Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Mike Anthony

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators     
Play: Over 5.5

Tampa has played over the total in 3 of their last 4 games and in 5 of their last 7 overall. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team from the Northeast Division. Ottawa has played over the total in 4 of their last 5 games. The over is also 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The Senators have played over the total in 5 of their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Both team's have the players that can run up the scores and suspect goaltending making this a high-scoring game.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Dave Price

1 Unit on Iowa State +11

The Cowboys basically get home court with this one being played in Oklahoma City and they come in having won 6 of their last 7, but I'm taking the Cyclones here. DePaul proved yesterday not to count out the teams with nothing to lose in these tournaments. Iowa State was crushed 86-67 during the regular season and the Cyclones will use that game as a motivator here. The public is giving the Cyclones no chance and that means that the books did their job with this line. Smart money goes on the Cyclones.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

Baylor Bears at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Play: Nebraska +1

The Huskers are the kind of squad that has the opportunity to do well in this tournament and the reasons are simple. They do not rely on their offensive efforts to do all of the work for them. They rely on a strong defense that has an efficiency rating of #19 in the country. That is very good indeed, and it has allowed them to be competitive away from Lincoln. At the same time, they can put the ball in the nets as well and has much better offensive efficiency that most teams in this country. Nebraska is going to throw a slow pace at Baylor today and it is one that can frustrate the efforts of a squad like the Bears. It certanly did in their only meeting this year with the Cornhuskers winning a 4 point contest on the Bears home floor. Baylor had a devil of a time getting into rythem in that contest, and the fact is, they have not been doing well at that for a while. The Bears have simply fallen apart toward the end of this season, winning just twice in their last 12 games, and both of those in at home. They are currently on a 3-14 ATS run, and their primary problem has been the inability to get, and decide upon, good shot opps. Shooting numbers are way down over the last 10 games, and that is not going to improve today verses this Husker D. While this betting line somewhat shocks me, some of it I know it is based on the early season success of Baylor. I am simply taking advantage of that fact, with what is going on now. PLAY NEBRASKA.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

ROCKETMAN

UC Davis vs UC Irvine
Play: UC Davis +2

Both teams come in with identical 12-18 records this year. This is the first game in the first round of the Big West Conference Tournament. UC Davis is 9-1 SU and 8-1 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more. UC Davis is 3-1 ATS in this series since 1997. UC Davis is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. UC Davis is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. UC Davis is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. UC Davis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss. We'll recommend a small play on UC Davis tonight!

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

TOM STRYKER

AIR FORCE (+) over Colorado St

If DePaul can do it, why can't Air Force? The Falcons finished Mountain West play with a shocking 0-16 SU record and that was the first time ever the Flyboys went winless in conference action. As ugly as it looks to take the Force, the points are definitely the way to go.

Last night, I won with Fresno State thanks to a First Round (or Donkey Round) system of mine that has produced a magnificent 26-4 ATS record for 86.7 percent. This angle goes against a certain seeds in the play in round provided they enter off back-to-back straight up losses. There are a couple of additional parameters that are used to make this situation pop but, with more potential plays on the horizon, I'm not at liberty to discuss them right now. Air Force fits this money-making system on Wednesday evening.

I realize the Falcons have lost 17 straight. However, the Flyboys have played extremely well lately. In fact, in their last four games against Colorado State, Wyoming, UNLV and BYU, Air Force lost by just 16 points combined. Comparatively speaking, the Rams haven't exactly been lighting it up. CSU is on a weak 7-21 SU and 9-15-2 ATS run and have generated a dismal 12-28-3 ATS record in its last 43 games priced as a single-digit favorite in conference play. Don't be surprised when the Falcons win this game straight up on the floor. Take Air Force.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

MTi Sports

The Magic are 11-0 ATS (+8.0 ppg) off a road loss that broke at least a three-game winning streak, 9-0 ATS (+5.5 ppg) when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss as a favorite and 11-0 ATS (+8.5 ppg) at home when their opponent is off an overtime game. Chicago is 0-6 ATS (-11.9 ppg) with at least one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer on the road in which they trailed by double digits.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Dwayne Bryant

Oklahoma State -10.5 vs. Iowa State

This opening round game of the Big 12 Tournament will feel like a home game for the Cowboys. This game is being played at Ford Center in Oklahoma City, which is only a little over an hour away from Oklahoma State's home court in Stillwater.

These two teams met just once this season. On 2/14 in Stillwater, the Cowboys were 10-point chalk and they blasted Iowa State, 86-67. After losing their last game to rival Oklahoma and with a potential rematch with the Sooners on deck, I expect the Cowboys to be plenty motivated to get the job done in this one.

The Cyclones have only won 3 of their last 14 games with all 3 wins coming at home. Iowa State did win their last game - a 78-76 win over Texas Tech. But I seriously doubt they would've won that game had Tech not been coming off an absolutely huge win over Kansas.

The Cyclones are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog, and 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Iowa State is also just 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points.

The Cowboys are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The favorite is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

I'll lay the heavy lumber with Oklahoma State in what is basically a home game tonight.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Ron Raymond

Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa

Ron's Comment: The Senators are playing like they did the last 3 years and Clouston has pushed the right buttons with his talented players. If this stat doesn't keep you away from Tampa Bay, then I don't know what would incline you to bet on this Lightning squad. When TAMPA BAY team played as a Road team - Before a non division game - Coming off vs. Eastern Conference opponent - Coming off a Home loss as a Underdog; the Lightning are 1-27-2 since 1997 in this hockey spot.

Prediction: Ottawa 5 Tampa Bay 3


Carolina vs. Chicago

Ron's Comment: Ride the Cam Ward wave, he's been hot and reuniting Staal with Cole has paid dividends thus far. When CAROLINA team Played as Road team as an Underdog - During the month of March - Coming off vs. Atlantic division opponent; the Hurricanes are 8-5 SU in this underdog role. Furthermore, the Canes are 5-0 SU as a dog vs. Chicago.

Prediction: Carolina 3 Chicago 2


Vancouver vs. Anaheim

When you see the Ducks getting rid of quality players like Kunitz and Moen, you know the house is broke! Chemistry is the problem right now in Anaheim, too many new faces and guys are competing like they once use too at the Duck pond. Great price on Luongo and the Canucks here! When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Total is 5.5 - After a non division game - Before a conference game - Coming off vs Pacific division opponent - Scored 2 or less goals FOR in their last game - Coming off a Road loss as a Favorite; the Road Favorite (VAN) is 14-3-0 SU in this spot since 1996.

Prediction: Vancouver 3 Anaheim 2

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

CHI (-150) vs CAR

Although they've struggled in their last few games, I look for the Blackhawks to take care of business tonight against the Hurricanes who are about to suffer a 'letdown'. Carolina may be on fire, but it is a horrible 2-3 its last 5 after a 3-game unbeaten streak while Chicago is 5-2 its last 7 when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season; play on CHICAGO!

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

GoodFella

MIA -3 vs BOS

Short & sweet here, Boston is missing several key players from their team & not having Rondo is just huge for this game IMO. Miami is coming off a very dramatic double overtime win over the Bulls in their last game, on Monday night. D-Wade got a steal & threw up a running 3-ball from about 24 feet to beat the Bulls at the buzzer 130-127. Those kind of wins can really give a team a big boost & not that they needed it anyways. Miami is trying to chase down the Hawks for the ever important #4 seed in the Eastern Conference playoff chase. They sit just 1.5 games behind the Hawks, & whoever gets the #4 spot will have the homecourt edge when they play in the 1st round of the playoffs. Miami lost to Boston at Miami 98-83 back on Jan. 21st & they have actually lost 6 straight games to the Celtics. Boston is 1-5 ATS their L/6games & Miami is 4-0 ATS L/4 games as a home fav of .5 to 4.5. I think tonight is a great spot for the Heat to avenge some payback on the Celtics tonight, & I will lay the short # with Miami at home and I look for a 6-7 pt win.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

John Ryan

Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M     
Play: Over 148

Ai Simulator 3* graded play OVER Texas tech/Texas A&M slated to start at 9:30 EST. This is a PHILLIPS 66 BIG 12 MEN'S CHAMPIONSHIP 1ST ROUND game taking place at Oklahoma City. AiS shows a 75% probability that 150 or more points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 133-93 OVER mark since 2003. Play over with all teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread facing an opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread. AiS shows an 85% MINIMUM probability that TT will take between 54 and 62 shots, that TT will take 10 or more LESS free throws than A&M, that A&M will score between 75 and 80 points. TT is a solid 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) when they attempt 10+ less free throws than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Notre Dame vs. West Virginia
Play: Notre Dame +5

A rematch from about a month ago when Notre Dame was beat by 11 points in Morgantown, WV. Notre Dame is in a must win situation, needing at least 2 more wins to give themselves a chance for at large selection to the big dance.

Notre Dame offensively is a very explosive team that can score in the mid 70's against most anyone. Defense has been the trouble with this team all year giving up over 71 points a game. Lately though they are more focused on defense and have not give up more than 60 points in last two games. Notre Dame must do better on the defensive rebounding than they did the first game. Also they must get this game in the 70's or more to have a shot to win this game outright.

West Virginia is a hard team to figure out they have played with every good team all year but have had some really surprising losses. Coach Huggins and WVU hang their hat on defense and when they are successful hold opponents to under 40% shooting and under 60 points. Today for WVU to win they must lock down this explosive Irish offensive attack and hold them under 65 points. If this game ends up in the 70's Notre Dame will most likely cover the spread and possibly win outright.

Recent Trends:

Irish are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Mountaineers are 13-15 ATS overall this season

Have loved Coach Huggins style and teams for years now but today think that Notre Dame plays with extra motivation and locks down on defense and does a better job on the defensive boards. Harrangody will get his 30 pts today and lead his team a straight up win. SCORE ND 76 - WVU 72

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Tom Freese

New Jersey Nets at Golden State Warriors
Prediction: Over

New Jersey is 8-0 OVER on Wednesday and they are 4-0 OVER their last 4 Western Conference games. The Nets are 6-1 OVER after allowing 100 or more points in their last game and they are 9-2 OVER their last 11 games overall. Golden St is 21-10 OVER their last 31 home games and they are 14-6 OVER vs. a team with a losing road record. The Warriors are 4-0 OVER with three or more days of rest and they are 4-0 OVER their last 4 home games with the Nets. PLAY ON 'OVER'

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

LT Profits

Texas A&M -6.5

This game between the Texas A&M Aggies and the Texas Tech Red Raiders seems like a mismatch on paper, and with Texas A&M needing a couple of wins in this Big 12 Tournament to assure themselves an NCAA Tournament bid, we are anticipating an emphatic victory.

The Aggies went 23-8 during the regular season, but they were a modest 9-7 in the conference, so they would be best served by advancing in this tourney to lock up a berth to the Big Dance. They certainly treated there supporters well this season, going 15-8 against the spread, including a sweep both straight up and ATS in two meetings with Texas Tech. The Aggies were also 9-4 ATS on the road, which will serve them well at this neutral site in Oklahoma City.

On the other hand, the Red Raiders finished at just 13-18 overall and a woeful 3-13 inside the conference, and they burned a lot of money to the tune of a 9-14-1 ATS record. Perhaps worst of all for the Red Raiders here though is the fact that they finished 0-11 SU on the road while losing those contests by an average of -13.0 points per game.

We do not expect them to suddenly become competitive away from home tonight vs. a team that has already beaten them twice this year.

Pick: Texas A&M -6.5

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Oregon State +7

This line is way off the mark and we will look to capitalize. Not only did Oregon State finish with a better conference record than Stanford, but it also swept the season series with a pair of double digit wins. Yes, Stanford will be out for revenge, but beating a team twice by double digits in the same season is no fluke. On a neutral floor, I won't hesitate to take the points with an Oregon State team that will have an excellent opportunity to win this game straight up. The Beavers lost 3 straight games to close out the season, all 3 on the road and with 2 of them against flat out better teams. They'll be ready to roll here against a team they know they can beat. Plays on neutral court teams as an underdog (OREGON ST) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, with four starters returning from last season are 60-27 ATS since 1997. Take the points!

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Miami Heat -4

Boston is already without KG and it is expected to be without Rajon Rondo also as he nurses an ankle injury. On top of that Paul Pierce and Ray Allen are expected to be limited as they have been logging way too many minutes in KG's absence. Oh yeah, and Big Baby Davis is expected to miss. This will make it very tough for Boston to get into any sort of offensive rhythm tonight against a Miami team that will be out to avenge a 15-point loss in this building back in late January. Dwayne Wade is going off right now and I expect a special night from flash. Without Rondo to defend Wade, because I don't think Allen can stick with him when he is in there, I don't see how Wade won't have a huge night. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and this line tells me that Vegas does not expect much from the Celtics tonight.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Southern Mississippi vs. Central Florida
Pick: Central Florida -3

The Golden Knights didn't close the season in conference play the way they would have liked, but have been an over-achieving team, playing above the line. They closed the Conference USA slate with an impressive 11-5 ATS mark and in all games finished 8-4 ATS as a favorite. Southern Miss closed the season in even more dismal fashion as they were able to muster just one win in their last 11 games. Their season away from home left them with similar results with just one win in 11 tries. The Golden Eagles have also been bankrupting their backers with a 2-12 ATS mark in their last 14 games. This team has lost its confidence and I'll go with Central Florida here as a short favorite.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

(Power Angle Play)

Oklahoma State -10.5 over Iowa State

The Cyclones are 2-9-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. Big 12 and 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, while the Cowboys are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. The Cowboys have been a very impressive team down the stretch as thye have won 6 of their last 7 games and have outscored those opponents by 10.1 ppg, including outscoring their 6 victims in that stretch by an average of 12.5 ppg. The team that kicked off their impressive stretch run was this same ISU squad and they won that game by 19, while their lone loss in the stretch was a 4 point loss to mighty Oklahoma, on the Sooners home floor. So many edges for the Cowboys in this one, especially on offense as they rank 4th in scoring (82.2 ppg), 64th in FG% (46.2%), 24th in 3pt FG% (39.2%) and 24th in FT% (74.2%), while the Cyclones rank 238th in scoring (64.9 ppg), 207th in FG% (43.1%), 152nd in 3pt FG% 34.5% and 111th in FT's 70.7%. The Coboys have 4 double digit scorers on their roster, while the Cyclones are a 1 man show (Craig Brackins). The Cyclones do get the defensive edge as they have allowed just 65.1 ppg on the year, while the Cowboys have allowed 74.8 ppg this year, but OSU showed in the 1st meeting (86 points) that great offense will wipe the floor with average defense. Sure the OSU defense is bad but they have allowed just 68.2 ppg in their last 5 games and the Cyclones just don't have enough scorers to take advantage. This one will be a rout.

POWER ANGLE For This Play-- The Cyclones are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, including 0-7-1 this year and they have been outscored by 15.4 ppg in this situation this year. 


3 UNIT PLAY

St Louis/ Lasalle Over 127

The Over is 4-0 in Billikens last 4 games following a S.U. loss, while the Over is 11-3 in Explorers last 14 games following a ATS win.  St Louis' games have averaged just 124.4 ppg overall, including 124.5 ppg away from home, but let's look at down the stretch for a moment. In St Louis' last 12 games only two of those games failed to put 127+ points on the board and both were vs Dayton, while one of those games (St Bonny) landed right on 127. Those 12 games have averaged 132.1 ppg and if ya throw out the 2 vs Dayton, then their other 10 games have averaged 138.5 ppg. We also noite that the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games, while their last 5 away from home have averaged 139.6 ppg.On the other side we fin that Lasalle is just not a slow down type of team, as this team like the uptempo game a bit better. The Explorers have averaged 71.6 ppg on the year (108th) and they have averaged a healthy 76 ppg in their last 5 games. The Explorers have played 4 neutral site games this year and they have allowed and scored 75.8 ppg in those games. with all 4 games going Over the total. The St Louis offense isn't great, but Lasalle has allowed 69.1 ppg on the year, including 70.6 ppg in their last 5 games. St Louis would rather have the game in the 50's, but Lasalle is the better team and will find a way to push the tempo. 127 is just too low here as I feel the line should be in the mid 130's, but I even look for more points than that as these teams should play a game in the 140's.   


UMass/ Duquesne Over 153.5

The Over is 8-3 in Minutemen last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5, while the Over is 16-6 in Dukes last 22 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. This has been a high scoring series of late as the last 4 meetings have all gone over the total, with an average of 169.5 ppg being scored. UMass comes in ranked 302nd in scoring defense as they allowed 73.2 ppg on the year, plus they have allowed 73.3 ppg in A-10 play and 78.6 ppg in their last 5 overall. The Dukes have played even worse defense this year as they have allowed 73.6 ppg overall (306th), including allowing 75.1 ppg in A-10 play and 76.1 ppg in their games away from home. Those bad defense will be going up against two of the better offenses in the A-10. UMass averages 70.1 ppg overall and 73.1 ppg in the A-10, plus they have averaged 76.8 ppg in their last 5 overall. The Dukes are ranked 26th in the nation in scoring as they have put up 78.1 ppg on the year, plus they have averaged 78.3 ppg in A-10 play and 75 ppg in their last 5 overall. These teams have put up at least 171 points in the last 3 meetings and I don't see why they can't do that here as well. This one should be fun.   


Stanford/ Oregon State Over 126.5

The Over is 7-1 in Cardinal last 8 neutral site games, while the Over is 17-8 in Beavers last 25 games following a S.U. loss. 8 of stanford's last 9 conference games have scored 130+ points, with those 9 games averaging 143.8 ppg. Stanford conference games have averaged 141.9 ppg this year, while their road games have averaged 144.2 ppg on the year. The Beaver do play a much slower pace game, but their last 3 games have averaged 133.7 pgp. The Beavers don't score a whole lot, but they will be goping up against a Stanford team that has allowed 73.8 ppg away form home and 74.4 ppg in their last 5 overall. Stanford comes in averaging 73.8 ppg on the road and 76.5 ppg in their last 4 games overall and will be facing a Beavers team that has allowed 66.8 ppg on the road and 75.3 ppg in their last 3 games of the season. Stanford was also held to just 54 points in the last meeting and I don't expect that to happen again This game should be played in the high 130's. 


2 UNIT PLAYS

St Joes -3 over Charlotte

The 49ers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 neutral site games and 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The 49ers have had a tough year as they are 11-19 overall and 5-11 in the A-10. They have also gone 2-13 combined on the road and neutral site games and they have been outscored by 7.7 ppg in their road games overall and 13.7 ppg in their nuetral site games. The 49ers have also gone 0-8 away from home in the A-10 and have been outscored by 10.4 ppg in the process. St Joes did struggle down the stretch, but they have won 2 of their last 3 games and they are 9-7 in league play on the year, plus they have the A-10 player of the year (Ahmad Nivins) on their side. The Hawks move on with an 8+ point win.   

Portland State -7 over Montana State

Texas/ Colorado Over 128


1 UNIT PLAYS

Providence -9.5 over Depaul

Ok the Blue Demons got the monkey off their backs as they won their 1st conference game of the year yesterday, but they are playing on back-to-back, vs a rested Providence team that must have a good showing in the Big East tourney if they want an invite to the Big Dance. Bad spot for a Depaul team that has 12 Big East losses by 10 or more points. Providence rolls here.

Notre Dame +5.5 over West Virginia

Syracuse -6.5 over Setron Hall

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EZ'S FREE SELECTION


Game: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas A&M Aggies

(646) Texas A&M Aggies (-6.5)

The Aggies are peaking at just the right time. Texas A&M has won six straight games and they are 5-1 against the spread in those games heading into the BIG XII tournament. The Red Raiders pulled off a big home win against Kansas, but that is their only win in their last eight games and they have been horrible away from home all season. The Aggies have dominated this series posting a 13-5-1 record against the spread and I expect that to continue in this BIG XII opening round tournament game. Lay the points.

2009 Free Selections Record  36-33  (52.2%)  from -ezwinners.com-

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

(Power Angle Play)

Dallas/ Portland Under 196

The Under is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 games as an underdog, while the Under is 12-4 in Trail Blazers last 16 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Under is 12-5 the last 17 meetings, with those games averaging just 184.8 ppg. Dallas did allow the Suns 117 points last night, but in their previous 9 games thay have allowed just 99.4 ppg. Portland is a team that havs played pretty good defense this year, as they have allowed 95.5 ppg overall and just 93.3 ppg at home. Their home games have averaged right at 196 ppg, while their games overall have put up 194.2 ppg. The Mavs have put up 119 and 122 points in their last 2 games, but that was vs Washington and Phoenix. After playing the and running all over the court with the Suns last night,  I will look for the Mavs to be content with playing a much slower pace game, especially with another run and gun team on deck. That would also make the Blazers happy as they are not a run and gun team themselves. This is a classic OU sandwich game for the Mavs and I see this one in the 180's.

POWER ANGLE For This Play--- The Under is 0-14 during the regular season when the Mavs have a game with the Warriors on deck. This angle has gone Under by 12.2 ppg.


3 UNIT PLAY

(Power Angle Play)

DETROIT -6.5 over NY Knicks

The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, while the Knicks are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Last night I used the Knicks as a PA play and tonight I will be going against them in one. Who knew that The Answer wasn't the answer. Detroit has now gone 5-1 in the 6 games since losing AI to injury and they have averaged 97.9 ppg in the six games. In the Pistons 47 games prior to his departure they had put 100+ points on the board in just 19% of those games, but since the injury they have put 100+ points on the board in 3 of the 6 games. Now they must face a trully horrible defense, as the Knicks come in ranked 28th in points allowed (108.2 ppg) and 28th in FG% defense (47.9%), plus they have allowed 108.5 ppg on the road and 112.1 ppg in their last 9 games overall. One constant for Detroit this year has been their play at the defensive end of the floor, as they are 5th in points allowed (93.9 ppg) and 7th in FG% defense (44.9%), plus it has been even better of late as they have allowed just 92.4 ppg on just 43.4% shooting in their last 5 games. Sure the Knicks can score, but I'm not sure if the rejuvenated Pistons will allow them enough points to keep this one close. Detroit by 10+ here.

POWER ANGLE For This Play--- The Knicks are 0-11 ATS when playing with 1 or no days rest off a game in which their FG attempt per turnover ratio was less than 4. Knicks have been outscored by 9.1 ppg in this situation. 


2 UNIT PLAYS

Lakers/ Houston Over 201

The Over is 11-4-1 in Lakers last 16 road games, while the Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Laker road games have averaged 210.4 ppg. Houston doesn't play that many high scoring games, but they do average 101.4 ppg on their home floor and they have averaged 102 ppg in their last 57 games. The Rockets do play solid defense, but after being held to just 94 points vs Portland, look for Kobe and his mates to score plenty tonight. I see 205+ points in this one.

MIAMI -3.5 over Boston: Injuries and new faces have disrupted the chemistry on the Celtics. Time for a little payback from the teams they've beaten up on recently.  Boston has crushed Miami in their last 4 meetings, but not tonight.


1 UNIT PLAYS

New Orleans/ Washington Under 192.5

Golden State/ New Jersey Over 222.5

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