Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

DUNKEL INDEX

Detroit at San Francisco
The Tigers look to build on their 20-6 record in Justin Verlander's last 26 starts as a road favorite of -150 to -200. Detroit is the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170)

Game 901-902: Detroit at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 18.443; San Francisco (Zito) 17.543
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Jim Feist

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies
Pick: Memphis Grizzlies

The Memphis Grizzlies have home court and are well rested having not played since Saturday. This is actually their first home game in a while having played the last three on the road. They've only played one home game so far and put 110 points on Atlanta, by far their biggest offensive show of the preseason. They take on a rebuilding Orlando team that is 2-4 in preseason and winless away from home. Their last road game they lost 112-86 at Detroit, so watch young Memphis run right at them and put on an offensive show. Play the Grizzlies!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Dave Cokin

Tigers vs Giants
Pick: Over

Justin Verlander is probably going to be very tough here, but I'm not so sold on Barry Zito handling the Tigers. I'll look for just enough runs to get this game Over the Total.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Totals 4 You

2012 World Series Super Total of the Year
Detroit/San Francisco Under 6.5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Platinum Plays

400K World Series Lock
the Detroit Tigers -165
Detroit/San Francisco Under 6½

PREMIER PICK
Detroit Tigers -170 To Win The World Series

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Insider Sports Report

4* Detroit -160

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

401 K Sports

Detroit 1st 5 inn -½ -120 over San Francisco

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

SPORTS WAGERS

SAN FRANCISCO +151 over Detroit

The Tigers are such big favorites here because Justin Verlander starts Games 1 and 5. Verlander has been excellent this postseason but he got hit pretty hard in last year’s playoffs. It’s awhile back but he wasn’t very good back in the 2006 postseason either.  His career playoff ERA of 3.80 is notable.

The Tigers were able to dispose of the light-hitting  A’s in five games before taking on a Yankees team that looked tired and old. Both Oakland and New York struck out an average of 23% of the time in this year's postseason for one of the worst marks in history. The Giants’ bats won’t be as ineffective. San Fran puts the ball in play (ranked 3rd in MLB) and they were in the bottom third in baseball in strikeout rate. The Tigers defense hasn’t been tested in the playoffs, specifically the two corners where Miguel Cabrera and Price Fielder could prove to be liabilities. Defensively, we give a significant edge to San Fran.

The Tigers have a stronger starting rotation but after that, things begin to even out. Detroit’s bullpen, led by Phil Coke, could turn you into a chain-smoker. Of the 492 pitchers who threw at least 10 innings versus RHBs, Coke ranked 491st in batting average allowed, 489th in on-base percentage allowed and 482nd in slugging percentage allowed. While Coke played a vital role in the Tigers' win against New York, the Giants are a much tougher matchup.

In the end, Detroit could certainly win this series but this line is more reflective of a mismatch when in fact it is not. The Giants are at least Detroit’s equal and the value is just too good to ignore.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Paul Leiner

100* Tigers / Giants Over 6.5

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Seabass

200* Detroit to win World Series

50* Detroit -1½

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Trace Adams

500♦ San Francisco Giants +150

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Bob Balfe

Detroit Tigers -165

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Keith Fredrick

Giants +1½

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Mike Jacobs

Detroit / San Francisco Under  7

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Larry Ness

Tigers

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

Charlies Sports

500* Detroit/ San Francisco Over 6

SF Giants - Series play +150

NY Knicks +4

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday October, 24

OC Dooley

Tigers -165

It was six years ago when Detroit last reached the World Series and had to sit for nearly a solid week before taking the field.  Most reading this analysis remember the 2006 fall classic where Detroit was basically wiped out by St. Louis.  Once again the Tigers have had extended time off prior to participating in baseball’s main stage and this time they stayed active.  While working on “small ball” like bunting all Tigers personnel were on the field against the organization’s instructional league squad.  Even though they do not have home field advantage Detroit has been cast as a prohibitive favorite both for tonight’s opener and the entire series due to arguabl y the best starting pitcher in the game.  I will admit that Justin Verlander actually struggled at times on the road, but there is no discounting his postseason ERA (0.47) which is SUB-ONE and he has racked up 25 different strikeout victims along the way.  The Tigers became only the fourth team ever to never trail in an American League Championship series as the pitching held a potent Yankees lineup to a combined .152 average.  It is remarkable that San Francisco has once again reached the “main stage” considering that their closer (Brian Wilson) and top hitter (Melky Cabrera) are sidelined while a two-time Cy Young award winner (Tim Lincecum) has for the most part operated out of the bullpen once the postseason began.  Since the Giants have won 6 consecutive “elimination” games, one can argue that they are actually in a negative position this evening as their collective backs are NOT to the wall.  Here is a 66-PERCENT SYSTEM (31-16 past five years) which plays ON teams like Detroit following a win by 4+ runs in margin, going up against an opponent who is coming off a rout of 8+ runs in margin.  That system favors Detroit’s Justin Verlander who is on a massive 40-10 roll when cast as a large favorite of 150-or-more

Blade
useravatar
Offline
224985 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45949
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
291038
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.2
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3774
Newest User:
John
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2591

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com