College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday December, 19

College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday December, 19

College Knowledge

-- 8-2 Dayton won its last four games, with a win at #42 Alabama; they are 5-1 at home, losing to Weber State, 1-1 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10 to Colorado on neutral floor. Illinois State is 1-1 in true road games, losing by 3 at Louiville, winning in OT at Drexel. Redbirds make 58% of shots inside arc, #1 in country. MVC single digit road dogs are 13-8.
-- Xavier won four of last five inner-city rivalry games with Cincinnati; LY's game ended in big brawl, prompting move of this game to neutral downtown arena. Bearcats are 10-0, winning games vs top 100 clubs by 8-11-2 points- teams shoot 36% inside arc against them. Xavier hasn't played in 10 days; they're 7-2, with losses by a combined five points.
-- Louisville is -25 over Florida International; will Pitino run score up on his kid, who coaches FIU? Cardinals are off solid win at Memphis, when they were down 16 but won by 9- they're forcing turnovers on 31.9% of foes' possessions, #1 in country. FIU is 3-4, with #108 SF Austin best team they've played- they're turning ball over 21% of time. Uh-oh.
-- 5-3 UMass plays at #6 pace in country; they're 2-1 at home, losing to Miami, winning close games with Harvard/Elon; Minutemen are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with all three losses by 13+ points. Ohio lost three of its last four games after 6-0 start, losing at home to Winthrop in last game; Bobcats are 0-2 on road, losing by 8 at Robert Morris, 26 at Memphis.

-- 3-5 UTEP lost by 2 at home to UNLV Monday, Miners' fifth loss in last seven games, but they've played #27 schedule to this point. UTEP lost by 5 at Oregon LY. C-USA home underdogs are 1-4 vs spread in non-league games. #35 Ducks are 9-1 vs #327 schedule; they're 2-1 vs teams in top 200, winning by 4 at UNLV, beating Vandy by 26.
-- 11-0 New Mexico beat New Mexico State by 11 at home Saturday, as Lobos held State to 33% from floor, 4-16 from arc, outscoring them on foul line 26-16. Lobos won by 9 at Indiana State in OT in only road tilt this season; they won last four visits to Las Cruces by 20-6-10-2 points. Aggies are 5-5, turning ball over 24.9% of time; they're 3-0 at home.
-- 7-2 North Carolina split two true road games, losing by 24 at Indiana, winning by 15 at Long Beach; Tar Heels allowed 84-87 points in wins vs UAB/East Carolina in last three games- they're #308 in experience. Texas is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to UCLA by hoop, to Georgetown by 23 on neutral floor. Longhorns turn ball over 25.5% of time- not good.
-- Quick turnaround for UNLV squad that won by hoop at UTEP two nights ago; Rebels miss injured star Moser- they're 5-1 vs D-I teams at home, with all wins by 12+ points (only loss to #35 Oregon). Northern Iowa is 5-4 vs D-I teams, with all four losses to top 50 teams; best win was over #93 George Mason. 3 of their 4 losses were by 7 or less pts.
-- 9-3 South Dakota State is 1-3 on road, with only win in double OT at banged-up Montana Saturday; now they're on another road trip in other direction, at Belmont squad that got blasted by Kansas Saturday, but is 2-0 at home, winning by 34-15 points. Bruins are #18 experienced team that has played #10 schedule. Jackrabbits' road losses are by 3-3-24.

-- Montana won eight of last nine games with Northern Arizona, 3-1 in last four played here, with wins by 25-20-19 points, but Griz is 2-4 vs D-I teams this year, losing last three-- star G Cherry is just coming back from foot injury, played 13 minutes last game. Northern Arizona won its Big Sky opener by 7; they're 4-5 (best win vs #245 Cal-Davis).
-- 6-3 Arkansas State is 3-0 at home vs D-I teams, with win over #83 St Bonaventure; Red Wolves lost by 13 at Murray State LY. ASU turns opponents over 25% of time, but if they don't, opponents are have an eFG% of 51.6%, which is poor. 8-1 Murray State is 2-0 on road, with wins at Lipscomb/Evansville; Racers shoot 40.5% behind the arc.
-- 4-5 West Virginia struggles to score; its 42.4 eFG% is #318 out of 347 D-I teams; WVU is #284 in experience playing #30 schedule, so they've overscheduled, but did win both home games, beating VMI by 25, VT by 1. 4-7 Oakland is awful defensive team; foes are shooting 61.1% on 2-point shots. Summit League double digit road underdogs are 9-15.
-- First game in 11 days for Sacramento State team that split its last four games with Montana State, losing three of last four played here; Hornets are 3-3 vs D-I teams, with last two wins by three points each. Montana State lost last five games vs D-I teams; opponents are making 59.6% of 2-point shots- they lost Big Sky opener by 7 at Northern Arizona.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday December, 19

North Carolina at Texas: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

North Carolina Tar Heels at Texas Longhorns (+4.5, 140)

Texas has already played in the Maui Invitational and lost to Georgetown and UCLA, and the schedule gets tougher this week with games against North Carolina and Michigan State.

The week begins with a visit from the 19th-ranked Tar Heels, who have won three straight since losing to Indiana by 24 on Nov. 27. North Carolina survived a scare against East Carolina on Saturday before winning 93-87, while Texas is coming off a 12-point win over Texas State. The Longhorns have struggled while waiting for sophomore point guard Myck Kabongo to be cleared by the NCAA, which is investigating his relationship with a professional agent. Texas has won four of the last five contests against the Tar Heels and holds a 4-3 series lead in the series.

ABOUT NO. 19 NORTH CAROLINA (8-2, 5-3 ATS): Coach Roy Williams was not pleased after the Tar Heels allowed East Carolina to score 61 second-half points on Saturday. Look for the Tar Heels to be a little more aggressive in the paint after they grabbed just 10 offensive rebounds – and none by a post player – against the Pirates. Senior guard Dexter Strickland, who has 26 assists in his last three games, recorded his first career double-double with 11 points and 10 assists against East Carolina. Sophomore forward James Michael McAdoo leads the Tar Heels in points (15.4) and rebounds (8.3), while Desmond Hubert, Brice Johnson and Joel James continue to share time at center.

ABOUT TEXAS (6-4, 3-5 ATS): The Longhorns are hoping Kabongo’s eventual return will jump-start their offense, which ranks 267th in the country while averaging 63.3 points. While the offense sputters, the defense has kept the Longhorns competitive. They lead the Big 12 in field goal percentage defense (33.2) while allowing 58.2 points per game. Offensively, guard Sheldon McClellan averages a team-high 15.3 points, and forward Jonathan Holmes leads the team with eight rebounds per game. Freshman guard Javan Felix has bounced back from a shaky start to average 16.5 points in his last two games. Felix ranks second in the Big 12 in assists (5.8).

TRENDS:

* Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Longhorns are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.
* Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels' last five overall.
* Over is 9-3 in Longhorns last 12 vs. Atlantic Coast.

TIP-INS:

1. The Longhorns have won 14 straight non-conference home games and are 86-3 in nonconference home games since the start of the 2002-03 season.

2. North Carolina has attempted 20 or more three-point field goals in six of its first 10 games.

3. Texas is 212-22 under coach Rick Barnes when holding opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday December, 19

Games to Watch
By David Schwab
VegasInsider.com

Cornell vs. No. 2 Duke

The Big Red out of the Ivy League kick-offs a busy week with a Monday matchup against Vanderbilt on the road before facing the Blue Devils on Wednesday in Durham. They are 4-5 SU on the year and 3-4 ATS. Cornell is averaging just 64.9 points a game while shooting just over 40 percent from the field.

Duke should move up to the top spot in the nation at 9-0 SU as a result of the Hoosiers loss on Saturday. The Blue Devils remained perfect on the year after beating Temple 90-67 on Dec. 8. They covered as 7 ½-point favorites to go 6-3 ATS. Mason Plumlee and Seth Curry have combined for 35.5 points a game to help pace Duke to an average of 80 points a game.

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Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday December, 19

College Basketball Point Spreads and Picks
By: Larry Hartstein
Sportingnews.com

In some of Wednesday night's more intriguing college basketball action, Cincinnati and Xavier renew their rivalry, Duke welcomes Cornell from the Ivy League, and North Carolina travels to Texas to take on the Longhorns. The lines below are from the LVH SuperBook at of about 7 a.m. PT.

No. 11 Cincinnati (10-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) vs. Xavier (7-2 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) at U.S. Bank Arena in Cincinnati, 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2)

Line:
Cincinnati - 8.5, Total: 134

Last year’s game between these teams ended in an infamous brawl that left eight players suspended. For this year, officials changed the name of the rivalry from the Crosstown Shootout to the Crosstown Classic and moved it to a neutral site downtown in a two-year experiment.

Coaches are urging each contingent to show respect for the other side. Bearcats coach Mick Cronin asked his players to reach out to the Musketeers before the game. Said leading scorer Sean Kilpatrick: “I’m pretty sure it’s all love on both ends.” That might not be the case with the fans.

The Musketeers have won four of the last five meetings, including last year’s 76-53 blowout as 7.5-point faves.

About Cincinnati: The Bearcats are incredibly deep, with 11 players averaging double-digit minutes. They’re also comfortable at U.S. Bank Arena. They’ve won 17 straight there, including last season’s victory over Oklahoma (Xavier hasn’t played at the arena since 2007-08). Cincy uses full-court pressure and forces turnovers on nearly a quarter of opponents’ possessions. The offensive leader is senior guard Cashmere Wright, who’s 29-of-61 on 3-pointers. This team needs a lot of practice at the foul line, as it’s shooting just 61.7 percent from the stripe.

About Xavier: Second-leading scorer Justin Martin (12.4 ppg, 5.5 rpg) suffered a concussion in the Dec. 6 loss to Vanderbilt but returned to practice Friday. The Musketeers will try to play a half-court game, Cincinnati’s Achilles' heel. Can freshman PG Semaj Christon (15.8 ppg, 5.4 apg) dictate the pace? He’s committing 3.5 turnovers per game. Xavier usually rises to the occasion in this 79-year-old rivalry; the Musketeers have won their last four games against top-20 Cincinnati teams.

Key matchup: The Bearcats lead the nation in rebounding (46.1 per game) and rank seventh in rebounding margin (+11.5) despite using a three-guard lineup. The Musketeers rank 304th in rebounding (31.6 per game) and 141st in margin (+2.0) against a similarly soft schedule. Five of nine opponents have outrebounded Xavier. The Bearcats’ improving center tandem of 6-10 Cheikh Mbodj and 7-1 David Nyarsuk combines for 11 points and 9.3 rebounds per game, and there might not be a team in the nation with as many athletic forwards as Cincy.

Trends:

*Favorite is 4-0 ATS in last four meetings.

*Under is 6-2 in Bearcats’ last eight games.

*Musketeers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. the Big East.

*Bearcats are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. teams with a .600-plus winning percentage.

*Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

*Over is 4-1 in Musketeers’ last five neutral-site games.

*Musketeers are 4-0 ATS in last four games vs. teams with a .600-plus winning percentage.

The Linemakers Power Ratings: Cincinnati 144.8, Xavier 133.1

The Linemakers' lean: The kids know each other, as the schools are just 2.5 miles apart. Xavier has four players averaging double figures, its two losses are by a combined five points and it doesn't turn the ball over (11 per game). This should be a typical down-to-the-wire battle.

Also in action ...

Cornell (4-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) at No. 1 Duke (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS), 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU

Line:
29.5, Total: 143.5

Due to final exams, the Blue Devils haven’t played since pasting Temple, 90-67, on Dec. 8. In the meantime they rose to No. 1 for the first time since the week of Feb. 21, 2011. The Big Red fell, 66-55, at Vanderbilt on Monday. While Duke has played — and beaten — the nation’s toughest schedule, Cornell has faced one ranked opponent, losing, 73-40, at Wisconsin. Cornell’s top player, 6-7 Shonn Miller, has 33 points, 29 rebounds and six blocks over the past two games. He’ll find the going much tougher against 6-10 Mason Plumlee (19.2 ppg, 11.3 rpg, 61 percent shooting).

Trends:

*Blue Devils are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. losing teams.

*Over is 9-3 in Big Red’s last 12 games.

*Over is 5-2 in Blue Devils’ last seven games.

*Big Red are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.

*Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.

*Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

*Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

Linemakers Power Ratings: Duke 149.5, Cornell 122.3 (factor in 3-4 points for home court)

No. 23 North Carolina (8-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Texas (6-4 SU, 3-5 ATS), 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2

Line:
North Carolina -4.5, Total: 139.5

The Longhorns have played one ranked opponent this season, and it wasn’t pretty: a 64-41 loss to Georgetown in which they shot 29 percent. But they’re 5-0 at home. The Tar Heels nearly blew an 18-point lead to East Carolina on Saturday. They’re prone to defensive lapses, like leaving 3-point shooters open and failing to fight through or switch on screens. The question is whether Texas – which ranks 268th in both scoring (63.3) and shooting percentage (40.8) – can take advantage.

Trends:

*Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in last seven road games.

*Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in last seven games following an ATS loss.

*Longhorns are 6-13 ATS in last 19 non-conference games.

*Longhorns are 3-7 ATS in last 10 games overall.

*Under is 4-0 in Longhorns’ last four games.

*Under is 9-3 in Longhorns’ last 12 home games.

*Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels’ last five games.

The Linemakers Power Ratings: North Carolina 145.5, Texas 139.1 (factor in 3-4 points for home court)

The Linemakers' lean: Neither team has lived up to expectations so far. The young Tar Heels haven't jelled yet, and the Longhorns have had trouble scoring without ineligible PG Myck Kabongo. UNC is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 non-conference games. Texas plays tough, physical defense and figures to keep this one close all the way.

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