Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Chuck O'Brien

Last Sunday I gave you a free winner on the Over in the Colts/Packers game. This week I'm playing another total as a freebie, and it's going to be the Under in the Dallas Cowboys-Baltimore Ravens game. Yes, the defensive units are the highlight, and I honestly think it's mind-boggling to see the total in the mid-40s.

It's quite obvious the Raven's no-huddle is not working, in my opinion. Last week the Ravens looks lethargic and pathetic in a 9-6 win over the Kansas City Chiefs. It doesn't seem to matter that Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco has plenty of weapons at his disposal, including versatile running back Ray Rice, who is second in the league in total yards from scrimmage (609). It doesn't seem to be exectuing properly.

Yes, the Ravens have the eighth-best offense overall in the NFL, but their scoring offense ranks drops to 10th with 26 points per game. Not bad, right? Okay, but since scoring 44 in the season opener, the Ravens are averaging just 21.5 points per game. They've scored more than 23 points in only one game.

You best believe Dallas defensive coordinator Rob Ryan is licking his chops today, and will be out to spoil Baltimore's hurry-up offense. The Cowboys are 16-7 in games played after a bye week, and that includes two straight losses. Ryan is going to have his troops geared up to stop the Ravens.

On the other side of the ball, it's the Ravens' D against Tony Romo and company. And I'm the last person to belittle Romo. I don't think he's the problem, to be honest with you - I think it's coach Jason Garrett. But that's another story. This offense is going to move the ball a lot against Baltimore's D.

The Cowboys haven't scored more than 24 points all season. They won 24-17 on opening night at the New York Giants. Since then they've scored 7, 16 and 18, at Seattle, and vs. Tampa Bay and Chicago, respectively. Now you expect them to go to Baltimore and put points up?

Play this one low.

2♦ UNDER Cowboys/Colts

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Craig Davis

As for today's free winner (like yesterday's free winner on Ohio State/Indiana over the total) I'm taking the Giants over the Niners in san Francisco.

Don't let the Niners fool you... they have had this game marked on their calendars for quite some time --- at least since last post-season.

After demolishing the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills, the New York Giants will offer the Niners their toughest test since the Minnesota Vikings or Green Bay Packers. If you'll remember, San Francisco won the first meeting in November of last year in the regular season, but that pales in comparison to the Giants winning when it mattered... 20-17 in the NFC Championship Game.

These two rosters have definitely made some additions and subtractions, but the core of each team is still intact, and for me to believe the Giants don't have what it takes to stay within a touchdown of the Niners is insane. Shoot, I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game SU, let alone covering this number.

I realize it's a road game and the Giants clearly haven't looked like the Giants of last year, but Eli Manning is starting to look more and more like his older brother with some of his late-game heroics.

The running game continues to surprise me, and even with Hakeem Nicks "knicked" up, I like the Giants to play right with the Niners the entire four quarters with a chance to win it in the end.

Take New York as your free play of the day.

3♦ N.Y. GIANTS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Jeff Benton

Saturday freebie was Florida State in a romp.

16-7 run with my freebies.

Your Sunday freebie is the rested-and-ready Arizona Cardinals to win by double-digits against a Buffalo team that is playing their second in a row far, far away from home.

Buffalo was routed 45-3 last Sunday in San Francisco, and they have allowed a whopping 97 points in their last pair of losses.

Arizona's defense figures to wreck havoc on the beleaguered Ryan Fitzpatrick who has already thrown eight interceptions this season. The Cards have been able to cover five of their last seven games at home, winning all three home dates straight up thus far this season.

'Zona has had a few extra days to work on repairs to their leaky offensive line, so expect them to come out on a mission in this spot.

Buffalo is on a 4-10 spread slide their last 14 dating back to last season, and with this being their second straight on the left coast, and their third road game in their last four games overall, I don't expect the results to be pretty for the visiting team today.

Go right ahead and lay it at home with the Cardinals.

4♦ ARIZONA

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Chris Jordan

My free winner for Sunday is going to be on the Cleveland Browns against the Cincinnati Bengals, as I'm taking the home dog in this AFC North rivalry. And it's a little more than a division rivalry, with Ohio-state bragging rights at stake.

These two met in Week 2, and the Bengals won that game in Cincinnati, 34-27, pushing the 7-point spread. Today I think revenge is in order, and the Browns are going to get there with what should be an outright win - which would be Cleveland's first win of the season.

Helping things out on defense this time around will be Joe Haden, who is back in the Browns secondary. He didn't play in the first meeting, as he began serving a four-game suspension for a violation of the league’s policy on performance-enhancing substances.

I know the Bengals have won four straight, seven of eight and 13 of 16 against the Browns. But Cleveland is the NFL’s only winless team. The underdog is on a 9-1-1 ATS run in this series. And if the Bengaals are 3-2, including road wins at Washington and Jacksonville, I'm wondering why this line is so low?

I think it's a clear indicator what team is supposed to win this game.

I'm not sold on Cincinnati's rushing game. BenJarvus Green-Ellis had 82 yards on 26 carries in a Week 4 win against Jacksonville; against Washington and Miami he had just 52 on 26 carries. So with him struggling, and Haden back to shadow the Bengals' A.J. Green, whose 36 receptions are second-most in the AFC, I think we're going to see a big performance from the Browns' defense.

Take the home pup here.

4♦ CLEVELAND BROWNS

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Matt Rivers

Your Sunday free play is the Kansas City Chiefs in the road underdog role at Tampa Bay.

The Buccaneers were idle last week, and are looking to stop a three game losing streak when the host the ailing Chiefs today.

Tampa Bay's games have been decided by 6, 7, 6, and 2 points, while two of Kansas City's last three games have been decided by a field goal.

KC has covered 10 of their last 16 games when installed as the road underdog, and they do own a road outright win over New Orleans back on September 23rd.

No issue with Brady Quinn starting for the injured Matt Cassel, as in my mind the Bucs 1-6 spread mark their last seven when favored is a go against no matter who is under center for the visitors.

Chiefs and Bucs go right down to the wire in this one.

Take the points.

1♦ KANSAS CITY

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Jack ClaytonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Vikings at Redskins   
Play: VikingsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Vikings at Redskins: Minnesota looks for real with their offensive balance and strong defense. Washington doesn't play any defense and has a small, banged up QB in RG3 and you wonder how long he can stay healthy. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play the Vikings.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday October, 14

Harry BondiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Oakland / Atlanta Under 48.5
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The Raiders have scored a combined 20 points in their two road games this season. The going won't be any easier for this 25th-ranked offense today as it travels across the country for an early start. In order for the Raiders offense to be successful, QB Carson Palmer has to be in a rhythm and that's going to be difficult today against a Falcon "D" that ranks in the Top-10 in the league vs. the pass. As for Atlanta, this isn't the greatest spot for a team that is undefeated and staring a bye next week. With Oakland's problems on offense, and Atlanta in a very conservative win-and-get-out-of-here-healthy mode, let's call for a low-scoring affair in the dome.

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