NBA Playoff Trends Trends Thursady 5/28

NBA Playoff Trends Trends Thursady 5/28

Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

The Magic took a commanding 3-1 lead in the series with a 116-114 overtime victory over the Cavaliers on Tuesday night in Game 4.

The Magic won that game as a slight 1.5-point underdog, while the combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 188.

Dwight Howard led the Magic with 27 points and 14 rebounds, while Rafer Alston added 26 points in the win.

LeBron James netted a game-high 44 points and grabbed 12 rebounds for a double-double in the loss.

Team records:
Orlando: 59-23 SU, 49-32-1 ATS
Cleveland: 66-16 SU, 49-33 ATS

Orlando most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
After playing Cleveland are 7-3
After a win are 6-4

Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
After playing Orlando are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Cleveland is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

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ORLANDO vs. CLEVELAND
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

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NBA Playoffs

Orlando made 17-38 from arc, shot 50% for night in 116-114 Game 4 win; they were 25-60 from the arc in first three series games. Alston was +18 in 37:09, which means Magic was -16 in 10:51 he was off floor. In only Cleveland win this series, James was still -7 (Cavs were +8 in 5:28 he was off floor). Three of four series games have been decided by one or two points. Cleveland got to line 71 times in two games in Orlando and still lost both games- they lose this game, their season's over.

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ORLANDO (70 - 29) at CLEVELAND (75 - 19)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 13-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 10-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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Eastern Conference Finals

Orlando at Cleveland

Orlando:

12-2 UNDER off a win by 3 or less
11-3 UNDER off 4+ ATS wins

Cleveland:
13-2 ATS off a road loss
17-7 ATS in all playoff games

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Tips and Trends

Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers


Magic: Height. Depth. Speed. You name it, Orlando has it over Cleveland. "We're up 3-1, but we can't relax," said Rashard Lewis. "Anything can happen. We got to go to Cleveland looking to try and close these guys out." Orlando heads into Game 5 with no fear of the road. They finished off the defending champion Celtics on their famed parquet floor in a Game 7 in the previous round. "This thing is a long, long, long way from over, just like the games in this series have been," coach Stan Van Gundy said. "When you've got a guy as great as him on the other side, you're a long way from done."

The Magic are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
The Underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 94 (Side Play of the Day)


Cavaliers (-7.5, O/U 190): Bad news for the Cavs: In the NBA's 62-year postseason history, 190 teams have taken a 3-1 lead in a series and 182 of them have won. "They're playing their best basketball of the season right now," said Zydrunas Ilgauskas. "They're playing better than they played against Philly and Boston. We've tried everything. We've tried mixing up our defensive coverages, we've tried defending pick and rolls, tried everything in the post. It's worked at times, but 17 3s are hard to overcome." LeBron James said, "We're breaking down in areas we haven't broken down all year. We got to give up something."
   
The Cavaliers are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 playoff games as a favorite.
The Cavaliers are 7-19-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 96

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