Thursday Service Plays

Thursday Service Plays

SPORTS ADVISORS

Minnesota (20-7, 10-11-1 ATS) at (20) Illinois (22-6, 13-9-1 ATS)

Two teams aiming to firm up their NCAA credentials get together when Illinois hosts Minnesota in a Big Ten battle at Assembly Hall.

The Fighting Illini edged Ohio State 70-68 Sunday as a 2½-point road underdog, bouncing back from a stunningly embarrassing 38-33 setback to Penn State as a 9½-point home chalk on Feb. 18. Illinois, which is 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in its last five starts, has been getting it done on the defensive end, yielding just 53 ppg in its last five games and allowing only two of its last 10 opponents to break 60 points. The Illini has the nation’s third-ranked scoring defense (56.2 ppg).

The Gophers ripped Northwestern 72-45 as a six-point home favorite Sunday to halt a two-game SU slide and a five-game ATS plunge. For the season, Minnesota has been outscored in road games by an average of 68.1-62.7, and the highway has been particularly unkind lately, with the Gophers losing SU and ATS on their last four trips by an average final of 13 ppg (70.5-57.5).

Illinois is third in the Big Ten with a 10-5 SU record (7-6-1 ATS in lined games), going 6-1 SU and 3-2-1 ATS at home. Minnesota is in a four-way logjam for fourth in the conference at 8-7 SU (6-9 ATS), with a 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS mark on the highway.

Four weeks ago, Minnesota pounded Illinois 59-36 laying one point at home to snap a three-game SU and ATS run by the Illini in this rivalry. However, Illinois is on ATS rolls of 11-3 overall and 8-2 at Assembly Hall in this series, and the favorite has cashed in 11 of the last 14 meetings.

The Illini are on a 14-6-1 ATS run against teams with a winning percentage above .600, but they are on ATS dips of 1-6 on Thursday, 1-4 after a SU win and 2-5 against winning teams. The Gophers, meanwhile, are on nothing but negative pointspread streaks, including 1-5 overall (all in the Big Ten), 0-6 on the road (all in the Big Ten) and 1-4 against winning teams.

The over is 5-2 in Minnesota’s last seven roadies and 9-4 in Illinois’ last 13 Thursday affairs, but the under is on streaks for the Gophers of 5-2 overall and 9-4 on Thursday, and the under for the Illini is on tears of 10-2 overall, 7-1 at home, 10-2 against the Big Ten, 8-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 55-27-2 after a SU win. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in five of the last six meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ILLINOIS and UNDER


(5) Memphis (24-3, 17-9 ATS) at UAB (19-8, 12-14 ATS)

Memphis, which is potentially playing its way to a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, looks to continue its amazing Conference USA winning streak when it visits surging Alabama-Birmingham.

The Tigers topped Texas-El Paso 70-63 Saturday to notch their 18th consecutive SU win and their 53rd straight victory in Conference USA, but they fell short of covering as a 9½-point road chalk, ending a four-game ATS uptick. Memphis, which is 13-4 ATS in lined games during its current tear, has ratcheted things up defensively lately, holding its last five opponents to an average of just 48.8 ppg – more than 10 points less than its overall season average (59.1) – while scoring 72.6 ppg.

The Blazers pounded Southern Mississippi 86-56 Saturday as an 11½-point home favorite for their sixth straight victory (3-3 ATS) and ninth win in the last 10 games (6-4 ATS). UAB has bested its last five opponents by more than 15 ppg (77.4-62.2), mainly due to shooting 50 percent from the field. The Blazers are unbeaten in 12 home games, outscoring visitors by an average of 19 ppg (77-58).

As part of its three-year-old, 53-game Conference USA winning streak, Memphis is 12-0 this season (8-4 ATS), with a 6-0 SU and 2-4 ATS mark on the road. UAB is second in the conference at 9-3 SU (5-7 ATS), going 6-0 SU and 3-3 ATS at home.

Memphis is on a 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS run in this rivalry, including an 81-68 victory last month to narrowly cash as a 12½-point home chalk. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, and the favorite is on a 5-1 ATS stretch.

The Tigers are on a bundle of pointspread streaks, including 9-2 overall, 9-2 after a SU win, 10-3 on Thursday, 7-2 in C-USA play and 7-1 against winning teams, but they’ve failed to cover in all four games as a single-digit chalk this season. The Blazers are on ATS rolls of 10-2 on Thursday, 5-2 after a SU win and 5-2 at home versus teams with a winning road record, but they are also 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after a spread-cover and 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

The over for UAB is on a 6-1 run, all in conference play, and is 5-1 in the Blazers’ last six games following a SU win, but the under is 8-3 in their last 11 against winning teams. The under for Memphis is on tears of 4-1 overall, 6-2 on the road, 9-2 against teams with a win percentage above .600 and 4-1 on Thursday. The under is also 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in this rivalry and 4-1 in the last five in Birmingham.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(14) Arizona State (21-5, 14-8 ATS) at (21) Washington (20-7, 16-8-1 ATS)

With first place in the Pac-10 on the line, Arizona State goes after its sixth consecutive win when it opens a two-game road trip to the Northwest against Washington at Bank of America Arena.

The Sun Devils squeaked past archrival Arizona 70-68 Sunday to win their fifth straight, but they couldn’t cover the eight-point spread at home, halting a 4-0 ATS upswing. Arizona State, which is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in its last nine starts (all in the Pac-10), has averaged 64.8 ppg and allowed just 56.6 during its five-game run, and on the road this season, the Sun Devils have averaged 62.2 ppg and given up 56.8.

The Huskies earned a split on their road trip to Los Angeles, losing 85-76 at UCLA catching nine points last Thursday and beating Southern Cal 60-51 as a 2½-point pup Saturday to improve to 4-0-1 ATS (4-1 SU) in their last five starts. Washington has outscored opponents this season by an average of almost 10 ppg (79.4-69.7), but that margin goes up to more than 15 at home, where the Huskies net 82.2 ppg and give up 66.7.

Washington leads the Pac-10 at 11-4 SU (10-5 ATS), including a 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS mark at home. Arizona State is second in the Pac-10 with a 10-4 SU mark (9-5 ATS), and the Sun Devils are 5-2 SU and ATS in conference road games. The SU winner cashed in each of ASU’s first 14 league contests prior to Sunday against Arizona, while the winner is 11-2-1 ATS in Washington’s Pac-10 games (8-0-1 ATS in the last nine).

Washington is 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five meetings in this rivalry, including an 84-71 road win getting five points on Jan. 31. In fact, the visitor has cashed in five of the last six contests.

The Sun Devils are on ATS runs of 4-1 overall, 4-0 on the road, 9-1 after a non-cover, 7-2-1 on the road against teams with a winning home record and 6-2 on Thursday. Likewise, along with their current 4-0-1 ATS streak (all in Pac-10 play), the Huskies are on positive pointspread pushes of 9-4 at home and 4-1-1 against teams with a winning percentage above .600.

The under for ASU is on stretches of 5-0 on the road, 20-7 in roadies against teams with a winning home record and 8-3 on Thursday. On the flip side, the over for Washington is on tears of 12-2 overall, 6-0 at home, 7-0 on Thursday, 10-1 after a SU win, 8-1 after an ATS win and 19-7 in Pac-10 play. Plus, the last two games in this rivalry have cleared the total, after a four-game “under” streak.

ATS ADVANTAGE: WASHINGTON


NBA

Cleveland (44-11, 37-18 ATS) at Houston (36-21, 26-30-1 ATS)

The Eastern Conference-leading Cavaliers, going after their sixth straight win, open a four-game road trip against the Rockets at the Toyota Center.

Cleveland dropped Memphis 94-79 as a 13½-point home favorite Tuesday for its fifth straight win and cover, following a two-game SU and ATS hiccup. In the last five games, the Cavs have averaged 101.2 points, a notch above their season average of 100.8 ppg. More important, they are holding opponents to 85.6 ppg during their current run, nearly five points below their season average (90.5).

Houston edged Portland 98-94 to post its fifth straight win, but the Rockets fell just short of cashing as a 4½-point chalk, which ended a three-game ATS surge. Like Cleveland, Houston has improved on its season averages during its five-game run, scoring 99.6 ppg – up slightly from 98.5 for the year – while allowing 85.6 ppg, over nine points less than its season average (94.9).

Houston is on a 7-2 ATS run (6-3 SU) in this rivalry, but Cleveland took a 99-90 victory giving 7½ points at home in December. The Rockets have won the last four clashes in Houston, the home team is on a 5-1 ATS run and the favorite has cashed in each of the last five contests.

The Cavaliers are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday starts, but they are otherwise on a bevy of pointspread rolls, including 42-18 overall, 15-5 against the Western Conference, 4-0 after a SU win, 4-0 after a spread-cover and 5-1 going on one day’s rest. The Rockets are on ATS upswings of 9-2 after a non-cover, 25-9-3 on Thursday and 5-2-1 at home, but they are also carrying negative ATS streaks of 1-5-1 against the Central Division, 1-4 playing on one day’s rest and 5-11-1 after a SU win.

The under for Cleveland is on tears of 5-2 overall, 6-1 against winning teams, 16-5 going on one day’s rest and 20-7 after an ATS win, and the under for Houston is on runs of 4-1 against winning teams and 4-1 after a non-cover. Finally, eight of the last 10 Cavs-Rockets meetings have stayed under the total, as have five of the last six contests in Houston.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Phoenix (32-24, 21-33-2 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (47-10, 30-27 ATS)

The red-hot Lakers return to Staples Center after a quick two-game road trip, taking on the revamped Suns under new coach Alvin Gentry.

Los Angeles topped Oklahoma City 107-93 Tuesday night as a 7½-point road chalk, halting a two-game ATS slide while posting its fifth consecutive win and improving to 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 starts. The Lakers are putting up a robust 108.9 ppg this season, but they’ve upped that number to 111.6 during their current win streak while allowing 103.2 ppg – also up from their season average of 100.6.

Phoenix beat Charlotte 112-102 as a seven-point home favorite Tuesday night, bouncing back from a 128-108 blowout home loss to Boston. The Suns have won four of five games SU and ATS under Gentry, but two of those wins came against the Clippers, one against the Thunder and the fourth against the Bobcats, three of the worst teams in the league, making Phoenix’s obscene 128.4 ppg average over the last five games a bit less impressive.

L.A. has scored at least 100 points in 51 of its 57 games, including 26 of the last 28, while Phoenix has reached triple digits in 31 of its last 36 contests.

Los Angeles is 5-2 SU and ATS in the last seven clashes in this rivalry, winning the most recent meeting 115-110 in December, but failing to cash as a healthy 13½-point home chalk. The road team is on a 4-0 ATS run, and the Suns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 visits to Staples Center.

The Lakers are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 starts on one day’s rest, and they are on a 2-6 ATS skid in Pacific Division play, but along with their current 9-4 ATS run, they are on further pointspread upticks of 4-0 on Thursday, 5-1 after a double-digit win, 6-2 after a spread-cover and 10-4 after putting up more than 100 points.

The Suns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games against Western Conference foes, but they are on pointspread declines of 0-7 on Thursday, 1-6 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 7-21-1 after a spread-cover, 4-10 after a SU win and 11-24-2 after scoring more than 100 points.

The over for Los Angeles is on sprees of 9-4-1 overall, 7-1 in division games, 17-5-1 after a SU win, 6-2 against winning teams and 8-3-1 in conference play, and the over for Phoenix is on stretches of 5-1 overall, 6-1 after a SU win, 4-1 on the road and 5-2 against winning teams. And in this rivalry, the total has cleared the posted price in six of the last eight contests overall and six of the last eight at Staples Center.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS and OVER

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Cajun Sports

New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech
Play: Louisiana Tech -1

The Thomas Assembly Center in Ruston Louisiana will be the site of tonight’s Western Athletic Conference showdown between the host Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the visiting Aggies from New Mexico State. Both teams enter this contest playing some pretty good basketball but one will see their winning streak come to an end in Ruston tonight. The Aggies have won four straight with their most recent a home win over CS-Fullerton 94 to 86 as a 7-point home favorite. They are 15-12 SU and 10-15 ATS overall on the season but the Aggies have certainly struggled when hitting the road posting a record of 3-9 SU and only 4-8 against the number averaging 70.5 points per game but giving up over 77 points per contest. This is not good news for New Mexico State backers as the Bulldogs have won their last four against the number and average 63.6 points per game at home on 45.7 percent shooting from the field while holding opponents to only 54.7 points per game on 39.6 percent shooting. LA Tech is coming off an impressive road win last Saturday in a Bracket Buster contest at Murray State winning 69 to 60 as a 9.5 point road underdog. The Bulldogs have been solid against the number this season with an overall record of 15-6 ATS including their most recent active streak which is four in a row and counting. LA Tech is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season, 6-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season, 6-0 ATS versus teams committing <=14 turnovers per game after 15+ games, 103-94 ATS versus conference opponents, 5-0 ATS during the month of February, 11-3 ATS when playing only their second game in a week, 8-4 ATS revenging a loss this season and 57-38 ATS since 97, 3-0 ATS off an upset win, 7-1 ATS after one or more consecutive wins this season and 80-62 ATS since 1997. New Mexico State is 0-6 ATS versus teams averaging 53 or less shots per game after 15+ games, 1-7 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals per game on the season, 26-44 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997, 1-11 ATS after one or more consecutive ‘overs’ this season, 0-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more and 0-7 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. In their first meeting back on February 16th New Mexico State had the Bulldogs down by as many as 17 points in the second half but even on their home floor it came down to a one possession game with the Aggies winning 65 to 63 but failing to cover as an 8-point home favorite. The Bulldogs will be focused here as they intend on getting revenge for a game in which they fought all the way back and even had a chance to win it in the end before letting it slip away. There will be no slippage tonight in Ruston as the Bulldogs get an easy win over the Aggies from New Mexico State.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (2*) LA Tech Bulldogs 67 New Mexico State Aggies 60

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JIM FEIST


MEMPHIS / UAB
Take: OVER

The top two teams in Conference USA meet, though Memphis is still three games ahead with no shot of being overtaken by UAB. Both teams have powerful offenses, averaging over 73 ppg. UAB is home and has been clicking offensively, scoring 86, 76 and 78 the last three games. Memphis can push it up the floor, as well, as freshman Tyreke Evans has been named the Conference USA Rookie of the Week. When these teams met last month, the game went over the total in an 81-68 Memphis win. This one looks like an uptempo game, too. Play Memphis/UAB over the total.

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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Arizona

The Wildcats take on the Cougars in this PAC 10 clash in Pullman knowing they are 34-3 SU in this series, having been favored in all but two games. In the two contests they were taking points they won both game SU on the court. With Arizona a long-term 62-32 ATS as a dog and playing off a loss, look for the Wildcats to get back on the win track against an opponent they've owned over the years.

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James Patrick

North Carolina State vs. Wake Forest

The best way to take out the Deacon Deamons is with a half court game and some powerful inside presence a pair of missing weapons in the Wolfpack arsenal.Our Thursday selection in ACC action is Wake Forest Deacon Deamons as we look for them to remember a setback (82-76) at Raleigh earlier this season.

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Jimmy The Moose

San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators
Prediction: San Jose Sharks

Two team's headed in opposite directions meet-up in Ottawa tonight. The Sharks played and lost last night and are now 4-1 in their last 5 games. San jose is a profitable 41-18 in their last 59 games overall. In their last 56 games vs. an Eastern Conference opponent the Sharks are 40-14-2. Ottawa is 5-11 in their last 16 games vs. a team from the Pacific Division. The Senators are 9-23 in their last 32 games played with 1 day rest between action. The Sharks are too strong and will take this one easily. Play on the San Jose Sharks

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Rob Vinciletti

Montana vs. Northern Col    
Play: Montana +2

On Thursday night the comp play is on Montana.Game 797 at 9pm eastern.Montana has played well this year when taking on foes with a losing record.They are 9-2 su.Montana has represented themselves well in the conference at 11-4 and has had a solid month of February going 4-1 su-ats.Northern Colorado is just 3-9 this year when taking on teams with a winning record and will struggle once again here.Take the points with the better team here on Thursday.Also check out my page for a top notch Horizon league bomb and another college hoops stat dominator play.Back Montana as the free play on Thursday

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Dave Cokin

Idaho @ San Jose State
Play: Idaho +3

Idaho looks to be the right side tonight as the Vandals travel to San Jose State. Idaho has had much the best of it recently in the series, winning four and covering five of the last six meetings, including the earlier 74-66 decision this season. The Vandals have been a very solid moneymaker in road games for quite some time, with an impressive 63-38 spread mark in lined away games. San Jose is only a 3-11 in their last 14 attempts as chalk. Most importantly, the comparative numbers indicate that Idaho is about three points better than San Jose on a neutral court, and the Spartans sure don't rate a six point home court edge with their recent form. I'll lean with Idaho and the points tonight.

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Bobby Maxwell

West Virginia at CINCINNATI +4'

The Bearcats are 13-4 at home this season and while they might have lost their last one in front of the home fans, look for them to make life miserable on former coach Bob Huggins and the Mountaineers in this one.

Cincinnati is 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four at home and they put up 76 points a game and limit the opposition to 65.8. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a home 'dog of up to 6 1/2 points and 17-7 ATS in their last 24 after a straight-up loss.

West Virginia does not enjoy eating the chalk, as the Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite of up to 6 1/2 points and 0-5 ATS as a road favorite in the same scenario.

The Bearcats are 3-1 SU and 2-1-1 ATS in the last four meetings with West Virginia and they'll have something extra for Huggins in this one. The crowd will be rocking and look for a big effort from these guys tonight!

3&#9830; CINCINNATI


UCLA at STANFORD +6'

We've got a comp play winner for you in the Pac-10 tonight as we grab the points with Stanford as the Cardinal hosts UCLA.

Yes, UCLA has dominated this series and won five straight and seven of eight (6-2 ATS), but I think the Pac-10 has figured this version of the Bruins. They know there's no threat inside and if they can hang around, the UCLA offense will go stagnant in the second half and they can be beaten.

We're going to play Stanford at home in this one. The Cardinal has lost three straight but all of them have come on the road. They have won two of their last three at home, including an impressive 65-54 win over a very good Washington team, cashing in as 4 1/2-point favorites.

Stanford is on ATS streaks of 13-5 at home, 11-3 as a home 'dog, 6-1 on Thursdays, 7-3 after a straight-up loss and 11-4 agaisnt teams with a winning record. Meanwhile UCLA is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a non-cover.

Both teams are in need of a win, but the crowd is going to be rowdy and as long as Stanford hangs close in the first half and doesn't turn the ball over, they are in great position to steal this one in the second half. Grab the points and play the Cardinal.

2&#9830; STANFORD

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Big Al Mcmordie

Youngstown State vs. Butler   
Play: Youngstown State +17

At 7 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Youngstown State Penguins plus the points over Butler. Prior to defeating Davidson on "Bracket Buster" weekend, Butler had dropped its previous two Horizon League games -- at Wisconsin-Milwaukee, and at home to Loyola-Illinois. And the Bulldogs have lost five of their last seven Horizon games ATS. In contrast, Youngstown has ripped off five straight covers in League play, and was competitive in its first meeting vs. Butler this season, as it lost by just eight points, 79-71. The Penguins are 11-4 ATS vs. the Bulldogs, and we'll grab the large number of points here.

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Matt Fargo

Akron at Buffalo
Play: Buffalo

Buffalo has dropped three straight games so this actually does two things. It provides a lot of motivation and it also gives us some added line value. Two of those recent losses came on the road including the last one on Bracket Buster Saturday at Vermont which was pretty meaningless. It is safe to say that the Bulls were looking ahead to this game against Akron as first place in the MAC East is on the line. Buffalo won the first meeting is Akron so it sets the Zips up in a road revenge spot but that is not an angle I am fond of, especially when the home team has a significant home court advantage. The Bulls are 9-3 at home but two of those losses came against rival Niagara while another came against Big East power Connecticut and both of those came by only four points. The other home loss came in its last home game against Bowling Green, the second loss to the Falcons this season and they are a team that the Bulls just do not match up well with. The other MAC loss was at Ball St., the leader in the MAC West, by only a bucket. The last three losses have come directly after the plane crash right outside of Buffalo and it has been emotional for the Bulls as 11 people who perished had ties to the university. Now that some time has gone by, that emotional rally could provide a spark for the Bulls to close out the season. This is the start of a rugged four-game stretch against East teams so holding serve on their home floor is imperative. Akron caught fire for a while, reeling off seven straight wins but it has lost two of its last three games and it was guilty of a possible look ahead last Saturday as was taken out at Valparaiso who is not a good team at all. Two of the MAC road losses came against Miami and Ohio, both in overtime, while another was against a suspect Northern Illinois team. Two road wins were at Toledo and Eastern Michigan, the two worst teams in the entire conference. This is tough matchup for Akron, just like how Bowling Green is for the Bulls. The Bulls lead the MAC in rebounding margin and are regarded as one of the league?s most physical teams. Northern Illinois put 83 points on the Zips last week and Valparaiso hit Akron for 74, after trailing 37-19. Some are speculating that the Zips are tiring and that is possible since they are young and the freshmen are not used to not only the long season, but also the long roadtrips. The Bulls were picked to finish last in the division during the preseason and even with four league games remaining there?s obviously some sentiment that the Bulls aren?t for real. They are out to prove something and they get a little breathing room with a home win Thursday. 3* Buffalo Bulls

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Craig Trapp

West Virginia vs. Cincinnati    
Play: West Virginia -5

Very solid WVU team that has had a ton more quality wins than has the bearcats. Coach Huggins and WVU were embarrased last year in WV by this UC teams. Expect payback tonight also is first time Huggins has returned to UC after being fired. WVU will be jacked up for revenge and with Ruoff and Butler leading them sure they will get it. Enjoy this blowout on ESPN at 7pm est. SCORE WVU 74 - UC 60

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Karl Garrett

Purdue -2' at MICHIGAN 

Tonight I like Purdue to hanlde their business on the Big 10 road, as the Boilermakers take on a Michigan team that really needed to win their last game.

Michigan was on a two game win streak, but were stopped in overtime at Iowa to drop to 17-11 on the season, meaning they probably need to make it to the Big 10 tournament final to get consideration for an at-large bid this March.

True, the Wolverines are at home for this one, but they are playing a Purdue team that is playing some rock-solid ball down the stretch, as the Boilermakers have won 4 straight, and 10 of their last 12.

Included in that stretch is a convincing 67-49 home win, and cover over Michigan to make it 3 straight series wins, and series wins in 5 of the last 6 - 4-2 against the spread in that span!

Purdue knows they can defeat this Michigan team, while Michigan has been playing with plenty of doubt in their minds lately when they step on the court.

G-Man will lay the small road wood.

4&#9830; PURDUE

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Idaho +3 at SAN JOSE STATE 

We did it again last night, as comp play Virginia Tech won outright at Clemson!

Now 16-5-2 the last 23 days with our comp plays.

Tonight we take the underdog Vandals, as Idaho brings a 3-game winning streak into California. Idaho has evened their season ledger to 13-13, and they have already bested the Spartans in this year's first meeting, 74-66 to start their current 3-game win streak.

San Jose has taken a nose dive, as State has dropped 6 of their last 9, and are on an 0-4-1 spread run their last 5 lined games.

In this series, Idaho has won the last 4 meetings, and they have also covered the last 5 meetings!

Idaho is on a 7-2 spread run their last 9 on the road, while San Jose State is just 1-8 against the spread their last 9 Thursday night outings.

We are taking the points in this one.

Play on the Vandals.

3&#9830; IDAHO

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DUNKEL

Cleveland at Houston   
The Cavs are 4-1 on the road when the total is listed between 180 and 184 1/2 points, while the Rockets are just 1-5 ATS against the Central Division.  Cleveland is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 2 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-1).   

Game 701-702: Cleveland at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 124.607; Houston 122.083
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 187 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 1; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-1); Over

Game 703-704: Phoenix at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 119.830; LA Lakers 128.300
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8 1/2; 216 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


NCAAB

Xavier at St. Joseph's
The Musketeers look to take advantage of a St. Joe's team that is just 2-8 ATS at home this season.  Xavier is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Musketeers favored by 5.  Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-3).   

Game 705-706: WI-Green Bay at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 61.420; Detroit 54.639
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 7
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: WI-Green Bay (-6 1/2)

Game 707-708: Middle Tennessee St. at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 52.609; Florida International 49.458
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 3
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+3 1/2)

Game 709-710: Kent State at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 57.889; Bowling Green 53.329
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-1 1/2)

Game 711-712: Minnesota at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 62.385; Illinois 72.601
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 10
Vegas Line: Illinois by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-7 1/2)

Game 713-714: West Virginia at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 72.125; Cincinnati 68.847
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 5
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+5)

Game 715-716: Youngstown State at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 56.287; Butler 71.684
Dunkel Line: Butler by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 17
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+17)

Game 717-718: WI-Milwaukee at Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 55.377; Wright State 64.443
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 9
Vegas Line: Wright State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-6 1/2)

Game 719-720: Miami (OH) at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 59.032; Ohio 55.070
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 1
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-1)

Game 721-722: Akron at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 59.700; Buffalo 59.763
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+1)

Game 723-724: LaSalle at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 55.607; Temple 64.180
Dunkel Line: Temple by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+10 1/2)

Game 725-726: Xavier at St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 66.380; St. Joseph's 61.576
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 5
Vegas Line: Xavier by 3
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-3)

Game 727-728: North Texas at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 53.035; Arkansas State 52.821
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 1
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+1)

Game 729-730: New Orleans at Arkansas Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 45.160; Arkansas Little Rock 58.869
Dunkel Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas Little Rock by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas Little Rock (-11 1/2)

Game 731-732: NC State at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 63.125; Wake Forest 74.190
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 11
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 12
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+12)

Game 733-734: Troy at UL-Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 54.956; UL-Lafayette 52.828
Dunkel Line: Troy by 2
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+2)

Game 735-736: Denver at UL-Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 50.768; UL-Monroe 51.428
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 1
Vegas Line: Denver by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+1 1/2)

Game 737-738: New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 55.587; Louisiana Tech 58.268
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 1
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-1)

Game 739-740: Miami (FL) at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 69.478; Virginia 62.939
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-3 1/2)

Game 741-742: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 43.154; Western Kentucky 60.696
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 14
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-14)

Game 743-744: Cleveland State at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 62.692; Valparaiso 55.928
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-4)

Game 745-746: Memphis at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 76.615; UAB 70.763
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 6
Vegas Line: Memphis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4 1/2)

Game 747-748: Purdue at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 70.945; Michigan 67.958
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 3
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-2 1/2)

Game 749-750: Hawaii at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 53.812; Utah State 67.167
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 16
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+16)

Game 751-752: Arizona at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 68.986; Washington State 70.430
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+2)

Game 753-754: CS-Fullerton at UC-Riverside
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 51.774; UC-Riverside 55.455
Dunkel Line: UC-Riverside by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (-2 1/2)

Game 755-756: UC-Irvine at Long Beach State
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 52.763; Long Beach State 55.794
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 3
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+6 1/2)

Game 757-758: Idaho at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 52.211; San Jose State 53.115
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 1
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+3 1/2)

Game 759-760: San Francisco at Loyola Marymount
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 48.650; Loyola Marymount 42.807
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-5 1/2)

Game 761-762: Nevada at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 55.079; Fresno State 53.906
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1
Vegas Line: Nevada by 4
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4)

Game 763-764: Portland at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 57.850; San Diego 55.101
Dunkel Line: Portland by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+2 1/2)

Game 765-766: USC at California
Dunkel Ratings: USC 66.421; California 73.030
Dunkel Line: California by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 4
Dunkel Pick: California (-4)

Game 767-768: St. Mary's (CA) at Pepperdine
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 61.703; Pepperdine 49.500
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 12
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+13 1/2)

Game 769-770: UCLA at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 74.999; Stanford 64.822
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 10
Vegas Line: UCLA by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-5 1/2)

Game 771-772: Arizona State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 68.308; Washington 74.639
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 4
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4)

Game 773-774: Gonzaga at Santa Clara
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 69.482; Santa Clara 57.098
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 10
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-10)

Game 775-776: Georgia Southern at Elon
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 42.011; Elon 46.557
Dunkel Line: Elon by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Elon by 3
Dunkel Pick: Elon (-3)

Game 777-778: Furman at The Citadel
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 44.358; The Citadel 56.127
Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 12
Vegas Line: The Citadel by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (-11 1/2)

Game 779-780: Wofford at College of Charleston
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 48.703; College of Charleston 57.364
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+9 1/2)

Game 781-782: Rider at Loyola-MD
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.032; Loyola-MD 50.071
Dunkel Line: Rider by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Rider

Game 783-784: TN-Chattanooga at Appalachian State
Dunkel Ratings: TN-Chattanooga 50.879; Appalachian State 52.371
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TN-Chattanooga (+3 1/2)

Game 785-786: Samford at Western Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 46.749; Western Carolina 52.207
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 7
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+7)

Game 787-788: Eastern Kentucky at TN-Martin
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 51.077; TN-Martin 61.859
Dunkel Line: TN-Martin by 11
Vegas Line: TN-Martin by 6
Dunkel Pick: TN-Martin (-6)

Game 789-790: SE Missouri State at Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 35.273; Tennessee State 51.274
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 16
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-14)

Game 791-792: Eastern Illinois at Austin Peay
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 48.677; Austin Peay 51.906
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 3
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 7
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+7)

Game 793-794: Morehead State at Murray State
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 54.129; Murray State 58.395
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Murray State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+7)

Game 795-796: Northern Arizona at Weber State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 50.837; Weber State 59.747
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 9
Vegas Line: Weber State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-8 1/2)

Game 797-798: Montana at Northern Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 53.404; Northern Colorado 53.155
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+2)

Game 799-800: Sacramento State at Idaho State
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 37.491; Idaho State 54.969
Dunkel Line: Idaho State by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Idaho State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (-16 1/2)

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

LT Profits

Minnesota +8

The Big Ten is known for its home dominance generally, but the Minnesota Golden Gophers are a respectable 4-5 straight up in true road games this season while the Illinois Fighting Illini managed a grand total of 33 points in their last home game.

The Gophers blew out Illinois 59-36 back in Minnesota last month, and even though this contest is in Champaign, we see no reason why the Gophers cannot keep the Iliini offense in check again. Minnesota is ranked 25 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy Ratings, and they are ranked first in the land in block percentage.

Now you never know which Illinois offense will show up, but that unreliability in itself is enough of a concern when being asked to lay this many points, and that last shooting performance vs. Penn State here (15 for 50) is certainly disconcerting. The Illini are also just 4-5-1 against the spread in this building this season.

Finally, this figures to be a low-scoring game, which makes getting this many points even more valuable. We will gladly go for the value here with a good defense facing an inconsistent offense.

Pick: Minnesota +8

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Arizona at Washington St

Arizona is 6-0 ATS their last games vs. winning teams and they are 4-0 ATS their last 4 Pac 10 games. The Wildcats are 10-3 ATS off a straight up loss and they are 5-1 ATS off an ATS win. Washington St is 9-23 ATS vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60% and they are 3-8 ATS their last 11 home games. The Cougars are 1-5 ATS their last 6 games as home favorites and they are 1-4 ATS off an ATS win. PLAY ON ARIZONA +

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Cal -4

USC beat Cal by 11 earlier this season. Now Cal is at home and will be ready to return the favor. The Golden Bears are 15-1 SU and 10-2 ATS in home line games this season. USC is just 3-8 away from home and 1-4 in its last 5 games. Off a loss at lowly Oregon State, expect the Bears to be out for blood tonight. This is how good Cal has been at home this season: the Bears are 6-0 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season, winning by an average score of 77.9 to 64.4 in these spots. Cal is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite or pick this season and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take Cal tonight.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Benton

Gonzaga at SANTA CLARA +10 

Scored a nice winner with Mississippi State as a freebie Wednesday night. For Thursday, we’ll stay on the college hardwood and back Santa Clara plus the big points against Gonzaga in West Coast Conference action.

Gonzaga ripped the Broncos 95-53 in mid-January, easily covering as a 20-point home favorite. But since that setback, Santa Clara has won seven of 10 games, including five straight double-digit victories at home. As for the three defeats, they were by a total of eight points, including a one-point road loss at Portland and a one-point road defeat in overtime at San Francisco on Saturday.

True, the Bulldogs have won four in a row overall, and they’re 12-0 in conference play. However, they were very shaky in their last two West Coast Conference road games, barely getting by San Francisco (78-73) and depleted St. Mary’s (72-70), failing to cover as favorites in both contests. In fact, prior to consecutive blowout home victories over Loyola Marymount and Pepperdine (the two worst teams in the WCC) in its last two outings, Gonzaga had been in a 5-11 ATS slump, all from the favorites roll.

Finally, Santa Clara has played Gonzaga very tough at home the last two years, losing 87-82 in overtime as a 7½-point ‘dog last year and 77-69 as a three-point put in 2007. This time around, the Broncos are catching double digits, which in itself is noteworthy, because Santa Clara is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games as a ‘dog catching between 7 and 12½ points. Additionally, the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six as an underdog of any number and 5-1 ATS in their last six as a home pup.

Grab the points, as Santa Clara – which is averaging 70 ppg during a 7-2 SU run – will hang in this nationally televised contest throughout and challenge for the outright upset.

3&#9830; SANTA CLARA

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Thursday take the Miami Hurricanes.

Virginia has been better of late and did come back nicely for a cover in  Raleigh in that last game but Jack McClinton and the 'Canes need this game too much to fail.

The road is certainly a difficult place to play and the Cavaliers are an improved squad that is obviously much better in Charlottesville than on the road as they have shown in beating both Virginia Tech and Clemson recently but in this spot at this price I will take my chances on what is clearly the superior squad in Miami.

Frank Haith's team has fallen short in some big spots and at times can underachieve but they also are a talented team that should be able to step it up here. Even with the improvement UVA is still a team that fairly recently dropped eight straight games and may be the least talented team in the entire ACC, when push comes to shove.

The Hurricanes hung very very tough in covers recently against both Duke and North Carolina and dismantled Wake Forest by a billion. I'm not saying that UM can't lay an egg in this spot away from their comforts but the price is ultra cheap and definitely the right side more times than not.

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