Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

DUNKEL INDEX

Brooklyn at Atlanta
The Hawks look to take advantage of a New Jersey team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing with 0 days of rest. Atlanta is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2)

Game 701-702: Indiana at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.829; Orlando 115.663
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1); Under

Game 703-704: Chicago at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.401; Toronto 114.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 184
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Over

Game 705-706: Brooklyn at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 116.286; Atlanta 122.315
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: New Orleans at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.502; Boston 124.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 9; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Denver at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.044; Oklahoma City 129.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 711-712: Houston at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.524; Dallas 121.164
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Memphis at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 123.147; San Antonio 126.788
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 715-716: Cleveland at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 110.475; Portland 121.717
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 11; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 6 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-6 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Washington at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.218; Sacramento 119.157
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 12; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 4 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-4 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: Miami at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.453; Golden State 123.942
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NCAAB

NC State at Maryland
The Terps look to build on their 11-1 ATS record in their last 12 games versus the Wolfpack. Maryland is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Terps favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-1 1/2)

Game 721-722: Dayton at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 61.708; LaSalle 68.087
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 5
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-5)

Game 723-724: Temple at George Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 62.434; George Washington 62.224
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Temple by 4
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+4)

Game 725-726: NC State at Maryland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 68.358; Maryland 71.701
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Maryland by 1 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-1 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: Richmond at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 58.879; Butler 69.223
Dunkel Line: Butler by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-7 1/2)

Game 729-730: Pittsburgh at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 70.900; Villanova 63.847
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 124
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Providence at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 59.703; Georgetown 68.931
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 9
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 7
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-7)

Game 733-734: Miami (FL) at Boston College (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 67.961; Boston College 61.086
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 7
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+8)

Game 735-736: Michigan State at Penn State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.954; Penn State 59.312
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 9 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 12; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+12); Over

Game 737-738: Memphis at Rice (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 67.005; Rice 49.611
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 19
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+19)

Game 739-740: Houston at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 53.041; East Carolina 60.881
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 8
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 6
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-6)

Game 741-742: William & Mary at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.233; Georgia State 51.916
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+3 1/2)

Game 743-744: Old Dominion at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 48.898; NC-Wilmington 50.428
Dunkel Line: NC-Wilmington by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+3 1/2)

Game 745-746: Hofstra at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 45.115; Northeastern 60.984
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 16
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (-13 1/2)

Game 747-748: Towson at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 50.053; Delaware 60.450
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-8 1/2)

Game 749-750: Ball State at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 46.903; Akron 64.965
Dunkel Line: Akron by 18
Vegas Line: Akron by 20
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+20)

Game 751-752: Toledo at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 50.186; Western Michigan 56.714
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-2 1/2)

Game 753-754: Bowling Green at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 50.645; Miami (OH) 52.390
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+3)

Game 755-756: Kent State at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 54.338; Buffalo 51.168
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Kent State

Game 757-758: Missouri State at Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 53.571; Indiana State 63.353
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 10
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+11 1/2)

Game 759-760: Northern Illinois at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 43.705; Ohio 66.028
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 19
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-19)

Game 761-762: Fordham at Charlotte (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 49.000; Charlotte 65.091
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 16
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 14
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-14)

Game 763-764: Xavier at St. Bonaventure (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 58.825; St. Bonaventure 62.761
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 3; 128
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 1 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-1 1/2); Under

Game 765-766: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 51.480; Oklahoma 66.084
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+17 1/2)

Game 767-768: Southern Mississippi at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 63.890; SMU 58.688
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-3 1/2)

Game 769-770: Illinois State at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 57.225; Wichita State 64.842
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+10)

Game 771-772: Evansville at Drake (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 60.562; Drake 57.395
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 3
Vegas Line: Evansville by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-1 1/2)

Game 773-774: New Mexico at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 63.896; Boise State 68.587
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-2)

Game 775-776: South Carolina at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 53.392; LSU 61.380
Dunkel Line: LSU by 8
Vegas Line: LSU by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+10 1/2)

Game 777-778: Georgia at Missouri (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 57.822; Missouri 69.815
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 12
Vegas Line: Missouri by 14
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+14)

Game 779-780: Loyola-Chicago at Illinois-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 54.642; Illinois-Chicago 54.821
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+2)

Game 781-782: Auburn at Arkansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 56.321; Arkansas 69.205
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 13
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 11
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-11)

Game 783-784: UTEP at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 61.722; Tulsa 55.883
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 6
Vegas Line: UTEP by 2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-2)

Game 785-786: Alabama at Mississippi State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 59.712; Mississippi State 55.761
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4
Vegas Line: Alabama by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-2 1/2)

Game 787-788: Air Force at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 56.877; Colorado State 67.039
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 10
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+11)

Game 789-790: West Virginia at Iowa State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 58.925; Iowa State 70.627
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 11 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 10; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-10); Under

Game 791-792: Kansas State at TCU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 66.713; TCU 54.938
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 12; 115
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 11; 111
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-11); Over

Game 793-794: Purdue at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 62.502; Nebraska 57.760
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 4 1/2; 112
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2; 116
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-2); Under

Game 795-796: Seton Hall at Marquette (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 56.488; Marquette 71.727
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Marquette by 9
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-9)

Game 797-798: Utah at Washington State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 54.861; Washington State 64.079
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 9
Vegas Line: Washington State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7)

Game 799-800: Wyoming at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 62.140; Fresno State 59.287
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 3
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 5
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+5)

Game 801-802: UNLV at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 65.437; San Diego State 70.922
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 5 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 4 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-4 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Loyola Marymount at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 51.689; San Diego 55.496
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4
Vegas Line: San Diego by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+6 1/2)

Game 805-806: St. Mary's at BYU (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 64.498; BYU 72.926
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: BYU by 6; 153
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-6); Under

Game 807-808: Colorado at Washington (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 63.592; Washington 63.976
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Washington by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+2 1/2)

Game 809-810: Wofford at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 51.201; NC-Greensboro 50.132
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 1
Vegas Line: Wofford by 2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+2)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago vs. TorontoFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I had to settle for a push with my play on the Raptors yesterday. With this line climbing from its opener, I'm willing to give them another shot today.

Earlier this season, I visited Toronto and took in a Raptors game. The Raptors were still winless (0-2) and they were off a 7-point loss at Brooklyn the previous night.
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The group of people I went with, all of them "Raptor fans," weren't giving their team much of a chance ...

I made a play on Toronto in that game and told them that I wasn't concerned with the back-to-back spot and that I liked what I'd seen from the Raptors at Brooklyn.
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Unaffected by the b2b situation, the Raptors would go on to reward me with a convincing 105-86 victory over the T-Wolves, their first "W" of the season.

They've continued to perform well when playing the second of back-to-back games too. In fact, the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in that situation this season, including 3-0 SU/ATS when playing at the Air Canada Centre.
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Going back a little further finds them at a profitable 11-3 ATS the last 14 times that they played the second of back-to-back games, 28-19 ATS the last 2+ seasons.

True, the Bulls are off an impressive "beatdown" of the Hawks. Keep in mind that they're still only 8-14-1 ATS when laying points. (They're also 2-4 ATS off a double-digit win.)
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As noted, this line has climbed from its opener, creating extra line value, as the betting public seemingly can't get enough of the Bulls. Note that the Raptors are 3-0 ATS as home underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range.
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The most recent meeting between these teams (102-101 home win for the Bulls) was decided by a single point. The Raptors lost the last time that they hosted the Bulls but had beaten them in three of the previous five games here and five of the previous eight. Consider grabbing the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Sean MurphyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New Orleans vs. BostonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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What to expect: The Hornets will face a lot more resistance than they did last night in Philadelphia. New Orleans busted out with a 111-point effort against the 76ers, but now travels to Boston to take on a Celtics squad that is absolutely locked in defensively right now. Boston has reached the century mark in back-to-back games, although it only got there thanks to some curious fouling from the Bobcats in the closing minutes of Monday's game. The Celtics have topped out at 103 points over their last 16 contests, reaching at least 100 points only four times over that stretch. Defensively, the C's haven't allowed more than 96 points since December 30th, and have limited six of their last seven opponents to 93 points or less. Look for Boston to take away the Hornets perimeter game tonight, which is half the battle with New Orleans boasting sharp shooters like Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon. While Gordon is expected to play tonight, it's worth noting that he is still nursing a nagging ankle injury. I don't expect the Celtics to explode offensively in this one, as the Hornets have actually been playing some solid 'd' of their own lately, and far weaker New Orleans teams have enjoyed considerable success at that end of the floor against Boston in recent years.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Illinois St. vs. Wichita St.FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Wichita St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wichita State strolled into last year’s Missouri Valley Conference tourney as the top seed with a gaudy 26-4 record. After cutting down Indiana State in their opening game, 72-48, WSU was shocked (sorry, couldn’t resist) in the semifinals by these Redbirds, losing 65-64 as 12-point chalk. Now, as they say, is when the chickens come home to roost: Wichita has gone 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS playing with LTKO revenge, plus the Shockers are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS at home in all revenge games against MVC foes, including 4-0 SUATS when off a spread loss of more than 5 points. And the last two times WSU has been looking to ‘get even’ in this series, Gregg Marshall’s team won and covered both contests. Meanwhile, Illinois State is off to a painfully slow start in conference play this year, going 0-5 SUATS to date. And while they have managed to hold their own against weaker opposition this season – 9-2 SU and 6-2 ATS versus .800 or less foes – the Redbirds have been shot down by .880 or greater teams, going a futile 0-3 SUATS. Factor in ISU’s mediocre 4-8 SUATS log versus teams with LTKO revenge and we recommend a 1-unit play on Wichita State.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

David ChanFORFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland vs. PortlandFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ClevelandFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland is 9-31 SU and 17-22-1 ATS; it's coming off three straight losses, including a 124-118 setback at Sacramento on the 14th as a 6 point underdog. The Cavs are on the cusp of breaking out though, and are getting big contributions across the board.
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Dion Waiters had 33 points; CJ Miles had 17; Tristan Thompson had 17 points and 15 boards.

Kyrie Irving had 15 points.
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In all the team shot almost 49% and made eight of 16 3-pointers.

Note that Cleveland is 13-10 ATS on the road.
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Portland is 20-18 SU and 17-18-2 ATS; it's coming off a game in Denver last night.

Note that Portland is just 6-12 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record.
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There's no need to overanalyze this pick; Portland comes in with "heavy legs", and the under the radar Cavs atone for the 118-117 loss at home to the Blazers on December 1st by keeping this one much closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe; consider a second look at the visitors in this one!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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St. Mary's vs. Brigham YoungFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Brigham YoungFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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With the edge of the Big Dance bubble appearing as if it could be pretty crowded in early March, these WCC contenders are well-advised to stick as close as possible to high-flying Gonzaga in order to gain notice from the NCAA Selection Committee. But in Provo, it’s advantage BYU, as revenge-minded Cougs (who lost twice by double-digit margins last season vs. Gaels) have brought out the hammer at Marriott Center this term (victory margin 33 ppg last four home wins!).  And HC Dave Rose is very encouraged by the recent contributions of soph G Matt Carlino, who was having trouble finding shots with return of high-scoring G Tyler Haws from an LDS mission, but has now scored 17 ppg in a recent four-game stretch.  This current SMC editon might lack the inside presence of recent Gael versions to deal with the likes of 6-9 Cougar PF Brandon Davies (18.4 ppg) in the paint.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Heat at WarriorsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: OverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden State (23-13) has lost three of their last four games after their 116-105 loss at Denver on Sunday -- and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Over is also 7-2-1 in the Warriors last 10 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last contest. And in their last 11 games on their home court, the Over is 7-3-1 in Golden State's last 11 games. Miami (24-12) has also lost three of their last four games after their 104-97 loss at Utah on Monday. The Heat have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Take the Over in this one.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Kyle HunterFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston +6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Houston Cougars and East Carolina Pirates are actually pretty similar teams. Both like to run and gun and put up a lot of three-point shots. East Carolina's home wins against teams that are worse than Houston have been less than impressive. The Cougars have plenty of scoring options and I think they should at least keep this game very close. Houston is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against East Carolina. Take Houston.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Xavier +1½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Xavier has Conference tournament knockout revenge in this one and they have better overall numbers. The Muskies have a 93 RPI Ranking and have played the 54th toughest schedule in the country. They have won 3 of 4 vs teams like St. Bonaventure that are ranked from 150 to 200 in the RPI. The Bonnies are ranked 183 and have lost all 3 games vs top 100 RPI Ranked teams this season. They have also dropped 4 of 5 vs teams who play good defense and allow 65 or less points per game. In January they have struggled losing their last 3, and 6 of 8 vs teams over .500. Xavier has cashed 5 of 6 as a dog and 5 of the last 6 at this venue. Over the last 3 years in the 2nd half they have won 8 of 9 vs teams under .500 and 21 of the last 29 when playing off a conference win. Take Xavier tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Dave CokinFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toledo at Western MichiganFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Western MichiganFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Not much attention will be paid to this unattractive MAC hookup. But I see this as a decent spot for the home team. Toledo is ineligible for post-season play this season, so I've been trying to find spots that are meaningful and also searching for those that might not fall into that category. Coming off an OT win last time out, this could fall into the latter realm. But the impetus for this opinion is more on Western Michigan. The Broncos have a wide disparity in their home and away stats this season. Awful on the road, not so bad at home. WMU comes into this on an 0-3 skid, but the losses were to far better teams they just didn't figure to hang with. Actually, they just missed the upset last game with a narrow loss to Ohio. The Broncos were a pathetic 55/169 from the field in that trio of contests, but should warm up some against a softer Toledo defense. Basically, I'm playing the host as they drop in class from recent opposition and my number on this game was Western Michigan -4. Good enough for a tilt to the Broncos laying about half that.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Jim Feist

Hornets at Celtics
Pick: Under

Boston has been putting its defensive face on (finally), on a 6-1 run under the total. That's also keyed their 6-game win streak. In fact, the Celtics have surged to 7th in the NBA in points allowed. Into town comes New Orleans, a team with no offense, 28th in the NBA in points scored. They prefer a slow paced game allowing 96.8 ppg -- 12th in the NBA. The under is 6-0 in the Hornets last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. This is the second of a back to back spot, too, and the under is 4-1 in the Hornets last 5 games playing on no days rest. The under is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings in Boston between these teams. Play the Hornets/Celtics under the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Buffalo PkFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jr Goes OVER THE TOP HERE tonight with a hungry Buff Bulls play...  We grab the spot up MAC play here @ home boys as I tried so hard to make a case for the 10-6 Golden Flashes (1-1 MAC)... THIS LINE SMELLS BOYS.. 5-11 and losers of 3 in a row The Buff Bulls (0-2 MAC) now host a Golden Flashes ball club ... Huge Edges on the Glass for the Bulls and a powerful stat of the home team here @ a 8-1-1 ATS MATK.... We feel that it is way way too easy to grab the Flashes .... Reggie Witherspoon runs the show there boys and the Alumini Center has a strong home court ..last year these Bulls were a strong 75% home cover... Power rated @ Bulls - 1.3 points..

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Jimmy Boyd

Northern Illinois vs. Ohio
Play: Northern Illinois   

Northern Illinois +19 over Ohio This is a lot of points for a conference game so I'll bite. Northern Illinois isn't good, but they have done a good job for their backers at the pay window, cashing seven of their last nine tickets. This team pulled an upset last time they took to the road, beating Miami (OH) by 11 as an 8 point underdog. Both Ohio and N. Illinois have played UMASS recently. Ohio last on the road by nine points to the Minutemen while the Huskies only lost by five at home. After the Bobcats only managed to beat Western Michigan by two points when the Broncos shot 28.3% from the floor, I don't see how they can win by 20+ points tonight against Northern Illinois. Fade double digit favorites off a close road win by three or less with a winning record on the season when they are playing a sub. 500 team. This situation is 69-36 (65.7%) the last five years

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Matt Fargo

Richmond vs. Butler
Play: Richmond   

Butler has been on a roll with 11 consecutive wins and it is off to a 2-0 start in its inaugural season in the Atlantic Ten. The Bulldogs have not only been winning but they also have been covering as they are 6-3 ATS in the nine lined games over that stretch. Tonight they are laying a smaller than expected number and the bandwagon is even more full because of it. There is a reason for the shorter number however as guard Rotnei Clarke was injured in the last game and will be out here as well as Saturday against Gonzaga. It is a big blow as Clarke is the Bulldogs leading scorer, averaging 16.3 ppg while shooting 44.4 percent from long range. Richmond is coming off a loss at LaSalle on Saturday to fall to 1-1 on the season in the conference and this has now turned into a good opportunity to steal a quality win on the road. The Spiders were picked to finish in the middle of the Atlantic Ten in the preseason after a disappointing season a year ago but expectations are pretty high now after a strong start. The Spiders are not without their own injury issues as forward Derrick Williams is out with an ankle injury but the advantage is that they have already played three games without him and the proper adjustments have been made. Richmond has a very solid backcourt led by guard Darien Brothers, who averages 15.1 ppg and ranks among the national leaders in three-point shooting at 51.1 percent. While Butler has a solid home court advantage, it is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games coming off a road win while going 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against teams with a losing road record.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Dave Price

Miami Heat -2

The reigning NBA champs have been struggling, but I expect them to dig down deep to come up with a win tonight. Motivation can be an issue in the regular season for teams like the Heat, who have made back-to-back trips to the NBA Finals, but I don't expect them to have any trouble getting up for this one because they were defeated at home by Golden State last month. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings at Golden State. Take Miami.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Wunderdog

Kansas State at TCU
Pick: Kansas State

The TCU Horned Frogs are playing for the first time as a full member of the Big-12. They have entered the deep end of the pool, and their first three games show them at 0-3 and still looking for their first conference win. They have not been competitive in any of the three games, and their one other encounter this season with a BCS Conference team resulted in a 20+ point blowout loss. Kansas State is 13-2 on the season, and the two losses have both come at the hands of top 10 teams. The Wildcats have been rolling as they have delivered six straight wins, and their defense should strangle TCU here as Michigan is the only team to reach the 70-point mark against them all season. Take K-State.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

John Ryan

Ball State at Akron
Prediction: Akron

The simulator shows a high probability that Akron will win this game by 23 or more points. I rarely play large favorites and they account for less than 5% of all of my plays with about 80 to 85% being dogs in any given season. However, these rare findings are for solid reasons. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-15 ATS mark for 73% winners since 1997. Play on a home team that is a good offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and is now facing a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 PPG and after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games. The sim also shows that Akron will hit between 47 and 53% from the field, will allow Ball State fewer than 60 points, and will score between 75 and 80 points. In past games, Akron is a rock solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Akron.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Tony Karpinski

Loyola Marymount vs. San Diego   
Play: San Diego   

UNLV looks to be a bunch of ball hogs and they worry about personal performances instead of team play. There aren’t enough basketballs on the court to suit the Vegas stars if they insist on adhering to their preferred individual roles, and SD ST will take advantage tonight and get the double digit win.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

Bryan Leonard

Evansville +1

Important game for the Purple Aces who were swept by the Bulldogs last season. But overall Evansville has played pretty well over the years in the Knapp Center winning 7 of 15 straight up while cashing 10 times. Evansville has played well all season when not taking a major step up in class as its last losses came against Creighton and Butler on the road.

Drake is off an impressive road upset of Illinois State as an 11 1/2 point dog. But it was clear that the Redbirds took them for granted after watching Drake lose by 12 at home to Missouri State as a double digit favorite followed by a 30 point blowout loss at Creighton.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday January, 16

SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +160 over SACRAMENTO

En route to a disturbing 4-28 record to open the year, the Wizards rarely got blown out and their 19-14 record versus the number can attest to that. Then Nene got healthy while John Wall returned and is slowly getting back into game shape. The Wiz are an outstanding rebounding club, they've won three in a row and they embark on a five game trip beginning here. With confidence much higher, expect another strong performance.

The Kings are too inconsistent to trust as chalk. They'll commonly play one strong game and follow it up with two poor ones. They've won just three of their last eight and those victories came against the Cavaliers twice and the Raptors once. Sacramento has Memphis on deck and like they often do, they could pull a no show here. Even at their best, the Kings are beatable. Strong value on this live pooch.


PORTLAND -6 over Cleveland

The Cavaliers have two wins in their past 10 games. During that stretch, they've defeated the Bobcats and the reeling Hawks. They've allowed 112 points or more in four of their past six and it's become blatantly clear that they can't play defense without Anderson Varejao who remains out. The Cavs will now play their fourth road game in six days.

The Blazers have won 13 of 18 home games and only one of those came against a team under .500. The last two trips here by Cleveland resulted in 20 and 41-point wins by the host. The potential impact of a tiring OT loss in Denver last night has the Blazers undervalued for this one. Not to worry, as Portland is 6-3 against the number on zero days rest and the Cavs are on a current 0-4 run against the number as a road dog of five or more

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