FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
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Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
6 units New York Knicks -2
The Knicks have played well at home this year and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Conversely, the 76’ers are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 meetings in NY. Philly lost 4 of 5 games recently and scored only 91.8 PPG in those losses. Look for the Knicks to outscore them at home.
6 units Portland Trailblazers -4.5
The Timberwolves without Al Jefferson (out for the year) are like a fish out of water. They have lost 6 of 7 games without him in the lineup. Portland is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. The Timberwolves are a bad defensive club facing a Blazer team with too many weapons to handle.
6 units Los Angeles Lakers -2
As of this write-up there is still no clear-cut decision about the health of Nene’ for Denver tonight. That said-who cares? The Lakers should run over and around Denver tonight. This line is a gift because the Lakers are a MUCH better team and should dominate Denver in the low post with Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom. Denver is a bad home dog (0-5 ATS) and has given up 116.7 PPG in a recent 3-game losing streak stopped by a 110-109 win over a road-weary Atlanta team. The Lakers have beaten Denver by an average of just over 10PPG in the two wins they had against the Nuggets so far this season.
Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
5 Unit Play. Feb NBA GOM. Take the Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 against the Portland Trailblazers
For starters, there are some great plays on the NBA card today and some upsets in the making. For example, I think Toronto has a great shot at winning outright at Phoenix given still no Nash, and nearly 80% are backing Phoenix. But, Toronto has no bench so I just couldn't roll with them although I do think they likely win SU. You might want to also take a look at Denver who only 30% of the public is on but the line keeps going down in favor of Denver oddly enough despite the fact they struggle against defensive teams such as the Celtics, Spurs and Lakers. I also think Orlando has the potential of running Detroit out of the building as well as Orlando is great when facing a team with revenge as one can see what they did to the Heat most recently at home. In fact, Orlando was nearly my GOM today. Rather, let's take the Timberwolves at home today and give ourselves roughly three coronaries before this game is set and done. For starters, our foe in the Blazers will not quit. From start to finish you better beileve they will play hard as all Nate McMillan teams do. But, the Twolves are at home. They have fared well against Portland in the past falling just short by scores of 83-88 and 93-97 with the most recent game in which Portland won on this very same court 83-88. Minnesota is still selling tickets believe it or not as roughly 14,000 people will still catch this game and the home court will be viable here for the Twolves. I like the fact we are getting the 4.5 points in a game that we could very well win outright, and of course, it is likely to be low scoring like the two previous games before this. It is very difficult to beat a team trice in one season and in particular, to do it back to back on the opposing team's floor in which Portland will try to do here. The problem with Minny has been the lack of bench as their starters get tired and they fail down the stretch. The difference in this game will be the fact they are home imo and their 3 point shooting will be much better today than usual. Remember, the Blazers outscored this team 23-12 last time out in the 4th quarter in Minny. This is why the Blazers won. Minny also shot 2 for 7 from the 3 point land as everything went through Big Al who is no longer playing for the rest of the season due to an injury. Heck, Minnesota chucked up 18 - 3 pointers against the Jazz so their 3 balls have essentially doubled in games without Jefferson as they are an outside shooting team with prowess which I think will give the Blazers some trouble. Plus, Minny made just 3 of 18 from behind the arc in their last game and still somehow was competitive against the Jazz but once again Minny was outscored 22-37 in the fourth. This is just one of those spots, with revenge, Minny being at home, they will shoot much better from behind the arc today, I'm not sure if Portland has the fire power to stay close and my only worry is that Minny does not have a bench, but I will take my shot with Miller, Love, Foye, Gomes and Telfair and hope that the bench of Carney, Smith and Cardinal can give even 20 points as subs. If Minnesota can get 20 points in production from their bench today, they will win this contest. Keep an eye on the Clippers today as well. We are up +19 Units on the month, with our CBB play today and our NBA GOM, we will look to go +28 units as we surge into Saturday, the last day of what seems to be a profitable February.
4 Unit Play. Take Over 134 between Cornell @ Dartmouth
Congrats to us for cashing Rider - barely, but cashing Rider nevertheless on the road at Loyola MD. That brings us to 3-1 on the week with a 5* bank as we look to go 4-1 on the week in college ball with a rare total. Note, I am releasing this total at 3:15am in the morning, so please get the best line possible as I'm certain that it will likely go up. The last time these two teams met, the game went into Double OT as Cornell ended up winning 79-76 in exciting fashion. What was striking in that game was the fact that Dartmouth came into that game as a 20 point underdog only to nearly win outright. I love the over here as Dartmouth is once again nearly a double-digit dog. In fact, the line opened up offshore at -11 for Cornell and then got bought down to -9.5 indicating money coming in on Dartmouth. But, then again, that is a bit expected as Dartmouth does have revenge, this is a home game for them and Cornell comes off a monster win against Brown which was a bounce-back from their SU loss to Yale. Yes, the last time these two teams met, in regulation the score was 61-61 before it went into OT. But, I think these two teams kind of gauged each other out from that contest and will get into the swing of things when it comes to scoring early here. Consider that plus the fact that I would love to normally take Dartmouth here but I would not be surprised if Cornell, the league stalwart decides to make a statement and tries to really ante up the score on Dartmouth. In that same token, I think Dartmouth can be an outright dog and potentially win outright. It's one of those odd games that can go both ways as the line that took a hit from +11 to +9.5 could simply be because that 50% of the public is on either side of the game. So, it's not one of those things like the Rockets line taking a hit at the last second despite 75% on the Cavs. In short, I can see Dartmouth being competitive and sending this game over. I can also see Cornell making a statement and sending this game over. I don't think it's all that impossible to think that either of these teams can put up 70. Both of these teams are more familiar with each other and will get into their offensive set quicker. Plus, Dartmouth did not shoot well from 3 point land in their last game going 4 for 14 and I expect much better shooting from there and shot a poor 16 for 26 from the charity stripe. Cornell is a big and physical team that is a top 100 team in the nation and shoots around 75% from the line and nearly 40% from behind the arc. I will take the over here as I expect a total that might finish up in the mid 140's when all is said and done. Dartmouth is traditionally an under team, but a team that can put up 66 at Princeton and 69 at Penn, I think can equal that effort or put up even 70 at home against a Cornell team that will want to score early and often.
Re: FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS
2* Top Play
Philadelphia 76ers +2.5 over NEW YORK KNICKS
As long-time followers know we are quite fond of fading history when those historical facts just don’t make sense in comparison with the current situational factors. That is precisely the case here. Part of the reason we’re able to get the Sixers plus the points here is because there is going to be some “buy in” into the fact that Philadelphia hasn’t swept the season series with New York in 23 years! The Sixers have won the first three games of this season’s series and tonight’s game in the Big Apple will wrap up the season series. Many people buy into this figuring that if it hasn’t happened in 23 years it’s not likely to happen tonight. However, it is quite likely to happen! The Knicks defense continues to be a sieve and the 76’ers have averaged 113 points per game against New York this season. Also, Philadelphia has a ton of confidence when facing New York. This is not only because of this season’s success as the Sixers have actually taken 12 of their last 14 meetings with the Knicks. New York has allowed 12 of their last 13 opponents to score 104 points or more and that spells trouble against a Sixers team that knows how to defend and is giving up an average of 12 points less per game than the Knicks are this season! After a tough four-game losing streak, including some tight beats, the Sixers offense was able to get rolling against the Wizards on Wednesday and they should enjoy more of the same tonight at New York! Andre Igoudala had a big game at Washington and the Knicks don’t have the personnel to stop the Sixers from attacking the rim and dominating the paint. While the Sixers don’t exactly have a Dwight Howard (who else does?!?!) it is noteworthy that Orlando’s big man toyed with the Knicks in the big Magic win at New York on Wednesday. Don’t be fooled by the final score either as, overall, the game was not nearly as close as the final margin might lead you to believe. The Sixers have a very strong frontcourt and this will play a key role in tonight’s game as the Knicks continue to struggle in the paint. However, don’t forget about the backcourt either! That’s because the Sixers Andre Miller has had tremendous success against New York this season and the Knicks will struggle (again!) with the patience and cohesiveness of this Sixers team. New York just doesn’t have the defense to match-up with the Sixers intensity here. The problem for the Knicks is that Philadelphia also comes in with a lot of motivation for tonight’s game. The Sixers are still burned up about the loss to the Nets in New Jersey on Monday because it came on a half-court buzzer beater. Looking to strengthen their playoff positioning, the 76’ers will once again take advantage of a foe against whom they have some key match-up edges. Play Philadelphia plus the points as a Top Play selection.
Wild (money line)
Canadiens (money line)