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Sunday Service Plays

Re: Sunday Service Plays

LARRY NESS

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
PICK: Milwaukee Brewers

The Cubs took two of three in Milwaukee from April 10-12 earlier this year and entered this weekend series having won 11 of 16 games at Miller Park since the start of the 2007 season. However, after losses on both Friday and Saturday, Chicago is in danger of being swept in Milwaukee for the first time since May 3-5, 2005. Ryan Braun hit a two-run HR in the eighth inning to lead Milwaukee to a 3-2 win on Friday and last night, Craig Counsell and Braun hit back-to-back HRs during a six-run seventh which broke open a close game, as the Brewers won again (12-6). Milwaukee opened the 2009 season just 4-9 but is 14-4 since April 22, which represents the best mark in MLB over that time frame .Braun has been carrying the offense during the team's winning streak, hitting .443 with seven HRs and 23 RBI in his last 17 games. The Cubs have fought injuries all season and 3B Aramis Ramirez was placed on the 15-day DL on Saturday with a dislocated left shoulder (he is expected to be out at least a month). 1B Derrek Lee sat out his fourth straight game Saturday with neck spasms and is scheduled to have tests on Monday. Without those two, the Cubs stranded 12 runners on Saturday night. The pitching matchup for Sunday features lefty Sean Marshall of the Cubs and veteran righty Jeff Suppan of the Brewers. Marshall made 24 starts in 2006, going 6-9 with a 5.59 ERA (team was 12-12). He made 21 appearances (19 starts) in 2007, greatly improving his ERA to 3.92 but still went just 7-8 (team was 9-10). He was the team's long reliever for much of the 2008 season, appearing in 34 games (seven starts), going 3-5 with a 3.86 ERA (team was 1-6 in his starts). However, he earned the team's fifth starting spot out of spring training and after two short relief stints, will make his fifth start of 2009 in this one. He's 0-4 with a 4.32 ERA in those four starts and has now made eight starts (he's 0-6 and the team 0-8) since his last victory, a 7-1 win over St Louis on July 6 of last year. Making matters worse, Marshall is 1-2 with a 9.53 ERA in nine games (two starts) in his career vs the Brewers. He'll face a Milwaukee team today, which was an impressive 14-7 (6.03 RPG) vs lefties in day games last year (Brewers have faced left-handed starts a total of just seven times in 2009, going 5-2 in all situations). Jeff Suppan's story is much different than Marshall's. He began his career way back in 1995 with the Red Sox. He moved to Arizona, then KC and Pittsburgh, before coming back to Boston at the end of 2003. He didn't do well in that return and he signed with St Louis for the 2004 season. Suppan posted records of 16-9 (4.16) in 2004 and 16-10 (3.57) in '05, then fell off some in 2006 (12-7, 4.12). However, he pitched well in the postseason that year, as the Cards surprised everyone by winning the 2006 World Series. He used that to sign a big free agent deal with Milwaukee and he's gone 12-12 (4.62) and 10-10 (4.96) the last two seasons. Some may call him a disappointment but let me note that his 34 starts in 2007 and 31 last year, gave him 10 straight seasons with 30-plus starts. How many starting pitchers can make that claim these days? He opened the year with two poor efforts but is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA over his last four outings, with Milwaukee winning all four. Take Milwaukee to complete the sweep on Sunday.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Anaheim Ducks +200 @ Detroit Red Wings

A value play here; to say this series has been unpredictable would be an understatement. With this series now being a best of 3, like the Blackhawks last night, the Ducks have a real opportunity to play major spoilers and come away with an upset victory on the road with a concerted effort this evening. Anaheim is 10-6 (+6 units) when revenging a home loss vs. an opponent while the Red Wings are a poor 7-8 (-4.6 units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season; value play on ANAHEIM!

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

RJ Robbins

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers     
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers   

We are taking the Dodgers. LA fits into situation to play on home team LA Dodgers, that are a good hitting team (AVG >=.275) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, in May games. 36-8 the L5 seasons. LA DODGERS 5 San Francisco 3

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Scott Rickenbach

San Diego Padres @ Houston Astros
PICK: Under 8.5

It certainly hasn't been "the year" so far for either one of these struggling offenses. That said, there is great value with the under in this one based on the pitching match-up. The Padres Geer played his college ball at nearby Rice University and there is no doubt that he is relishing this opportunity to face the home town Astros at Minute Maid Park. He's also coming off of a fantastic outing and he certainly should be matched "pitch for pitch" by the Astros Roy Oswalt. In most all of his starts so far this season, Oswalt has been his usual, dominant self and we should see more of that this afternoon! Consider a small play on UNDER the total in Houston on Sunday afternoon.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

DAVE MALINSKY

HOUSTON/SAN DIEGO First Half Under 4.5

We are hearing good health reports concerning Roy Oswalt, which makes him ideal to back against a struggling San Diego offense. We like what we see from Josh Geer much more than what the markets have, making him an under-valued commodity, with a particularly good chance to handle a lineup without Lance Berkman. What we do not like are some of the bullpen particulars, especially with Houston lacking a closer today (LaTroy Hawkins is off of back-to-back nights and 36 pitches). So we will back the starters early and take the end-game out of play in this one.

Oswalt’s 0-2/4.26 is not earning much early respect but he is not far off of his game at all; outside of a five-run inning at St. Louis nearly a month ago he has basically been Roy Oswalt. Now he gets a chance to step down in class against a punchless Padre lineup, and he brings an 8-2/2,62 lifetime against them, including a 3-0/1.57 in the last three starts from this mound.

Meanwhile Geer is not only an under-rated commodity, but brings a special focus today, as the former Rice University star gets his first Major League start back in the neighborhood. We were confident enough to back him with a 6* Under ticket in his last outing, that 2-1 win in 10 innings over Colorado, and note part of that logic – as a starter he has now worked to a 2.52 tune the past two seasons, but he had an ugly relief outing vs. Pittsburgh two weeks ago when he was called in to replace an injured Shawn Hill. That outing carries more weight in his numbers than it should. Geer has a terrific command of the strike zone (11 walks in 52 Major League innings), and has held right-handers to a .200 clip this season, which sets him up well into a lineup that lacks left-handed punch without Berkman. We can call for him to have a couple of good passes against hitters that have not seen him before, and by then our mission has been accomplished.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks

Washington is 31-65 their last 96 games as underdogs and they are 14-48 on the road vs. righty starters. The Nationals are 13-32 after scoring two or less runs in their last game and they are they are 1-4 in Scott Olsen's last 5 starts. Arizona starter Max Scherzer has allowed 11 runs total in his 5 starts this year. The Diamondbacks are 37-18 as home favorites of -151 to -200 and they are 4-0 in Game 3 of a series. PLAY ON ARIZONA (Scherzer vs. Olsen)

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Jimmy The Moose

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Over

The over is 8-3 in the Mariners last 11 games overall. The over is 6-2 in their last 8 following a loss. In their last 17 games as a favorite the over is 14-3. Seattle has played over the total in 4 of Bedard's 6 starts this season. Minnesota has played the over in their last 6 home games. In their last 7 games as a home dog the over is 5-2. The over is 20-7 in the Mariners last 27 trips to Minnesota. The over is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings overall. Play the over.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Andre Gomes

Play on San Diego ML @ +148

The Padres shouldn't be such underdogs for this contest as this game will be a close contest. Today the Astros send their ace Roy Oswalt to the mound and Oswalt is yet to reach his best form.  He is coming from a non quality start vs. Washington by allowing 4 runs in just 5 innings. To make things even worst he left that game with a bone bruise on his right index finger and there is a possibility that he's not 100% healthy for this contest. Remember that the Astros are just 3-3 with him. Meanwhile the Padres send Josh Geer to the mound and Geer has been a great surprise so far in the season.

He took a shutout into the eighth inning in his last start vs. Colorado on Tuesday before allowing a home run to Chris Iannetta. He left the game with a no-decision but all his 3 starts in this season were quality starts and we must not forget that he faced the Dodgers and the Phillies so we are talking about quality teams! Let's give some credit to Geer in here. Both teams are struggling offensively and last night the Astros won 5-4 despite having less hits and LOB. 1B Lance Berkman  is doubtful for today and I don't see a clear edge for any team in here. My fair line for this game is -120 for the Astros so they are overrated today and that's why I'm taking the Padres in here.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION


(726) Houston Rockets +7


This line doubled when the news of Yao's broken foot was
released, but I expect a hell of an effort by the Rockets in
this game. Houston might not pull of the win, but seven is
way too high. Take the points.


2009 Free Selections Record  69-57  (54.8%)

===================================================

Free Selection from Totals4U
Sunday's free selection: Tampa Bay/Boston under 9 1/2

===================================================

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
258 - 170 run  60 %   

Sun:  Arizona (MLB)

Sat   DODGERS  TY   Fri Red Sox  Ty

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

MATT FARGO

Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays

It is surprising that Toronto is getting it done this season with the pitching staff it has. After Roy Halladay, there certainly are no big names but they have been good enough to get it done and let the offense do its thing. Today it will be Brett Cecil who is actually one of the top pitching prospects in the organization. His Major League debut was a success as he went six innings and allowed just six hits and no walks and just one earned run. This will be his first road start but it comes against one of the worst offenses in baseball as Oakland is hitting just .239 on the season, easily worst in the American League. Cecil faces Dallas Braden who is off to a fine start this year with a 2.50 ERA in six start. He is just 3-3 however as Oakland is averaging just 3.3 rpg in his starts and even the best of efforts are not going to secure wins with that offense behind him. On the other side, Toronto is killing left-handed pitching, batting .320 on the season including .349 over its last 10 games. The Blue Jays are 10-4 in their last 14 games against a left-handed starter while Oakland is 8-24 in its last 32 games against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is less than 1.15. Toronto is now 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in this series. 3* Toronto Blue Jays

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Ron Raymond

CAR (+175) vs BOS

When CAROLINA played as Underdog- in the month of May; The Hurricanes are 12-6 SU as an underdog in this role since 1997. .When CAROLINA team played as a Road team - Vs Non Division Opponent - During the month of May - Coming off vs. Northeast division opponent; The Hurricanes are 8-4 SU in this spot.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Boston at Orlando
Pick: Orlando -5

We were on the Magic in game three with a very easy 5-unit winner. What's changed for this game? Not much. We have the same line and I still like the Magic. Yes, this is more of a must-win for Boston but the fact remains that right now, without KG in the Boston lineup, the Magic are the better team. Boston can put up a fight but in the end, they don't have the team necessary to beat Orlando - not here at home. Boston has fought valiantly in the playoffs but they seem to be wearing down. They are just 5-5 in the playoffs now, allowing 106.4 points per game. Orlando knows the importance of winning this game. They can either go up 3-1 and in all likelihood clinch the series or they can head back to Boston tied 2-2. Stan Van Gundy reminded his team after game three that Philadelphia was in this position (up 2-1 after three games) last series and lost the series. I believe Orlando won't let down here. Orlando manhandled Boston last game even without their starting point guard who will be back for this one. The Magic are 25-11 ATS against teams scoring 100+ points per game. They are 25-15 ATS this season against winning opponents. The Magic get the call again here.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

JACK JONES

Florida Marlins +102 over Colorado Rockies

Colorado has been outscored 19-7 in their last three losses and will have trouble reversing that trend with Aaron Cook on the mound today.  He is 1-2 with a 6.10 ERA in four starts against the Marlins and is 1-1 with a 5.67 ERA in five starts this year.  Chris Volstad has been great for Florida, going 2-1 with a 2.97 ERA.  He has made three starts on the road this year and given up just six ER in 18.3 innings.  I do prefer the Marlins bullpen too when this came comes down the stretch, in 56.3 innings on the road this year, the team has given up just 37 hits and 13 runs while striking out 56.  From start to finish the team should be in good hands on the hill, which you can't say about the Rockies.

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Re: Sunday Service Plays

Yankee Capper

NHL
Carolina/Boston Over 5

NBA
LA Lakers -8
Orlando Magic -5

MLB
New York Yankees -145
Washington/Arizona Under 9.5

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