U.S. Open Picks: Day 8 Odds and Matchup Analysis

U.S. Open Picks: Day 8 Odds and Matchup Analysis

U.S. Open Picks: Day 8 Odds and Matchup Analysis
By Ricky Dimon

MARDY FISH (-120) VS. JO-WILFRIED TSONGA (EVEN)


This is without question the best matchup of the fourth round on both the men’s and women’s sides.

Fish is on fire, just like he was last summer. He won the U.S. Open Series thanks to a title in Atlanta, a runner-up finish in Montreal and a semifinal in Cincinnati.

Tsonga took out Roger Federer en route to the Montreal semis. They have been annihilating people in New York; Tsonga most recently trounced Fernando Verdasco and Fish got past an in-form Kevin Anderson.

The safe pick is Fish, who is more consistent and reliable than the mercurial Tsonga. Don’t forget about Tsonga getting blown out by Alex Bogomolov in the Cincinnati.

Pick: FISH

JUAN CARLOS FERRERO (+1.5 SETS) VS. JANKO TIPSAREVIC

Tipsarevic has been in rare form this summer, a stretch highlighted by his trip to the Montreal semifinals. Ferrero had not done much on the hard stuff prior to the U.S. Open, but he is invoking memories of the Ferrero that reached No. 1 in the world and finished runner-up to Andy Roddick in Flushing Meadows in 2003.

In arguably the best match of the tournament to date, the Spaniard stunned Gael Monfils—who had been in the midst of a stellar summer—in five entertaining sets.

Both Ferrero and Tipsarevic advanced most recently via second-set retirements…and that’s more of a help to Ferrero since he’s on the wrong side of 30. Tipsarevic is an obvious favorite, but it’s hard to imagine this one ending in three.

Pick: FERRERO (-110)

SERENA WILLIAMS VS. ANA IVANOVIC (OVER/UNDER 18.5 GAMES)

Williams got booted out of her last U.S. Open on a famous point penalty and she is playing like she’s mad two years later. Well, she has been playing like that all summer.

Undefeated on the hard courts, Williams won Stanford and Toronto, and hasn’t dropped a set so far in New York. She donated seven games in Round 3 on Saturday, but a tough draw for both players pitted her against Victoria Azarenka.

Ivanovic is also yet to lose a set, but in between a walkover she merely dismissed unheralded opponents Ksenia Pervak and Sloane Stephens. This has blowout written all over it.

Pick: UNDER

FRANCESCA SCHIAVONE (-125) VS. ANASTASIA PAVLYUCHENKOVA (+105)

Schiavone is not an overwhelming physical presence and she rarely beats opponents badly, but her mental superiority is why she has been so awesome at Grand Slams over the past two seasons.

The 2010 French Open champion is 3-1 lifetime against Pavlyuchenkova, including a win at Roland Garros this year and a 6-3, 6-0 blowout in the fourth round of last season’s U.S. Open.

Pavlyuchenkova has been playing solid tennis and her win over Jelena Jankovic was nice, but it will be hard for the Russian to mentally overcome what happened at this very same stage in 2010.

Pick: SCHIAVONE

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