Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Bobby Maxwell

Rutgers +10' vs. NOTRE DAME, at New York, N.Y.

We've given you FREE winners 25 of the last 44 days and we'll add to that today with a comp winner on Rutgers as they open the Big East Tournament against Notre Dame.

know Notre Dame is "on the bubble" for the Big Dance, and the Irish will likely win this one, but it's not going to be easy. Nothing is easy for the Irish this season. They might win but they aren't covering double-digit points.

Rutgers got a win on Saturday 45-42 over South Florida but came up just short as 3 1/2-point favorites. The Scarlet Knights failed to cover in their final three games, but that came after a 6-2 ATS run, including 6-1 ATS as an underdog.

Rutgers went to South Bend, Ind. on Feb. 25 and hung close for the entire game, but fell 70-65 as a 14-point road 'dog, improving to 9-1 ATS in the last 10 series clashes, including a 72-65 upset win in the 2005 Big East Tournament as a seven-point pup.

Notre Dame has been as inconsistent as any team in college hoops. The Irish are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 overall, 4-11 ATS in Big East action, 2-5 in nuetral site games and 3-7 against teams with a losing record.

We're not calling for the outright upset here, but we'll happily grab the points with Rutgers in this one as this one turns out a lot closer than expected.

3♦ RUTGERS

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

Cleveland State vs. Butler -6, at Indianapolis 

Take Butler minus the points over Cleveland State in the Horizon League championship game.

Cleveland State lost both regular season matchups with Butler, but played them tight in each game before falling by two in each contest.

So why does this line have Butler favored by six?

Mainly because Butler has been there, done that.  The Bulldogs can match the Horizon League record of six tournament titles with a win tonight.

That motivation is enough to carry them to the win and cover tonight.

Last year Cleveland State faced Butler in the conference championship and was crushed, 70-55.  I don’t see anything changing from then to now, and I expect Butler to pull it off again.

The Bulldogs have won four straight in this rivalry and eight of the last nine.

The Vikings are in ATS slides of 5-16 on Tuesday and 3-7 at neutral sites.  The Bulldogs, meanwhile, are on ATS runs of 11-5 at neutral sites and 12-5 against winning teams.

Take Butler minus the points as they gain entry into the field of 65 with the win and cover.

3♦ BUTLER

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Rutgers vs. Notre Dame    
Play; Rutgers +11

In there only match up this year Rutgers gave the Irish a battle and had a chance to win it late but losing 70-65 in South Bend. Neither team have been good this year against the spread with Rutgers 11-11 and Notre Dame was one of the worst in college basketball at 8-16.

Recent Trends
-Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
-Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
-Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
-Fighting Irish are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.
-Fighting Irish are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
-Scarlet Knights are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
-Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Notre Dame the last two years have been absolutely the worst team in college basketball against the spread when leaving South Bend, IN. Notre Dame will win but just as they have done all year they can't cover large spreads due to the poor defense they play. Enjoy this winner SCORE ND 71 - RUT 66

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Tom Freese

New York Knicks vs. Milwaukee Bucks    
Play: New York Knicks +3½

New York is is 14-5-1 ATS their last 19 games as road dogs and they are 5-2-1 ATS their last 8 road games. The Knicks are 5-2 ATS on Tuesday and they are 20-8-1 ATS their last 29 games vs. teams with a winning home record. Milwaukee is 9-22 ATS their last 31 March games and they are 10-21 ATS vs. Atlantic Division teams. The Bucks are 3-10-1 ATS off a straight up win and they are 2-5 ATS their last 7 games vs. the Knicks. PLAY ON NEW YORK +

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Greg Shaker

St. John's / Georgetown Under 122.5

With this tournament being played at Madison Square Garden, this is, in effect sort of a Home Game for the Red Storm. That is good for our cause with St Johns playing much better D here in the Big Apple. So good, that they have a 12-6 overall record, but more importantly, 9-3 UNDER the mark. They are a curious team and have shown spurts of goodness throughout the year. They did give the Hoyas all they wanted about a week ago in a 59-55 Overtime Win, a game that featured just 102 Regulation Time Points. That contest was the fifth time in a row that a Georgetown/St John game ended below the posted total that Vegas put out. I can't expect anything other than that type of activity going on today again with this being Tournament Time, and a Georgetown Squad in town that features a pace rating of 281 in this land. Both Squads play very good defense with the #18 and #74 rated D squads out of 341 Division 1A Schools. Recent Play shows that the Hoyas have not scored into the 60's their last 4 times on a court. The Johnnies have not done the same their last 3 of 4 times on a court. Shot Totals for Hoya Contests have been very low as well, often not getting even close to the 100 mark. With 2 Schools who would rather play halfcourt style of play, the venue we are at, and this being the Big East Tournament, this play qualifies for No-Brainer. That works out well for me since I like to save my brain for other activities. I would play this one down to 118.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Bobcats/Spurs UNDER 178

5 straight games in this matchup have gone under the number, including the first one this season which tallied just 170 points. Odds makers do not set lines this low when they are expecting the teams to conquer it because they are well aware of how much the public likes to bet the over. San Antonio is 14-4 UNDER against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons and 8-0 UNDER in home games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last 3 seasons. The Under is 7-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. a team with a losing SU record and 7-0-1 in Bobcats last 8 vs. a team with a winning SU record. Take the Under.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Western Kentucky -4

The Hilltoppers have already taken down the Jags twice this season and I can't see W. Kentucky being denied a conference tourney title to match its regular season crown tonight. The Hilltoppers are the undeniable best team in this league and their success on neutral floors is what makes them a must play tonight. The Hilltoppers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. The Jaguars have made a good showing in this tournament, but here is where they run out of steam. They are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Lay the number tonight.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Georgetown at St. John's
Pick: Georgetown -6


The Georgetown Hoyas slipped during the middle part of the season, and it has left them at 16-13. They are still alive in many bracketologist’s eyes for an at-large tourney bid based on the fact they have big wins and the No. 1 most difficult schedule in the country. I would expect them to come out here with their "A" game for this one. St. John's was not a good team at the beginning of the season, and with the injuries they have sustained, they certainly aren't any better now. They surprised Georgetown here late in the season, and it was because Georgetown was a no-show off the glass getting out-rebounded by an amazing 20 boards. They outplayed them in every other aspect of the game. I look for a turnaround in this one as the Hoyas win, cover, and advance.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

South Alabama at Western Kentucky
Prediction: Western Kentucky

South Alabama has made a solid run to get to this championship game but this is where it ends. The Jaguars had a very disappointing season as far as early season expectations are concerned and while they are coming on strong at the right time, they will be outmatched once again. This goes against the theory that it is tough to beat a team three times in the same season bit in this case, we should see it happen without a problem. Western Kentucky took both meetings this season and both came down to one key factor and that was free throw shooting, The Hilltoppers shot a combined 24-29 (82.8 percent) from the stripe while South Alabama went a combined 17-30 (56.7 percent). Teams are not going to win many games doing that and it isn?t getting better for the Jaguars. South Alabama is hitting a very poor 57.8 percent from the free throw line over its last five games and it cannot be stressed enough how important it is to make these free throws. Western Kentucky falls into a great situation as well. Play against neutral court teams as an underdog in a game involving two teams that are allowing between 63 and 67 ppg, after a combined score of 110 points or less. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1997 with the average point differential being +11.5 ppg. The Hilltoppers get the sweep tonight. 3* western Kentucky Hilltoppers

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

-ezwinners.com-


Game: Hawaii Warriors vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
 

(585) Fresno State Bulldogs (+1)


Both of these teams are bad and Hawaii has already beaten Fresno State twice this season. These teams are very evenly matched and I don't think Hawaii gets the 3-0 sweep. The Warriors are only 2-5-1 against the spread in neutral court games. Bulldogs get the win.


2009 Free Selections Record  36-32  (52.9%)

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

(Power Angle Play)

New York +3.5 over MILWAUKEE: The Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 e Knicks have been outscored by just road games vs. a team with a winning home record, while the Bucks are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win, plus the Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The knicks come in winners of just 1 of their last 6 games, but they have played really well in their 2 road losses in that stretch as they lost by 5 points to NJ and by 5 points to Miami. despite a 7-22 record the Knicks have been outscored by just 4.3 ppg on the road this year, including just 4.1 ppg in their last 10 away from home. The Bucks have played well at home this year  with a 19-12 mark, but they have won just 2 of their last 6 on their home floor and that was vs GS and Washington. The Bucks have allowed 110.8 ppg in their last 10 games at home and must now take on a Knicks team that has hasd put up 100+ points in 20 straight games, while they have averaged 112.9 ppg in their last 12 games. The Knick defense is bad, Milwaukee has averaged just 99.1 ppg in their last 7 games. Milwaukee crushed the Knicks in the last 2 meetings this year, but both games were with Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut, but tonight both are missing and the result will be different. The Bucks are a combined 14-20 ATS with gtheir 2 starts missing and the Knicks will get their revenge tonight.

POWER ANGLE For This Play-- The Bucks are 1-14 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite with 2 days or more rest and they are coming off a home win in which the had an assist to turnover ratio of at least 2.   


3 UNIT PLAY

(Power Angle Play)

Dallas +6 over PHOENIX: The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, while the Suns are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Ok so I was taken in by Phoenix' ability to score and score some more, so I was playing them a lot since the coaching change and have had mixed results. Yes the Suns can score, but their defense was ranked near the middle of the pack before the change, but now this team team clearly plays the worst defense in the league. The Suns have allowed 115.7 ppg since the change, compared to just the 103.4 ppg they allowed before the change.  Now they face a Dallas team that has averaged 101.1 ppg (11th) and have shot 46% from the field (9th) on the year, plus that offense has been stepped up a bit lately as they have averaged 105.1 ppg in their last 6 games. The mavs also get the edge at the line where they are 2nd in the league (82%), while the Suns are 21st (75.7%), plus the Mavs are 6th in rebounding (42.8 rpg), while the Suns are 14th (41.3 rpg). Phoenix has really struggled with winning teams this year and even without Josh Howard I see the Mavs keeping this one very close, if not winning outright.

POWER ANGLE For This Play--- The Suns are 1-16-2 ATS in their last 19 regular season games following the Spurs. The Suns have been outscored by 6.6 ppg in this situation. 


2 UNIT PLAYS

Cleveland/ Clippers Under 195: The Under is 16-5 in Cavaliers last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, while the Under is 24-9-1 in Clippers last 34 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Cleveland's road games have averaged just 189.2 ppg, while their last 5 overall have averaged 186.6 ppg. Clipper home games have averaged 195.2 ppg, but they score just 93.8 ppg on their home floor this year, while the Cavs average just 96.7 ppg away from home. The Cavs are the top defense in the league as they allow just 90.5 ppg overall and 92.5 ppg on the road. The Clippers defense is bad, but the cavs are not a running team and with a date at Phoenix they will need to conserve energy. I say go low in this one.

SAN ANTONIO -5 over Charlotte


1 UNIT PLAY

Oklahoma City/ Sacramento Over 207

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