Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Phoenix at Milwaukee 
The Bucks look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against teams with a losing SU record. Milwaukee is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-5 1/2)

Game 501-502: Miami at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.049; Indiana 116.398
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Brooklyn at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 117.997; Philadelphia 116.826
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+1 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Atlanta at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.277; Minnesota 120.885
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 507-508: Phoenix at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.317; Milwaukee 122.215
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-5 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: LA Lakers at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 117.973; Houston 127.571
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NCAAB

Ohio State at Purdue
The Buckeyes look to take advantage of a Purdue team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Ohio State is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Buckeyes favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7)

Game 511-512: DePaul at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 57.777; Connecticut 67.593
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 10
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 9
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-9)

Game 513-514: Northeastern at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 52.359; Drexel 61.790
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-5 1/2)

Game 515-516: Clemson at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 59.333; Duke 81.435
Dunkel Line: Duke by 22; 125
Vegas Line: Duke by 16 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-16 1/2); Under

Game 517-518: Alabama at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.379; Missouri 69.603
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 8; 137
Vegas Line: Missouri by 10; 133
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+10); Over

Game 519-520: Baylor at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 65.959; Texas Tech 57.460
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 8 1/2; 156
Vegas Line: Baylor by 10 1/2; 151
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+10 1/2); Over

Game 521-522: Drake at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 51.741; Creighton 76.181
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-19 1/2)

Game 523-524: Illinois State at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 61.223; Missouri State 51.508
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (-8)

Game 525-526: Pittsburgh at Georgetown (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 67.898; Georgetown 69.416
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 1 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 2 1/2; 115
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+2 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: Ohio State at Purdue (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 71.439; Purdue 61.479
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10; 129
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7; 135
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7); Under

Game 529-530: Niagara at Brown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 55.672; Brown 48.661
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 7
Vegas Line: Niagara by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-5 1/2)

Game 531-532: Appalachian State at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 46.779; Wofford 53.576
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 7
Vegas Line: Wofford by 8
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+8)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio St. vs. PurdueFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Ohio St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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That was a very uncharacteristic performance from Ohio State last Saturday when it was drubbed at Champaign-Urbana by an aroused and hungry Illinois side. In bounce-back mode tonight at West Lafayette, however, expect the "real" Buckeyes to show up.  That's partly because host Purdue has some real limitations offensively; fundamental matchups look promising for OSU, which can sick dogged defender G Aaron Craft on the Boilermakers' only consistent offensive weapon, G Terone Johnson (13.4 ppg).  Firepower edge to Buckeyes with productive 6'7 F Deshaun Thomas (20.6 ppg), with the savvy Craft pulling the strings from the point. Remember, too, that Purdue has been a mostly mediocre side this season (just 7-7 SU), with few noteworthy efforts.

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David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix vs. MilwaukeeFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PhoenixFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix is 12-23 SU and 14-19-2 ATS; it's coming off back to back losses including a 92-81 setback as a 4.5 point underdog on the 6th. This is the opening of a four game-trip for Phoenix, and if history is any precedence, it has to be liking its chances, as it has in fact won 37 of the last 42 in this series.
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While the offense has stalled a bit over the last couple of games, a date vs the defensively challenged Bucks is just what the doctor ordered.
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And note that Phoenix is a perfect 4-0 ATS this year after playing three consecutive home games.
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Milwaukee is 16-16 SU/ATS; it's coming off four straight losses, including a 95-80 setback at Indiana as a 4.5 point underdog on the 5th.
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It's been brutal defensive play which has led to the slide, as the Bucks have given up an average of 105.8 PPG. It's also interesting to note that Milwaukee has been outscored by a combined 111-76 in the second half of its last two losses.
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Note that Milwaukee is just 1-9 ATS this year in non-conference games.
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With a victory the Suns will earn their 2,000th win, and with a date vs. Milwaukee at home next Thursday, I believe they have enough significant external factors working in their favor today to sneak in through the back door at the very least; consider a second look at Phoenix in this one!

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Phoenix Suns+5½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both of these teams are struggling right now so I'll take the points with Phoenix against Milwaukee. The Bucks have lost four straight games and three in a row at the pay window and it's due to their suspect defense. Their last three opponents have all reached 95 points or more.
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Phoenix is actually playing decent defense lately but they forgot how to score. They held Philadelphia, Utah, and Memphis to 89, 87, and 92 points, but only scored 161 total points the last two games.
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The Suns get the Bucks at a good time, smashed between divisional road games at Indiana and at Chicago. Milwaukee knows they need to keep pace with those two teams, so their focus might not be 100% there here tonight.
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The Bucks are only 34-55 ATS at home against the Pacific since 1996 and 1-9 ATS against the West this year. I think Phoenix has a real chance at pulling the upset here tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Niagara vs. BrownFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: BrownFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is not a very good spot for Niagara as it is coming off two wins over the weekend in conference action to improve to 3-1 on the season in the MAAC. Going forward, the Purple Eagles have two road games this upcoming weekend within the conference so the last thing they need to be doing right now is playing a meaningless non-conference game sandwiched in-between. They are coming off a big win over Fairfield which is one of the conference favorites and the rematch takes place this Sunday which will be another huge game. Overall, Niagara is 6-1 at home but just 1-6 on the highway including 1-5 in true road games. Heading to Brown is far from a daunting challenge but it comes down to focus and I think the Bears will have more of that here. Brown is coming off back-to-back losses on the road to fall to 2-6 outside of Providence. The Bears are a much more respectable 2-2 at home and that includes a win in their last game against Providence. The schedule has been challenging as this is just the second home game for Brown since the end of November. The current runs are playing a factor in this line and while Niagara can make a case for being a favorite, it should be closer to a pickem than what it is now. The Bears fall into a great situation as well as we play on underdogs that are averaging 63 ppg or less going up against teams allowing between 74 and 78 ppg , after playing a game where both teams scored 65 points or less. This situation is 57-23 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio St. -7FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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While the loss to Illinois confirmed for me that this Ohio State team is not quite at the top of the Big Ten this year it also gave provided great value for this road tilt at Purdue. The only thing that worries me is that OSU is 0-2 on the road this season, but lots of team would be too if they were playing at Duke and at Illinois. Purdue beat the same Illinois team that whacked Ohio State on the weekend but everyone could see that the Illini were playing over their head and were likely looking ahead to the Buckeyes. The Buckeyes will rebound, they are 7-1 ATS off a loss and 7-3 ATS against Purdue.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Alex SmartFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Bucks -5½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Milwaukee Bucks and their new interim coach (Jim Boylan) take on a Phoenix Suns side that has not performed well in an underdog role of late covering only 8 of their last 22 when getting points, which includes hitting only 5 dog opportunities in their L/14 on the road. I know the Bucks have played horribly of late, as is evident by five straight losses, but there are very few situations in the NBA, that wake teams up as quickly, as a coaching change.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn at PhiladelphiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia is struggling, on a 1-5 SU/ATS run because of the offense can't score, getting 89, 85, 89, 85 and 86 points in those defense. The defense is fine, allowing 96.6 ppg -- 8th in the NBA. The under is 5-0-1 in the 76ers last six games. Brooklyn can also play tough defense, 5th in the NBA in points allowed and the under is 19-5-2 in the Nets last 26 road games. And when these teams meet the under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia. Play the Nets/76ers under the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Lakers at Houston Rockets
Pick: Houston RocketsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Things continue to unravel for the Lakers. They can't play defense, the bench is substandard and now they're hitting the road extremely shorthanded. Making matters worse for the Lakers is that they are still a team that opponents circle wherever they go, and that ought to be the case again tonight as Houston gets to play the host role. The Rockets might be without Chandler Parsons, but that pales in comparison to what the visitors are missing right now. Even with a number that figures to be a little inflated, continuing to fade the Lakers seems like an okay idea, so tonight's comp opinion is on the Rockets minus the points.

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Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Bucks -5½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Neither the Bucks nor Suns are playing well. Milwaukee just made a coaching change sacking Scott Skiles. Alvin Gentry probably is on borrowed time for Phoenix.
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I see the Bucks playing with a lot of engergy and motivation for interim coach Jim Boyland. Milwaukee is home and taking on an easy opponent.
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The Suns have lost eight of their last nine games. The Suns rank 25th defensively and second to last in defensive field goal percentage. They are the perfect antidote to the Bucks' struggling offense, which should be fortified with the expected return of Ersan Ilyasova.
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The Suns need to have their offense going to make up for their lack of defense. But Phoenix's offense is in the tank. The Suns have averaged less than 19 points a quarter during the past seven quarters. Only once in their last nine games have the Suns reached triple digits. Phoenix's confidence is at a season low.
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While the Bucks are a disppointing 16-16, they still are a borderline playoff team capable of winning their division. Phoenix, though, has the fifth-worst record in the NBA. The Bucks usually take care of business against such inferior competition covering five of the last six times verus a below .500 foe.

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JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wofford -8FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Terriers short/ sweet & down right ugly tonight @ South Carolina as we go Favorite tonight "Southern Conference" action. LAY THE 8 AS THIS CLUB IS READY TO POUND SOMEBODY....    24 year Veteran Mike Young will have his troops ready as the Power Forward  "Lee Skinner" can hoop! .. #'s powerful Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  & Appy State 0-4 last 4 trips to SC.... Power rated @ - 10 here flat.

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Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Alabama vs. MissouriFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MissouriFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Tigers are coming off two games where they didn’t necessarily play their best; I expect them come out big here against Alabama.
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Mizz followed up a very tough overtime loss to UCLA with a just a two point win over Bucknell on home court. Junior Guard Phil Pressy helped pace the Tigers with 26 points against the Bison in a game where it perhaps shouldn’t have won.
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With Tiger’s head coach Frank Haith at the helm, the team is now 41-7 and playing this season with something to prove after last year’s early departure from the NCAA tournament.
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I love our attitude and our toughness," Haith said. "You hear these guys talk about toughness and it is something that we emphasize. This is a really good team."
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Missouri is a perfect 8-0 at home this year and are outscoring opponents by an average of 23.2 points per game. Since the 2008, the Tigers have been an outstanding 75-4 on home court.
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Alabama is just 1-2 on the road this year and 20-53 dating back to the 2005 season. The Crimson Tide has lost 12 consecutive road games to teams ranked in top 25.
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Alabama may lead the all-time series 4-1, but that is ancient history as the teams have not met since the 2001 campaign.
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The Tide is 3-4 ATS when facing teams with a winning record and is 1-2 ATS on the road this year.
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Missouri is 4-2 ATS when facing a team with a winning record.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn vs. PhiladelphiaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BrooklynFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Nets have new life under P.J. Carlesimo, they are coming off three straight victories, and they are five of six since firing Avery Johnson as head coach. The only loss being a game against the Spurs in San Antonio.
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Brooklyn has had two days off since defeating the Kings at home on Saturday, and they come into Philadelphia well rested. The Sixers may well have tired legs though, tonight's game is the first of a back to back, their fourth consecutive back to back in the last 10 days. Whoever made the schedule this year must not have been a Sixers fan.
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"I have never experienced a road trip like this where it's three back-to-backs in a row and we played some of the best teams in the league and even before that we started off with Brooklyn," said leading scorer Jrue Holiday. "It was tough, but as a team we grew from it."
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The Sixers have looked like a tired team, losing three straight, and five of their last six. They are coming off a horrendous road trip, having played their last eight game away from home.
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The Nets are averaging over 100 points per game since the coaching change, in comparison with an average of fewer than 95 points per game prior. Center Brook Lopez is playing much better basketball, averaging 23.7 points per game and shooting 50% from the field. Brooklyn is also out-rebounding opponents by a margin of +4, while they had been losing the battle on the boards prior to Carlesimo taking over.
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The Nets are a team on the rise, and Philly is dog tired, there is no reason to expect a lot from the Sixers here, this should be an easy victory for Brooklyn.

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SPORTS WAGERSFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Brooklyn +105 over PHILADELPHIAFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tough spot for the Sixers in that they return home from a grueling eight game road trip in 15 days that took them through three time zones and ended with games in OKC and San Antonio. Philly went 2-6 in that trip and have another road game tomorrow night in Toronto. The 76ers didn’t get better either. They allowed more points than their average and scored 89 points or less in six of those eight games.
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The Nets are warming up again. They’ve won five of six and have scored 110 or more in three straight. The replacement of defensive minded Avery Johnson in favor of P.J. Carlesimo’s more offensive system is working right now and in a good spot against an exhausted host, we’ll trust it’ll continue for at least one more game. Nets straight up. 
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PURDUE +7½ over Ohio StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We’re always reluctant to spot road points with ranked teams against non-ranked opponents, especially when the points are significant and these are. The Buckeyes come in ranked #15 with their 11-3 record. However, they’ve only played two true road games this season and they’re 0-2 in those games. They were tough games for sure (Duke and Illinois) but a 19-point loss to Illinois is somewhat disturbing. OSU has played one other ranked team this year and lost that one too, at home to Kansas by eight. It’s clear that without Sullinger, the Buckeyes aren’t the same dominant force.
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The Boilermakers are just 7-7 overall and 1-1 in Big-10 play. However, they’ve had a rather difficult schedule and they also have a notable seven-point win on their résumé over Illinois. That was an emotional win to open conference play and predictably, Purdue went out on the road three days later and got whacked by Michigan State. Now the Boilermakers are back home at Mackay Arena, where they are almost always a tough out. This one should be no different.
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Baylor -9½ over TEXAS TECHFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Red Raiders are 8-4 overall and 1-0 in conference play so it might be enticing to take near double-digits at home. Don’t do it. Texas Tech will be a Big-12 bottom feeder that isn’t likely going to win many more conference games the rest of the way. Its conference win came against TCU and now they step up significantly in class. The Red Raiders have played one of the easiest schedules in the country, which ranks 331 out of 347 Division I programs.
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By contrast, Baylor’s SOS ranks 10th in the nation. Despite that, Baylor is 9-4 overall and have a chance to go 2-0 in conference play with another win here. Cory Jefferson is stuffing the stat sheet to the tune of 14.1 points, 8.7 rebounds and 2.3 blocks a night. Chad Ford is a potential first round pick of the NBA Draft. Pierre Jackson and Isaiah Austin are front-line players and the Bears haven’t even peaked yet. The Red Raiders have played one tough opponent this year and lost that one at home to Arizona by 28 points. This one has a similar feel.

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Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Bucks -5.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Suns have lost 8 of their last 9 and are just 2-14 on the road this season. Milwaukee will be the fresher team as it has had 2 days of rest while Phoenix has had just 1. This will be the Suns' 8th game in 14 days and this is significant because they are 0-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. They have lost these 7 by an average of 9.2 points. The Bucks have lost 4 in a row and will be hungry because of it. They will also be fueled by the fact that they have lost their last 4 versus Phoenix. Milwaukee is 27-13 ATS all-time under coach Skiles after 3 or more consecutive losses. Lay the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Andrew Lange 

Alabama at Missouri
Play: Missouri

If you look at Alabama's in SEC play last year, they didn't lose a game by more than 10 points despite going 9-7. But the Crimson Tide were a different team in part because they had JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell on the front line. Even on off shooting nights, Bama's defense always kept them in the games. Green and Mitchell are obviously gone and while Alabama still defends, they simply aren't as strong. Tonight they go on the road to face Missouri with six freshmen and sophomores. We saw this team absolutely wilt under the pressure of VCU's press (16 turnovers, 39% FGs). They return guard Andrew Steele who will certainly help but reports indicate that he is not 100%. Missouri isn't as frenetic as VCU but they'll undoubtedly extend their pressure and they also have the size up front to force Alabama to shoot from the outside. It is a long season, but Alabama's home losses to Mercer and Tulane are big red flags. At under -10, I think we can step in and support the home side for something.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Tony George

Drake +19.5

Creighton again laying a big number against a weak sister here and while the Blue Jays are a Top 15 in the nation, they historically have issues laying big numbers at home.  I took Indiana State against them as a premium play +14.5 over the weekend and cashed it, and while Drake is an also ran in the Mo Valley, they always give Creighton a game.  Easy spot to overlook an average team, like the points here for Drake.  Creighton continues to l;ay big inflated numbers in conference play and Drake, always the lesser team, has covered 6 out of the last 10 in this series and made a game of it BOTH times in 2011 when Creighton was damn near as good as they are now.  The Blue Jays defense suspect not to covering huge spreads, ranked 92nd overall in the NCAA.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Greg Shaker

Clemson / Duke Over 129.5

I am not going to be Over-Wordy here but my number is 134.9 and I will use some discretion and play just 1%. Strong offensive numbers from Duke and strong offensive efficiency from both teams, especially in their last 5 played. Duke has played to more Unders than Overs here on this court for the last couple years and perhaps why we are getting such a good number. The betting line itself might help us here with the Blue Devils possessing more pace and a good 2nd half lead could mean a Pace-Pickup.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Indiana/ Miami Under 187: In 4 or their last 6 games the heat have allowed 100+ points, but let's also note that 2 of those games were in OT and that the Miami defense is back to playing solid as they have allowed just 83.5 ppg in their last 2 games. The Miami defense has struggled on the road, but this Indiana team is not one to take advantage. The Pacers play at a slow tempo and come in averaging just 91.4 ppg overall, including 86.4 ppg in their last 4 games. The Pacer defense is among the best in the league, allowing just 89.8 ppg overall, including just 88 ppg at home. Tonight the face a struggling Miami offense that has scored less than 100 points in 4 of their last 6 games and the two that they scored 100+ were in OT. Indiana does not want an uptempo game, as evidenced by the fact that their home games have averaged just 181.6 ppg. Their last 4 overall have been ridiculously  low scoring as they have averaged just 171.3 ppg. This one should be a bit higher, but nothing more than the very low 180's at best.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday January, 8

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Duke/ Clemson Over 130.5:  I know that Clemson plays solid defense and likes their games a bit lower scoring, but I have to believe that a team that is #1 in the country and is a 17 point home favorite will get this game at their pace, and Duke's pace is a game in the 140's. Clemson has played good defense this year, but only 3 games were vs BCS schools. They did hold South Carolina to just 55 points, but allowed 68.5 ppg to Florida State and Arizona and tonight will be taking on an even better offense. The Blue Devils come in averaging 80.1 ppg on 48.4% shooting overall. At home they have put up 82.1 ppg, with their home games averaging 142.1 ppg. That is the pace of play that Duke likes.  The Blue Devils allow 60 ppg, while this Clemson offense comes in averaging 66.7 ppg overall and 60.7 ppg on the road. so I fully expect Clemson to put up at least 60 in this one, while the Blue Devils high scoring offense puts up somewhere in the mid 70's. We may not see 140 in this one, but I clearly expect somewhere in high 130's. 

3 UNIT PLAYS

Georgetown/ Pittsburgh Over 115: I know that these guys bring the defense, but I will side with the Over here. Sure 8 of the last 10 Hoya's games have gone Under the total, but none of those games were with an OU line this low. Hoya home games have averaged just 16 ppg but allot of that is due to the fact that the Hoya's allow just 51.1 ppg at home. I think this Pitt offense can put at least 7 or 8 more than that on the board in this one. Pittsburgh does average 73.6 ppg on 50.4% shooting on the year and after putting up just 62 points at Rutgers last time out I expect them to bounce back with a better showing tonight. The Panther defense is tops in the Big East, but allot of that was done at home, plus this is now the Big East season and there are no more North Floridas, Bethune Cookmans Delaware States or Kennesaw State's on their schedule. Pitt allowed 43.3 ppg vs those 4 teams, but have allowed 57.8 ppg vs the rest of their schedule and that includes allowing 68.5 pg in their first 2 Big East games. The Hoya's offense is average at 65.1 ppg overall and 64.9 ppg at home, but that should be more than enough for us to get the over in this one. I see both teams in the low 60's in this one.

Missouri/ Alabama Over 132.5: I know the line has come down a bit here, but I do se it going over the total. Alabama plays great defense but they also have allowed 73 points to VCU on the road and 81 points to Dayton at home. Those two play uptempo games just like Missouri does and I feel that the tigers will get the tempo where they want it for this one. The Tigers are 4th in the nation in shots per game (64.2) and they average 78.5 ppg overall and 79.6 ppg at home. They should get to the mid 70's in this one. The Tigers do allow 56.4 ppg at home and Alabama scores just 58.7 ppg, but I see them getting a few more than tat here. They are not a bad shooting team as they do hit 44.8% of their shots and that should get them in the 60's here, especially in an uptempo game. Tigers home games have averaged 136 ppg, but I see this one eclipsing 140.

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