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NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 10/18

NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 10/18

SEATTLE (4 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 2) - 10/18/2012, 8:20 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Seattle is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
San Francisco is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Seattle at San Francisco
Seattle: 6-0 Over as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
San Francisco: 7-0 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 10/18

NFL: Streaks, Trends, Notes 

Seattle at San Francisco

Suffering it's most lopsided loss in two seasons the 49ers' try to avoid another clunker against Seahawks brimming with confidence after it's remarkable come-from-behind toppling of the Brady Bunch in Seattle this past Sunday. Humbled by the Giants but expected to bounce back the betting market has 49ers' pegged 7-point favorites. A lot of lumber to be laying considering 'Dogs' have been biting all season including a dominating performance in week-six posting a cash stuffing 12-2 mark at the betting window. Certainly makes picking Seahawks a tempting proposition. However, before jumping in with both feet here's food for thought. 49ers' have responded well following a 21 point loss in the Jim Harbaugh era (3-1 ATS) and the 49ers' are a profitable 13-5 ATS as home favorites under his guidance. Seahawks not exactly road warriors recording a 4-11 (5-9-1 ATS) mark last 15 away are on a 1-5 ATS road skid vs a division opponent. One last tid-bit, 49ers' have a 6-2 ATS streak going laying 6.5 to 10.0 points, Seahawks are on a 2-6 ATS slide taking the equivalent number.

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Re: NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday 10/18

NFL Week 7

Seahawks (4-2) @ 49ers (4-2) — No love lost between HCs since they were Pac-10 rivals; Harbaugh’s Stanford team once beat Carroll’s USC squad as 41-point underdogs, but he is favored here, coming off 26-3 loss to Giants, his first non-cover (10-1) as home favorite with 49ers, whose four wins are all by 8+ points. Underdog is 6-0 vs spread in Seattle games this year, with five of six games decided by 6 or less points; Hawks were favored in two of three road games- they’ve scored only 15 ppg in three road tilts (1-2, with losses by 4-6 points). 49ers are 16-4-2 vs spread in game following their last 22 losses. Two SF losses came in games where they were minus in turnovers; they were -3 last week, are +2 for years, +30 in 22 regular season games under Harbaugh. Seattle has turned ball over eight times (-4) in three road games. Keep in mind NFC underdogs are 32-5 vs spread this year, 4-1 as divisional road dogs.

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Seahawks at 49ers
By Brian Edwards

For several years, the NFC West has been considered one of the weakest division in the NFL. In 2012, that’s no longer the case.

There’s a three-way tie for first place in the loop with Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona sporting 4-2 records, while St. Louis is just one game back with a 3-3 ledger.

On Thursday at Candlestick Park, the 49ers will take on the Seahawks as seven-point home favorites at most betting shops. As of Wednesday afternoon, the total was 37 ½ for ‘over/under’ wagers. Gamblers can take Seattle (4-2 straight up, against the spread) on the money line for a plus-260 return (risk $100 to win $260).

Pete Carroll’s team pulled out another comeback win over an elite team at home last week. Rookie quarterback Russell Wilson threw a pair of touchdown passes in the final seven minutes to lead the Seahawks to a 24-23 victory over New England as 3½-point home underdogs.
Wilson found Braylon Edwards for a 10-yard scoring strike to cut the deficit to 23-17 midway through the final stanza. Then with 1:18 remaining, Wilson hit Sidney Rice with a perfectly-thrown post pattern for a 46-yard touchdown pass with 77 ticks left.

Wilson completed 16-of-27 passes for 293 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. For the season, the Wisconsin product has connected on 62.5 percent of his throws for 1,108 yards with an 8/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

Marshawn Lynch leads the Seahawks in rushing with 549 yards and two TDs, averaging 4.3 yards per carry.

San Francisco (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) will be looking to bounce back from its worst performance of the season, a 26-3 loss against the Giants as a seven-point home favorite. Alex Smith threw three interceptions and may have been bothered by the injury to the middle finger on his throwing hand suffered the previous week.

The 49ers lead the NFL in rushing with an average of 176.5 yards per game, but the G-Men held them to just 70 yards on the ground.

The loss dropped Jim Harbaugh’s team to 2-1 both SU and ATS at home.

Smith has completed 67.7 percent of his passes for 1,287 yards with an 8/4 TD-INT ratio. Vernon Davis has 23 catches for 340 yards and four TDs. Frank Gore leads the 49ers in rushing with 468 yards and four TDs, averaging 5.3 YPC.

San Francisco leads the NFL in total defense and is third in scoring defense, surrendering only 15.7 points per game. Seattle is fourth in total defense and second in scoring defense, allowing just 15.5 PPG.

Seattle has a 1-2 record both SU and ATS on the road this year. As a road underdog during Carroll’s three-year tenure, the Seahawks own a 7-7-2 spread record.

The 49ers were 9-0 ATS as home favorites on Harbaugh’s watch until last week’s outright loss and non-cover against the G-Men.

San Francisco OT Joe Staley (concussion) and back-up RB Brandon Jacobs (knee) are ‘questionable,’ while Seattle has a pair of defensive tackles (Jaye Howard and Clinton McDonald) that are question marks. Staley was on the practice field Tuesday but wore a non-contact jersey.

The ‘under’ is 5-1 overall for Seattle, 3-0 in its road assignments. The ‘under’ is 3-2-1 overall for San Francisco, 1-1-1 in its home games.

San Francisco has won three in a row over Seattle both SU and ATS, including a 33-17 home win and a 19-17 triumph on the road last year. The ‘over’ is 2-1-1 in the last four head-to-head meetings.

The NFL Network will provide television coverage at 8:25 p.m. Eastern. The weather forecast calls for fair skies with temperatures in the 60s and winds of 10-15 miles per hour.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets

San Francisco WR Randy Moss has made 11 receptions for 174 yards and one TD this year.

Arizona QB Kevin Kolb is ‘out’ indefinitely with a sprained SC joint and cartilage damage to his ribs. The veteran signal caller led the Cardinals to a 4-0 start, but he has been sacked 22 times in the last three games. Kolb, who has an 8/3 TD-INT ratio, is expected to miss at least 2-3 games. John Skelton, who won the starting job in training camp only to suffer a sprained ankle in the season opener, will replace Kolb on Sunday at Minnesota. Skelton completed only 2-of-10 passes for 45 yards after replacing Kolb in last week’s 19-16 loss to Buffalo. He threw a costly interception in overtime that led to the Bills’ game-winning field goal.

Atlanta is the NFL’s only undefeated team left after winning a 23-20 decision over Oakland thanks to Matt Bryant’s 55-yard field goal on the next-to-last play of the game. The Falcons, who are now 29-4 in 33 home games started by QB Matt Ryan, have an open date this week.

There are four home underdogs on the Week 7 card. They are the Rams (+5.5 vs. Green Bay), Buccaneers (+3 vs. New Orleans), Panthers (+2 vs. Dallas) and Bengals (+2.5 vs. Pittsburgh).

Highest total on the board: 50 for the Redskins at Giants.

St. Louis owns the NFL’s best spread record at 5-1. The Bears and Bucs are both 4-1 versus the number.

Detroit and Pittsburgh have the NFL’s worst spread records at 1-4.

The ‘over’ is an NFL best 5-1 for the Redskins.

The ‘under’ is an NFL-best 5-1 for both the Seahawks and Cardinals.

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Thursday Night Football: Seahawks at 49ers

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5, 37.5)

Week 7 kicks off Thursday night with a big NFC West showdown between the visiting Seattle Seahawks and the San Francisco 49ers.

Seattle is coming off an unlikely 24-23 comeback victory at home over New England in which it scored 14 points over the final 7:21 of the fourth quarter. Rookie Russell Wilson upstaged a 395-yard passing performance from Tom Brady by throwing late touchdown passes to Braylon Edwards and Sidney Rice, the latter coming with 1:18 remaining.

San Francisco is hoping to bounce back from a dismal 26-3 home loss to the New York Giants. The 49ers, who outscored their opponents 79-3 in their previous two games, took the lead against New York before allowing 26 unanswered points. They are in danger of losing consecutive contests for the first time under coach Jim Harbaugh, who guided them to a 13-3 record last season - his first with the team.

LINE: The 49ers opened as high as 9-point home favorites but have been bet down to -7 with action on the Seahawks. The total has also moved, going from 39.5 to 37.5 points.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies in the Bay Area, with temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds are expected to blow WSW at 6 mph.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS): Wilson was the first rookie quarterback in the NFL to overcome a 13-point deficit in the fourth quarter since Tennessee's Vince Young, who accomplished the feat in 2006 against the Giants. Wilson has defeated Brady, Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers and Dallas' Tony Romo already this season. Jon Ryan averaged 60.0 yards on four punts Sunday, becoming just the third punter in history to average at least 60 yards on a minimum of four punts and first since Detroit's Bob Cifers, who had a 61.75 average on Nov. 24, 1946. Running back Marshawn Lynch gained only 41 yards on the ground, his lowest total since running for 24 yards against Cincinnati on Week 8 last season.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS): Quarterback Alex Smith, who also was sacked four times, threw three interceptions in Sunday's loss to the Giants. It was the seventh time in his career and first since Dec. 20, 2009, against Philadelphia that the former No. 1 overall pick was picked off three times. Tackle Joe Staley left Sunday's game in the third quarter with a concussion. New York's Ahmad Bradshaw rushed for 116 yards, becoming the first opponent to eclipse the 100-yard mark in San Francisco in 22 games. He also recorded the first rushing touchdown allowed by the 49ers in 14 contests. After recording seven first downs in the opening quarter on Sunday, the 49ers notched a total of seven over the final three periods. Thursday's contest is San Francisco's first divisional game of the season.


* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in San Francisco.
* Seahawks are 18-37-2 ATS in their last 57 road games.
* 49ers are 21-8-3 ATS in their last 32 home games.


1. 49ers WR Randy Moss became the fourth receiver in NFL history to reach the 15,000-yard mark, joining Jerry Rice (22,895), Terrell Owens (15,934) and Isaac Bruce (15,208). Moss enters Thursday with 15,032 yards.

2. Seattle's top-ranked defense allowed a season-high 475 yards Sunday. None of its first five opponents eclipsed 300 yards.

3. San Francisco K David Akers has kicked a field goal in a franchise-record 22 consecutive games.

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Seahawks vs. 49ers point spread, Vegas lines and trends
By: The Linemakers

The Seattle Seahawks (4-2) and San Francisco 49ers (4-2) meet Thursday night at Candlestick Park (8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network). Here is point spread information and trends analysis from The Linemakers on Sporting News. For all of NFL Week 7 lines, visit our live odds page.

Line: 49ers -7, 37.5

Line movement: The 49ers opened as 8.5-point favorites Sunday night, but Seahawks money pushed the game to -7 immediately, where it’s stayed ever since. The total hasn’t moved, either.

Weather: 60 degrees, clear

Series trends - StatFox Six Pack:

SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last two seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS in home lined games over the last two seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last three seasons.

SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS as an underdog over the last two seasons.

SEATTLE is 26-49 ATS in October games since 1992.

SEATTLE is 13-2 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.

Series history – Last 5 seasons:

SAN FRANCISCO is 4-6 ATS (5-5 SU) vs. SEATTLE (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.)

Seahawks outlook: Seattle stunned New England last week with a 46-yard pass from Russell Wilson to Sidney Rice with less than two minutes to play for the winning score. Wilson had the best day of his young career, finishing 16-of-27 for 293 yards, and has now beaten the likes of star quarterbacks Tom Brady, Tony Romo, Aaron Rodgers and Cam Newton this season. Seattle's only blemish vs. the Patriots was that its defense gave up a season-high 475 yards after not allowing any of its first five opponents to go over 300. The performance dropped the unit from first in the NFL to No. 4 in total defense.

Seahawks’ key injuries:

—DT Jay Howard (foot) questionable

—OG John Moffitt (knee) questionable

—DT Clinton McDonald (groin) questionable

49ers outlook: Alex Smith threw three interceptions in his worst game in almost three years, as the 49ers fell, 26-3, to the Giants on Sunday in a rematch of last season’s NFC Championship. San Francisco had not allowed a 100-yard rusher in its previous 22 home games but let Ahmad Bradshaw gash them for 116 yards in the surprisingly one-sided contest. The Niners are still ranked No. 1 in total defense. They abandoned the running game on Sunday, as Frank Gore had a season-low 36 yards on eight carries, Also, Smith was sacked six times in the game.

49ers’ key injuries:

—RB Brandon Jacobs (knee) questionable

—LB Clark Haggans (suspension) eligible

—OT Joe Staley (concussion) doubtful

What The Linemakers are saying: We like the 49ers to bounce back after their tough loss to the Giants. San Francisco has beaten the Seahawks in three straight meetings. We expect the 49ers to make it a tough evening for the Seahawks in a low-scoring game. We love the Stanford-USC theme here in a chess match between Jim Harbaugh and Pete Carroll, but think Harbaugh‘s guys will out-tough the Carroll crew.

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