 point spread, and the Jayhawks narrowly escaped with an 84-78 victory in Kansas. The Bruins are asked to cover a much bigger number against a solid Beavers team in California tonight.
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While the Bruins have gotten the better of Oregon State in previous meetings, winning 9-of-10, and covering the points in eight of those games, it was Oregon State that won the last meeting between these two teams. The Beavers won by a score of 87-84 at home over UCLA last January.

I believe the Beavers aren't getting enough respect here tonight, getting an awful lot of points for a team that has played so many close games against better teams than UCLA.
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Take Oregon State as the underdog.

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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee vs. PhoenixFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhoenixFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee is 19-18 SU/ATS; it's coming off a 104-88 loss at LA as a 6 point underdog on the 15th. Brandon Jennings had 12 points. To say Milwaukee has struggled whenever its played in Phoenix would be a massive understatement, as it's winless there in over 25 years.

Phoenix is 13-27 SU and 16-22-2 ATS; it's coming off a 102-90 loss to OKC as a 5 point dog on the 14th.
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There is no doubt that the Suns will be playing with a sense of desperation tonight, as they've lost five of six in front of the home town crowd and will be looking to avoid dropping four straight in Phoenix for the first time since 2004.

Shannon Brown had 21 points vs. the Thunder; Marcin Gortat had 19 points and 15 boards.
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A big boost for the home side will be the return of Jared Dudley who has sat the last two games with an injured wrist.

Ultimately though, this sets up as a "revenge" game for the home side, which lost 108-99 in Milwaukee on January 8th.
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I believe there are enough significant external motivating factors working in favor of the home side to warrant it a second look in this matchup!

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lakers/Heat Under 205FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I have the side of this game on the premium side, so I don't want to give away too much of my analysis on the UNDER and give away my thoughts on who is going to win, but a couple of systems back my play here that say to take the UNDER when the total is over 200 and the road team is outscoring opponents by 3+ ppg, and the home team is off a double digit win. The UNDER is 44-18 in this spot over the last fie years. Plus, Miami went UNDER by a ton last night against Golden State and teams rebound in non-conference games going 54-19 for the UNDER if they went UNDER by 24+ points in their last game.
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The Lakers have held the last two opponents to UNDER 94 points while the Heat just held the Warriors to 75. Both teams are playing well defensively so points will be at a premium here tonight.

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Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northwestern vs. IllinoisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: NorthwesternFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois has cooled off lately. The Illini beat a good Ohio State team at home but need to make 3's to be effective. They are not very good inside. The Northwestern Wildcats look like they will miss the NCAA Tournament again in 2013 as they are without John Shurna from last year and have had to deal with injuries. I do think they can make enough shots to stay within 10 points and cover.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Duquesne at MassachusettsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MassachusettsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Massachusetts is one of my least favorite teams in college basketball. The Minutemen have some legit talent, but they can only play at one speed, make too many bad decisions and frequently act as if playing defense is against the law. I'm not sold at all on Derek Kellogg as a head coach, and I think it's fair to say that UMass is a fraud despite an okay 11-4 record. If that all sounds like a team I want to play against, it usually is, particularly if they're favored. But this is a matchup that should allow UMass to succeed simply on the basis of being far more athletic. Plus, it's an unusual occasion in that the Minutemen are playing a team that's even worse defensively. Duquesne tries hard but the material just isn't on hand right now, and there's nothing to suggest they won't play at the pace UMass likes. It's a rare spot where Massachusetts might actually score a blowout win, so I'll take my chances giving the points.

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Jim Feist

Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns
Pick: Phoenix Suns

The long road trip for Milwaukee continues out West and the Bucks are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 vs. the Western Conference. While Milwaukee is playing its third straight road game, Phoenix is well rested having 2 full days off in the middle of a stretch playing a remarkable 1 game over 9 days! They are off a loss at home to Oklahoma City which followed a 4-game road trip back east. The Suns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest and the Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play the Suns.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday January, 17

JR O'Donnell

Illinois -10.5

Illinois gets our call as the Oster missed last night on the Buff Bulls at home as we got a lame effort from the Bulls... NOT TONIGHT boys!! #22 ranked Illinois @   Alumni Hall will be rocking and the 1-3 in conference 14-4 Illini will get out early and often vs 10-7 North Western who got embarrassed @ Iowa as they shot 29%....ugh... The Illinois coach John Groce is steaming mad after a thrashing @ Wisky... The Edges here punch in @ Bench/Rebounding for the home squad...  Power rated @ - 14.2 points gang to the Illinois crew...  The Fighting Illini are 39-5 against the Wildcats at Assembly Hall

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Santa Clara vs. San FranciscoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Santa ClaraFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tough week for Santa Clara, which dropped games at LMU and home vs. BYU just when the Broncos seemed poised for a takeoff. But Kerry Keating’s crew had covered four in a row away from the Leavey Center prior to last Thursday’s loss at Westchester.  And USF’s season has gone pear-shaped since early December, with losses in 9 of last 11 SU.  WCC sources believe Santa Clara better balances the court on the attack end with the post presence of rugged 6-9 Canadian sr. Marc Trasolini (15.1 ppg), a dimension the perimeter-oriented Dons are still lacking.Chance for Broncos to avenge a pair of losses vs. longtime Bay Area Jesuit ricval tonight.

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South Dakota State at Western IllinoisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Western IllinoisFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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You think Western Illinois has had tonight's game against South Dakota State circled? Last year, the Jackrabbits not only beat the Leathernecks three times but one of those games was by single point and the other was in overtime in the Summit League Championship game. WIU is an experienced team with a decent home court. You go back to last year and three of their conference losses in Macomb were by 1 (vs. SDSU), 1 (double OT) and 4 (double OT). This season, they are a perfect 8-0 at rinky-dink Western Hall and tonight marks arguably the biggest game the program has had under Jim Molinari. South Dakota State is a good team as seen by road wins at Montana and New Mexico. But there were also some bad losses, most notably at Hofstra and at South Dakota. Defensively is where these two teams differ. SDSU has had difficulty at times whereas WIU puts much more emphasis on stopping the opposition. And the blueprint is out there for how to beat SDSU – slow down the pace of the game. Of the Jackrabbits' five slowest games, they lost three of them and won the other two by a single point each. In last year's title game, WIU held SDSU star Nate Wolters to 5-22 shooting. The difference was WIU shot 2-6 from the free throw line while SDSU was 7-9. Look for the home side to come away with a revenge-minded win tonight.

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Wunderdog

North Dakota State at IUPUI
Pick: North Dakota State -13

The North Dakota State Bison are off to a 15-3 start on the season, and share the Summit Conference lead at 6-0 with Western Illinois. The Bison are a legitimate NCAA contending mid-major or in this case, lower-tier conference. Two of their three losses have come from the to Big-10 powers Minnesota, and Indiana. They have the savvy to play on the road as their last three road games all resulted in wins by an average of more than 20 points per contest. IUPUI has had a tough season with just four of their six wins coming against Div-1 opponents. They enter this game a very uncompetitive 4-12 ATS on the season, and 9 of their last 10 losses have come by double-digits. The Bison have been cruising to wins and covers vs. below .400 teams at 13-3 ATS in their last 16. Make the play on North Dakota St.

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John RyanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Georgia Tech at DukeFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Georgia TechFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The simulator shows a high probability that GT will lose this game by 15 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-16 ATS for 74% winners since 2006. Play against home favorites of 10 or more points that are excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) and facing a struggling shooting team making between 40 and 42.5% and in a game involving two good ball handling team committing <=14.5 turnovers per game after 15+ games. GT plays strong team defense and this will create some problems for Duke tonight. In fact, Duke is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good defensive teams allowing <=42% opponent shooting after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Duke is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Take Georgia Tech.

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Kyle HunterFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Portland St vs. N ColoradoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: OverFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a battle of two bad teams who play absolutely no defense. Northern Colorado shoots the ball much better on their home floor, and I expect a lot of made three-point shots from them here. Portland State has a very good shooting team, and they have scored 87 and 79 points in their last two games. I projected this game at 145 points. The over is 14-6 in Northern Colorado's last 20 home games.

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Rob Vinciletti

Santa Clara vs. San Francisco
Play: Santa Clara ML

Santa Clara won the first meeting between these two, despite shooting under 40%. Tonight we note they have a solid RPI Ranking at #89 overall and have played the 64 the toughest schedule in the country. They take on a San Francisco team ranked 183rd in the RPI. Santa Clara has won and covered 3 of the last 4 as a road favorite of 3 or less. San Francisco is 1-12 straight up vs teams who average 77 or more points per game and have lost all 4 conference games, They are 1-6 vs teams ranked in the top 100 RPI Scale and will likely get beat here by a classier Santa Clara team.

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Stephen NoverFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Clippers / Timberwolves Over 192.5
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Minnesota is home from a disastrous 0-4 road trip. Maybe it's because of their multiple injuries, which have zapped morale and confidence, but the Timberwolves have stopped playing defense. They have surrendered at least 102 points during each of their past six games. Minnesota is allowing 104.9 points during its past nine games and ranks last this month in defensive field goal percentage.
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The Clippers have the offense and depth to take full advantage even if Chris Paul doesn't play. The Clippers rank seventh in scoring averaging 102.1 points a game and are fourth in field goal percentage. Eric Bledsoe has done a nice job filling in for Paul, who has been out with a knee injury.
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The Clippers are one of the deepest teams in the league. The Timberwolves are short-handed due to injuries and illness. Minnesota practiced with just eight healthy bodies on Wednesday having to force their two assistant coaches to suit up in order to go 5-on-5.
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It's tempting to also play the Clippers, too, in this matchup. But the Clippers are in a flat spot having won the first two games of their current three-game road swing with impressive victories against much tougher foes Houston and Memphis. The Clippers knocked off those two opponents by a combined 34 points. So it's going to be difficult for the Clippers to take the short-handed Timberwolves fully serious even though this game is on national television.
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It can't be too fun for Los Angeles to be in Minneapolis in mid-January so the Clippers' full defensive concentration might not be there. It's the Clippers' third game in four days while the Timberwolves last played on Monday. Minnesota also has won seven of its last nine home contests.

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GoodFellaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oregon -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Yes, this is beyond a "square" play (yawn) those do cash too you know.......Anyways, you will hear the ol' "USC will be up/motivated/etc" for their 1st game with a "new head coach". Yes, they most certainly will be, but this Ducks team will be trying their best too, no??? Oregon has major advantages vs this USC team IMO, and I simply have the Ducks winning this game by 6 points tonight, and am going to ignore the noise on USC, and fire the Oregon Ducks tonight.

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Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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4 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Lakers/ Miami Under 206.5: This has not been a high scoring series of late as the last 4 between these teams have averaged just 179.8 ppg. The Heat come in playing excellent defense as they have allowed just 89.1 ppg in their last 7 games.On the road this year the Heat have allowed 98.2 ppg, but just 91.4 ppg in the first 5 games of this road trip, an that includes allowing just 75 points last night to a high scoring Golden State squad. Defense has been the focus of the Lakers of late and they have responded by allowing just 90.5 ppg in their last 2 games. Most of the Lakers defensive problems have been on the road, as they have allowed just 97.1 ppg at home on the year. This home games this year have averaged 199.3 ppg, while Miami road games have averaged 196.5 ppg. Let's also note that Miami's last 5 overall have averaged 188.2 ppg. I just do not expect this game to each 200 points, let alone 207.
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3 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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LA Clippers/ Minnesota Over 192.5: The T-wolves have really been struggling at the defensive end of late, as they have aallowed 104.8 ppg in their last 9 games. That's more than enough bad defense for a Clippers squad that averages 1021 ppg overall and 99.1 on the road to put up plenty of points on them. The Clippers do play solid defense, but have allowed 100+ points in 2 of their last 3 games and 5 of their last 8. Minnesota is struggling with injuries and it has hurt their offense of late (as well as their defense) but they still have averaged a solid 97.6 ppg at home. Thanks mainly to a up 1bad Minnesota defense this game should have little trouble in putting up 195+.

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Miami +116 over L.A. LAKERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Lakers are favored here because Miami will play its third road game in four days, its sixth road game in nine nights and the tail-end of back-to-backs after playing in Golden State last night. That's not going to deter us. The Heat have been on cruise control all season, yet they still possess the best record in the East. When playoffs roll around, they won't be burned out and they're not burned out for games like this. This is a nationally televised, TNT Thursday night game against the Lakers that will get their juices flowing. That's all the incentive we need to back them here taking back a tag against the slow, banged up, inferior and grossly overvalued host. 
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San Jose State +15 over DENVERFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Pioneers are favored in this range because of two suspended San Jose players that include the teams' leading scorer, James Kinney. Without Kinney, the Spartans traveled to conference leader Utah State in their last game and lost by six. SJSU is deep, they're solid on the boards and they've been battle tested with games at #10 Kansas (a 13-point loss) and of course the aformentioned game at Utah State. Surely, they can compete here.
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Denver is 5-1 in the conference but the teams they've defeated are a combined 5-22 in the conference. They have the Aggies of Utah State on deck on Saturday in what will be their biggest game of the year to that point. The Pioneers average just 62 points per game while ranking at 345 out of 347 Division I teams in rebounding. That's not conducive to spotting this many points against an equal and the most undervalued squad in the WAC

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