U.S. Open Picks: Day 6 Odds and Matchup Analysis

U.S. Open Picks: Day 6 Odds and Matchup Analysis

U.S. Open Picks: Day 6 Odds and Matchup Analysis
By Ricky Dimon

ALEXANDR DOLGOPOLOV (-150) VS. IVO KARLOVIC (+110)

Karlovic pretty much takes the racket out of his opponent’s hands whenever he takes the court. If he serves well, he usually wins. If he doesn’t, he loses.

The 6-foot-10 Croat struck 23 aces and just three double-faults while serving at 67 percent in a straight-set rout of Fernando Gonzalez. On Thursday, his stats in a four-set upset of Richard Gasquet were as follows: 29 aces, one double-fault, 71 percent on first serves.

That does not bode well for Dolgopolov, who hasn’t been impressive. After getting past clay-courter Frederico Gil in unspectacular fashion, the Ukrainian almost blew a two-set lead against Flavio Cipolla before rallying from 4-1 down in the fifth.

Pick: KARLOVIC

JUAN CARLOS FERRERO (-160) VS. MARCEL GRANOLLERS (+120)

Granollers has needed six total sets to book his spot in the third round. Ferrero has needed 10.

So why Ferrero?

Well, for the same reason why Ferrero is favored to win this match: The former world No. 1 ousted an in-form Pablo Andujar in Round 1, then stunned an on-fire Gael Monfils in arguably the best match of the tournament to date Thursday. Granollers has plowed his way through a puffcake draw, featuring a slumping Xavier Malisse and unheralded Mikhail Kukushkin.

Don’t look now, but Ferrero, the 2003 U.S. Open runner up, is turning back the clock.

Pick: FERRERO

JUAN MONACO (-250) VS. TOMMY HAAS (+165)

With these kinds of odds, Haas is too good to pass up. Speaking of turning back the clock, Haas is doing just that in Flushing Meadows.

At 33 years old, the German has come out of nowhere, and back from injury, for a return trip to the third round. It really should not be that surprising, since this is always one of Haas’ best tournaments. He's a three-time quarterfinalist in New York.

Haas lost to Monaco this summer in Cincinnati, but it went three sets and the veteran’s game is improving week to week as he shakes off the rust from his injury absence. Monaco does his best work on clay, so Haas has a great chance of reaching the second week.

Pick: HAAS

ANDREA PETKOVIC (-175) VS. ROBERTA VINCI (+125)

Petkovic may be most famous for her victory dances; she does get to perform them more often than not.

The German is an incredible 47-15 this season and one spot off the Top 10. She trailed Zheng Jie 6-3, 3-0 only to heat up and play near-flawless tennis en route to a convincing comeback win Thursday. Vinci is also in the midst of a breakout year, but she has done her best work on clay. The Italian won the Barcelona title but has since cooled down on the hard stuff.

Pick: PETKOVIC

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