MONDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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ATS Lock CLub
4 North Carolina -7.5

ATS Financial Package

3 Under 152.5

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The Prez

Cleveland Indians/Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 (-115) / 3 units

Washington Nationals (145) / 4 units

Washington Nationals/Florida Marlins UNDER 8.0 (-110) / 3 units

Pittsburgh Pirates (170) / 3 units

Oakland Athletics/Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8.5 (-110) / 3 units

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Mike Rose

Texas Rangers (115) / 2 units

New York Yankees /Baltimore Orioles over 8.5 (-105) / 2 units

Detroit Tigers / Toronto Blue Jays Under 7.5 (-105) / 2 units

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Adam Meyer

Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels

Joe Saunders is notoriously hot in the early part of the season and went 5-0, 2.08 ERA last April. Dallas Braden for the A’s is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA lifetime against the Angels. Garrett Anderson is no longer an Angel and Bobby Abreu is not the hitter Anderson is as a replacement. If both pitchers play to form this game easily goes under the total.

Play: Under 8.5 Runs


North Carolina vs. Michigan State

While MSU has been the darling of the local fans in Detroit that does not erase the fact that North Carolina blew out the Spartans, 98-63, earlier this year. Yes, center Goran Suton missed that game and he is playing well now-but he’s not a game-changer in the scenario MSU faces tonight. Look for Ty Lawson, Tyler Hansbrough and company to once again overwhelm an opponent with superior fire power. MSU exposed U. CONN’s guards in their semi-final win. As North Carolina’s Ty Lawson is probably the best guard in America-that won’t happen tonight. Lawson will win the battle of the back court for the Tarheels and they will win this game and cover the spread tonight.

Play: North Carolina -7.5

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C-Stars Sports

5000 Units Championship Total of the Year! Michigan St/North Carolina UNDER the total
1000 Units Top Play Arizona over Colorado
50 Units Cleveland over Texas
50 Units Cubs/Houston UNDER the total

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BeatYourBookie

100* Play North Carolina (-7.5) over Michigan State (NCAA)

North Carolina is 5-0 SU & ATS in all NCAA Tournament Games this season
North Carolina is 19-0 SU in non-conference games this season
North Carolina is 11-0 SU when the total posted is between 150 and 159.5
North Carolina is 14-1 SU coming off an UNDER the total


Other Hoops & Hockey Plays

30* Play Montreal (-175) over Ottawa (NHL)

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ROBERT FERRINGO

3-Unit Play. Take #926 Los Angeles Angels (-135) over Oakland (9 p.m.)
I know that the Angels’ rotation has taken some hits. But that’s the type of thing that’s going to wear on them a bit over the long haul. As for Opening Day, I’m a Joe Saunders fan. The kid is 7-0 in his career in April with a 2.04 ERA. Solid. He’s also been very good against the A’s in his career, going 5-2 with a 3.33 ERA against them. And that highlights what has been an issue for the A’s for several years now – they aren’t very good against left-handed pitching. Matt Holiday will surely help that, and Orlando Cabrera isn’t too shabby. But that’s not enough to offset the fact that they finished last year just 8-17 against lefties. Also, the Halos are 38-15 in Saunders’ last 53 starts and 25-10 in his last 35 home starts.

The Angels, on the other hand, chew up lefties. And Dallas Braden isn’t even a good lefty. The Halos are 17-8 against left-handed starters and have been one of the best teams against lefties over the last three years. Braden wasn’t that impressive this spring and I don’t think he’s up to the task here. I think that the Angels want to make a statement in this game. I’m not big on a carryover from Spring Training, but the Angels were absolutely outstanding this Spring. Atlanta was very good this spring as well, which is partially why I backed them last night, and it looked like the winning did carry over. I’m looking for a similar effect here.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #901 New York Mets (-155) over Cincinnati (1 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #901 New York Mets (-1.5, +110) over Cincinnati (1 p.m.)
The Mets have been money on Opening Day, posting the most wins of any club on MLB’s first day. New York has a load more experience and they have a lot of guys that played in the WBC this year, both of which I feel gives them an advantage in this game. It shows me that they have played in big games, they have dealt with the anxiety and pressure and excitement of many Opening Days and they know how to deal with it. It also shows me that a majority of these Mets played in the WBC and have already been taking meaningful at-bats this spring. Was a coincidence last night that Brian McCann and Jeff Franceour – two guys that played for Team USA in the WBC – were the two guys doing the most damage? I think not.

I’m a big Aaron Harang guy. I think he’s going to have a nice bounceback year. But the Mets have a huge edge here because they have lefty sticks that can get to Harang, while our lefty, Johan Santana, will be able to carve up the lefties for the Reds. The Mets are 13-3 in Johan’s last 16 starts and 9-1 when he is a favorite. The Mets were exceptional on the road last year and I expect that to carry over.

2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 Cleveland at Texas (2 p.m.)
Ah, another season in Arlington. The wind is blowing out today - I mean straight out - at 19 miles per hour. As if either one of these lineups needed any help putting runs on the board they will be getting a little boost from Mother Nature. By now we all know what Kevin Millwood is and Cliff Lee has been a wreck this spring. He looks a bit too much like the 2007 Lee for my liking. We have two of the best lineups in the A.L., with the wind at their backs, going up against two iffy arms with not-so-strong bullpens waiting in the wings. We'll roll the bones here.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #904 Arizona (-160) over Colorado (3:40 p.m.)
It’s Brandon Webb in April. Sometimes its best not to complicate things. Webb is 17-2 in his career in April and the D-Backs are 37-14 in his last 51 home starts. The Rockies aren’t a great road team and aren’t a great underdog. Arizona is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings overall and 8-2 in their last 10 against Aaron Cook.

1-Unit Play. Take #921 Detroit (+135) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
Call me crazy, but I actually like the Tigers out of the box this season. I'm intent to work a chase on them similar to the one I worked on Atlanta - and hopefully with the same results. It's crazy to go against Doc Halladay at home. Crazy. But if there is a month to get on Doc it's in April. He has a career 20-16 mark in the opening month and is 111-50 in all the other months combined. I like the value here on the Tigers, as I don't think that the Jays have enough offense (again) this year.

1-Unit Play. Take #909 L.A. Dodgers (+115) over San Diego (7 p.m.)
Going against Peavy and Halladay - at home - on the same day? Yeah, I gotta do it. The Dodgers are the best in the West and Hiroki Kuroda is one of the few decent arms they have in that lineup. I just think that the Dodgers have enough offense to scratch out a couple runs against Peavy. I'm still very unsteady when it comes to the lineup that the Dads are trotting out there. If we lose to Peavy and Halladay then it cost us -200 to find out what we already knew. If we can just earn a split out of these two picks that's a profit from the pair and that fits into the rest of today's lineup.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #924 Minnesota (-140) over Seattle (8 p.m.)
No Ichiro for this one has the M’s scrambling to piece together a lineup that is strong at the top. The Mariners are not a great road team and haven’t been a great turf team. In fact, King Felix is just 8-13 with a 4.77 ERA on turf in his career. The Twins are going to ride that homefield advantage. And what they have lost with Mauer they have picked up with guys like Cuddyer, Crede, and Kubel. I like that Liriano is starting over Baker today and as long as Francisco stays away from Adrian Beltre I think the Twins can get to King Felix.

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BobbyClarkeSports

Reds(Harang)+1.5 runs Wager 575 to win 500
Yankees/Orioles over 8.5 runs Wager550 to win 500
Astros (Oswalt) wager 525 to win 500

NCAA: Michigan St/No Carolina under 153 ager 550 to win 500

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BARRY HOLTHAUS

Michigan St. vs. N. Carolina
North Carolina -7

North Carolina has the two best players on the court in guard Ty Lawson and forward Tyler Hansbrough. This has been the goal of North Carolina since the start of the season, to win the national title, since last years loss to Kansas in the final four. The Tar Heels are playing their best basketball and get their 5th national title.

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JMKWINNERS

15* Indians

15* Cubs

10* MSU

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Winning Way Sports

5 units on Michigan State/North Carolina Over 152.5

Baseball for April 6, 2009

MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles Dodgers (+120)
- Kuroda & Peavy
- Action

MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles/Padres Over 6.5 (-110)
- Kuroda & Peavy
- Action

MLB - 2.5 units on Minnesota Twins (-150)
- Hernandez & Liriano
- Action

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Bob Balfe

NCAA Basketball
Michigan State/UNC Under 153

MLB Baseball
Cubs/Astros over 8 runs -110
Zambrano/Oswalt

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Seabass

20* Pitt
30* LAA
40* Tor

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Indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. Under 7.5 Runs. Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Bluejays

Verlander started off the year 1-7 last year and he is one of the reasosn why the Tigers never reached their potential. Well, he is on a big bounce-back here. Remember, the Tiger was capable of big things in the year before and he has really worked hard to make the necessary changes. He gave up just 1 run during a 19 inning spring training stretch this year so it looks to be working. In 15 opening day games, Halladay is a solid 11-2 with a 1.93 ERA but note he did not faced the Tigers last year and it has been quite some time since this Tigers lineup has faced him. Last year, Halladay was 10-4 witha 2.78 ERA in Toronto. In short, you have a pitcher on a bounce-back and a pitcher that does traditionally well on opening day (and the Tigers haven't seen Halladay's stuff in quite some time). The Under is 4-1 in Verlander's last 5 road starts dating back to last year, but more importanly, with the changes in his stance that he has made and with Halladay at 6-2 to the Under as a short lay of -110 to -150, limited runs seems like a good possibility here. Let's get this long, long season off to a good start this week.


2 Unit Play. Take Under 72 for First Half Between Michigan State vs. North Carolina

If you'd like my full thoughts on this game, check out my page. We cashed on the Super Bowl, the NIT Championship, the CBI Championship, so hopefully we can cash on the National Championship. I always look for comparisons when teams play. An example of what UNC faced similar to Michigan State is Oklahoma earlier this year when UNC won 70-62 although it was really a much bigger blow out than that. Oklahoam started off shooting extremely poor that game and then started picking it up. If this is a high paced game, the chances are limited that Michigan State has any chance of winning this game. After all, the last time these two teams played, UNC dropped nearly a 100 points on this team. Both teams are 5-0 ATS during the tournament and it is tough for me to bet against a UNC team that has looked dynamic thus far in every element and the Seniors on this squad who stayed an extra year just for this very reason, and this very game. In that same token, Michigan State is basically at home. They are the Underdog but have a great crowd behind them. Thus, what I've decided to do is to roll with the Under in the First Half. This allows us to take advantage of the intensity in the first half for Michigan State, as Izzo will likely have a different defensive plan than what he showed this team the first time around when these two teams met. The first half of the Oklahoma game totaled 55 (2nd half totaled 77). I expect UNC to be a bit off rhythm after the first half and then they will make the necessary adjustments and come back in the second half. I expect Michigan State to look to drag this game out if possible in their offensive set. The way that Michigan State wins this game is if it's a drag down, physical contest. Remember, while Michigan State has gone through the likes of Louisville and UConn (beat two #1 squads, UNC has not beat any #1 squads as the the highest seed they faced was Oklahoma who they defeated by 12 and the game went well Under. I'm not certain about the Side but I do like the Under first half as it is significant from my numbers. Let's take advantage of that Detroit crowd in the early going, Izzo's defensive adjustments that he makes from the first game, Michigan State wanting to slow this game down a bit like they did to Louisville and look to cash the First Half Under here as we hopefully close out the year with 4 of 6 Winners.

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Kelso

20 units Michigan State
20 units Under
10 units Parlay Michigan State and Under

Baseball

Minnesota Twins -132
Pittsburgh Pirates Over 7.5

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Anthony Redd

25 Dime Michigan State

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Chris Jordan

600♦ Michigan State/North Carolina UNDER

200♦ MICHIGAN STATE

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THE GOLD SHEET'S LTS (+)

NORTH CAROLINA (-7) over Michigan State

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ROOT

Chairman -San Diego Padres
Millionaire -Michigan St

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Seabass

50 Michigan State

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