Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

SPORTS WAGERS

New Orleans +136 over PHILADELPHIA

Only one time this season have the Hornets been offered fewer road points than the three points being offered here and that came against the weak Bobcats. New Orleans has been offered double-digits on the road in eight of its 18 road games so it comes as quite a surprise that they're being offered just three here when they were recently offered 8 at Milwaukee, 10 at Houston, 7½ at Indiana and 7 at Dallas among others. It's not like the Hornets are on fire either with a 6-5 record over its last 11. The line strongly suggests a big game from the Hornets or a poor one from the Sixers.

The 76ers are five games better than the Hornets, they’re the home team and they're coming off a nice win over Houston. Something is off. Perhaps it’s the lack of trust in Philly’s offense, a unit that has been on a terrible decline for weeks. The Sixers have scored 89 or less in seven of nine and only surpassed that number during that stretch against the Lakers and Rockets. With just four wins in its last 17 games and having nothing but misery against strong defensive clubs, expect the visitor to be in a strong position to win this one


Wake Forest +8 -over CLEMSON

Despite being at home, one really has to question whether the Tigers deserve this billing. These two are quite similar in that they're both going to finish in the bottom half of the ACC, they're both 9-6 overall and when it's all said and done, they'll likely have similar conference records too. Clemson really doesn't do anything better than Wake offensively, as the Deacs hit a higher percentage of its shots and average more points per game. The Tigers are slightly better defensively but that's a little misleading, as Wake's strength of schedule ranks 95th in the nation while Clemson's ranks 225th.

Playing a tougher schedule, The Deacs are also in better form, having won five of their past six with only loss over that span coming against the Dukies in Durham. They've also lost to much tougher opposition than the Tigers have. Clemson has lost two of three and they're just 5-5 over its last 10. The Deacs may not be ready to beat one of the ACC powers but they're in good enough form to hang around here and possibly steal a win. The points seal the deal.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Steve Janus

Los Angeles Clippers +3

The Clippers are one of the deepest teams in the league. While they won't have Chris Paul available for tonight's game, Eric Bledsoe is more than capable of leading this team to a win on the road against the Rockets. Houston isn't exactly playing that great of late, losers of three straight. It's also worth noting that the Rockets could be without one of their key players in Jeremy Lin, who tweaked his ankle in practice Monday.

The thing I like about risking a little on the Clippers even though they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, is the fact they are listed as the underdog. These players are well aware of the spread for tonight's game. Anytime you give a great team like Los Angeles a reason to get excited about playing a game, it's usually a profitable situation. The Clippers are 4-1 S.U. this season when they are an underdog at tip-off.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Brandon Lee

Denver Nuggets -8½

I think oddsmakers have listed the Nuggets as a large favorite in order to try and get the public to take the Trailblazers. I'm not falling for it. Portland has played extremely well of late, but they have won of the worst benches in the NBA. That's going to be a huge factor with the game being played in the thin air of Denver. Not to mention this will be Portland's fourth game in the last six days. When you factor in that their last three opponents were the Heat, Warriors and Thunder, hard to imagine this team has anything left in the tank for the Nuggets. Lay the Points!

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Dave Price

Denver Nuggets -9

The Nuggets have been sensational at home where they are 14-2 (11-5 ATS) and have outscored their opponents by an average of 9.6 points. Home court has certainly treated them well against Portland. The Nuggets have won seven straight at home in the series by an average of 14.1 points. Looking back further, we find that the Trailblazers are just 4-17 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Denver. The Nuggets lost at Portland last month in the season's first matchup so they will be hungry for revenge tonight. Lay the number.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Jack Jones

Los Angeles Lakers -6

For basically the first time all season, the Los Angeles Lakers are actually undervalued right now due to losing six of their last seven games overall. They showed that by beating Cleveland 113-93 at home as a 10-point favorite last time out, and I look for another blowout home victory over the Milwaukee Bucks tonight.

The Lakers simply have to put the pedal to the metal the rest of the way if they want to make the playoffs. Don't expect this team to take nights off from here on out because of the hole they have dug themselves. LA faced a brutal schedule during its six-game losing streak, and now it finally lightens up with the Cavs and Bucks back-to-back.

Milwaukee is clearly overvalued heading into this one after winning three of its last four games coming in. Those three wins came against the Suns, Raptors and Bulls, so it has been far from an impressive run. The Bucks also lost 87-103 at home to Detroit during this stretch.

Los Angeles has won 22 of its last 29 meetings with Milwaukee, including 11 of its last 14 home meetings. The Bucks are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 vs. Western Conference opponents. Milwaukee is 8-18 ATS in its last 26 games following a win. Bet the Lakers Tuesday.

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John Martin

Toronto Raptors +7

The Toronto Raptors are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They should not be a 7-point underdog at Brooklyn tonight. Toronto has won 10 of its last 14 games overall, and it is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 contests. The Nets are overvalued right now due to their 6-game winning streak against mostly soft competition heading into this one. They are just 4-17 ATS in their last 21 home games after a game where they covered the spread. The Raptors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Jeff Alexander

Indiana Pacers -7½

This is a tough spot for the Bobcats who just played last night and will be playing their 4th game in 5 days. Indiana has had a day to rest its legs so it should definitely be the fresher side. Charlotte is 2-13 ATS when playing a 4th game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons and has lost in this spot by an average of 13.8 points. It is also worth noting that the Bobcats are 1-12 ATS in home games following a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have lost in this spot by an average of 14.7 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Nelly

Indiana - over Wisconsin

Wisconsin enters this game off a huge win over Illinois on Saturday; certainly the biggest win of the season for the Badgers and certainly a game that Wisconsin played as well as it had all year. Wisconsin led by 20 at halftime and had hot shooting with 10 3-point makes while also completely dominating the rebounding. Wisconsin is 3-0 in the Big Ten but the lone road win came in an ugly 47-41 win at Nebraska. Playing in Bloomington will be a much tougher task. Indiana appears to be perhaps the most complete team in the nation and while the Hoosiers also enter this game off a huge win on Saturday this is a team that has been dominant at home, outscoring foes 92-58. Wisconsin won't allow that type of pace but the Badgers are still very 3-point reliant and Wisconsin is also one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the nation. The seven-point win over a very good Minnesota team on Saturday was by far the smallest home margin for the Hoosiers who are 11-0 at Assembly Hall and that was a game that Indiana led by 23 at halftime. Fading in the second half will be a teaching point for Coach Crean this week and this is a great opportunity for Indiana to end a long losing streak in this series with a convincing win. Wisconsin has been one of the best teams in the Big Ten in recent years but the guard play has been very suspect this season and this may be the worst Badgers team since Bo Ryan came to Madison. Wisconsin is never the same team away from home and Indiana should add to a 19-7 ATS run in home games.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Harry Bondi

MILWAUKEE (+6.5) over LA Lakers

We are not buying that the Lakers are back after a win over Cleveland on Sunday. LA still has huge defensive liabilities and Milwaukee has the personnel to exploit the Lakers weaknesses. The Lakers have lost 6 out of seven and even though they welcomed back Dwight Howard on Sunday, they are still without Pau Gasol who is sidelined with a concussion. The Bucks are the hotter team having won 3 out of four under interim coach Jim Boylan. Trends are with us as well as Milwaukee has covered 10 of their last 12 meetings with the Lakers. Look ahead angle also in our favor as LA has huge home match-up with Lebron and the Miami Heat on Thursday. Free games have been red hot and we expect another winner tonight with the live dog Bucks.

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