Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Scott Delaney

Boston College at Miami, Florida

I can honestly say I am going against Boston College, instead of siding with Miami, Florida tonight in this rematch clash in the ACC.

Since knocking off the Hurricanes, B.C. has lost three straight - all by double digits. Now they face a hungry team looking for revenge.

That won't bode well for an Eagles team that looked lethargic at best against Maryland, which shellacked B.C., 73-57.

Coach Al Skinner was visibly upset with his team, and after watching his team get pummeled said: "There’s nothing at all that I’m pleased about. Our attitude on the floor is not what it needs to be, particularly on the defensive end. Until that improves, we’re going to remain where we are."

During the Eagles' three-game losing streak they're getting beat by an average margin of 17.3 points per game.

A quick glance at the betting numbers reveal the Eagles on a 1-7 spread skid, while the favorite in this series is on a 10-4 ATS streak.

Considering the fact Boston College's lone win in about three weeks was a rout of NJIT - ahem, the New Jersey Institue of Technology - in its final non-conference game of the season, I have to side with the Hurricanes in this one.

3♦ MIAMI, FLORIDA

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213089 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Tony Weston

Bad call with Western Kentucky yesterday as it doesn’t even show up when we needed.

That’s fine because I’m cashing tonight as I’m taking Northern Iowa on the road at Wichita State.

Coming into this game Northern Iowa has played strong basketball this season, going 16-1 SU and 12-4 ATS in its lined games.

Tonight, installed as about a 3-point underdog at Wichita State, the Panthers will cash in.

In its last 11 games Northern Iowa has gone 10-1 ATS and has covered in 6 of its 7 road games this season.

The Panthers are riding a 5-game ATS road winning streak and will make it 6 straight road covers tonight.

3♦ NORTHERN IOWA

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213089 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

SPORTS WAGERS

Indiana +6/+2.22 over MIAMI

I’m going to split this up and play one unit each on the money-line and point-spread. The problem with the Heat is that you just never know which team you’re going to get. You’re either going to get the team that is capable of competing with anyone or the team that doesn’t give a damn if they win, lose or draw. What should be concerning to Heat backers is that they’re coming home from a tough six-game trip that began on Jan 8 and ended on the 16th. This line suggests they won’t be too sharp tonight because if the books thought otherwise they’d be about a 7 or 7½-point favorite. After all, the Pacers instill fear in nobody and own a 4-16 road record. Having said that, the Pacers are quietly getting a whole lot more dangerous. Danny Granger is a marquee player and suddenly Roy Hibbert is making a huge impact. Throw in a healthy Mike Dunleavy and Troy Murphy and a very decent bench and the Pacers are a team that could be way undervalued now because of its slow start. This is a vulnerable situation for the Heat, as they return home and they take way too many nights off to trust them in this spot. Play: Indiana +6 (Risking 1.03 units to win 1) Play: Indiana +2.22 (Risking 1 unit). 


Clemson/GEORGIA TECH under 143

It may seem off to recommend a wager on the under when Clemson and Georgia Tech both shoot over 50% from the field but a closer look at the statistics reveals why the under is the play. For starters, both these teams are going to make some noise in the tournament and the main reason why is because of their excellent defense. Clemson and Georgia Tech both rank in the top 20 nationally in defensive efficiency, a statistic I trust tremendously when researching defenses. Defensive efficiency accounts for pace and it’s a big reason why the points per game allowed never gets mentioned in this space, and for both these teams to rank in the top 20 shows just how dominant their defense’s are. Furthermore, neither Clemson nor Georgia Tech shoot over 35% from three and furthermore struggle mightily at the line, checking in at 65% and 68% respectively. Expect a grind it out game with hard fouls and lots of turnovers, and while that may allow for some early bonus time you can rest assured points are going to be hard to come by. Both these schools take tremendous pride in their defensive prowess and there is no reason to expect any different tonight. Play: Clemson/Georgia Tech under 143 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213089 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

SEAN MURPHY

Columbus Blue Jackets @ Philadelphia Flyers
PICK: Over 5.5

There's a good chance we'll see a plenty of pucks in the net in Philadelphia tonight as the Flyers host the Columbus Blue Jackets.

Columbus has certainly had a disappointing season so far, posting a 19-32 record after reaching the playoffs for the first time last Spring. However, the Blue Jackets have been playing a little better lately, particularly at the offensive end of the rink. They've won four of their last seven games, and have scored nine goals in their last two contests.

The over has been money in the bank in Blue Jackets' road games this season, cashing at a 17-10 clip. Also note that the over is an incredible 15-5 in their last 20 games played on no rest, as is the case here tonight.

The Flyers return home following a disappointing road trip that saw them lose in Toronto and Washington, outscored by a combined 9-3 margin. They didn't perform particularly well at either end of the rink on that trip, but keep in mind, they've scored 16 goals in their last three home games. Prior to that trip they had scored 27 times in their last five games.

Philadelphia should be able to get its offense untracked again tonight as the Blue Jackets are allowing 3.6 goals per game on the road this season. The Flyers are averaging over three goals per game themselves here at home.

The Blue Jackets are in good position to hold up their end of the bargain against a Flyers defense that has allowed nine goals over its last two games and gives up just under three goals per game overall this season.

The over is 8-4 in the Flyers last 12 games overall and a near perfect 5-0-1 in their last six games as a home favorite priced north of -200.

When these two met last season we saw just three total goals, but that game was played in Columbus, and both sides were much stronger between the pipes.

For whatever reason, Blue Jackets goaltender Steve Mason is stuck in a sophomore slump, while I can't decide who is the worst of the Flyers three options in the net; Emery, Boucher, and Leighton have all struggled. Take the over.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213089 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Info Plays

3* on Miami Heat -6

Reasons why Miami covers:

1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Home teams (MIAMI) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game). This is a 28-5 ATS System hitting 84.8% over the last 5 seasons.

2.) Indiana is just 4-16 on the road this season, losing by 9.0 PPG. The home team has covered 6 of the last 7 in this head-to-head series. Bet Miami at home.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213089 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 19,2010

Dave Cokin

Clemson at Georgia Tech

Another dynamite ACC clash tonight as Clemson pays a visit to Georgia Tech. The Tigers are a rock solid squad, but they may be shorthanded tonight as point guard Demontez Stitt is listed as doubtful for this contest. The Tigers really struggled on Saturday at NC State after Stitt went to the sidelines, and if he can't go tonight, it figures to have a definite impact on their offensive flow. Georgia Tech has been terrific at home and should be a very confident squad for this game, and if Stitt is unable to play, this number seems pretty cheap. I'll go the Yellow Jackets way tonight. Play Georgia Tech!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213089 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44776
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
280230
Average Posts Per Hour:
5.5
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3547
Newest User:
shawn Bensley
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2086

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com