Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday September, 29

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New Mexico +26.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Some games don't deserve a lot of writeup words to make sense and this is one of those. Boise has played far better competition that the Lobos this year but let's face it. This team is NOT scoring points. Covering this number on the road verses a team that can put a few on the board is not going to be easy. Boise is not Texas, they are not Texas Tech. They are just an average team this year so far. That could change but that will only change when they start clicking on offense. For now, they are missing Moore and Company very much. I have a Boise win by 18.9 points only. I will be conservative on this high number though and play 2% only..

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Cent. Michigan +10.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Northern Illinois will be looking to stop the Central Michigan passing attack after giving up a 79, 43, 46 & 61 yard TD pass last season in a 48-41 loss. The dilemma is they have played two straight running based teams and WANTING to stop a passing attack and ACTUALLY stopping it are two different things. The Chips gave up 200+ yards rushing in their last game which is a plus toward Northern Illinois as QB Jordan Lynch has over 1000 yards passing & rushing. That being said, +10.5 is way too many points. This line should be closer to a TD and the 3.5 points on top of that is a gift. When backing a double digit dog, I would rather take a team that can pass and get some quick garbage points late versus a running team that once they start getting blown out are forced to change up their offense and toss up wounded ducks in the 4th quarter.

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Scott SpreitzerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wisconsin / Nebraska Under 50.5
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The Husker defense is prone to giving up big plays...and a lot of them when facing fleet-footed, dual-threat quarterbacks (see UCLA game).  However, the "Blackshirts" are a hard nut to crack when the opponent is led by a more traditional type, pocket passer.  Last season, Russell Wilson's threat to run with the football allowed Wisconsin's offense to gash the Husker defense for big gains...and plenty of them.  But whether we see Danny O'Brien or Joel Stave, we are not likely to see the type of game Wisconsin's offense was able to muster in last year's meeting.  A perfect example of the difference when Nebraska's secondary doesn't have to worry about keeping an eye on a run-threat QB is last season's game against Michigan State.  Highly touted Spartan QB Kirk Cousins couldn't do a thing against Nebraska because he was no threat to beat them with his feet.  Or, check out the results in Nebraska's win over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes were smacking Nebraska in Lincoln with Braxton Miller at QB.  As soon as Miller got injured, the Huskers dominated, coming from 21-points back to win the game - again, facing a traditional style signal caller.  Look for the Badger offesne to struggle in the rematch.  I expect the Huskers to win this game, but I also believe points will not come easy.  Therefore, I'm recommending a play on the Under between the Badgers & Cornhuskers on Saturday night.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday September, 29

College Football GOW
5 units - Clemson -7

Free Play
3 units - LA Tech -3.5
3 units - Akron +3

Upset College Football GOW
2 units - Ohio State +125

-Fo Bros

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Teddy CoversFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado State vs. Air Force
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I cashed betting Air Force Over the total with my free play last Saturday and there’s absolutely no reason not to go right back to the well again this week.  Colorado State is not likely to stop Air Force.  The Falcons have hung 45, 49, 34, 38 and 45 against the Rams over the last five years, and this could be the weakest Colorado State defense of the bunch.  But this Air Force defense is no top notch stop unit and Colorado State is going to fight for points through the final gun, playing hard under first year head coach Jim McElwain.  In a series that has seen five consecutive Overs cash and at least 66 points scored in each of the last two years, look for another high scoring affair on Saturday.  Take the Over.

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Chip ChirimbesFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Wisconsin at Nebraska
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These two met last season and Wisconsin really laid it on to and undermanned Husker club. This time around the rolls are reversed and it's Nebraska that is ready to 'kick-ass.' The problem with that is just how bad Whisky has been to date they are 0-4 ATS and no have shown no running game whats-so-ever. Monty Ball has had no where to run and the Badgers have to establish that run game here or they have no chance. To avoid and embarrassing exhibition expect the Badgers to be ready here.

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Ball State vs. Kent State    
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Kent State is playing well, losing to Kentucky of the SEC but whipping Towson and Buffalo by double digits. They have excellent balance on offense and a senior QB in Spencer Keith. The Golden Flashes are coming off an impressive defensive performance in a 23-7 win at Buffalo, holding the Bulls to just five complete passes in 26 attempts with three interceptions. The Golden Flashes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Kent State ranks second in the nation both turnover margin and kick return average. Ball State has the flashy passing offense, but no defense allowing 36 ppg. Grab the home team. Play Kent State!

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Dave CokinFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois
Pick: Northern Illinois
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Northern Illinois in a solid revenge spot and catching Central Michigan off its upset win at Iowa. Good spot for the home chalk to score a convincing win. NIU minus the points.

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Sean MurphyFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Duke vs. Wake Forest
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We saw a closing total of '60' when these two teams met last season. That contest only reached 47 points, as Wake Forest pulled out a narrow one-point road victory.
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Both teams have taken a step forward here in 2012 - at least so far.
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Duke checks in 3-1 on the season, after notching only three victories all of last year. I really like the way the Blue Devils offense has been clicking, although the jury is still out on their defense, which allowed a whopping 50 points in its only true test so far, against Stanford back in Week 2.
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Wake Forest is also off to a 3-1 start, including an impressive 28-27 win over North Carolina. Like Duke, Wake is dealing with some issues on the defensive side of the football. The Demon Deacons have given up 89 points over their last two games. Of course, 52 of those came against mighty Florida State, but the other 37 came at the hands of Army. Not good.
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We have a sneaky-good QB matchup on our hands in this one. Sean Renfree and Tanner Price are two of the more underrated signal-callers in college football, as far as I'm concerned. Renfree threw 28 touchdowns in the last two seasons combined, and has already found the end zone nine times through the air here in 2012. I like the decisions he's been making with the football, specifically when to scramble, and when to hang in the pocket. He's completed over 70% of his passes and should be able to carve up a Wake secondary that hasn't really been tested over the last couple of weeks, with FSU and Army focusing on the run.
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Tanner Price is off to a bit of a slow start, having thrown only three touchdowns through four games. Remember, he threw 20 touchdowns a year ago, compared to only six interceptions. Of course, his overall numbers are a little skewed due to an awful performance against a dominant Florida State defense. He's coming off arguably his best all-around game last week, as he threw for 221 yards and a pair of touchdowns against Army. He won't be taking a considerable step up in class here, as Duke's secondary, much like Wake's, hasn't really been tested, with three of its first four games coming against the likes of FIU, NC Central, and Memphis.
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We're only two years removed from a 102-point explosion from these two teams in a 54-48 Wake Forest victory on this field in September of 2010. It's worth noting that we saw the same two starting QBs in that matchup, with Renfree and Price combining to throw for seven touchdowns. In fact, three of the last five meetings in this series have climbed into the 70s, with four of the last five reaching at least 61 points. This should be another tightly-contested, back-and-forth game with the defenses taking a back seat to the offenses.

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Kyle HunterFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. Iowa    
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The Minnesota Golden Gophers may be 4-0, but they aren't a good football team. Jerry Kill is doing an awesome job working with very little talent. Kirk Ferentz's Iowa squad has been extremely disappointing this year, but I think they'll bounce back in a good spot here. Minnesota has actually beaten Iowa straight up two years in a row as a 14.5 point underdog, so Iowa has tons of motivation in this one. The Hawkeyes should be able to run the ball well, and Minnesota's offense is too inconsistent. Minnesota has played one game on the road this year, and they needed overtime to beat a terrible UNLV team. Take Iowa here.

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Texas vs. Oklahoma State    
Play: Oklahoma State
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The Cowboys fit a solid system here today that pertains to home dogs with rest that scored 35 or more in their prior two games. Ok. St has won 11 of the last 14 vs Winning teams , compared to a Texas team that is just 5-9 vs teams over .500. The Longhorns are just 2-4 in closely lined games from -3 to+3. The Cowboys have won 19 of the last 21 on turf. Texas has revenge in this one but have not fared too well in this role with Coach Brown failing to cover in 19 of 28 games when looking to avenge a prior loss. Look for Oklahoma St to get the cash in this one.

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Arizona State vs. California    
Play: California
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The time is right to jump on this line. I've seen it at some books at -2, so if you can find +1 your getting some great value on the play. The Sun Devils were listed as 2-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at most sportsbooks. Cal leads the all time series 17-14. Cal won 47-38 in 2011 and has won four in a row in the series. ASU has not beaten Cal at Berkeley since 1997.
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Arizona State comes into this game at 3-1 and head to head vs. Cal they are 2-7 in their last 9 meetings and are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. While Kelly is impressive at QB for ASU I'm not totally sold on him. Why? He's not won a game on the road. We saw last night just how tough it is for these guys to win road games when Nunes went into Seattle and played like crap. Their spread offense is impressive, but this isn't the first time Cal has seen it.
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Cal is 1-3 but as well all know these Pac 12 clashes can lead to some EPIC games on the gridiron. They played the Buckeyes and the Trojans tough (it didn't look like it last week) but the only problem I see with this team is the red zone. They can fix that, especially at home. Last game out at Memorial Stadium on Sept. 8 they won 50-31 over 2-2 Southern Utah. RB Isi Sofele, who has 239 yards on 53 carries this season will be the difference maker as Cal will establish a strong run game. The run will give Zach Maynard the protection he needs to be efficient.
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Arizona State is 3-9 away from home over the last three years while the Golden Bears are 9-5 at home over the last three campaigns. The Golden Bears are 6-0 against the spread in the last six meetings in California, and 8-1 SU in its last 9 games, and 21-10 ATS in their last 31 home games.

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SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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SUNDERLAND +113 over Wigan
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Sunderland has played four matches in the EPL this season and has drawn each time out, which is a rarity in any league. Needless to say, Sunderland will come out hungry and eager to snatch their first W of the season. Playing at the Stadium of Light in front of a packed house, look for the host to give it their all to secure a much-deserved victory against an inferior Wigan side. Sunderland boss, Martin O’Neill, is one of the most underrated manager’s in football and has his side playing very well. With any luck at all Sunderland could easily have three wins. Sunderland’s signing of Steven Fletcher has been top-notch, as the striker is in fine form netting four in three matches.
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Sunderland’s attack comes in waves and at the end of the day Wigan will find it too difficult to defend Fletcher and the rest of the teams’ immense pressure. Sunderland must win here, as next week they travel to Manchester to face City in what figures to be a very difficult fixture for them. Sunderland is bordering desperate here. We’re calling the easy win for the hosts.
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HAMBURG +130 over Hannover 96
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Despite playing brilliantly at home, Hannover is a middling club at best when traveling and we’ll look to exploit that weakness here.
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Enter Hamburg, who has had an impressive little run of late, especially at home, where they recently disposed of league champs Dortmund. Hamburg has fallen way off their standard of being an elite team in the Bundesliga, as finances have kept them from keeping their high end talent. However, they still pose a threat to any team when they play host and this match should be no different. Things are starting to look up for the once powerhouse Hamburg, as an impressive run of late has given this side confidence and should be enough to see them through with a win.

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John Maguire +225 over John Hathaway
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This fight is on the main card and takes place in Nottingham, England with a 4pm EST start time. It features a very intriguing matchup between two British prospects. John “The Hitman” Hathaway has a 16-1 record, which includes a 6-1 run in the UFC. His breakout win over Diego Sanchez created lots of buzz and had him pegged as a welterweight to watch. Those expectations have since been tempered when he went 2-1 in his next three fights with the loss coming to Mike Pyle in which Hathaway was a 4½-1 favorite. Hathaway is the better-rounded of the two fighters and is the rightful favorite. He is a BJJ brown belt and will have a big edge in the striking, which will also be aided by a six-inch reach advantage.
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John “The One” Maguire is 18-3 overall and 2-0 in the UFC, which includes a beautiful arm-bar submission over gritty veteran, DaMarques Johnson. Maguire's meal ticket is his grappling and while he doesn't seem to have a formal belt (he calls himself a pink belt in Gypsy Jiu Jitsu) he is a very dangerous grappler, as his 10 submission wins and 75% success rate in takedowns in the UFC can attest to.
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Despite his BJJ credentials, Hathaway has had trouble with grapplers. He will try to keep this fight standing and take advantage of his big edge in the striking. Maguire will probably be the stronger of the two and while it might not be pretty he should be able to muscle Hathaway to the mat. Once there, he will control "The Hitman" and eat up the clock while looking for submissions and landing strikes. Hathaway has never been submitted and probably will escape with his neck and limbs intact but a decision loss to his fellow countryman is a very realistic possibility.

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Jeff Scott SportsFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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4 UNIT PLAY
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Louisville -10 over SOUTHERN MISS: The Golden Eagles really miss QB Davis and the play calling of Larry Fedora as evidenced by the fact that they are 116th in passing "O", 115th in total "O", & 113th in scoring "O". Not sure facing a Louisville defense that has allowed just 19 ppg on the year so far will jump start this offense. In their last home game the Golden Eagles could only put up 14 points vs a pretty weak East Carolina defense and I don’t expect much more than that in this one. The Cardinals offense has been very good this year, averaging 431 ypg and 33.5 ppg. Bridgewater and this Cardinal passing attack has put up a solid 266 ypg at 8.2 ypa, and they will be be going up against a weak Southern Miss pass defense that has allowed 238.7 ypg at 8.5 ypa. Last week Southern Miss was outgained by 296 yards at Western Kentucky, showing that they really have many problems on both sides of the ball. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in this series and should make it 7-0 with an easy 17+ point win here.
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3 UNIT PLAYS
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Iowa/ Minnesota Under 46.5: Im looking at the Under in this one. Both teams have got very inconsistent play out of the QB spot and that has led to both teams relying more on their running games, which will eat plenty of clock in this one. Minnesota comes in averaging 183 ypg on the ground thus far, may not find the ground game all that successful vs an Iowa defense that has allowed just 113 ypg on the ground so far. On the other side we have an Iowa offense that has averaged 156 ypg on the ground going up against a Minnesota defense that has allowed 128 ypg on the ground at just 3.7 ypc. Both teams don’t have good enough QB play to get out of long down situations and both teams will be in them in this one as these defense stop the run pretty well. I expect this game to be played in the 30’s and not the 40’s.
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Louisiana Tech -3 over VIRGINIA: No one has even come close to slowing the Bulldogs down and I don’t expect Virginia to also. The Cavs have allowed 407 ypg so far and 29.5 ppg on the year so far, while the Bulldogs come in averaging 536.7 ypg and 54.7 ppg. The Cavs have allowed just 35 total points in their 2 home games, but Penn State’s and Richmond’s offense aren’t even in the same galaxy as this Bulldog offense. Offensively the Cavs have put up just 14.7 ppg vs FBS foes this year. They will be taking on a weak Bulldog defense, but still the Cavs don’t have the firepower to put many points on the board, even vs a weak defense. The Bulldogs are rolling right now and they have just way too much offense in this one for the Cavs to keep it close. Look for Tech to win by at least 10 points in this one.
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Texas Tech -2.5 over IOWA STATE:  Huge revenge spot for the Red Raiders here as last year they were 14 point home faves and ISU came in an put a 41-7 whooping on them. Last year the Red Raiders came into that game off a huge upset of #1 Oklahoma, so A letdown was expected, but this year the TT has Oklahoma on deck and I feel they will be much more focused here. Texas Tech hasn't played anyone of importance, but they have demolished the opponents that have been place before them. Texas Tech has been favorites of 20 or more in all 3 of their games and yet are still 3-0 ATS. The Red Raiders have brought back 9 starters on both sides of the ball from and they do look like a much improved team over last years squad that went just 5-7 and they are in the third year of Tuberville's system and they may just be the most improved team in the Big 12. Iowa State is also 3-0 and one of those wins was at Iowa, but after the Hawkeyes lost at home to Central Michigan last week, that win doesn't seem that impressive. The Cyclones were only able to muster 3 FG's vs Iowa, who allowed Central Michigan to put of 32 points. Both of these defenses are tough and have allowed under 11 ppg, but the Red Raiders offense that is averaging 50.3 ppg and their revenge mind set should be the difference in this one as they win by at least 10 points here. KEY TREND--- Tommy Tuberville is 16-6 ATS away in September.
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Arizona/ Oregon State Under 60.5:  Last year Arizona allowed 35 ppg for the year and with 8 starters back they were to have a very improved defense, but the numbers show that that only minimal improvements have been made. Through two games thus far the Cats have allowed 61 ypg and 9 ppg less than last year, but still those numbers may nave been even better had they not payed Oklahoma State and Oregon. This Arizona defense will be tough as the season goes on and in this one they will be taking on a OSU offense that is not even close to the aforementioned Oklahoma State and Oregon., The Beavers come in averaging 427.5 but just 18.5 ppg. The Beavers do throw for 327.5, but they are not an explosive group and the Cats allow just 5.9 ypa, so OSU will need to work the ball down the field and that should eat time. OS Has run the ball 35.5 times a game, but for just 100 ypg and that could put them in long down situations, which is not good vs a solid Arizona pass rush. The Arizona offense has been very good this year, at 536.5 ypg and 34.8 ppg, but they were shut out last week vs Oregon and they face a much tougher defense in this one. The Beavers have 8 starters back on defense and are much improved over last year, allowing just 325 ypg and 13.5 ppg in the early going so far. Last week they took on a high powered UCLA squad and limited them to just 20 points and 2 of 15 on 3rd downs. Both of these teams do have tough defenses and I just don't see the offenses running up and down the field on them. I look for at most 52 points in this one.   
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POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (6-1  +4.9 UNITS)
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This is a wild one. LOL. Play AGAINST any road fav of less than 6 off a spread win if they allow 20 ppg or more and are off a season in which they had a winning record, after 3 consecutive years of 2 playing 2 games under 5.50 ball and their opponent is off a win of 10 or more. Teams in this spot are 1-13-1 ATS since 1980. Play on Arkansas State +2.5 over Western Kentucky
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Play AGAINST any team that allows 4.2 yards per play or less after a game in which they allowed 150 yards or less. Teams in this spot are 5-33 ATS. Play On Ole Miss +30 over Alabama
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Kirk Ferentz is 15-3-1 if he is off a SU & ATS loss and is playing at home vs a conference opponent. Play on Iowa -6.5 over Minnesota

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SPORTS WAGERS

CONNECTICUT -102 over Buffalo

With a total of just 44, we’re not usually in favor of spotting this much weight but one really has to wonder how Buffalo will score, let alone compete here. This year’s edition of the Bulls is a complete mess with every coach and player looking clueless.

Not counting a Hail Mary to close the first half, Buffalo quarterback Alex Zordich managed just three completions in 21 attempts in a humiliating home loss to Kent State last Wednesday. The Bulls lost four key starters in that game, including running back Branden Oliver, the MAC's leading rusher. Oliver hasn't practiced this week and is listed as doubtful. That's disastrous for a Bulls team that has few playmakers.

UConn’s defense is rock solid. After facing the explosive offense of Western Michigan last week, facing the Bulls should appear in slow motion for the Huskies. The offense came to life in the second half last week, rallying from 17 down to nearly beat Western Michigan, as Huskies QB, Chandler Whitmer, completed 28 of 44 passes for 333 yards and three scores This Buffalo team is sporting a thin roster and one of the weakest coaching staffs in the entire FBS. The Bulls are headed for the MAC basement and are once again outclassed in this matchup. Connecticut has dominated this series, winning and covering seven straight and this could be the worst beating of them all.


Duke +116 over WAKE FOREST

Wake Forest is 3-1, they’ve won the past 12 meetings with Duke and they’re at home, yet they’re just a 2-point choice here. That speaks volumes as to what the oddsmakers are thinking.

This is a strong Blue Devils team and one that is finally ready to snap this ugly losing streak to the Demon Deacons. Senior quarterback Sean Renfree is a four-year starter in coach David Cutcliffe's offense. He headlines the most talented group of skill players the program has ever assembled. Duke’s defense has returned nine of its top 10 tacklers and while not a dominating group, they’re efficient and work well together.

Wake is a young team with an improving offense and a struggling defense that's not at full health. The Deacs have allowed more than 1,100 yards the past two Saturdays and for the fourth straight game will face a multiyear starting quarterback. The Blue Devils will be a focused group here in an attempt to not only get this proverbial monkey off their backs but to earn a Bowl game for the first time in 18 years. We get the better offense, the much better defense and some juice to go along with it.


San Jose State -2½ -107 over NAVY

San Jose State is a WAC conference team that is not a recognizable program. They haven’t made any noise in years so it may surprise you to learn that this was once a thriving program that has sent 110 players to the NFL, including six NFL Pro Bowl selections, six first-round draft picks, two MVP award winners, and one NFL Rookie of the Year.

They’re looking to get back to prominence and they’re well on their way. This year, San Jose State is a quiet 3-1 with only loss coming at #8 Stanford by three points. Against its other opponents being UC Davis, Colorado State and San Diego State, the Spartans outscored its opposition by a combined 123-68. SJSU QB, David Fales is the real deal with 95 completions in 132 attempts for over 1100 yards and nine TD passes. The Spartans rank 20th in the nation is passing yards, 37th in points scored and 47th in points against.

Meanwhile Navy ranks 118th in passing, 110th in scoring and 84th in points against after playing Notre Dame, Penn State and Virginia Military Institute. They were crushed by both Penn State and Notre Dame by a combined score of 84-17. Navy is Navy. They haven’t changed. They will run the ball 14 out of every 15 plays and they’ll seldom beat a well-balanced, strong club. The Spartans remain unnoticed despite near upset over Stanford followed by three consecutive wins. This line doesn’t reflect the progress the team has made under former Wake Forest defensive coordinator Mike MacIntyre. That allows us to play them at a cheap price.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday September, 29

John RyanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio State University at Michigan St.
Prediction: Michigan St.
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This is a huge matchup among Big-Ten schools, who are both ranked among the Top-20 best teams in the nation. Arguably, they they are the two best football teams in the Big-Ten conference and unfortunately for one of them a loss could devastate BCS aspirations and a Big-Ten Conference Title. Obviously, that team is Michigan State as Ohio State will be home for the holidays? having violated numerous NCAA rules. Moreover, there is no Big-Ten Championship game either. so, Michigan State has the most to lose in this game and the most to gain with a win.
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I am releasing a 10* graded free pick on the Michigan State Spartans in this matchup and will lay the three points currently offered at the majority of shops. The Spartans sport the seventh best defensive unit in the nation and it has been against strong opponents. I highly believe that defensive unit will contain Buckeye quarterback Braxton Miller that is averaging nearly 38 points-per-game.
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The simulator shows a very high probability that Michigan State will win this game by five or more points. It further shows that the Spartans will score 28 or more points. In past games where Ohio State has allowed 28 or more points they are just 9-24 ATS since 1992.
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Another projections works strongly against Ohio State showing that they will score fewer than 21 points. In past games where they have scored 21 or fewer points they have produced an unenviable 11-27 ATS mark since 1992.
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The Spartans defense will hold Ohio State to fewer than 300 total offensive yards. In past game, the Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS the past three seasons and 9-20 ATS since 1992 when they have gained 250 to 300 offensive yards. Moreover, the Ohio State is projected to gain just 4.5 to 5.0 yards-per-play and in past games where their offense has sputtered like this they are 0-6 ATS spanning the past three seasons and 10-23 ATS since 1992.
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On the Michigan side of the projections ledger, the Spartans are a solid 16-6 ATS over the past three seasons and 83-30 ATS since 1992 when they have scored 28 or more points. The Spartans are projected to gain 6.0 to 6.5 yards-per-play in this game and in past games where they matched this offensive output they are 5-2 ATS over the past three seasons and 22-10 ATS since 1992.
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This system supports Michigan State and has produced a 55-24 ATS record for 70% winners since 2006. Play against any team after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games and now facing an opponent after going under the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games. Ohio State has lost three straight to the number by a total of 32 points with 21 of those points coming in last week?s horrid game defeating the vastly inferior UAB 29-15 where they were installed as 35 point favorites in Columbus.
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Take the Michigan State Spartans for a 10* graded play.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday September, 29

Steve MerrilFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Tampa Bay vs. Chi. White Sox
Pick: Chi. White SoxFOR REE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The White Sox and Rays continue their crucial series on Saturday afternoon as Chris Sale takes the mound.  He has been money at home going 9-2 with a 1.89 ERA in 13 starts.  The lefty has allowed just 6 runs in his last three starts and he has been the ace they hoped he would be when they took him out of the bullpen.  Sale beat the Rays in Tampa back in May after allowing just 1 run and three hits while striking out 15 batters in the win.  Tampa Bay is hitting just .239 against left-handed starters this season and .238 in day games.
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Matt Moore is going in the opposite direction having allowed 10 runs and 10 hits in his last three starts while lasting just under 10 innings.  Moore is 3-6 with a 4.44 ERA in 13 road starts for Tampa Bay having some control issues in those games.  He was on the losing end of Sale's gem back in May giving up 2 runs and four hits in seven innings.  The White Sox are hitting .255 against left-handed starters and .266 in the daytime.  Chicago has won four of their five games against Tampa Bay this season, and we expect them to win again on Saturday.

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Purdue -16FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A quick look at the offensive numbers for Marshall would make it seem improbable that we could make a strong play against an offense that is averaging 41 PPG and 561 yards. Yet a glance at the schedule shows us that much of that output has come against the lowly stop units of West Carolina and Rice. Of equal interest to this bureau is the fact that Marshall allows 43 PPG with a defense that gives up at least 244 yards both overland and through the air. Purdue, behind the QB tandem of TerBush and Henry, has been equally prolific. The huge difference comes on the defensive end where the home team is allowing just 14 PPG and 293 YPG. Look for that unit to shut down the Marshall attack and for Purdue to use a ground game that averages 219/5.9 to Steam Roll a Marshall defensive front allowing 244/5.7 into submission early and often! The Herd is a recent 4-11 ATS away. Purdue enters with great momentum on runs of 9-3 and 5-0 ATS.

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Bryan LeonardFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jason Vargas will make his final start of the season for the Mariners, looking to notch his 15th win and try to play the role of spoiler. Vargas has pitched very well against Oakland this season, making five starts with a 2.36 ERA. In those 34.1 innings, the A's have hit just .176 off of Vargas. Oakland is averaging just four runs per game at home this season. Things should be tight in this game, as the Mariners will play hard until the end and the A's are in a tightly-contested wild card race. Dan Straily takes the mound for the A's. The highly-touted prospect threw a gem in his last start against the Rangers and will take the mound with some confidence, having held the Rangers to just two runs in 6.2 innings of work. In that start, he struck out eight. In 23 games in September entering Friday night's game, the Mariners have scored just 3.08 runs per game. With Vargas looking to end the season on a high note and a slumping Mariners offense, this should be a low-scoring affair.

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