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College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, Dec. 8

College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, Dec. 8

NAVY (7 - 4) vs. ARMY (2 - 9) - 12/8/2012, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 81-38 ATS (+39.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 62-34 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
ARMY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARMY is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Navy's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing Army
Army is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Army is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Navy

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, Dec. 8

Army-Navy: What Bettors Need to Know

Navy vs. Army (6.5, 56)

The Army-Navy game is one of the most traditional and enduring rivalries in college football. This Saturday marks the 113th annual game between the storied rivals from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Navy has beaten Army 10 straight times - the longest run in the history of the series. The last time Army defeated Navy was back in 2001.

“The rivalry is based on the love of the game,” Navy LB Brye French told the Washington Post on Thursday. “We’re not going to be signing contracts after the season to play in the NFL. We’re playing because we love the game, and we’re playing for our brothers. We have the utmost respect for them (Army). We’re very similar.”

This is the biggest game of the season for both teams. Navy and Army both beat Air Force this year, so the Commander in Chief’s Trophy will be on the line for the first time since 2005.

LINE: Navy -6.5, O/U 56

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 25 percent of showers at Lincoln Financial Field. Winds will be calm.

ABOUT NAVY (7-4): After losing three of its first four, the Midshipmen (7-4) turned their season around with a 28-21 victory in overtime at Air Force, which is also the game when freshman Keenan Reynolds took the helm at QB. Navy has won five of six games since, qualifying for its ninth bowl game in 10 years. Slotback Gee Gee Greene has been doing it all for the Midshipmen this season. The senior is a big-play threat who averages 7.2 yards per carry and 20 yards per reception. He’s also the team’s leading rusher and receiver.

ABOUT ARMY (2-9): The Black Knights have had a dramatic season full of lows but enjoyed two incredible successes - a 34-31 win over Boston College and a 41-21 victory over Air Force. Army boasts the nation’s top-ranked rushing attack (369.8 yards per game), but stopping opponents has been its downfall this season. Quarterback Trent Steelman will play the final game of his record-setting career on Saturday. The senior has racked up 1,152 yards on the ground – the most in a single season for an Army QB. His 16 rushing TDs are also the most for a QB in a single season in school history.


* Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Under is 5-0 in Navy’s last five December games.


1. Navy will wear helmet stickers in support of freshman quarterback Ralph Montalvo, who was seriously injured in a single-car accident Thanksgiving night in his hometown of Miami.

2. Navy is bound for the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl against Arizona State on Dec. 29 in San Francisco.

3. Army has not claimed the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy since 1996 and has won it just twice in the past 25 years.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, Dec. 8

NCAAF Preview

Winner of this game wins Commander-in-Chief Trophy, which is a huge deal to these teams, but Army is just 2-9, scoring 34-41 points in wins over BC (34-31), Air Force (41-21). Navy won last 10 games vs Army (7-3 vs spread); last time the dog won this game SU was 12 years ago, and they were only underdog by two points. Army outgained Navy last two years, scoring 21-17 points, after scoring total of 6 points in three games from '07-'09. Since '99, single digit favorites are 5-2 vs spread in this rivalry. Navy has won six of last seven games after a 1-3 start, but underdogs covered their last seven games. Middies are 0-4 vs spread as a favorite this year. Under is 7-2 in last nine Navy games, 3-1 in last four Army games. Both teams' most recent game was three weeks ago. Army is 3-5 against the spread as an underdog this season.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, Dec. 8

Navy vs Army Preview

Each and every year, the Navy Midshipmen face off against the Army Black Knights in one of the more anticipated non-bowl games of the college football season. The NCAA football betting experts know that this game has no bearing on the bowl schedule for each team, but that does not prevent this from being one of the more hotly contested games of the season. A lot of fans all over the country tune in to see the annual Army/Navy game, and it is always a fun game to watch.

It is inevitable that one of these two teams will be having a better season than the other. The online betting favorite for this game will be the Navy Midshipmen. It is important to remember that both teams play hard and play with pride in this game and there have been plenty of upsets in past seasons. But the Black Knights have been experiencing problems on both sides of the ball all season long and many of those problems will be exploited by the Midshipmen. This could be one of those days that American pride takes center stage of a football score.

Why Army Will Win

The one thing that Army has going for it is its running game. The sports betting experts have noted that Army has the best running game in the country. That is an extremely impressive statistic considering how many of the top college football teams have effective running game. If the Black Knights could use its running game to win football games, then it would have a better record than 2-9. But there is always a chance that Army will be able to use its running game to keep the opposing offense off the field and win its last game of the season.

Why Navy Will Win

Navy has always been a college football favorite because of its tradition, but the 2012 team has a lot more to offer than that. Navy also has a strong running game, and it also features a very strong defense as well. All the Midshipmen need to do is play its game and this should end in a win for Navy. However, Navy has been known to make a lot of mistakes during a game that has cost it games this season. The team needs focus and it needs to minimize mistakes to come away with the win.

The Bottom Line

The Navy Midshipmen are looking forward to a good performance in the upcoming Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl against Arizona State. This game will be Army’s last game of the season. Many college football fans would love to see Army get one more win before the season comes to an end, but that is not likely happen in this game against Navy.

Pick: Navy

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Saturday, Dec. 8

Army vs. Navy Point Spread, Las Vegas Betting Line and Trends
By: The Linemakers

The Navy Midshipmen (7-4, 4-7 ATS) and Army Black Knights (2-9, 3-8 ATS) meet Saturday afternoon at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia (3:00 p.m. ET, CBS). Here is point spread information and trends analysis from The Linemakers on Sporting News.

Weather: 30 percent chance of showers, with light winds and temperatures in the upper 50s

Line: Navy -6.5, Total: 56

Line movement: The Midshipmen opened as a 9-point favorite, but the line was quickly bet down to under a touchdown at some Vegas shops. There were a couple of books still offering Army plus-7 as of Friday afternoon. The total also has shrunk, dropping three points from its opening number of 59.

Navy is averaging 25.45 points and allowing 23.55 points per game. Army is averaging 25.27 points and surrendering 37 points per game.

The last 10 meetings have averaged 46 points.

Recent meetings:

Dec. 10, 2011: Navy 27, Army 21 (Army +7)

Dec. 11, 2010: Navy 31, Army 17 (Navy -7.5)

Dec. 12, 2009: Navy 17, Army 3 (Army +14.5)

Notable trends:

Navy has won 10 straight games vs. Army, covering the spread seven times during that streak.

Last six meetings have stayed UNDER the total.

Army is 6-22 in their last 28 games following a week off.

Navy is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite.

Black Knights outlook: Army was unable to build off its big win over Boston College in Week 5, but did beat Air Force in early November to move into position to win the Commanders-in-Chief’s Trophy with an upset of Navy. QB Trent Steelman leads the Black Knight’s No. 1-ranked rushing attack. He was hampered by injury last year against Navy and finished with just 62 yards rushing. The biggest concern for Army is its run defense, which ranks 118th in the nation. That is not a good matchup against Navy’s potent ground game that racked 296 yards in last year’s meeting.

Army key injuries:

OL Michael Kime (knee) doubtful

LB Hayden Pierce (collarbone) probable

OL Ben Jebb (ankle) questionable

CB Marques Navy (shoulder) questionable

Midshipmen outlook: Navy found its groove after a 1-3 start. The Midshipmen won six of their last seven, with their only loss coming at Troy. They have wins over Indiana and bowl-bound East Carolina. Freshman quarterback Keenan Reynolds will be making his first start in the Army-Navy game. Head coach Ken Niumatalolo is 2-2 ATS vs. Army in his four seasons.

Navy key injuries:

C Bradyn Heap (leg) out for season

The Linemakers’ take: Motivation is never an issue in this game, but Navy is going bowling, while Army knows it’s playing its final game of the season. It will be interesting to see how Navy’s freshman QB reacts to what is always a raucous environment. The Don Best/Linemakers Power Ratings suggest Navy should be a 9-point favorite, so the line movement is going against the power ratings. Anytime a line moves through a key number, in this case -7, it’s notable.

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