Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

New Orleans at Philadelphia
The Sixers look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against the Hornets. Philadelphia is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Sixers favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3)

Game 501-502: Indiana at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.641; Charlotte 110.668
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: New Orleans at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.658; Philadelphia 117.999
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 5 1/2; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Under

Game 505-506: Toronto at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.631; Brooklyn 122.026
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7); Over

Game 507-508: LA Clippers at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.885; Houston 121.609
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Portland at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.513; Denver 127.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 8 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-8 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.440 LA Lakers 122.339
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 208
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2); Under

NCAAB

Mississippi at Vanderbilt
The Commodores look to take advantage of a Mississippi team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rebels favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+9 1/2)

Game 513-514: Wake Forest at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 56.648; Clemson 65.695
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 9; 121
Vegas Line: Clemson by 8; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-8); Under

Game 515-516: Notre Dame at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 67.656; St. John's 63.376
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 4 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6; 133
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+6); Over

Game 517-518: James Madison at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 49.296; George Mason 61.547
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: George Mason by 8
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-8)

Game 519-520: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 52.110; Eastern Michigan 49.220
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 3
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-1 1/2)

Game 521-522: Tennessee at Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 61.267; Kentucky 80.322
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 19; 131
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 11 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-11 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Northern Iowa at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 60.604; Creighton 77.462
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 17
Vegas Line: Creighton by 13
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-13)

Game 525-526: Southern Illinois at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 51.734; Bradley 59.137
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-5 1/2)

Game 527-528: Cincinnati at DePaul (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 67.854; DePaul 63.777
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+7)

Game 529-530: Wisconsin at Indiana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 67.450; Indiana 81.940
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 14 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Indiana by 10 1/2; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-10 1/2); Under

Game 531-532: Mississippi at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 66.847; Vanderbilt 64.347
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+9 1/2)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Ben Burns

New Orleans vs. Philadelphia
Pick: Over

These teams played an extremely low-scoring game (77-62) against each other earlier in the season. That was back in early November though and it was also at New Orleans. We should be able to expect significantly more points than that this evening.

This O/U number is in the low to mid 180s. As of this writing, its come down a little from its opener. I believe its offering very fair value.

Not only do the 76'ers score more points at home, they also allow more. Games at Philadelphia are averaging 193.2 points. For the season, the "over" is a lucrative 14-4 here. That includes a 4-1 "over" mark when they were listed as home favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range.

Meanwhile, the Hornets score considerably more points on the road than they do at New Orleans, also allowing more. Their road games are averaging 195.3 points. Eleven of their 18 away games have finished above the number. That includes a 3-0 "over" mark when they were listed as road underdogs in the 3.5 to 6 range.

While the 76'ers would surely like to improve their defense, they've still allowed four of their last five opponents to reach triple-digts. Holding the Hornets to 95 would be considered an "improvement." Yet, if the 76'ers only matched that mark, we'd have enough to easily clear this number.

With the 76'ers having been off since Saturday, it should also be mentioned that the "over" is a perfect 8-0 when Philadelphia has played with two day's rest in between games. The 76'ers last three games in that situation have produced 207, 197 and 202 points. Take a look at the Over.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Jesse Schule

Toronto vs. Brooklyn
Pick: Brooklyn

Now an AMAZING 10-1 with FREE hoops plays in 2013! We try to keep the ball rolling Tuesday with a play on the Nets over the Raptors. Brooklyn has won six in a row overall, as well as five straight at home.

The Nets look like a different team with P.J. Carlesimo in charge, they have won eight of nine since firing Avery Johnson. One of the biggest reasons for their new found success would be strong defense, limiting opponents to an average of just 86.8 points over their last four games.

The Nets will host the Raptors tonight, and Toronto has just finished a six game home-stand, going 3-3 during that span. The Raptors went on a run in the second half of December, winning seven of eight in a two week period, and since then a lot of bettors have jumped on the bandwagon. They are still a banged up bunch, without Andrea Bargnani, and and Jonas Valanciunas, and Amir Johnson is battling through a foot injury.

Toronto opened up an 18 point lead in the first quarter against Milwaukee on Sunday, but then faded in the fourth quarter, getting out-scored by the Bucks 33-18, and going on to lose by a score of 107-96.

PG Kyle Lowry was 0-4 shooting in the loss, playing just 17 minutes, and he missed practise on Monday for personal reasons. The Raptors will hobble into Brooklyn with several players nursing injuries, taking on a resurgent Nets team that has covered the points in four straight games.

I don't expect Toronto to be at their best on the first game of this road trip, and I think they will struggle to keep up with Deron Williams and the Nets.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Bruce Marshall

Mississippi vs. Vanderbilt
Pick: Mississippi

It’s not like last season, when Vandy had no trouble on two occasions vs. Ole Miss, including an easy win in the SEC Tourney. That’s because much of that Dore lineup from a year ago is now in the NBA, and Kevin Stallings is pulling out the few hairs left on his balding pate with the ongoing Vandy offensive inconsistencies that were underlined once again last Saturday on the short end of an embarrassing 56-33 score at Arkansas.  Now, it’s the Rebs with the look of a Big Dance qualifier after their quick 2-0 break from the gate in SEC play and a five-game overall win streak, fueled by a balanced attack (four DD scorers) that has been further upgraded by transfer G Marshall Henderson (formerly Utah; 18.6 ppg).  So the revenge angle has some real substance.  Regional scouts consider Ole Miss’ weekend romp past ranked Missouri as a warning shot to the rest of the loop.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Matt Fargo

Indiana vs. Charlotte
Pick: Charlotte

The Pacers and Bobcats played just three days ago with Indiana coming away with an eight-point win at home. They have had a tough time on the road though and the Bobcats look to snap a 12-game home losing streak on Tuesday.  These teams just met on Saturday with Indiana winning the game by eight points at home as it was able to pull away in the second half. Obviously with the game taking place just three days ago, not much has changed between these teams therefore the change in venue should make the Pacers a 5.5-point favorite based on giving three points for each home court. But that is not the case as the Pacers come in way overvalued. Indiana owns the second best home record in the NBA at 15-3 but following a loss on Sunday at Brooklyn, they are just 8-12 on the road and along with the Celtics, that is the worst road record amongst Eastern Conference teams currently holding down playoff positions. Charlotte is coming off a loss last night in Boston which was the sixth straight win for the Celtics so they certainly caught them at the wrong time. After winning two of three games, both coming on the road, the Bobcats have dropped four in a row with the last three coming on the highway and they are pretty overdue for a win on their home floor as they have dropped 12 straight games on their home floor but it isn't for lack of trying as over half of those losses came by fewer points than what they are getting tonight. Charlotte is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss while the Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing record. The home team has won each of the last 10 Pacers games and while an outright Charlotte win here is far from out of the question, we will grab the generous amount of points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

David Chan

New Orleans vs. Philadelphia
Pick: Philadelphia

New Orleans is 11-26 SU and 19-18 ATS; it's coming off a 100-87 loss at New York as a 7 point dog on the 13th. The Hornets poor overall record can be chalked up to their poor offense which averages just 91.9 PPG. Eric Gordon remains a bright spot and had 22 points in the loss to the Knicks.

It comes as no surprise to learn that New Orleans is just 5-9 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games.

Philadelphia is 16-22 SU/ATS; it's coming off a 107-100 win over Houston as a 1 point favorite on the 12th.

The victory marked the first game of 12 of its next 13 in front of the home town crowd, and there's no question this team will look to keep the momentum rolling.

Jrue Holiday had 30 points and nine assists:

"We needed it," said Holiday after. "Going into this home stretch, getting the first one is huge. Home court is big. It's crucial. We've got to come here and try and win at home."

A date vs. the Hornets is just what the doctor ordered to continue the home win streak, as the last time these teams played against each other on November 7th, Philadelphia would beat New Orleans 77-62 in its best defensive effort of the season.

And note that Philadelphia is in fact 5-3 ATS this season when playing with two days of rest.

The road has been New Orleans' "achilles heel", coming into this contest just 5-13 SU away from friendly confines. Look for Philadelphia to defend its home floor and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Jimmy Boyd

Toronto Raptors +7

Brooklyn is being slightly over-valued in this spot so I think it's a good time to take the Raptors. Brooklyn has now won six in a row and four at the pay window. They are coming off a big win against the Indiana Pacers and have a home-and-home on deck with the Atlanta Hawks. Both of these teams are a bigger threat to the Nets in the East than the Raptors, who are at the bottom of the Atlantic division.

However, before the loss on Sunday to the Bucks Toronto had been playing pretty solid. They beat Charlotte and Philadelphia by holding them to just 72 and 78 points. This team has quietly won 10 of their last 14 games so they are fairly hot themselves even though they aren't getting the attention Brooklyn is.

This is a short trip for Toronto so I don't think the home court advantage will be that significant for the Nets tonight, so I'll take the points with the road dog as the Nets are just 30-46 ATS the last three years against teams with a losing record and 4-17 ATS at home after a game in which they covered the spread.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Rob Vinciletti

Portland Trailblazers vs. Denver Nuggets    
Play: Portland Trailblazers

The Blazers fit a nice system here that plays on rested road dogs of 5 or more with a total that is 200 or higher and scored 90 or less on 45% or less shooting as a home dog in their last game, vs an opponent like Denver that scored 110 or more as a home favorite of 5 or more in their last game. These road dogs have covered 9 straight times. The Blazers have found added scoring with Lillard and could catch Denver a little flat off their big win revenge win over Golden State on Sunday night. Look for the Blazers to cover the 9 point spread here tonight. Take the points with Portland.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Dave Cokin

Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Lakers
Pick: Milwaukee Bucks

Mike D'Antoni commented following Friday's lopsided loss to Oklahoma City that the Lakers season was starting Sunday. Ah yes, the old brand new start, we're 0-0 ploy. Thus, after shredding a bad Cleveland team on Sunday, the Lakers are now 1-0 in what amounts to D'Antoni's Part Two of the NBA season. Sounds good if I'm a Laker fan, I suppose, and I actually like the approach in terms of trying to rev up the players. But in truth the Lakers are 16-21, can't play defense, are shorthanded with injuries and are at best an average NBA team. The Bucks are a couple games on the right side of .500, and they're 3-1 since hard-nosed skipper Scott Skiles was shown the door. Bottom line is no one fears the Lakers right now and that lost aura of invincibility has visitors to Staples Center feeling confident. Maybe Sunday got the Lakers going, but they're going to have to prove it to me. I'll side with the Bucks plus the points tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Jim Feist

Pacers vs. Bobcats
Play: Under

Indiana is tops in the NBA in points allowed just 89 points per game and second in rebounds and faces a weak shooting Charlotte team. Indiana is not a great shooting team, ranked 28th in FG shooting (42%) and Charlotte is ranked 27th. The under is 5-2 in the Bobcats last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference. Indiana is 29th in the NBA in points scored, preferring a slower pace, while Charlotte is 18th, so don't look for an offensive show, plus the under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play the Pacers/Bobcats under the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Tony George

Creighton -13

The Blue Jays are 16-1 SU and 12-3 ATS on the season in lined games and ranked 10th in the nation.  Northern Iowa does not match up well here and I like Creighton at home, laying this number, off a huge 91 point outburst on Saturday the Blue Jays are clicking on all cylinders right now.  Doug McDermott may be the best player in the nation this year for Creighton.  Jays on a serious role.....well coached and covering big numbers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

JR O'Donnell

Wake Forest +8

Strong back court play by the Demon Deacon's "Cody Mcintyre" & Cj Harris will put the Oster on the ACC TUESDAY dog here today + THE 8 ... YES WE WILL STAND IN FRONT OF THE TIGERS @ LITTLEJOHN ARENA...  These Clemson Tigers shot a unreal 79 % from the field in the second half last game vs the Cavs...  We have watched 6' 7" Travis Mckie from his high school days in RichmondVa... #'s are at Clemson Tigers punch in @ 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games & Demon Deacons are 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Wunderdog

New Orleans at Philadelphia
Pick: New Orleans +3

It has been a disappointing season for the Philadelphia 76ers to this point, and they have not been able to stop the bleeding. Philadelphia is 4-13 over their last 17 games. The New Orleans Hornets have had even less success on the season. But, for the moment they are a bad team that is playing very well. They have won four of their last five games, with the only loss coming against the NY Knicks. New Orleans should be playing with purpose here, as they scored just 62 points in a home loss to the Sixers early in the season. New Orleans has done a fantastic job of coming back from a big double-digit loss in their previous game, to follow with a superb 14-3 ATS mark in their last 17. Philadelphia’s struggles vs. the West are well documented at just 8-20 ATS in their last 28. Take New Orleans.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Greg Daraban

Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets
Pick: Los Angeles Clippers

No Chris Paul on Monday no problem Memphis left in the dust 99-73. LA continues to sizzle. 29-9. Team showing they are on a mission. Hard to bet against this bunch right now and you are catching points as well.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Marc Lawrence

Tennessee at Kentucky
Pick: Tennessee

A heavy dose of double revenge from last season should do the trick for the Vols here tonight. We’re certain 2nd-year Tennessee head coach Cuonzo Martin still has nightmares about last year’s 69-44 pasting the Vols suffered at this venue but his team arrives with a stout 10-3-1 ATS mark when playing with SEC double revenge exact from the previous season. And when Rocky Top takes on Kentucky in this role and the Wildcats own a less-than .875 win percentage, Tennessee has made four consecutive trips to the pay window. As expected, John Calipari’s bunch is down a notch after the NBA skimmed the cream of its 38-2 NCAA Championship squad. That's confirmed by the Wildcats' five losses already this season. It's evident these young Cats are taking a bit longer to develop than we figured so we’ll look to take advantage while the time is right. UK’s shocking 0-6 ATS mark in SEC games on this floor when playing off an SEC home loss seals the deal. We recommend a 1-unit play on Tennessee.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Freddy Wills

Wisconsin vs. Indiana
Play: Wisconsin   

Tom Crean is 0-8 vs. Wisconsin and Wisconsin is just coming off a big win against #12 Illinois. Indiana has never been able to score at a high volume vs. Wisconsin and that is because Wisconsin likes to slow the game down quite a bit and they don't turn the ball over just 8.9/game #1 in the nation. Indiana scores 87.1 points per game best in the nation, but they are getting their by forcing 16.4 turnovers. Indiana only scores 57.6 points per game in their 10 game skid to Wisconsin who is led by 3 quality seniors that are helping to establish defense-first reputation of Wisconsin. I think 10.5 points holds a lot of value in conference play especially when we have a defensive team on the other side.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Teddy Covers

New Orleans vs. Philadelphia
Pick: New Orleans

This is a tale of two teams headed in opposite directions right now.  Forget New Orleans 11-26 full season record – it’s meaningless.  The Hornets got star shooting guard Eric Gordon and #1 overall draft pick Anthony Davis back in the lineup and they’ve started to win.

First the Hornets knocked off Dallas in Dallas.  Then they beat the red hot Spurs, a team playing as well as any in the league through the first 2 ½ months of the season.  They rallied from a double digit deficit at the end of three quarters to knock off the Rockets, and rallied from another double digit deficit to beat Minnesota.  The key in all four games was defense and rebounding – New Orleans won the rebounding battle each time and held all three opponents to 92 points or less in regulation.

But New Orleans played poorly against the Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, making this a prime bounce-back spot for an undervalued commodity in the betting markets right now. Head coach Monty Williams: “We just didn't play with a sense of urgency. After winning four games in a row, I thought our guys kind of rested on the fact they need to show up."  Expect a better effort here!

Meanwhile, the Sixers are slumping badly.  Forget Philly’s season long 16-22 record.  Doug Collins’ squad started the season with a 10-6 mark.  Since the beginning of December, they are just 6-16; a bottom feeder, not a contender.  The Sixers snapped a five game skid with a win over Houston on Saturday, but they are 0-6 SU following a win during their current slide.  Look for that streak to continue tonight!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Sean Murphy

Indiana vs. Charlotte
Pick: Under

What to expect: One, if not both teams will continue to struggle offensively - if anything we'll see an uglier game than we did on Saturday, when the Pacers prevailed 96-88 in this same matchup. The Bobcats have been held under 90 points in three straight games. Even in last night's contest in Boston, a game in which the 'Cats seemed to be gaining some traction at times, they still managed to put up only 89, and that was...thanks in large part to a late scoring flurry that came when the result had long been decided. Kemba Walker looked a little worse for wear after the game, on a night when he shot just 4-of-16 from the field. I just don't see a lot of room for improvement against another tough defensive opponent, playing on the second of back-to-back nights. Indiana hasn't scored 100 points in a game since doing so in Atlanta on December 29th. The Pacers didn't have Paul George for Saturday's win over the Bobcats, but he returned on Sunday. Keep in mind, they had D.J. Augustin step up with an 18-point effort off the bench in that win over Charlotte - a performance he's unlikely to duplicate tonight. Lance Stephenson was forced to leave Sunday's game with an ankle injury and is questionable to return tonight - remember, he scored 17 points on Saturday. We'll see a couple of high-scoring quarters in this one, but there will also be a couple of prolonged scoring droughts to ultimately keep the final score 'under' the posted total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Kentucky/ Tennessee Under 134: This has been a low scoring series and I expect the same in this game. The Under is 11-1 the last 12 meetings and 8-0 the last 8 in Kentucky. In the last 8 meetings overall, 135 points have been eclipsed just once, with those 8 games averaging 128 ppg. The Vols have had some real offensive struggles this year, especially on the road, where they have averaged just 46.3 ppg. Could be tough for them to put up many points tonight vs a Kentucky squad that has allowed just 58.5 ppg on 36.7% shooting, especially since Kentucky allowed 83 points in their last game. I expect a real bounce back effort at the defensive end for the Cats here. Yes the Cats average 77.4 ppg on the year, but have put up just 65.5 ppg in their 2 SEC games and Tennessee plays very good defense, allowing 61.8 ppg overall and 50.3 ppg on the road. This should not be an uptempo game. Tennessee can’t run with this team and I see them slowing it down to keep the Cats in the mid 60’s at best. Both teams are poor FT shooting teams and only on team has a shot at scoring in the 60’s. I look for a 65-55 type of final. 

3 UNIT PLAYS

Wisconsin/ Indiana Under 133: The Badgers have NO SHOT at winning this one if the run with the Hoosiers and I expect them to play at their normal pace. The Badgers come in playing awesome defense as they have allowed just 54.7 ppg on 40.1% shooting on the year. The Badgers have allowed 54 points or less in their last 5 games and 51 points or less in their 3 Big 10 games so far. The Hoosiers are not all about offense as they have played good defense on the year as well. Indiana comes in allowing just 60.4 ppg on 36.4% shooting overall, including allowing 58 ppg on 35.4% shooting at home. The Hoosiers should have little trouble holding down this Wisconsin squad that has averaged just 51 ppg in their 3 true road games this year. I know this game is at Indiana, but Bo Ryan really get's his teams ready for road games, so I look for him to get this game at a much slower pace than Indiana would like. Both teams play excellent defense and while Indiana shoots 73.8% from the FT line, Wisconsin only shots 61.4% from there. Gonna be very hard for the Hoosiers to get more than 70 in this one, while Wisconsin should be good for the mid to upper 50's at best. Mid 120's here at best.


Clemson/ Wake Forest Over 126.5: 9 of the last 10 in this series has scored 131 points or more and I expect more of the same in this one. The Clemson offense has struggled for much of the year, but they have scored 70.8 pg at home and will be taking on a Wake Forest team that has allowed 2.2 ppg on the road. Wake just came off a game vs a weak offense team in Boston College and they allowed them 72 points, so Clemson should hit 70 at least here. In Clemson's last game they allowed just 44 points to Virginia, but the Cavs are a slow down team that really likes to score in the 50's. Prior to that game Clemson played FSU and DUke, which are much more high scoring teams than Virginia and they allowed 68 and 71 points in the two games. Wake is a another team that is better scoring than Virginia, as they come in averaging 69.1 ppg overall and 69.2 ppg on the road. Clemson home games have averaged 126.7 ppg, while Wake's road games have averaged 141.4 ppg. I say we split the difference here and get a game in the low to mid 130's.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 15

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Indiana/ Charlotte Under 185.5: Indiana was on a 7 game Under streak and I was on the Under in most of those game. The Other day I took the Over in their game vs the Nets and while it did go over the total, just 183 points were scored in the game. That now gives them 8 straight games in which the final score was lower than tonight's total, with those 8 games averaging just 171.6 ppg. That's the kind of game Indiana wants. No matter their opponent or how bat their opponents defense is, the Pacers are not a team that looks to score past 92 or 93. For the year the Pacers have averaged 90.9 ppg, while also scoring just 87.9 ppg on the road. The Bobcats have allowed 102.9 pg at home, but as stated above, the Pacers don't look to pile on the points, even vs bad defenses. Charlotte does score 98 ppg at home, but they are struggling overall on offense, putting up just 93 ppg in their last 5 games, plus when Indiana was here back in November, the Bobcats put up just 90 on this defense. the two games between these teams this year have averaged just 181.5 ppg and I see this one slightly lower scoring than that. I expect it in the 170's. 


LA Clippers/ Houston Over 206.5: Last night the Clippers played an amazing game Memphis, in which they won 99-73. They played tremendous defense in that game, but that kind of defensive intensity is rarely duplicated on back-to-back nights. Tonight i expect a high scoring Rockets team (108.8 ppg at home) to take advantage at what could be a drained Clippers defensive squad. On offense the Clippers can score very well and last night they showed that by putting up 99 points on one of the best defensive teams in the league. Tonight they will take on a Rocket's squad that is 28th in points allowed (103.3 ppg), while also allowing 102.8 ppg at home. I clearly expect 103+ points from both teams in this one, in what could be the best game of the night.

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