Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAA

Toledo vs. Utah State
The Aggies look to follow up their 45-9 win over Idaho in the regular season finale and build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Utah State is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Aggies favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-10)

Game 201-202: Nevada vs. Arizona (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 81.737; Arizona 87.552
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 6; 79
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 75
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+10); Over

Game 203-204: Toledo vs. Utah State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 80.536; Utah State 94.443
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14; 54
Vegas Line: Utah State by 10; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-10); Under

OTHER GAMES:

Georgia Southern at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST on 12/14) 
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 82.186; North Dakota State 90.333
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 8

Sam Houston State at Eastern Washington (4:00 p.m. EST) 
Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 89.665; Eastern Washington 80.134
Dunkel Line: Sam Houston State by 9 1/2

NBA

Indiana at Detroit
The Pacers look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games against teams with a losing SU record. Indiana is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2)

Game 501-502: Golden State at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 117.107; Atlanta 125.735
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 196
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6); Under

Game 503-504: Orlando at Charlotte (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.832; Charlotte 113.473
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+1 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Washington at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.243; Miami 124.858
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 15; 197
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+15); Over

Game 507-508: Indiana at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.656; Detroit 113.340
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 181
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2); Under

Game 509-510: Cleveland at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 111.406; New York 127.157
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 16; 192
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 511-512: Dallas at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 114 489; Minnesota 123.085
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Over

Game 513-514: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 117.469; Chicago 120.369
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 183 1/22
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+5); Over

Game 515-516: Boston at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.274; San Antonio 127.880
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 199
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-9); Under

Game 517-518: LA Clippers at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 123.645; Milwaukee 116.580
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-4 1/2); Under

Game 519-520: Memphis at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 119.099; Utah 123.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-2); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAA

Florida at Arizona
The Gators look to follow up their 72-47 win over FSU and build on their 12-2 ATS record in their last 14 games following a win of more than 20 points. Florida is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Florida (-2 1/2)

Game 521-522: East Carolina at North Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 55.965; North Carolina 75.259
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 19 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 16 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-16 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Cincinnati at Marshall (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 71.562; Marshall 60.502
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 11; 144
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 12 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+12 1/2); Over

Game 525-526: Indiana vs. Butler (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 79.157; Butler 64.206
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 15; 138
Vegas Line: Indiana by 12; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-12); Under

Game 527-528: Wright State at Hofstra (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 52.488; Hofstra 49.573
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 3
Vegas Line: Wright State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+4)

Game 529-530: Eastern Michigan at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 49.656; Illinois-Chicago 63.841
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 14
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-9 1/2)

Game 531-532: Texas A&M at Oklahoma (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 60.087; Oklahoma 64.949
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 5
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-3 1/2)

Game 533-534: SMU at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 57.566; Rhode Island 55.393
Dunkel Line: SMU by 2
Vegas Line: SMU by 1
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-1)

Game 535-536: Cleveland State at St. Bonaventure (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 54.615; St. Bonaventure 59.861
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 5
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 7
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+7)

Game 537-538: Northern Iowa vs. Iowa (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 60.440; Iowa 64.898
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 4 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Iowa by 2 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-2 1/2); Under

Game 539-540: Princeton at Fordham (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 58.488; Fordham 46.824
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 8
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-8)

Game 541-542: Louisville at Memphis (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 79.209; Memphis 72.224
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 7; 137
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 139
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3); Under

Game 543-544: Dartmouth at Arizona State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 42.188; Arizona State 54.887
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+14)

Game 545-546: Tulsa at AR-Little Rock (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 54.198; AR-Little Rock 54.635
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+2)

Game 547-548: Alabama at VCU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 65.827; VCU 73.985
Dunkel Line: VCU by 8; 127
Vegas Line: VCU by 7; 130
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-7); Under

Game 549-550: Nebraska at Oregon (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 56.061; Oregon 74.712
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 18 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Oregon by 13 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-13 1/2); Under

Game 551-552: Notre Dame vs. Purdue (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 68.348; Purdue 63.270
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 5; 129
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6); Over

Game 553-554: UC Davis at Stanford (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.180; Stanford 71.079
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 26
Vegas Line: Stanford by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-17 1/2)

Game 555-556: Iowa State at Drake (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 66.000; Drake 60.939
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 5
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+7 1/2)

Game 557-558: New Mexico State at New Mexico (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.511; New Mexico 71.187
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 9; 135
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-9); Under

Game 559-560: San Francisco at Nevada (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 59.794; Nevada 60.364
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1
Vegas Line: Nevada by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+2 1/2)

Game 561-562: Florida Atlantic at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 48.993; Dayton 67.444
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 16
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-16)

Game 563-564: UC-Riverside at USC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 43.021; USC 58.212
Dunkel Line: USC by 15
Vegas Line: USC by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+16 1/2)

Game 565-566: Akron at Detroit (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 62.225; Detroit 60.450
Dunkel Line: Akron by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Akron

Game 567-568: Valparaiso at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 56.389; Missouri State 52.094
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+5 1/2)

Game 569-570: Southern Illinois at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 51.427; WI-Green Bay 57.909
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-5 1/2)

Game 571-572: Mississippi State at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 53.567; Loyola-Chicago 56.137
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 8
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+8)

Game 573-574: Georgia State at Troy (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 52.531; Troy 51.674
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+2)

Game 575-576: West Virginia at Michigan (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 61.885; Michigan 75.242
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 13 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Michigan by 10 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-10 1/2); Under

Game 577-578: Santa Clara at Pacific (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 54.906; Pacific 59.983
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 5
Vegas Line: Pacific by 3
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-3)

Game 579-580: UL-Lafayette at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 51.355; Houston 56.710
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2)

Game 581-582: Texas State at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.437; Texas 65.713
Dunkel Line: Texas by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 16
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-16)

Game 583-584: Kansas State at Gonzaga (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 66.849; Gonzaga 73.766
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 7; 143
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 9; 137
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+9); Over

Game 585-586: Florida at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 79.370; Arizona 72.568
Dunkel Line: Florida by 7; 129
Vegas Line: Florida by 2 1/2; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-2 1/2); Under

Game 587-588: UC-Irvine at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 49.728; Fresno State 55.335
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 7
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+7)

Game 589-590: San Diego at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 53.228; San Diego State 67.759
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+16 1/2)

Game 591-592: Creighton at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 71.964; California 66.773
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 5
Vegas Line: Creighton by 1
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-1)

Game 593-594: Elon at Massachusetts (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 52.860; Massachusetts 57.644
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 8
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+8)

Game 595-596: Western Carolina at Georgetown (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 51.931; Georgetown 70.336
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 17
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-17)

Game 597-598: Tennessee-Martin at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 37.052; St. Louis 60.355
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 25 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+25 1/2)

Game 599-600: Furman at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 42.590; Auburn 60.090
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 15
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-15)

Game 601-602: Georgia Southern at Virginia Tech (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 45.418; Virginia Tech 69.008
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-17 1/2)

Game 603-604: Iona at Georgia (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 57.408; Georgia 57.517
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Georgia by 2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+2)

Game 605-606: NE-Omaha at Denver (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 35.148; Denver 64.822
Dunkel Line: Denver by 29 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-22 1/2)

Game 607-608: Belmont at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 64.006; Kansas 79.589
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 15 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Kansas by 13 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-13 1/2); Under

Game 609-610: North Dakota State at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 58.533; Towson 48.025
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 7
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-7)

Game 611-612: Canisius at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 52.931; Syracuse 82.095
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 29
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-20 1/2)

Game 613-614: Indiana State at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 54.086; IUPUI 47.946
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 6
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+7 1/2)

Game 615-616: NC-Wilmington at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 47.502; Davidson 66.087
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 17
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-17)

Game 617-618: Ball State at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 46.783; South Dakota 50.714
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 4
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-2 1/2)

Game 619-620: Tennessee Tech at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 46.194; WI-Milwaukee 46.389
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+1 1/2)

Game 621-622: BYU at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 62.493; Weber State 61.603
Dunkel Line: BYU by 1
Vegas Line: BYU by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+1 1/2)

Game 623-624: South Dakota State at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 57.346; Montana 59.791
Dunkel Line: Montana by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-1 1/2)

Game 631-632: NC-Asheville at Ohio State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 54.397; Ohio State 82.018
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 27 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 23 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-23 1/2); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toledo vs. Utah StFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Aggies are coming off their best season and they come into this Potato Bowl game red hot. They've won their last 6 games of the season. They have a well-balanced offensive attack and the nation's 8th best defense. Toledo won their last game, but they lost their previous 2, which cost them a chance to win the MAC title and play in a better bowl. In their last games of the season Toledo beat Akron 35-23 and Utah State beat Idaho 45-9. Chuckie Keeton leads the Utah State offense and he not only passed for 3,144 yards with 27 TD, but he was also the Aggies 2nd leading rusher with 527 yards with 7 TD. RB Kerwynn Williams and WR Matt Austin each averaged over 15 yards per catch this season and Toledo had issues against the pass this season only ranking 117th in the nation. Toledo is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Utah State is 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games, and they have an Under record of 11-3 in their last 14 games. Have to go with the Aggies in this one. They have a much better defense and their offense will show up in spades at Bronco Stadium in Boise on December 15th.

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Wunderdog

Toledo vs. Utah State
Pick: Toledo +10.5

The Toledo Rockets bring a high-powered running game into the Idaho Potato Bowl vs. the Utah State Aggies. The Rockets' running attack is led by David Flullen who ran for 1,456 yards on the season with 13 TDs. He is complimented by QB Terrence Owens who threw for 8.1 yards per attempt, but has also carried for 381 yards and five TDs as well. This offense puts up 32.9 points per game which leaves a tall order for Utah State laying double digits. The Rockets defense hasn't been the greatest, allowing 27.3 points per game. But, they are very opportunistic, finishing the season with 17 INTs. Utah State ran the table in the WAC and comes into the game on a six-game winning streak. They are a more balanced team with an offense that generates over 30 ppg and a defense ranked No. 15 in the country, but will get a stiff test in this one. Both of these squads bring Bowl experience as Toledo tasted the fruits of a Bowl win a year ago over Air Force, while Utah State lost to another MAC team in Ohio. There is definitely a different "pedigree" here when it comes to Bowls, as Toledo has been a very good Bowl team at 8-4, while Utah State is just 1-6. I think that Toledo's experience of winning a close one last year will propel them to the win here. Take Toledo.

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Red Dog Sports

SMU at Rhode Island
Play: SMU

URI has just two wins and one was in overtime at Auburn. They lost at home to Norfolk State by 12 points and to George Mason (outrebounded 50-31). Only five players scored for URI in the NSU game and their top four scorers shoot 39% or less from the field. Munford scores 18 ppg and Malesevic 12.6 ppg but others are under 10ppg. Rhode Island is just 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 games on Saturday.

Larry Brown's SMU team is 3-0 on the road and beat Hofstra easily in their last road game. They are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games. They are 8-1 SU while URI is 2-7. The Mustangs get balanced scoring from 5 players at 9 ppg or more:

Jones 16
Russell 15
Manuel 13
Cunningham 9.5
Williams 9

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Santa Clara vs. PacificFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PacificFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Tigers are 5-4 on the season but the schedule has been impressive to say the least. Two close losses against Fresno St. and Oral Roberts set the stage for big wins over Xavier and St. Mary's that took place in Anaheim before a loss against California and then a tough loss at Gonzaga as the Tigers fell behind early and could not catch up. They shot 46.9 percent from the floor but were outscored by 12 points at the free throw line which was a big difference. Pacific then had an overtime win against followed by a win against San Francisco last Saturday and when it is all said and done, the Tigers have played the 16th toughest schedule in the country. They are deep and very balanced and in four home games, they are shooting 50.9 percent from the floor including 44.7 percent from long range. Santa Clara is off to a 5-2 start which includes a quality win at St. Louis in its second game of the season. Both losses came in overtime to the Broncos could feasibly be undefeated right now but I feel the record is skewed because of an easy schedule that is ranked 279th in the nation. The Tigers have not forgotten about last season when they lost in Santa Clara in overtime despite shooting 52 percent from the floor including 46.7 percent from long range. Pacific heads to play a rematch at St. Mary's on Wednesday and that will be no easy task so the Tigers know this is a pretty big game in order to keep their current RPI of 48 intact.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Grizzlies vs. JazzFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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An uptempo team against a slow, defensive one...who will control the tempo? Both teams played last night, so there will be some tired legs and the Memphis Grizzlies are 4-0 under the total playing on no days rest, plus the under is 14-6 in the Grizzlies last 20 road games. Memphis is tops in the NBA in point allowed, while the under is 20-8-1 in the Utah Jazz's last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Look for a slower paced game than oddsmakers expect; Play the Grizzlies/Jazz under the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas vs. MinnesotaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DallasFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I successfully played against the Mavericks at Toronto last night. Favored by five points, the Mavs lost by more than 20.
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The Raptors, already playing without "stars" Bargnani and Lowry, dominated so much that they didn't even need to play DeMar DeRozan and Jose Calderon for much of the second half, arguably their two best remaining "healthy" players.
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There were a number of reasons why I felt that the Mavs were potentially in a difficult spot last night. I've pasted an excerpt from that writeup below. (You can read Ben's full analysis here.)
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"...The Mavericks had last night off. However, they were off a double-OT heartbreaker at Boston the previous night, a game that may still have some lingering effects. The Mavs, who play a "revenge" game at Minnesota tomorrow, are also playing their 10th consecutive game, which was in a different city from their previous game. That stretch started with a blowout home loss vs. LA. The Mavs then traveled to Philly and then Chicago, before returning home. That was only for a single game though and they were right back on the road for games at LA, Phoenix and Houston. Then, it was back home - but again only for one game. That was followed by their current road trip. I mentioned that the Mavs play at Minnesota tomorrow. Considering that the T-Wolves upset them at Dallas earlier, that could be some cause for looking ahead. Either way, its not a situation in which the Mavs have fared well. Indeed, they're a dismal 5-15 SU/ATS the last 20 times that the played the front end of a back-to-back spot. That includes an 0-4 SU (1-3 ATS) record in that situation, since the beginning of November. Its also worth noting that the Mavs are a poor 6-10 ATS the last 16 times that they were listed as road favorites in the 3.5 to 6 range ... "
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True, the Mavs are now playing the second of back to back games and also their third game in the last four nights. However, the T-Wolves are in the same boat. They played a hard-fought game vs. the Nuggets on Wednesday and played again at New Orleans last night. The fact that they won both of those games could potentially have them a little complacent here.
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On the other hand, I expect the Mavs to be highly motivated. Not only were they embarrassed with their effort last night but they were also embarrassed by these same T-Wolves, at Dallas on 11/12.
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Coach Carlisle said this of last night's game: ''We played poorly and they played great. I don't know how else to sum it up. It's as simple as that.''
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OJ Mayo added: ''The whole team played like garbage tonight. We didn't play the way we're capable of playing and when that happens, you get beat by 20.''
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While they've struggled when playing the front end of back-to-back games, the Mavs have gone 2-1 SU/ATS the last three times that they played the second game in those situations, most recently winning at Phoenix on 12/6.
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On the other hand, the T-Wolves are 0-4 SU their last four in that situation, most recently a double-digit loss at Boston. (They're 3-14 SU their last 17, when playing the second of b2b games, dating back to last February.)
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With the Mavs at 13-2 SU (12-3 ATS) their last 15 visits here, motivated to avenge the earlier loss and motivated to bounce back with a better effort from last night, consider grabbing the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

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Dartmouth vs. Arizona St.FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Arizona St.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After stumbling vs. formidable Big East entry DePaul on Wednesday night, ASU faces a foe a few steps down on the opponent ladder. Doubt laboring Ivy rep Dartmouth can keep pace with Herb Sendek’s new and explosive backcourt featuring ballyhooed frosh Jahii Carson (17.9 ppg) and Liberty transfer Evan Gordon (11.8 ppg; brother of NBA G Eric).  All but one of Sendek’s eight wins this season have been by double-digits, and expect Sun Devils to gradually extend the margin at Wells Fargo Arena in Tempe.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Alabama vs. VCUFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: AlabamaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Tide started the season high with three straight wins but a pair of losses now finds them behind last year’s 21-12 (.636 win percentage) pace. Fortunately for Alabama’s four-returning starters – try as they may – the Rams just can’t beat the SEC. Dating back to 1990, VCU is 0-14 SU and 5-9 ATS versus the Superior Egotistic Conference, including 0-5 ATS at home. It looks to be ‘The Same Old Song’ for Shaka Smart’s squad 47 years later as Bama is 8-2-1 ATS as a dog off back-to-back SU losses and 2-0 ATS versus the Atlantic-10 after arriving off consecutive setbacks. And though we respect Smart, don’t expect a ‘different meaning’ tonight in Richmond – grab the points as the visiting team improves to 11-0 ATS in Rams/SEC skirmishes.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Alabama.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana Pacers vs. Detroit PistonsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Indiana PacersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana has been struggling this year without Danny Granger but I like their chances against the Pistons Saturday. Both teams are coming into this game off a back-to-back and that tends to lead to lower scoring games. That fits right into what the Pacers want to do as they are only allowing 91.3 ppg on 40.9% shooting. Detroit on the other hand has trouble scoring, but they also are only an average defensive team. Indiana is starting to pick up some stream with a couple of double digit wins in a row at home, now they need to go on the road and prove to themselves they can win. Indiana does just that on Saturday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday December, 15

Jack JonesFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Charlotte Bobcats +1.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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I'm predicting the Charlotte Bobcats to put an end to their 10-game losing streak tonight with a victory over the Orlando Magic. Charlotte's schedule could not have been tougher during this skid as nine of the 10 teams it lost to currently have winning records. Six of those 10 losses came by 8 points or fewer.
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Finally, the Bobcats get a break in their schedule as they'll face a team with a losing record in the Orlando Magic tonight. Orlando is in a letdown spot following a big win over Golden State last night. That also means that the Magic will be tired as this will be the second of a back-to-back and the 3rd game in 4 days for them.
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Orlando is 13-26 ATS against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Magic are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Orlando is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 vs. Eastern Conference foes. Charlotte simply wants this game more, and it will be the fresher team. Bet the Bobcats Saturday.

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Dave PriceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toledo vs. Utah StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 58½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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If history holds true, good offensive teams have problems playing up to their potential after a long period of rest. I'll take the under as Utah State is very good on defense and both teams have supposedly potent offenses. The layoff should leave them rusty. Take the under.

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Jeff AlexanderFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toledo vs. Utah StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Toledo +10.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Toledo has covered the spread in all five games this season as an underdog. This is also a team that came very close to running the table this season, meaning this line is giving them basically no respect. Utah State has faded of late in December, going just 1-4 in its last 5 games played in this month.

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Timothy BlackFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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WESTERN CAROLINA vs. GEORGETOWN    
PLAY: WESTERN CAROLINA +17½FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Catamounts have already played a competitive schedule facing off against Illinois, Wichita State and Western Kentucky. They have a record under .500 but they've stayed within 20 in every game. Western Carolina is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Hoyas are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and haven't been overly impressive to start the season.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte BobcatsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Orlando MagicFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Orlando fits a Nice NBA System here that tells us to play on road favorites of 4 or less that scored 90 or more as a home dog last night, vs an opponent like Charlotte that scored 90 or more points as a road dog of 10 or more points. These road favorites have covered over 75% of the time long term. Charlotte is struggling and in the midst of a long losing streak and has not won in the month of December. On the season they have lost 7 of 8 times after giving up 105 or more points. Orlando is off a nice home win over a hot Golden State squad. The Magic have won 7 of the last 8 times these 2 have played and 13 of the last 18 when playing on Saturday. Even better is all road teams with no rest after a home game at Charlotte are 12-1 ats and have won and covered the last 10 times. Look for the Magic to take another from Charlotte.

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Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Kansas State at GonzagaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: GonzagaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Major statement game for the Zags after getting trampled by Illinois last time out. Kansas State is certainly capable, but the Wildcats are running into a team with dominant capabilities at the wrong time. I'll lay it with Gonzaga.

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Dave EsslerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana / Butler Under 142.5FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The only way Butler wins or keeps this close is to slow the game down as much as possible. The Hoosiers held North Carolina to 59 points and have the 7th best defensive efficiency numbers in the nation, and against a good schedule. Conversely, we trust Butler's ability to play SOME defense against Indiana, who had their lowest season offensive total on a neutral court (Brooklyn) against a team that plays a similar style to Butler.

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JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oklahoma -3FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Lon Kruger led Sooners grab the call today as the J Oster has quietly been knocking down CBB plays ...19-12 last 31 ... 61.2% and the GAME O YEAR SATURDAY NIGHT Sec Style ON TAP..Soooners are the right side here in the game here boys......... Capped at the Power Play rating of - 6 vs the Over rated imo Texas Am crew..... The Sooners  are better on the boards and possess a super bench! Also smooth 3 pt sharp shooter in Steve Pledger second in league  .... ... Game today in Okie City a short trip from Sooner land.... The All College Classic winner goes at 2 pm... .... Oklahoma boasts a 29-10 all-time record against Texas A&M Aggies are a soft bunch boys.

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DAVID BANKS

Toledo / Utah State Over 58

One of the best ATS teams in the country gets some exposure on opening day of the 2012-13 Bowl Season when the Utah State Aggies (10-2, 10-1-1 ATS) take on the Toledo Rockets (9-3, 7-5 ATS) in the Idaho Potato Bowl from Bronco Stadium in Boise, ID at 4:30 ET on ESPN. The Aggies came very close to making it though the entire season without an ATS loss, as their only non-cover came in the final week when they "only" beat Idaho 45-9 as 37-point favorites. Toledo meanwhile lost two its last three games after an 8-1 start, with one of those being a covering 31-24 road defeat at Northern Illinois, the BCS Buster out of the MAC.

If Utah State facing a MAC school on the blue turf of Bronco Stadium sounds familiar, it is because the Aggies played in this very same bowl game last season vs. Ohio, where they blew a 13-point lead and lost 24-23. This season their two losses were by two points at Big Ten Champion Wisconsin and by three points at another bowl team in BYU, as the Aggies went undefeated in the WAC and quietly finished the season ranked 22nd on the final BCS Standings. Utah State was very solid on both sides of the football. It ranked 26th in total offense at 460.7 yards per game with tremendous balance, tying for 13th in rushing average at 5.2 yards per carry and tying for 18th in passing average at 8.3 yards per attempt. Utah State was just as impressive on defense, maybe even more so considering the offensive minded teams in the WAC. They finished 15th in the country on total defense allowing only 322.7 yards per game on a scant 2.9 yards per rush and 5.8 yards per pass attempt, and they were eighth in scoring defense at only 15.4 points per contest.

Toledo opened up the season by taking Arizona into overtime before losing on the road 24-17 in a very game effort. The Rockets then reeled off eight consecutive wins and were ranked 23rd in the country before losing two of their last three games as mentioned. Toledo was on par with Utah State offensively, averaging 456.1 total yards on 4.9 yards per rush and 7.7 yards per pass attempt. However, consider that most of that came vs. mediocre (or worse) MAC defenses and that the Rockets could struggle to approach those averages vs. the great Utah State defense. The biggest concern for Toledo though is its defense. In fact, the Rockets were slightly outgained this season, allowing a distressing 464.1 total yards per game on a generous 4.9 yards per rush and 7.5 yards per pass.

Aside from the 10-1-1 overall ATS record this year Utah State is also 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 games vs. non-conference opponents. Toledo is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in its previous game.

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