Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

DUNKEL INDEX

LA Clippers at Oklahoma City 
The Thunder look to follow up their 119-109 win over Golden State and build on their 10-3 ATS record in their last 13 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2)

Game 501-502: Toronto at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 113.286; Charlotte 116.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-2); Under

Game 503-504: Detroit at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.485; Orlando 116.791
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 2 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-1); Over

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 116.919; Cleveland 1010.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+4); Under

Game 507-508: New Orleans at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.392; Indiana 122.660
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 9 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 182
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7); Over

Game 509-510: San Antonio at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.413; Boston 121.288
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 188
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Washington at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 112.257; Atlanta 120.160
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Milwaukee at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.048; Miami 126.250
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 207
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.492; Oklahoma City 127.941
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Under

Game 517-518: Chicago at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.699; Houston 121.707
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 5; 185
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 519-520: Denver at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 118.992; Minnesota 113.671
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 521-522: New York at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 125.905; Dallas 116.678
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 9; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: New York (-1 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Portland at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.455; Phoenix 117.745
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: LA Lakers at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.839; Sacramento 116.342
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+5 1/2); Over

Game 527-528: Brooklyn at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.688; Golden State 119.799
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 4; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 2 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-2 1/2); Under

NCAAB

TX-San Antonio at BYU     
The Cougars look to take advantage of a TX-San Antonio team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a winning home record. BYU is the pick (-16) according to Dunkel, which has the Cougars favored by 19. Dunkel Pick: BYU (-16)

Game 529-530: Auburn at Boston College (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 52.282; Boston College 57.866
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-3 1/2)

Game 531-532: NC-Wilmington at Purdue (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 45.447; Purdue 68.076
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 22 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Purdue by 20; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-20); Under

Game 533-534: George Washington at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 53.561; Notre Dame 69.464
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 18
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 16
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-16)

Game 535-536: Miami (OH) at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 49.375; William & Mary 53.920
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 4 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 6 1/2; 125
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+6 1/2); Over

Game 537-538: Princeton at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 56.771; Syracuse 77.551
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 21
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 16
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-16)

Game 539-540: Tulane at Nebraska (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 55.080; Nebraska 52.769
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulane by 1
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-1)

Game 541-542: TX-San Antonio at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 50.008; BYU 68.953
Dunkel Line: BYU by 19
Vegas Line: BYU by 16
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-16)

Game 543-544: Colorado State at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 61.936; Denver 62.093
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Denver by 2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+2)

Game 545-546: San Diego at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 54.077; UC-Santa Barbara 54.911
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 1
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 3
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3)

Game 547-548: Monmouth vs. Tennessee State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 51.445; Tennessee State 54.574
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 3
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (+5 1/2)

Game 549-550: South Alabama at Georgia State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 53.496; Georgia State 53.591
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+2 1/2)

Game 551-552: Howard vs. Western Carolina (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 41.619; Western Carolina 51.487
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 10
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 9
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-9)

Game 553-554: Austin Peay vs. Gardner-Webb (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 47.182; Gardner-Webb 51.836
Dunkel Line: Gardner-Webb by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Gardner-Webb by 5
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+5)

Game 555-556: DePaul vs. Western Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 59.695; Western Kentucky 54.614
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 5; 148
Vegas Line: DePaul by 3; 153
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-3); Under

Game 557-558: Wichita State vs. Iowa (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 68.330; Iowa 63.804
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 4 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-2); Under

Game 559-560: Mississippi State vs. Texas (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 49.697; Texas 63.911
Dunkel Line: Texas by 14; 132
Vegas Line: Texas by 12; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-12); Over

Game 561-562: Marquette vs. USC (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 67.104; USC 54.459
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Marquette by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-5 1/2)

Game 563-564: North Carolina vs. Chaminade (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 74.417; Chaminade 49.159
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 565-566: Butler vs. Illinois (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 62.653; Illinois 65.638
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 3; 128
Vegas Line: Illinois by 1 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-1 1/2); Under

Game 567-568: North Dakota State vs. James Madison (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 55.217; James Madison 48.001
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 7
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 5
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-5)

Game 569-570: Youngstown State at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 55.175; Duquesne 53.314
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State

Game 571-572: Southern Mississippi vs. Liberty (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 58.341; Liberty 42.451
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 16
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 14
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-14)

Game 573-574: UC-Irvine vs. Sam Houston State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 55.429; Sam Houston State 46.018
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-7 1/2)

Game 585-586: Belmont at Alaska-Anchorage (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 68.400; Alaska-Anchorage 48.403
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 20; 136
Vegas Line: Belmont by 17 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (-17 1/2); Under

Game 587-588: Samford at Toledo (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 47.255; Toledo 49.757
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 2 1/2;
Vegas Line: Toledo by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+5 1/2)

Game 589-590: Elon at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 48.960; South Carolina 62.217
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 8
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-8)

Game 591-592: Hofstra at Manhattan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 48.966; Manhattan 58.685
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 7
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-7)

Game 593-594: Morehead State at Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 53.292; Kentucky 81.215
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 28
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 24
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-24)

Game 595-596: Rider at SMU (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 51.464; SMU 60.462
Dunkel Line: SMU by 9
Vegas Line: SMU by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-7 1/2)

Game 597-598: Wyoming at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.676; Northern Colorado 50.813
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 7
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+1)

Game 599-600: Montana State at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.813; Air Force 59.003
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 15
Vegas Line: Air Force by 13
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-13)

Game 601-602: Portland State at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 5.392; Portland 46.671
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+3 1/2)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

David Chan
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Detroit vs. Orlando
Pick: Detroit
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This is a revenge game for Detroit after losing 110-106 to Orlando on Friday. The Pistons though are coming off a 103-83 win over the Celtics on Sunday. Detroit would hold the C's to 4 of 17 from behind the arc.
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The Pistons also shot a season-high 54.2% from the floor. Greg Monroe led the charge with 20 points and 13 boards.
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Already 2-1 ATS this year vs. poor offensive teams that score 91 points or less, note that Detroit is in fact 11-5 ATS in the same position over the last two.
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Orlando has gone just 1-6 in its last seven, averaging under 78 PPG, and under 40% shooting from the floor.
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The Magic lost 81-72 to Atlanta on Monday.
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Glen Davis had 11 points and was the only player to score in double figures.
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JJ Redick and Jameer Nelson combined for 10 points.
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Already 1-2 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or less, note that Orlando is just 17-22 ATS in the same position over the last two.
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These two teams are moving in opposite directions, and the visitors are looking to atone for last week's lacklustre effort. Consider a second look at Detroit in this one!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Dave Cokin
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Elon VS South Carolina
Pick: Elon
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Elon is very experienced this year, and this is an under the radar team that could make noise in the Southern Conference this season. South Carolina is 3-0, but the Gamecocks are not good and could well end up the worst team in the SEC. Roadies with a real shot to win this. Elon plus the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Greg Daraban
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San Antonio Spurs AT Boston Celtics
Pick: San Antonio Spurs
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San Antonio 8-3 510 Boston 6-5 Both teams have drooped their last 2 of 3 games. The Spurs have been gold on the road 4-1. Must also respect HC Poppavich would can be a master motovater. San Antonion wisn on the road.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Jim Feist
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Brooklyn Nets AT Golden State Warriors
Pick: Golden State Warriors
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A long road trip for Brooklyn continues out West, 3,000 miles from home. The Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. This is a difficult situational handicapping spot for the Nets, playing the second of a back to back road spot. Uptempo Golden State is rested and loves to run at opponents averaging 98.5 ppg (12th in the NBA). The Warriors are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. And the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play the Warriors!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Frank Jordan
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Princeton vs. Syracuse
Play: Syracuse   
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Princeton is just 1-2 on the season, but that lone win was on the road as they head to Syracuse. The Orange are the number six team in the country with a 2-0 record and in their first home win was by 31 points over Wagner. Syracuse is scoring an average of 75 points per game as they host Princeton who is scoring just 58 points per game. Look for Syracuse to have a field day with Princeton as they tame the Tigers to the tune of a 20 point win. Play Syracuse

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

DAVID BANKS

Los Angeles Clippers +4.5

The points may be worth taking when two hot teams get together on ESPN Wednesday night, as the Los Angeles Clippers (8-2, 8-2 ATS) pay a visit to the Oklahoma City Thunder (8-3, 6-4-1 ATS) at Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City, OK at 7:30 ET. The Clippers are tied with the Memphis Grizzlies for the best record in the Western Conference thanks to their current six-game winning streak both straight up and ATS, while the defending Western Conference Champion Thunder are on a 7-1 straight up run.

In fact, a case can be made that the Clippers are playing the best basketball in the NBA through 10 games when you consider that they rank second in the league in field goal percentage offensively at 49.2 percent and also second in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed defensively at 41.9 percent, translating to an excellent average winning margin of +8.9 points per game. And it is not as if the Clippers' six-game winning streak has come vs. a bunch of cream puffs either, as they beat the Spurs twice including a win at San Antonio in their last game Monday as well as the Trail Blazers on the road and the Heat, Bulls and Hawks at home. Los Angeles has been extremely well balanced offensively with five players averaging double-digits, led by Jamal Crawford (19.7 points per game), Blake Griffin (17.2) and Chris Paul (16.3), and the Clips also boast the NBA leader in field goal percentage in center DeAndre Jordan at an amazing 68.1 percent (47-for-69).

The Thunder traded away one member of last year's Big Three when they shipped James Harden to the Houston Rockets just a few days before this season started, but apparently that has not affected their play too much. One key reason for that is because the key recipient in that trade, Kevin Martin, is third on the club in scoring at 17.6 points per game while filling Harden's sixth man role off the bench. Naturally, the two leading scorers are the usual suspects, Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. It has also helped that defensive specialist Serge Ibaka has been more consistent on the offensive end this year averaging 14.6 points. However, while the Thunder are 8-3, they are only 1-3 vs. teams that are currently over .500 with the lone win coming vs. a 5-4 Golden State team that does not figure to be over .500 by year's end. Also, while these teams have been just about equal offensively with Oklahoma City averaging 101.7 points and the Clippers averaging 101.5, the Clippers are allowing nearly three points per game less defensively at 92.6 points compared to 95.2 Interestingly, Los Angeles is a perfect 3-0 straight up on the road while two of Oklahoma City's three losses have come here at home.

The Clippers are a blistering 12-3 ATS in the last 15 head-to-head meetings in Oklahoma, and they are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings overall regardless of the venue.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

SPORTS WAGERS
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CHARLOTTE -2 -105 over Toronto
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The Raptors are in the upper half of the league in several defensive categories and they’ve been very good at minimizing turnovers, ranking second in the league at 13.5 per game. Despite a 3-8 record, there are many things to like about Toronto, which is going to provide opportunities down the road but this is not one of them. For starters, the Raps will play their fourth game in five days and tail end of back-to-backs after a difficult loss in Philly last night, where Toronto was leading for the first 42 minutes of the game. That had to take some steam out of them. The Raps have just one road win all season (1-5) and it came in Orlando.
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The Bobcats were 7-59 a year ago and have almost matched that already with five wins this year. Despite the vast improvement, Charlotte remains undervalued because the oddsmakers and/or public are not buying it. We are. They’re coming off a solid win over the Bucks, they’ve won four of five with sole loss coming against the 8-2 Grizzlies and they’re 4-2 at home. The ‘Cats are rested, feeling confident and know they have to win games like this to validate their early season success. A largely favorable scheduling spot helps to ensure that happens.
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BOSTON +109 over San Antonio
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The Celtics are just 6-5 on the year but this is still a quality club that is adjusting to some new personnel and that is going to gain steam as the season progresses. Boston is coming off an embarrassing 20-point loss to the Pistons and a response to that likely comes here.
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The Spurs have some issues right now that can’t be compensated for overnight. The Spurs were already down one starting small forward before they even walked into the AT&T Center on Monday night. 11 minutes into the game against the Clippers, they lost another one. So depleted were the Spurs that, with the game on the line, they turned to a shooter (Gary Neal) with a sliced finger playing for the first time in nearly a week. With small forwards Kawhi Leonard and Stephen Jackson out with injury, the team has called up James Anderson from the Development League. Should they be favored in Boston? Perhaps, but it doesn’t mean they should win in their current situation.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

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Golden State Warriors - over Brooklyn NetsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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After coming up short in last night's big game with the Lakers, the Nets could be in a tough spot on Wednesday, playing a surging Warriors team. This is the third consecutive road game on the west coast for Brooklyn, playing a third game in four days and while Golden State is also playing a third game in four days being at home and having yesterday off greatly aides the situation. The Warriors are a solid 6-5 on the season with four road wins as this will be just the fifth home game for Golden State on the season. This Warriors team has wins over the Clippers, Hawks, Wolves, and Mavericks so there has been quality in the schedule. Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson have emerged as potential stars in the league and there have been great contributions from the young players on this team with Festus Ezeli, Harrison Barnes, and Draymond Green all making positive contributions. Barnes had an excellent game in the win over Dallas on Monday and this is a team that still has several proven veterans to balance things out led by Carl Landry, Jarrett Jack, Andris Biedrins, and not forgetting David Lee and his consistent dominance on the boards. The Nets won both meetings between these teams last season but Golden State looks like a team on the rise. The Nets have played a weak early season schedule and while Brooklyn is allowing less than 93 points per game, they are surrendering nearly 46 percent shooting. Golden State plays a faster pace and allows more shots but the Warriors are allowing less than 43 percent shooting. The Warriors should have an edge in rebounding in this situation and Brooklyn may be out of gas in this tough travel spot before the holiday.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers
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The simulator shows a high probability that the 76ers will win this game by seven or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-19 ATS for 72% winners since 2006. Play on road favorites after two consecutive covers as a favorite and is a tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days. Of the 67 games played, 31 of them or 46%, covered the spread by seven or more points. 76er head coach Collins is a defensive minded leader. This is not surprising given the teams he played for in philadelphia as a pro. The 76ers rank fourth in the NBA allowing just 90.8 PPG and fourth allowing 36.5 points in the paint. Cleveland ranks 20th scoring 95.7 PPG and 18th scoring 40.2 points in the paint. The 76er defense will force Cleveland into perimeter shooting and then use missed shots to score on fast break scoring opportunities. The 76ers rank 11th averaging 15.2 fast break points per game. The 76ers are a vastly better ball handling team. The 76ers rank seventh with a 1.587 assist-to-turnover ratio while Cleveland is a dismal 28th posting a 1.201 assist-to-turnover ratio. The 76ers are the better team period.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

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New York Knicks -2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We were all set to release the Knicks as a play this morning at -1 but with the game now at 2 1/2 to 3 we had to downgrade it to a free selection. New York is playing terrific ball and although they are playing in the second game of a back to back situation, they had plenty of time to rest regulars yesterday.  Dallas got off to a fast start this year playing teams trying to gel, but as of late it's becoming clear that Dallas has serious concerns. They don't match up very well with New York and even at this current number the line looks cheap.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Washington Wizards +10
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The Wizards are 0-9 and are being undervalued here because of it. Consider that road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check into a game with 8 consecutive losses or more are 91-49 ATS since 1996. These teams have lost by an average of only 4.4 points in these games. It is also worth noting that this system 9-3 ATS the last three seasons.
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The time to fade Atlanta is now. The Hawks have rattled off back-to-back wins but are on a 17-33 ATS slide in games following 2 or more consecutive victories. They have actually lost by an average of 2.3 points in this situation.
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The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and have especially been a poor investment at home early in the season. They are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 November home games.
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The Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Jordan Runco
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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder    
Play: Los Angeles Clippers
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This should be an outstanding game. The Clippers (8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS) are coming off a 92-87 win over San Antonio on Monday getting 4.5, while Oklahoma City (8-3 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) is coming off a 119-109 win over Golden State on Sunday. The Clippers visit the Chesapeake Energy Arena to take on the Thunder at 7:30pmET.
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ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Thunder as a 4.5-point favorite over the Clippers. The total is 199.5 in most books.
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LINE MOVEMENT: The Thunder opened as a 4.5-point favorite and remained there in most books. The total opened at 199.5 and remained there in most books.
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NBA FREE PICK: Take the Clippers over the Thunder. According to the latest trends: Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, 12-3 ATS L15 on the road in series, Dog is 5-1 ATS L6 in series, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
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The Clippers have the third-highest scoring team in the NBA, so they don't mind getting out and running against the Thunder. Okc has struggled this year against quality teams, losing to Memphis by 10 at home and Atlanta at home, so they aren't quite as invincible at home. For the Clippers, the addition of Jamal Crawford has really helped their bench. He leads the team averaging 19.7ppg, while Chris Paul adds 16.3ppg and 10apg as one of the top point guards in the game. The Clippers have won six in a row and are the hotter team right now.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

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Washington at Atlanta
Pick: Washington +10
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The Washington Wizards are the last team in the league. They’re once again in familiar territory when it comes to finding the win column, as they are 0-9 entering tonight's contest in Atlanta. All that does is prop-up the number here beyond what is reasonable. After all, what gambler wants any part of a team that has failed to win a single game? I guess I'm in the minority because nearly two-thirds of the public has dropped cash on the home-standing Hawks at 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. such teams. Atlanta misses Joe Johnson who was not only their leading scorer a year ago but a stat stuffer, contributing in many ways. The Hawks have been in the 80s in five of their last seven games, and I don't see their pedal going to the medal against the 0-9 Wizards. Washington has lost six games by 7 points or less, and are 6-2 ATS on the road. They’re not getting blown out in games. The Hawks are disinterested at home vs. a team with a losing road record, at 0-5 ATS in their last five. Also, under head coach Larry Drew, the Hawks are 17-33 ATS after back-to-back wins. Take the points and play on Washington.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

John Ryan

Miami (Ohio) at William & Mary
Prediction: Miami (Ohio)

The simulator shows a high probability that Miami will lose this game by four or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 47-15 ATS mark for 76% winners since 2006. Play against home teams as a favorite or pick that is a solid offensive team scoring between 74 and 78 PPG) and is now facing a struggling offensive team scoring <=63 PPG and after a game scoring 80 points or more. W&M may be off to a perfect 3-0 start, but with all due respect to their opponents they have not faced a true test on the court. In their last game they defeated High Point 83-61. Moreover, the level of competition has led lines makers to not even post a line for their first three games. Contrasting this padded schedule, Miami has played at NC State and at Louisville getting slammed in both and not covering the dog spread. However, just the experience the team has gained by playing against those two elite programs will make them a better basketball team. As coaches love to say, ?You only get better playing against better competition? and this will be a major factor tonight. Miami head coach Cooper is a solid 13-4 ATS in road games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997. Take Miami (Ohio).

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Rob Vinciletti

Chicago Bulls vs. Houston Rockets
Play: Chicago Bulls

Chicago will lok to bounce back here tonight and we have a nice system that pertains to the Bulls and all rested road teams in theis point spread range that scored 90 or more as a road dog of 4 or less and shot 45% or higher, vs an opponent that scored 90 or more as a road dog of 5 or more and shot less than 45%. These road teams are 10-2. The Bulls are alos 12-0 ats on the road off a los when Joaquim Noah had 10+ points and 10+ rebounds in their last game. Look for Chicago to take down Houston tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Steve Janus

San Antonio Spurs -1½

The Celtics simply haven't played all that well early this season and I can't see them beating the Spurs even on their home floor tonight. Boston's beat the Wizards twice, Bucks, Bulls, Jazz and Raptors. Only Milwaukee has a winning record right now.

The Spurs have lost three games all season and they came against the likes of the Clippers (twice) and Knicks. Two elite teams that are playing some exceptional basketball right now. San Antonio will be extremely motivated in this one, as they just lost at home to the Clippers on Monday. The Spurs are a perfect 2-0 following a loss this season with an 11-point win at Sacramento and 26-point home win over the Nuggets.

San Antonio is an impressive 20-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last two seasons!

Even when Boston is playing well they have struggled against opponents from the Western Conference's Southwest division. Under head coach Doc River's they are 12-27 ATS in home games vs the Southwest.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Jack Jones

Charlotte Bobcats -2½

The Charlotte Bobcats are clearly undervalued in the early going this season. They have made some great improvements to their roster, which is the biggest reason they are sitting above .500 at 5-4 right now. Also, head coach Mike Dunlap is proving to be the perfect fit.

The Bobcats brought in Ramon Sessions (16.6 PPG, 4.2 APG), Ben Gordon (13.0 PPG), Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (11.7 PPG, 1.6 BPG, 7.2 RPG) and Brendan Haywood (7.2 PPG, 8.0 RPG) this offseason. All four players have made significant contributions, especially Sessions, who has given the bench a huge scoring boost.

The Raptors are in an extremely difficult spot here. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days. They started showing signs of wearing down last night by getting outscored 33-18 in the 4th quarter to lose 98-106. That loss dropped them to 1-5 on the road this season.

Charlotte is 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in its last 7 meetings with Toronto. This is certainly one of the few teams it has owned over the last couple years. The Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Bet the Bobcats Wednesday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Scott Delaney

Let's get Thanksgiving going with this easy winner!!!

This should be a no-brainer guys, as I trust Brandon Davies and Tyler Haws to lead the Cougars to an easy double-digit win over visiting Texas-San Antonio.

Let's not get caught up in UTSA's 3-1 start. It's played Morgan State, Holy Cross, Old Dominion and USC Upstate. Maybe - maybe - Old Dominion is the one impressive win. Make note, the Roadrunners are 0-3 all-time in games played in the state of Utah. And sure, the last time the program visited was in 2009, but it still tells me that coming from the Southwest, they can't adjust to the altitude.

Haws has opened the 2012-13 season with four-consecutive 20-point games, the longest streak of 20-point games since 2010-11 when Jimmer Fredette ended the season with 22-straight 20-point games, while Davies, who was named preseason All-West Coast Conference and to the Wooden Award Preseason Top 50, has scored in double figures in 11 consecutive games dating back to last season.

And the fact the Cougars are coming into this one after consecutive regular season losses for the first time since the 2008-09 season, and the Cougars have never lost three-straight with coach Dave Rose at the helm, leads me to believe the Roadrunners are in big trouble tonight.

The Cougars just lost to No. 20 Notre Dame in a battle of Mormons and Catholics, as the Irish rallied in the second half to win, 78-68, in the consolation game of the Acura Coaches vs. Cancer Classic last Saturday in Brooklyn, N.Y. Early in the second half BYU put together a 13-2 run that gave the Cougars their largest lead of the night at 47-40 with 14:45 to play. So they know what they're capable of. And tonight I think they'll put it all together inside the Marriott Center, where the Cougs are on a 5-2 ATS streak.

Lay the chalk.

3♦ BRIGHAM YOUNG

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday November, 21

Chuck O'Brien

So far, so good. The Colorado State Rams are under the direction of new head coach Larry Eustachy, and haven't looked too shabby with their 2-0 start to the season. Of course, it hasn't hurt one bit they return an experienced roster with seven letterwinners from last year's team. And with them came talented newcomers, including Division I transfers Colton Iverson (Minnesota) and Daniel Bejarano (Arizona) who sat out 2011-12 per NCAA transfer rules.

This was a team picked to finish fourth in the stacked Mountain West Conference - behind San Diego State, UNLV and New Mexico. Coming into tonight's game contest in Denver, the Rams are receiving two votes in the ESPN/USA Today Coaches Top-25 rankings.

Point blank - this is a good basketball team.

I'm not surprised, as the Rams closed the 2011-12 season ranking as one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country. The Rams led the Mountain West in field-goal percentage (.471), three-point percentage (.400) and free-throw percentage (.768). And from what I can see, they've rolled the momentum over to this season.

And you're going to let me take points against a Denver Pioneers team that comes in with a 1-2 mark after losing to California, 72-61, in its latest outing. Yes, the Pioneers return four of their top-five scorers from last season’s team that won a school-record 22 D-I games, but I still don't think they have what it takes to man up against the Rams.

Sure this is a rivalry, and you can use that excuse. But if you can say it in Denver's defense, why can't you say it in Colorado State's defense? And make note, the Rams’ returners have played a combined 14 games versus the Pioneers in their careers.

I'm looking for CSU which  to extend its winning streak over the Pioneers to four games and eight out of the last ten meetings. Take the road pup, as the underdog is on a 5-2 ATS run in this series.

4♦ COLORADO STATE

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